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Multi-Technical Indicator Trend Following Strategy with Ichimoku Cloud Breakout and Stop-Loss System

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-11-28 15:13:23
Tags: RSIMASMAEMA

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Overview

This strategy is a comprehensive trading system that combines multiple technical indicators, primarily based on the Ichimoku Cloud indicator for trading decisions. The system determines entry points through the crossing of Tenkan and Kijun lines, while incorporating RSI and Moving Averages as auxiliary filtering conditions. The strategy uses cloud components as dynamic stop-loss levels, forming a complete risk control system.

Strategy Principles

The core logic of the strategy is based on the following key elements:

  1. Entry signals are generated by Tenkan-Kijun crossovers, with upward crosses forming long signals and downward crosses forming short signals
  2. Price position relative to the Kumo (cloud) serves as trend confirmation, going long above the cloud and short below it
  3. The relationship between 50-day and 200-day moving averages acts as a trend filter
  4. Weekly RSI indicator confirms market strength, filtering out false signals
  5. Cloud boundaries are used as dynamic stop-loss positions for dynamic risk management

Strategy Advantages

  1. The combination of multiple technical indicators provides more reliable trading signals, significantly reducing the impact of false signals
  2. Using the cloud as a dynamic stop-loss can automatically adjust stop-loss positions based on market volatility, both protecting profits and allowing sufficient price movement
  3. Weekly RSI filtering effectively avoids unfavorable trades in overbought/oversold areas
  4. Moving average crossovers provide additional trend confirmation, improving trade success rates
  5. Complete risk control system covering entry, position holding, and exit phases

Strategy Risks

  1. Multiple indicator filtering may cause missing some potential good opportunities
  2. May generate frequent false breakout signals in ranging markets
  3. The Ichimoku Cloud indicator has inherent lag, which may affect entry timing
  4. Dynamic stop-loss positions may be too loose in rapidly volatile markets
  5. Excessive filtering conditions may reduce trading opportunities, affecting overall strategy returns

Strategy Optimization Directions

  1. Introduce volatility indicators to adjust strategy parameters based on market volatility
  2. Optimize cloud parameters to better suit different market environments
  3. Add volume analysis to improve signal reliability
  4. Implement time filtering mechanisms to avoid highly volatile periods
  5. Develop adaptive parameter optimization system for dynamic strategy adjustment

Summary

This strategy builds a complete trading system by combining multiple technical indicators. The strategy not only focuses on signal generation but also includes a comprehensive risk control mechanism. Through multiple filtering conditions, it effectively improves trade success rates. Meanwhile, the dynamic stop-loss design provides the strategy with a good risk-reward ratio. While there is room for optimization, it is overall a well-structured strategy system with clear logic.

/*backtest
start: 2019-12-23 08:00:00
end: 2024-11-27 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy("Ichimoku Strategy with Optional RSI, MA Filters and Alerts", overlay=true)

// Input for date and time filter
startDate = input(timestamp("2020-01-01 00:00"), title="Start Date")
endDate = input(timestamp("2023-01-01 00:00"), title="End Date")

// Inputs for Ichimoku settings
tenkanPeriod = input.int(9, title="Tenkan Period")
kijunPeriod = input.int(26, title="Kijun Period")
senkouBPeriod = input.int(52, title="Senkou B Period")

// Inputs for Moving Average settings
useMAFilter = input.bool(true, title="Enable Moving Average Filter?")
ma50Period = input.int(50, title="50-day MA Period")
ma200Period = input.int(200, title="200-day MA Period")

// Inputs for RSI settings
useRSIFilter = input.bool(true, title="Enable RSI Filter?")
rsiPeriod = input.int(14, title="RSI Period")
rsiOverbought = input.int(70, title="RSI Overbought Level")
rsiOversold = input.int(30, title="RSI Oversold Level")

// Ichimoku Cloud components
tenkan = (ta.highest(high, tenkanPeriod) + ta.lowest(low, tenkanPeriod)) / 2
kijun = (ta.highest(high, kijunPeriod) + ta.lowest(low, kijunPeriod)) / 2
senkouA = ta.sma(tenkan + kijun, 2) / 2
senkouB = (ta.highest(high, senkouBPeriod) + ta.lowest(low, senkouBPeriod)) / 2
chikou = close[26]

// Moving Averages
ma50 = ta.sma(close, ma50Period)
ma200 = ta.sma(close, ma200Period)

// Weekly RSI
rsiSource = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "W", ta.rsi(close, rsiPeriod))

// Plotting the Ichimoku Cloud components
pTenkan = plot(tenkan, color=color.blue, title="Tenkan")
pKijun = plot(kijun, color=color.red, title="Kijun")
pSenkouA = plot(senkouA, color=color.green, title="Senkou A")
pSenkouB = plot(senkouB, color=color.maroon, title="Senkou B")
plot(chikou, color=color.purple, title="Chikou")
plot(ma50, color=color.orange, title="50-day MA")
plot(ma200, color=color.yellow, title="200-day MA")

// Corrected fill function
fill(pSenkouA, pSenkouB, color=senkouA > senkouB ? color.green : color.red, transp=90)

// Debugging: Output values on the chart to see if conditions are ever met
plotshape(series=(tenkan > kijun), color=color.blue, style=shape.triangleup, title="Tenkan > Kijun")
plotshape(series=(tenkan < kijun), color=color.red, style=shape.triangledown, title="Tenkan < Kijun")
plotshape(series=(ma50 > ma200), color=color.orange, style=shape.labelup, title="MA 50 > MA 200")
plotshape(series=(ma50 < ma200), color=color.yellow, style=shape.labeldown, title="MA 50 < MA 200")

// Define the trailing stop loss using Kumo
var float trailingStopLoss = na

// Check for MA conditions (apply only if enabled)
maConditionLong = not useMAFilter or (useMAFilter and ma50 > ma200)
maConditionShort = not useMAFilter or (useMAFilter and ma50 < ma200)

// Check for Ichimoku Cloud conditions
ichimokuLongCondition = close > math.max(senkouA, senkouB)
ichimokuShortCondition = close < math.min(senkouA, senkouB)

// Check for RSI conditions (apply only if enabled)
rsiConditionLong = not useRSIFilter or (useRSIFilter and rsiSource > rsiOverbought)
rsiConditionShort = not useRSIFilter or (useRSIFilter and rsiSource < rsiOversold)

// Combine conditions for entry
longCondition = maConditionLong and tenkan > kijun and ichimokuLongCondition and rsiConditionLong
shortCondition = maConditionShort and tenkan < kijun and ichimokuShortCondition and rsiConditionShort

// Date and time filter
withinDateRange = true

// Check for Long Condition
if (longCondition and withinDateRange) 
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
    trailingStopLoss := math.min(senkouA, senkouB)
    alert("Buy Signal: Entering Long Position", alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)

// Check for Short Condition
if (shortCondition and withinDateRange) 
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)
    trailingStopLoss := math.max(senkouA, senkouB)
    alert("Sell Signal: Entering Short Position", alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)

// Exit conditions
exitLongCondition = close < kijun or tenkan < kijun
exitShortCondition = close > kijun or tenkan > kijun

if (exitLongCondition and strategy.position_size > 0)
    strategy.close("Long")
    alert("Exit Signal: Closing Long Position", alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)

if (exitShortCondition and strategy.position_size < 0)
    strategy.close("Short")
    alert("Exit Signal: Closing Short Position", alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)

// Apply trailing stop loss
if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    strategy.exit("Trailing Stop Long", stop=trailingStopLoss)
else if (strategy.position_size < 0)
    strategy.exit("Trailing Stop Short", stop=trailingStopLoss)
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