
Se trata de una estrategia cuantitativa que combina el uso de medias móviles, medias de respuesta de pulso ilimitadas (IIR) y medias móviles lineales de adaptación (ALMA). La estrategia tiene una combinación de indicadores que pueden proporcionar una gran cantidad de señales de negociación para los operadores.
La estrategia incluye principalmente las siguientes partes:
La combinación utiliza el promedio móvil simple (SMA), el ALMA y el IIR para detectar señales de cruce entre ellos como el momento de entrada al comercio.
Utiliza el IIR de 3 períodos diferentes para determinar si el precio está en un estado de estiramiento calculando la distancia entre ellos. El estado de estiramiento representa una disminución de la volatilidad, que a menudo indica que el precio está a punto de producirse un cambio más significativo.
Para juzgar la inclinación del IIR, cuando la inclinación sube, es verde y cuando baja, es azul. Se puede intuir el movimiento del IIR.
Calcula si la distancia entre las SMA está expandiéndose, y si lo es, realiza una marca especial para representar la expansión de la horquilla, que generalmente significa que el precio entra en un estado de tendencia.
Las señales de compra y venta, combinadas con un indicador relativamente débil (el RSI), complementan las señales de negociación.
Utilizando en combinación las partes anteriores, la estrategia puede proporcionar una entrada más completa y rica en señales de entrada, de juicio y de salida.
La mayor ventaja de esta estrategia reside en que la cartera de indicadores es completa y rica, ya que tiene en cuenta tanto el juicio de tendencias como la volatilidad y el estado de sobrecompra y sobreventa, lo que proporciona una referencia multidimensional para la toma de decisiones comerciales.
Otra ventaja es que los parámetros e indicadores son fáciles de ajustar y optimizar, y el usuario puede elegir activar los indicadores y parámetros correspondientes según sus necesidades.
Desde el punto de vista de la gestión de riesgos, la estrategia se centra tanto en las medias rápidas como en las medias lentas, lo que reduce la probabilidad de señales erróneas generadas por las fluctuaciones de precios.
Los principales riesgos de esta estrategia son:
Demasiado complejo y propenso a conflictos de indicadores, la selección bajo ciertas combinaciones de parámetros puede conducir a una sobreadaptación.
El uso de sistemas multigrupo-lineales puede generar grandes pérdidas en el caso de cambios bruscos en el mercado (como eventos económicos importantes).
La profundidad de retroalimentación es insuficiente, y puede haber un cierto riesgo de sesgo de supervivencia en la batalla real.
En el proceso de aplicación, debemos prestar atención a la gestión de riesgos, ajustar adecuadamente el tamaño de las posiciones y realizar varias pruebas de retroceso en intervalos de tiempo más largos y en conjuntos de datos más grandes para garantizar la efectividad de la estrategia en el campo de batalla.
Teniendo en cuenta que la combinación de indicadores de la estrategia es compleja y tiene muchos parámetros, se puede optimizar a partir de los siguientes aspectos:
Simplificar la selección de indicadores y eliminar los indicadores poco relevantes o en conflicto.
Optimizar la selección de la línea media del IIR para elegir la longitud que mejor se ajuste a las características del mercado.
Optimización de la combinación de la línea media rápida y lenta para mejorar la estabilidad de la señal de cruce.
Aumentar el juicio asistido por modelos de aprendizaje automático y mejorar la adaptabilidad de las estrategias.
Optimizar la correlación con el índice global y mejorar la tasa de éxito en la determinación de tendencias.
A través de la combinación y optimización flexible de los indicadores, la estrategia puede reflejar el estado del mercado de manera más completa y brindar apoyo multidimensional a las decisiones comerciales. Sin embargo, también existe un cierto riesgo de sobreajuste de la realidad y los datos.
/*backtest
start: 2023-12-23 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-10 00:00:00
period: 1m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//The plotchar UP/DOWN Arrows is the crossover of the fastest MA and fastest IIR MAs
//
//The dots at the bottom are the two simple averages crossing over
//
//The count over/under the candles is the count of bars that the SMAs on their
//respective resolution are fanning out.
//
//The colored background indicates a squeeze, lime=kinda tight : green=very tight squeeze. based on the 3 IIRs
//
//To answer my own question in a forum, looking at the code, i couldn't figure out how to get it from another timeframe
//and run the same calculations with the same results. My answer in the end was to scale the chosen MA length
//in the corresponding CurrentPeriod/ChosenMAPeriod proportion. This results in the same line in the same place when browsing through the
//different time resolutions. Somebody might find this invaluable
//
//The counts are for MA's fanning out, or going parabolic. Theres IIRs, Almas, one done of the other. A lot.
//The arrows above and below bars are from standard RSI numbers for OB/OS
//
//The IIRs changes color depending on their slope, which can be referenced easily with a variable.
//
//The backgrond on a bar-by-bar basis is colored when 2 sets of moving averages are in a squeeze, aka
//when price is consolidating.
//
//This aims to help the trader combine conditions and entry criteria of the trade and explore these options visually.
//They detail things from all time-frames on the current one. I prefer it because of the fractal nature of price-action, both large and small,
//either yesterday or last year. For best results, go long in short-term trades when the long-term trend is also up.
//and other profitable insights. This is also a great example of an automation algorith.
//
//The pretty ribbon is my script called 'Trading With Colors'. Use them together for fanciest results. 55/233 is my Fib Cross (golden/death) Compare it to the classic 50/200 if
//you get bored. I believe it simply works better, at least for Crypto.
//
//Evidently, I am a day-trader. But this yields higher profits on larger time-frames anyways, so do play around with it. Find what works for you.
//Thanks and credit for code snippets goes to:
//matryskowal
//ChrisMoody, probably twice
//Alex Orekhov (everget)
//author=LucF and midtownsk8rguy, for PineCoders
//If you use code from this, real quick search for perhaps the original and give them a shoutout too. I may have missed something
//Author: Sean Duffy
//@version=4
strategy(title = "Combination Parabolic MA/IIR/ALMA Strategy",
shorttitle = "MA-QuickE",
overlay = true )
// calc_on_order_fills = true,
// calc_on_every_tick = true,
// Input Variables
showFIBMAs = input(false, type=input.bool, title="═══════════════ Show Fibby MAs ═══════════════")
maRes = input(960, type=input.integer, title="MA-Cross Resolution")
mal1 = input(8, type=input.integer, title="MA#1 Length")
mal2 = input(13, type=input.integer, title="MA#2 Length")
mal3 = input(34, type=input.integer, title="MA#3 Length")
loosePercentClose = input(1.1, type=input.float, title="SMA LooseSqueeze Percent")
showIIRs = input(false, type=input.bool, title="═══════════════════ Show IIRs ═══════════════════")
iirRes = input(60, type=input.integer, title="IIR Resolution")
percentClose = input(title="IIR Squeeze PercentClose", type=input.float, defval=.8)
iirlength1 = input(title="IIR Length 1", type=input.integer, defval=34)
iirlength2 = input(title="IIR Length 2", type=input.integer, defval=144)//input(title="ATR Period", type=input.integer, defval=1)
iirlength3 = input(title="IIR Length 3", type=input.integer, defval=720)//input(title="ATR Period", type=input.integer, defval=1)
showIIR1 = input(true, type=input.bool, title="Show IIR1")
showIIR2 = input(true, type=input.bool, title="Show IIR2")
showIIR3 = input(true, type=input.bool, title="Show IIR3")
showCounts = input(true, type=input.bool, title="═════════════ Show Parabolic MA Counts ════════════")
showSignals = input(true, type=input.bool, title="══════════════ Show Buy/Sell Signals ══════════════")
showBackground = input(true, type=input.bool, title="══════════════ Show Background Colors ══════════════")
//runStrategy = input(true, type=input.bool, title="══════════════ Run Strategy ══════════════")
debug = input(false, type=input.bool, title="══════════════ Show Debug ══════════════")
barLookbackPeriod = input(title="══ Bar Lookback Period ══", type=input.integer, defval=5)
percentageLookbackPeriod = input(title="══ Percentage Lookback Period ══", type=input.integer, defval=1)
bullcolor = color.green
bearcolor = color.red
color bgcolor = na
var bool slope1Green = na
var bool slope2Green = na
var bool slope3Green = na
var bool buySignal = na
var bool sellSignal = na
var bool bigbuySignal = na
var bool bigsellSignal = na
bool smbuySignal = false
bool smsellSignal = false
var bool insqueeze = na
var bool intightsqueeze = na
var bool infastsqueeze = na
var bool awaitingEntryIn = false
// My counting variables
var int count1 = 0
var float madist1 = 0
var int count2 = 0
var float madist2 = 0
var int sinceSmSignal = 0
var entryPrice = 0.0
var entryBarIndex = 0
var stopLossPrice = 0.0
// var updatedEntryPrice = 0.0
// var alertOpenPosition = false
// var alertClosePosition = false
// var label stopLossPriceLabel = na
// var line stopLossPriceLine = na
positionType = "LONG" // Strategy type, and the only current option
hasOpenPosition = strategy.opentrades != 0
hasNoOpenPosition = strategy.opentrades == 0
strategyClose() =>
if (hasOpenPosition)
if positionType == "LONG"
strategy.close("LONG", when=true)
else
strategy.close("SHORT", when=true)
strategyOpen() =>
if (hasNoOpenPosition)
if positionType == "LONG"
strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long, when=true)
else
strategy.entry("SHORT", strategy.short, when=true)
checkEntry() =>
buysignal = false
if (hasNoOpenPosition)
strategyOpen()
buysignal := true
// if (slope1Green and (trend1Green or trend2Green) and awaitingEntryIn and hasNoOpenPosition)
// strategyOpen()
// buysignal := true
buysignal
checkExit() =>
sellsignal = false
// if (trend1Green == false and trend2Green == false) // to later have quicker exit strategy
// sellsignal := true
// strategyClose()
if (hasOpenPosition)
sellsignal := true
strategyClose()
sellsignal
multiplier(_adjRes, _adjLength) => // returns adjusted length
multiplier = _adjRes/timeframe.multiplier
round(_adjLength*multiplier)
//reset the var variables before new calculations
buySignal := false
sellSignal := false
smbuySignal := false
smsellSignal := false
bigbuySignal := false
bigsellSignal := false
ma1 = sma(close, multiplier(maRes, mal1))
ma2 = sma(close, multiplier(maRes, mal2))
ma3 = sma(close, multiplier(maRes, mal3))
madist1 := abs(ma1 - ma2)
madist2 := abs(ma1 - ma3) // check if MA's are fanning/going parabolic
if (ma1 >= ma2 and ma2 >= ma3 and madist1[0] > madist1[1]) //and abs(dataB - dataC >= madist2) // dataA must be higher than b, and distance between gaining, same with C
count1 := count1 + 1
else
count1 := 0
if (ma1 <= ma2 and ma2 <= ma3 and madist1[0] > madist1[1]) //<= madist2 and dataB <= dataC) //and abs(dataB - dataC >= madist2) // dataA must be higher than b, and distance between gaining, same with C
count2 := count2 + 1
else
count2 := 0
crossoverAB = crossover(ma1, ma2)
crossunderAB = crossunder(ma1, ma2)
plot(showFIBMAs ? ma1 : na, linewidth=3)
plot(showFIBMAs ? ma2 : na)
plot(showFIBMAs ? ma3 : na)
// Fast Squeese Check WORK IN PROGRESS
//
float singlePercent = close / 100
if max(madist1, madist2) <= singlePercent*loosePercentClose
bgcolor := color.yellow
infastsqueeze := true
else
infastsqueeze := false
// IIR MOVING AVERAGE
f(a) => a[0] // fixes mutable error
iirma(iirlength, iirsrc) =>
cf = 2*tan(2*3.14159*(1/iirlength)/2)
a0 = 8 + 8*cf + 4*pow(cf,2) + pow(cf,3)
a1 = -24 - 8*cf + 4*pow(cf,2) + 3*pow(cf,3)
a2 = 24 - 8*cf - 4*pow(cf,2) + 3*pow(cf,3)
a3 = -8 + 8*cf - 4*pow(cf,2) + pow(cf,3)
//----
c = pow(cf,3)/a0
d0 = -a1/a0
d1 = -a2/a0
d2 = -a3/a0
//----
out = 0.
out := nz(c*(iirsrc + iirsrc[3]) + 3*c*(iirsrc[1] + iirsrc[2]) + d0*out[1] + d1*out[2] + d2*out[3],iirsrc)
f(out)
iirma1 = iirma(multiplier(iirRes, iirlength1), close)
iirma2 = iirma(multiplier(iirRes, iirlength2), close)
iirma3 = iirma(multiplier(iirRes, iirlength3), close)
// adjusts length for current resolution now, length is lengthened/shortened accordingly, upholding exact placement of lines
// iirmaD1 = security(syminfo.tickerid, tostring(iirRes), iirma1, barmerge.gaps_on, barmerge.lookahead_on)
// iirmaD2 = security(syminfo.tickerid, tostring(iirRes), iirma2, barmerge.gaps_on, barmerge.lookahead_on)
// iirmaD3 = security(syminfo.tickerid, tostring(iirRes), iirma3, barmerge.gaps_on, barmerge.lookahead_on)
slope1color = slope1Green ? color.lime : color.blue
slope2color = slope2Green ? color.lime : color.blue
slope3color = slope3Green ? color.lime : color.blue
plot(showIIR1 and showIIRs ? iirma1 : na, title="IIR1", color=slope1color, linewidth=2, transp=30)
plot(showIIR2 and showIIRs ? iirma2 : na, title="IIR2", color=slope2color, linewidth=3, transp=30)
plot(showIIR3 and showIIRs ? iirma3 : na, title="IIR3", color=slope3color, linewidth=4, transp=30)
// checks slope of IIRs to create a boolean variable and and color it differently
if (iirma1[0] >= iirma1[1])
slope1Green := true
else
slope1Green := false
if (iirma2[0] >= iirma2[1])
slope2Green := true
else
slope2Green := false
if (iirma3[0] >= iirma3[1])
slope3Green := true
else
slope3Green := false
// calculate space between IIRs and then if the price jumps above both
//float singlePercent = close / 100 // = a single percent
var float distIIR1 = na
var float distIIR2 = na
distIIR1 := abs(iirma1 - iirma2)
distIIR2 := abs(iirma1 - iirma3)
if (distIIR1[0] < percentClose*singlePercent and close[0] >= iirma1[0])
if close[0] >= iirma2[0] and close[0] >= iirma3[0]
bgcolor := color.green
insqueeze := true
intightsqueeze := true
else
bgcolor := color.lime
insqueeze := true
intightsqueeze := false
else
insqueeze := false
intightsqueeze := false
// if (true)//sinceSmSignal > 0) // cutting down on fastest MAs noise
// sinceSmSignal := sinceSmSignal + 1
// if (crossoverAB)
// //checkEntry()
// //smbuySignal := true
// sinceSmSignal := 0
// if (crossunderAB) // and all NOT greennot (slope1Green and slope2Green and slope3Green)
// //checkExit()
// //smsellSignal := true
// sinceSmSignal := 0
// else
// sinceSmSignal := sinceSmSignal + 1
f_draw_infopanel(_x, _y, _line, _text, _color)=>
_rep_text = ""
for _l = 0 to _line
_rep_text := _rep_text + "\n"
_rep_text := _rep_text + _text
var label _la = na
label.delete(_la)
_la := label.new(
x=_x, y=_y,
text=_rep_text, xloc=xloc.bar_time, yloc=yloc.price,
color=color.black, style=label.style_labelup, textcolor=_color, size=size.normal)
posx = timenow + round(change(time)*60)
posy = highest(50)
// CONSTRUCTION ZONE
// TODO: program way to eliminate noise and false signals
// MAYBEDO: program it to differentiate between a moving average bump and a cross
// I think the best way would be to calculate the tangent line... OR
// Take the slope of both going back a couple bars and if it's close enough, its a bounce off
// and an excellent entry signal
// program in quickest exit, 2 bars next to eachother both closing under, as to avoid a single wick from
// prompting to close the trade
// Some other time, have it move SMA up or down depending on whether trending up or down. Then use those MA crosses
//THIS CHECKS THE SLOPE FROM CURRENT PRICE TO BACK 10 BARS
checkSlope(_series) => (_series[0]/_series[10])*100 // it now returns it as a percentage
doNewX = input(true, type=input.bool, title="══════════ Show misc MA Cross Strategy ══════════")
iirX = input(555, title="IIRx Length: ", type=input.integer)
iirXperiod = input(30, title="IIRx Period/TF: ", type=input.integer)
iirX2 = input(13, title="IIRx2 Length: ", type=input.integer)
iirX2period = input(5, title="IIRx2 Period/TF: ", type=input.integer) //15
almaXperiod = input(defval=15, title="Alma of IIR1 Period: ", type=input.integer)
almaXalpha = input(title="Alma Alpha Value: ", defval=.7, maxval=.95, type=input.float) // dont forget to try .99
almaXsigma = input(title="Alma Sigma Value: ", defval=500, type=input.float)
iirmaOTF = iirma(multiplier(iirXperiod, iirX), close)
iirma2OTF = iirma(multiplier(iirX2period, iirX2), close)
smaOTF = alma(iirmaOTF, almaXperiod, almaXalpha, almaXsigma) // maybe dont touch, its precise // I took the ALMA of the IIRMA, and i hope thats not cheating ;)
// I could have removed this. the multiplier function adjusts the length to fit the current timeframe while displaying the same
// smaXOTF = security(syminfo.tickerid, smaXperiod, smaOTF, barmerge.gaps_on, barmerge.lookahead_on)
// iirmaXOTF = security(syminfo.tickerid, iirXperiod, iirmaOTF, barmerge.gaps_on, barmerge.lookahead_on)
// iirmaX2OTF = security(syminfo.tickerid, iirX2period, iirma2OTF, barmerge.gaps_on, barmerge.lookahead_on)
plot(doNewX ? smaOTF : na, title="FastMA X-Over : ", color=color.blue, linewidth=1, transp=40)
plot(doNewX ? iirmaOTF : na, title="IIR MAx : ", color=color.purple, linewidth=1, transp=30)
plot(doNewX ? iirma2OTF : na, title="IIR MAx : ", color=color.purple, linewidth=2, transp=20)
iirma2Up = checkSlope(iirma2OTF) > 0 // just another slope up/down variable.
//calculate spaces between averages
distiiralma = abs(iirmaOTF - smaOTF)
crossoverFast = crossover(iirmaOTF, smaOTF) // and (iirmaOTF[1] <= smaOTF[1])
crossunderFast = crossunder(iirmaOTF, smaOTF) // and (iirmaOTF[1] >= smaOTF[1])
if (crossoverFast and iirma2Up == true and infastsqueeze == false and intightsqueeze == false) // and (count1 != 0))// or close[0] < (lowest(barLookbackPeriod) + singlePercent*3))) // must be at most a few percent up from a recent low. Avoid buying highs :P
buySignal := true
strategyOpen()
// if (slope1Green and slope2Green and slope3Green and infastsqueeze == false)
// checkEntry()
if (crossunderFast)
sellSignal := true
checkExit()
// I feel like I didn't cite the OG author for this panel correctly. I hope I did, but there are extentions of his/her work in multiple places.
// I could have gotten it confused.
if (debug)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 18, "distiiralma from IIR: " + tostring(distiiralma), color.lime)
//f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 16, "distiirs: " + tostring(distiirX1), color.lime)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 14, "Value of iirmaOTF: " + tostring(iirmaOTF), color.lime)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 6, "slope X: " + tostring(abs(100 - checkSlope(iirmaOTF))), color.lime)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 12, "value of smaOTF: " + tostring(smaOTF), color.lime)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 6, "slopeAlma: " + tostring(abs(100 - checkSlope(smaOTF))), color.lime)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 2, "slopeIIR2 " + tostring(abs(100 - checkSlope(iirma2OTF))), color.lime)
f_draw_infopanel(posx, posy, 2, "slopeIIR2 " + tostring(abs(100 - checkSlope(iirma2OTF))), color.lime)
// I kept this separate because it discludes the calculations. Its hard to hold a train of thought while fishing for the right section
bgcolor(showBackground ? bgcolor : na)
plotshape(showSignals ? buySignal : na, location=location.bottom, style=shape.circle, text="", size=size.tiny, color=color.blue, transp=60)
plotshape(showSignals ? sellSignal : na, location=location.bottom, style=shape.circle, text="", size=size.tiny, color=color.red, transp=60)
plotchar(showSignals and smbuySignal, title="smBuy", location=location.belowbar, char='↑', size=size.tiny, color=color.green, transp=0)
plotchar(showSignals and smsellSignal, title="smSell", location=location.abovebar, char='↓', size=size.tiny, color=color.orange, transp=0)
// can not display a variable. Can only match the count to a corresponding plotchar
// to display a non-constant variable, use the debug box, which was so kindly offered up by our community.
plotchar(showCounts and count1==1, title='', char='1', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==2, title='', char='2', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==3, title='', char='3', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==4, title='', char='4', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==5, title='', char='5', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==6, title='', char='6', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==7, title='', char='7', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==8, title='', char='8', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1==9, title='', char='9', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count1>=10, title='', char='$', location=location.belowbar, color=#2c9e2c, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==1, title='', char='1', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==2, title='', char='2', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==3, title='', char='3', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==4, title='', char='4', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==5, title='', char='5', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==6, title='', char='6', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==7, title='', char='7', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==8, title='', char='8', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2==9, title='', char='9', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
plotchar(showCounts and count2>=10, title='', char='$', location=location.abovebar, color=#e91e63, transp=0)
showRSIind = input(true, type=input.bool, title="═══════════════════ Show RSI Arrows ═══════════════════")
// Get user input
rsiSource = input(title="RSI Source", type=input.source, defval=close)
rsiLength = input(title="RSI Length", type=input.integer, defval=14)
rsiOverbought = input(title="RSI Overbought Level", type=input.integer, defval=80)
rsiOversold = input(title="RSI Oversold Level", type=input.integer, defval=20)
// Get RSI value
rsiValue = rsi(rsiSource, rsiLength)
isRsiOB = rsiValue >= rsiOverbought
isRsiOS = rsiValue <= rsiOversold
// Plot signals to chart
plotshape(isRsiOB, title="Overbought", location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, transp=0, style=shape.triangledown)
plotshape(isRsiOS, title="Oversold", location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, transp=0, style=shape.triangleup)
//reset the var variables before new calculations
buySignal := false
sellSignal := false
smbuySignal := false
smsellSignal := false
bigbuySignal := false
bigsellSignal := false