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TEMA/DEMA/HMA Trend Following Strategy

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2023-09-21 10:56:41
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Overview

This strategy combines TEMA, DEMA and HMA moving averages to enter on TEMA/DEMA golden cross/dead cross signals, using HMA to determine trend direction to filter counter-trend trades.

Strategy Logic

  1. Calculate TEMA, DEMA and HMA moving averages
  2. Go long when TEMA crosses above DEMA
  3. Go short when TEMA crosses below DEMA
  4. Calculate HMA trend direction, only enter if aligning with HMA trend

Specifically, it uses DEMA to gauge medium-term trend, TEMA for short-term trend, and HMA for long-term trend. Trades are taken only when short/medium-term moves in alignment (TEMA/DEMA coordinated breakout), and long-term trend agrees (HMA direction matches breakout).

Advantage Analysis

  1. Combining multiple moving averages improves accuracy
  2. HMA trend filter avoids counter-trend trades
  3. TEMA/DEMA forms clear trading signals
  4. Custom periods for three lines fit different cycles
  5. Trading with trend reduces drawdown risks

Risk Analysis

  1. Complex multi-line combination requires parameter tuning
  2. HMA trend may lag price movement
  3. Risks of lagging entry exist
  4. Bad parameters may increase unnecessary reverse trades

Risks can be managed by parameter optimization, stop loss, relaxing entry rules etc.

Optimization Directions

  1. Test different period combinations to find optimal parameters
  2. Evaluate adding MACD etc. as auxiliary confirmation
  3. Add trailing stop loss to lock in profits, reduce drawdown
  4. Study parameter preferences across different products
  5. Relax entry rules to trade with long term trend

Summary

This strategy generates signals by combining multiple moving average indicators to determine trend. Pros are clear signals and high configurability; Cons are lagging risks and parameter dependency. Risks can be controlled via parameter optimization, stop loss etc. to utilize the power of a combined moving average system. It helps traders comprehensively master trend trading techniques.

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © tuned-com

//@version=4
strategy("TEMA/DEMA/HMA", overlay=true, pyramiding=0, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100, initial_capital=1000000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.1)

Tlength = input(8, title="TEMA Length", minval=1)
Dlength = input(43, title="DEMA Length", minval=1)
Hlength = input(52, title="Hull Length", minval=1)
Rlength = input(2, title="Hull Trend Test Length", minval=1)


//TEMA//
ema1 = ema(close, Tlength)
ema2 = ema(ema1, Tlength)
ema3 = ema(ema2, Tlength)
tema = 3 * (ema1 - ema2) + ema3

//DEMA//
e1 = ema(close, Dlength)
e2 = ema(e1, Dlength)
dema = 2 * e1 - e2

//HMA//
hma = wma(2 * wma(close, Hlength / 2) - wma(close, Hlength), round(sqrt(Hlength)))


up = crossunder(dema, tema) and rising(hma, Rlength)
down = crossover(dema, tema) and falling(hma, Rlength)

downc = crossunder(dema, tema)
upc = crossover(dema, tema)

plot(dema, color=color.green, linewidth=2)
plot(tema, color=color.aqua, linewidth=2)

plot(hma, color=rising(hma, Rlength) ? color.green : na, linewidth=2, transp=0)
plot(hma, color=falling(hma, Rlength) ? color.red : na, linewidth=2, transp=0)

bgcolor(rising(hma, Rlength) ? color.green : na, transp=70)
bgcolor(falling(hma, Rlength) ? color.red : na, transp=70)

plotarrow(tema - dema, colorup=color.green, colordown=color.red, transp=70)



if up
    strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long)

if down
    strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short)
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