ChaoZhang
概述
该策略基于自适应波带通道,设计了两种不同的跟踪止损策略,进行多时间框架的系统性回测验证,属于趋势跟踪类交易策略。
策略原理
计算自适应波带通道的上下轨,通道宽度通过参数调整。
突破追踪策略,价格突破通道后开仓,在通道内时止损。
回归反转策略,价格到达通道时开仓,价格回归通道内时止损。
CCI指标辅助判断多空线。
多时间框架回测验证两种策略的可行性。
优势分析
波带通道简单直观,可以有效捕捉价格趋势。
两种策略可以适应不同市场情况,提高稳健性。
CCI指标可以辅助判断多空。
多时间框架回测使结果更具说服力。
策略规则简单清晰,易于实施。
风险分析
波带通道可能出现失效的情况。
两种策略都存在止损过早或过晚的风险。
CCI指标可能发出错误信号。
需要谨慎处理回测数据偏差。
参数优化时可能存在过拟合。
优化方向
测试不同参数,寻找最优参数组合。
评估增加其他指标进行信号过滤。
优化止损策略,降低风险。
研究自适应通道宽度的计算方法。
在更多品种和周期进行回测验证。
6.采用机器学习方法动态优化参数。
总结
该策略基于波带通道设计了两种跟踪止损策略,进行了多时间框架的回测验证。通过参数优化、止损策略改进等方式,可以增强系统稳健性,将其开发为一个成熟可靠的趋势跟踪交易系统。
策略源码
/*backtest
start: 2022-09-13 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-19 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=4
strategy(title = "Underworld Hunter", overlay=true)
len = input(75, minval=1, title="Length")
src = input(close, title="Source")
basis = 0.0
basis := na(basis[1]) ? sma(src, len) : ema(ema(ema(src,len),len),len)
mult = input(1.9, minval=0.001, maxval=50, title="Deviation")
dev = mult * stdev(src, len)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
//CCI calculation and inputs
lengthcci = input(20, minval=1, title="Period for CCI")
ma = sma(close, lengthcci)
ccivalue = (src - ma) / (0.015 * dev(src, lengthcci))
//CCI plotting
cciover0 = ccivalue >= 100 and ccivalue <= 120
cciover1 = ccivalue > 120 and ccivalue <= 140
cciover2 = ccivalue > 140 and ccivalue <= 160
cciover3 = ccivalue > 160 and ccivalue <= 180
cciover4 = ccivalue > 180
cciunder0 = ccivalue <= -100 and ccivalue >= -120
cciunder1 = ccivalue <= -120 and ccivalue > -140
cciunder2 = ccivalue <= -140 and ccivalue > -160
cciunder3 = ccivalue <= -160 and ccivalue > -180
cciunder4 = ccivalue <= -180
plotshape(cciover0, title="CCIO0", location=location.abovebar, color=#c6ff1a, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciunder0, title="CCIU0", location=location.belowbar, color=#c6ff1a, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciover1, title="CCIO1", location=location.abovebar, color=#ffff00, transp=0,style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciunder1, title="CCIU1", location=location.belowbar, color=#ffff00, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciover2, title="CCIO2", location=location.abovebar, color=#ff9900, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciunder2, title="CCIU2", location=location.belowbar, color=#ff9900, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciover3, title="CCIO3", location=location.abovebar, color=#ff0000, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciunder3, title="CCIU3", location=location.belowbar, color=#ff0000, transp=0, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciover4, title="CCIO4", location=location.abovebar, color=#cc00cc, transp=0,style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
plotshape(cciunder4, title="CCIU4", location=location.belowbar, color=#cc00cc, transp=0,style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny)
//plotting
plot(upper, title="Upper shadow", color=color.black, transp = 30, linewidth = 4)
plot(upper, title="Upper line", color=#FF2E00, transp = 0, linewidth = 2)
plot(lower, title="Lower shadow", color=color.black, transp = 30, linewidth = 4)
plot(lower, title="Lower line", color=#FF2E00, transp = 0, linewidth = 2)
plot(basis, title="Basic line", color=color.red, transp = 50, linewidth = 2)
mean = input(title="Test Reverse to the Mean instead", type=input.bool, defval=false)
test = input(title="Enable testing", type=input.bool, defval=true)
ordersize=floor(50000/close)
if(close>upper and strategy.opentrades==0 and not mean and test)
strategy.entry("Hunt Up", strategy.long, ordersize)
if (close<upper and close[1]<upper and close[2]<upper)
strategy.close("Hunt Up", qty_percent = 100, comment = "Hunt End")
if(close<lower and strategy.opentrades==0 and not mean and test)
strategy.entry("Hunt Down", strategy.short, ordersize)
if (close>lower and close[1]>lower and close[2]>lower)
strategy.close("Hunt Down", qty_percent = 100, comment = "Hunt End")
//bounce of bands
if(close>upper and strategy.opentrades==0 and mean and test)
strategy.entry("Sneak Down", strategy.short, ordersize)
if (close<upper and close[1]<upper and close[2]<upper and close>high[1])
strategy.close("Sneak Down", qty_percent = 100, comment = "SneakEnd")
if(close<lower and strategy.opentrades==0 and mean and test)
strategy.entry("Sneak Up", strategy.long, ordersize)
if (close>lower and close[1]>lower and close[2]>lower and close<low[1])
strategy.close("Sneak Up", qty_percent = 100, comment = "Sneak End")