Support and Resistance Trend Tracking Strategy
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Overview
This strategy utilizes three technical indicators - support, resistance and trendlines - to automate entries and stop losses. It first identifies key support and resistance levels, then combines trend direction to determine entry timing.
Strategy Logic
- Identify key support and resistance levels.
- Use trendlines to determine market trend direction. An uptrend is defined when price is higher than previous close, otherwise it's a downtrend.
- When price approaches support level and there is an uptrend, a buy signal is triggered.
- When price approaches resistance level and there is a downtrend, a sell signal is triggered.
- Take profit target is calculated based on risk-reward ratio, stop loss is set near support level.
- Trailing stop loss can be used to lock in profits.
Advantage Analysis
- Fully utilizes the power of support, resistance and trend - three strong technical indicators.
- Automated entry timing eliminates subjective errors.
- Controllable risk with stop loss near key support levels.
- Optional trailing stop loss to avoid giving back profits.
Risk Analysis
- Failed breakout risk - price may retest the broken support or resistance level after initial breakout.
- Trend misjudgement risk - using trendlines alone may result in inaccurate trend bias.
- Stop loss being taken out risk - stop loss can still be hit by volatile price swings despite close distance from support.
Solutions:
- Allow wider range for support/resistance validation.
- Employ multiple indicators to confirm trend bias.
- Adopt range-based stop loss or timely manual intervention.
Optimization Directions
- Add more indicators to confirm entry signals, e.g. volume-based indicators, moving averages etc. This can improve accuracy.
- Optimize support, resistance and stop loss levels by testing different parameters.
- Try machine learning methods to auto-optimize parameters.
Conclusion
This strategy combines the power of multiple technical tools. With proper parameter tuning, it can achieve good risk-adjusted returns. The key is to optimize the parameters and entry sequence. Overall the strategy framework is sound and has lots of potential for improvements.\
Source
Pine
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