La estrategia de ruptura de impulso del bloque de órdenes

El autor:¿ Qué pasa?, fecha: 2024-02-26 11:54:02
Las etiquetas:

Resumen general

Esta estrategia identifica los bloques de orden en la acción del precio para localizar explosiones de impulso y entra en el mercado cuando surgen señales de compra / venta. Los bloques de orden representan la participación institucional y las fuerzas significativas del mercado. Por lo tanto, las señales de bloque de orden tienen una mayor probabilidad de conducir a la acción del precio de tendencia.

Estrategia lógica

Identificación de los bloques de orden

Hay dos tipos de bloques de orden: alcista y bajista. Un bloque de orden alcista se define como la última vela roja seguida de velas verdes consecutivas. Un bloque de orden bajista es la última vela verde seguida de velas rojas consecutivas.

Para identificar un bloque de órdenes, deberán cumplirse simultáneamente los siguientes criterios:

Cambio de color de la vela - El color de la vela cambia de la vela anterior a la actual (por ejemplo, de rojo a verde, o verde a rojo). Esto sugiere que las instituciones pueden estar terminando la tendencia anterior e iniciando una nueva tendencia potencial.
Dirección constante después - Las velas posteriores mantienen la misma dirección de color durante el número de períodos especificados en los parámetros (por ejemplo, todas las velas verdes después de un bloque alcista potencial).
La ruptura excede el umbral - El cambio porcentual del precio desde la apertura de la vela del bloque de órdenes hasta el cierre de la vela de confirmación final excede el parámetro de umbral (por defecto 0). Esto garantiza un impulso lo suficientemente fuerte.

Cuando los tres criterios son verdaderos, se identifica una señal de bloque de orden.

Generación de señales comerciales

Una señal de compra se genera cuando se detecta un bloque de órdenes alcista.

Teniendo en cuenta la incertidumbre de las señales de flujo de pedidos, la estrategia no entra inmediatamente en el mercado. Alerta al comerciante y permite que las órdenes de límite de precio se coloquen cerca de los niveles del bloque de pedidos. Esto proporciona entradas controladas y gestión de riesgos.

Ventajas

Captura el impulso oculto

Los bloques de órdenes representan el flujo de dinero institucional y un volumen sustancial. Indican cambios en las fuerzas del mercado y proporcionan pistas tempranas sobre la dirección potencial de la ruptura. Esto facilita el seguimiento de la tendencia con un buen momento.

Parámetros personalizables

Los parámetros que controlan el número de velas, el porcentaje de ruptura, etc. se pueden ajustar para optimizar las condiciones cambiantes del mercado y el estilo de negociación.

Riesgo controlado

Al no ingresar automáticamente las señales y usar órdenes de límite en su lugar, los operadores pueden definir los niveles de entrada y controlar el riesgo.

Los riesgos

Probabilidad alta de volver a realizar pruebas

Como los bloques de órdenes indican zonas, es común que los precios revisen el nivel. Las señales no deben considerarse entradas directas. Se necesita un juicio de tiempo adicional.

El desajuste de parámetros causa malas señales.

Si los parámetros no se establecen correctamente, pueden surgir señales falsas en los mercados de rango. Los operadores deben ejercer discreción en la aplicación de señales. Se debe evitar la optimización ciega.

Es necesario revisar manualmente

Las incongruencias en la discreción humana sobre la calidad de la señal pueden conducir a una divergencia de rendimiento.

Oportunidades de mejora

Filtración de señales con otros indicadores

Incorporar indicadores adicionales como MACD y RSI cuando las señales parecen medir las condiciones del mercado.

Optimización de parámetros

Los parámetros se pueden probar y ajustar para adaptarse a diferentes mercados e instrumentos para una mejor adaptación.

Entrada/salida automática

Actualmente, la estrategia solo sirve como alertas de señal. Se pueden agregar lógicas para automatizar las entradas de orden de límite en las señales e implementar paradas para salidas. Esto aumenta la automatización y reduce la dependencia del juicio humano.

Conclusión

Al detectar la convergencia del flujo de pedidos, esta estrategia revela movimientos de impulso ocultos que se elaboran bajo la superficie. En comparación con el simple seguimiento de tendencias, tiene habilidades predictivas para localizar puntos de inflexión. Cuando se combina con técnicas de optimización y control de riesgos, puede convertirse en un sistema de negociación de tendencias efectivo. Sin embargo, los operadores deben tener cuidado con las malas señales y evaluar la calidad de cada señal.

/*backtest
start: 2024-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © TradingSecrets and wugamlo


// This experimental Indicator helps identifying instituational Order Blocks. 
// Often these blocks signal the beginning of a strong move, but there is a significant probability that these price levels will be revisited at a later point in time again. 
// Therefore these are interesting levels to place limit orders (Buy Orders for Bullish OB / Sell Orders for Bearish OB). 
//
// A Bullish Order block is defined as the last down candle before a sequence of up candles. (Relevant price range "Open" to "Low" is marked)  / Optionally full range "High" to "Low"
// A Bearish Order Block is defined as the last up candle before a sequence of down candles. (Relevant price range "Open" to "High" is marked) / Optionally full range "High" to "Low"
//
// In the settings the number of required sequential candles can be adjusted. 
// Furthermore a %-threshold can be entered. It defines which %-change the sequential move needs to achieve in order to identify a relevant Order Block. 
// Channels for the last Bullish/Bearish Block can be shown/hidden.
//
// In addition to the upper/lower limits of each Order Block, also the equlibrium (average value) is marked as this is an interesting area for price interaction.
//
// Alerts added: Alerts fire when an Order Block is detected. The delay is based on the "Relevant Periods" input. Means with the default setting "5" the alert will trigger after the 
// number of consecutive candles is reached.



//@version=4
strategy("[Backtest] Order Block Finder", overlay = true)               

colors    = input(title = "Color Scheme", defval="DARK", options=["DARK", "BRIGHT"])
periods   = input(5,     "Relevant Periods to identify OB")                // Required number of subsequent candles in the same direction to identify Order Block
threshold = input(0.0,   "Min. Percent move to identify OB", step = 0.1)   // Required minimum % move (from potential OB close to last subsequent candle to identify Order Block)
usewicks  = input(false, "Use whole range [High/Low] for OB marking?" )    // Display High/Low range for each OB instead of Open/Low for Bullish / Open/High for Bearish
showbull  = input(false,  "Show latest Bullish Channel?")                   // Show Channel for latest Bullish OB?
showbear  = input(false,  "Show latest Bearish Channel?")                   // Show Channel for latest Bearish OB?
showdocu  = input(false, "Show Label for documentation tooltip?")          // Show Label which shows documentation as tooltip?
info_pan  = input(false, "Show Latest OB Panel?")                          // Show Info Panel with latest OB Stats
//strategy inputs
plot_offset = input( type=input.bool,defval = false, title = 'Plot Offset?')
stoploss_percent = input(type=input.float, defval = 1, title = 'Stop Loss [%]')
takeprofit_percent = input(type=input.float, defval = 2, title = 'Take Profit [%]')
pyramiding = input( type=input.bool,defval = true, title = 'Pyramiding')

ob_period = periods + 1                                                    // Identify location of relevant Order Block candle
absmove   = ((abs(close[ob_period] - close[1]))/close[ob_period]) * 100    // Calculate absolute percent move from potential OB to last candle of subsequent candles
relmove   = absmove >= threshold                                           // Identify "Relevant move" by comparing the absolute move to the threshold

// Color Scheme
bullcolor = colors == "DARK"? color.white : color.green
bearcolor = colors == "DARK"? color.blue : color.red

// Bullish Order Block Identification
bullishOB = close[ob_period] < open[ob_period]                             // Determine potential Bullish OB candle (red candle)

int upcandles  = 0
for i = 1 to periods
    upcandles := upcandles + (close[i] > open[i]? 1 : 0)                   // Determine color of subsequent candles (must all be green to identify a valid Bearish OB)

OB_bull      = bullishOB and (upcandles == (periods)) and relmove          // Identification logic (red OB candle & subsequent green candles)
OB_bull_high = OB_bull? usewicks? high[ob_period] : open[ob_period] : na   // Determine OB upper limit (Open or High depending on input)
OB_bull_low  = OB_bull? low[ob_period]  : na                               // Determine OB lower limit (Low)
OB_bull_avg  = (OB_bull_high + OB_bull_low)/2                              // Determine OB middle line


// Bearish Order Block Identification
bearishOB = close[ob_period] > open[ob_period]                             // Determine potential Bearish OB candle (green candle)

int downcandles  = 0
for i = 1 to periods
    downcandles := downcandles + (close[i] < open[i]? 1 : 0)               // Determine color of subsequent candles (must all be red to identify a valid Bearish OB)

OB_bear      = bearishOB and (downcandles == (periods)) and relmove        // Identification logic (green OB candle & subsequent green candles)
OB_bear_high = OB_bear? high[ob_period] : na                               // Determine OB upper limit (High)
OB_bear_low  = OB_bear? usewicks? low[ob_period] : open[ob_period] : na    // Determine OB lower limit (Open or Low depending on input)
OB_bear_avg  = (OB_bear_low + OB_bear_high)/2                              // Determine OB middle line

//@TradingSecrets: Option to disable the offset in order to allign signals with Backtest
if not plot_offset
    ob_period := 0
// Plotting
plotshape(OB_bull, title="Bullish OB", style = shape.triangleup,   color = bullcolor, textcolor = bullcolor, size = size.tiny, location = location.belowbar, offset = -ob_period, text = "Bullish OB")     // Bullish OB Indicator
bull1 = plot(OB_bull_high, title="Bullish OB High", style = plot.style_linebr, color = bullcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                               // Bullish OB Upper Limit
bull2 = plot(OB_bull_low,  title="Bullish OB Low",  style = plot.style_linebr, color = bullcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                               // Bullish OB Lower Limit
fill(bull1, bull2, color=bullcolor, transp = 0, title = "Bullish OB fill")                                                                                                          // Fill Bullish OB
plotshape(OB_bull_avg, title="Bullish OB Average", style = shape.cross,   color = bullcolor, size = size.normal, location = location.absolute, offset = -ob_period)                 // Bullish OB Average


plotshape(OB_bear, title="Bearish OB", style = shape.triangledown, color = bearcolor, textcolor = bearcolor,  size = size.tiny, location = location.abovebar, offset = -ob_period, text = "Bearish OB")     // Bearish OB Indicator
bear1 = plot(OB_bear_low,  title="Bearish OB Low",  style = plot.style_linebr, color = bearcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                                // Bearish OB Lower Limit
bear2 = plot(OB_bear_high, title="Bearish OB High", style = plot.style_linebr, color = bearcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                                // Bearish OB Upper Limit
fill(bear1, bear2, color=bearcolor, transp = 0, title = "Bearish OB fill")                                                                                                           // Fill Bearish OB
plotshape(OB_bear_avg, title="Bearish OB Average", style = shape.cross,   color = bearcolor, size = size.normal, location = location.absolute, offset = -ob_period)                  // Bullish OB Average

var line linebull1 = na       // Bullish OB average 
var line linebull2 = na       // Bullish OB open
var line linebull3 = na       // Bullish OB low
var line linebear1 = na       // Bearish OB average
var line linebear2 = na       // Bearish OB high
var line linebear3 = na       // Bearish OB open


if OB_bull and showbull
    line.delete(linebull1)
    linebull1 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bull_avg, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bull_avg, extend = extend.left, color = bullcolor, style = line.style_solid, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebull2)
    linebull2 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bull_high, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bull_high, extend = extend.left, color = bullcolor, style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebull3)
    linebull3 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bull_low, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bull_low, extend = extend.left, color = bullcolor, style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)

if OB_bear and showbear
    line.delete(linebear1)
    linebear1 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bear_avg, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bear_avg, extend = extend.left, color = bearcolor,  style = line.style_solid, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebear2)
    linebear2 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bear_high, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bear_high, extend = extend.left, color = bearcolor,  style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebear3)
    linebear3 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bear_low, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bear_low, extend = extend.left, color = bearcolor,  style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)


// Alerts for Order Blocks Detection

alertcondition(OB_bull, title='New Bullish OB detected', message='New Bullish OB detected - This is NOT a BUY signal!')
alertcondition(OB_bear, title='New Bearish OB detected', message='New Bearish OB detected - This is NOT a SELL signal!')

// Print latest Order Blocks in Data Window

var latest_bull_high = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bull OB high
var latest_bull_avg  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bull OB average
var latest_bull_low  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bull OB low
var latest_bear_high = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bear OB high
var latest_bear_avg  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bear OB average
var latest_bear_low  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bear OB low

// Assign latest values to variables
if OB_bull_high > 0
    latest_bull_high := OB_bull_high

if OB_bull_avg > 0
    latest_bull_avg := OB_bull_avg

if OB_bull_low > 0
    latest_bull_low := OB_bull_low

if OB_bear_high > 0
    latest_bear_high := OB_bear_high
    
if OB_bear_avg > 0
    latest_bear_avg := OB_bear_avg
    
if OB_bear_low > 0
    latest_bear_low := OB_bear_low

// Plot invisible characters to be able to show the values in the Data Window
plotchar(latest_bull_high, char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bull High")
plotchar(latest_bull_avg,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bull Avg")
plotchar(latest_bull_low,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bull Low")
plotchar(latest_bear_high, char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bear High")
plotchar(latest_bear_avg,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bear Avg")
plotchar(latest_bear_low,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bear Low")


//InfoPanel for latest Order Blocks

draw_InfoPanel(_text, _x, _y, font_size)=>
    var label la_panel = na
    label.delete(la_panel)
    la_panel := label.new(
         x=_x, y=_y, 
         text=_text, xloc=xloc.bar_time, yloc=yloc.price, 
         color=color.new(#383838, 5), style=label.style_label_left, textcolor=color.white, size=font_size)

info_panel_x = time_close + round(change(time) * 100)
info_panel_y = close

title = "LATEST ORDER BLOCKS"
row0 = "-----------------------------------------------------"
row1 = ' Bullish - High: ' + tostring(latest_bull_high, '#.##')
row2 = ' Bullish - Avg: ' + tostring(latest_bull_avg, '#.##')
row3 = ' Bullish - Low: ' + tostring(latest_bull_low, '#.##')
row4 = "-----------------------------------------------------"
row5 = ' Bearish - High: ' + tostring(latest_bear_high, '#.##')
row6 = ' Bearish - Avg: ' + tostring(latest_bear_avg, '#.##')
row7 = ' Bearish - Low: ' + tostring(latest_bear_low, '#.##')

panel_text = '\n' + title + '\n' + row0 + '\n' + row1 + '\n' + row2 + '\n' + row3 + '\n' + row4 + '\n\n' + row5 + '\n' + row6 + '\n' + row7 + '\n'

if info_pan
    draw_InfoPanel(panel_text, info_panel_x, info_panel_y, size.normal)


// === Label for Documentation/Tooltip ===
chper = time - time[1]
chper := change(chper) > 0 ? chper[1] : chper

// === Tooltip text ===

var vartooltip = "Indicator to help identifying instituational Order Blocks. Often these blocks signal the beginning of a strong move, but there is a high probability, that these prices will be revisited at a later point in time again and therefore are interesting levels to place limit orders. \nBullish Order block is the last down candle before a sequence of up candles. \nBearish Order Block is the last up candle before a sequence of down candles. \nIn the settings the number of required sequential candles can be adjusted. \nFurthermore a %-threshold can be entered which the sequential move needs to achieve in order to validate a relevant Order Block. \nChannels for the last Bullish/Bearish Block can be shown/hidden."

// === Print Label ===
var label l_docu = na
label.delete(l_docu)

if showdocu
    l_docu := label.new(x = time + chper * 35, y = close, text = "DOCU OB", color=color.gray, textcolor=color.white, style=label.style_label_center, xloc = xloc.bar_time, yloc=yloc.price, size=size.tiny, textalign = text.align_left, tooltip = vartooltip)

// @TradingSecrets: Generate entry and exit orders based on the signals
entryLongSignal = OB_bull
entryShortSignal = OB_bear

if not pyramiding
    entryLongSignal := entryLongSignal and not strategy.position_size
    entryShortSignal := entryShortSignal and not strategy.position_size
if entryLongSignal
    strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long)
    //strategy.exit("Long Exit Loss", "Long Entry", stop = close * (1 - stoploss_percent*0.01))

if entryShortSignal
    strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short)
    //strategy.exit("Short Exit Loss", "Short Entry", stop = close * (1 + stoploss_percent*0.01))
strategy.initial_capital = 50000        
//Close Position by market order
if strategy.position_size > 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) >= takeprofit_percent*0.01
    //If I m in a long position and my take profit got hit close it by market order
    strategy.close("Long Entry", comment = "Long Exit Profit")
if strategy.position_size < 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) >= takeprofit_percent*0.01
    strategy.close("Short Entry", comment = "Short Exit Profit")

if strategy.position_size > 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) <= -stoploss_percent*0.01
    //If I m in a long position and my take profit got hit close it by market order
    strategy.close("Long Entry", comment = "Long Exit Loss")
if strategy.position_size < 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) <= -stoploss_percent*0.01
    strategy.close("Short Entry", comment = "Short Exit Loss")

Más.