Strategi manajemen uang dinamis multi-faktor
ChaoZhang
Ringkasan
Strategi ini menggunakan berbagai indikator teknis seperti MACD, RSI, dan PSAR, serta prinsip-prinsip pengelolaan dana yang dinamis, untuk melacak tren dan membalikkan perdagangan dalam kerangka waktu yang berbeda. Strategi ini dapat digunakan untuk perdagangan garis pendek, garis tengah, dan garis panjang.
Prinsip
Strategi menggunakan indikator PSAR untuk menentukan arah tren. EMA garis lambat dan BB garis tengah yang bersilang sebagai titik konfirmasi pertama. MACD arah pilar grafik sebagai titik konfirmasi kedua. RSI melewati zona jual beli sebagai titik konfirmasi ketiga.
Setelah masuk, atur stop loss. Atur stop loss dengan beberapa kali lipat dari nilai ATR. Atur stop loss dengan setara. Atur stop loss dengan persentase floating loss. Atur stop loss ketika kerugian mencapai persentase tertentu dari total ekuitas akun.
Ada juga setelan persentase. Jika keuntungan mencapai persentase tertentu dari total ekuitas akun, maka Anda berhenti bermain.
Pengelolaan Dana Dinamis Menghitung ukuran posisi berdasarkan total ekuitas, ATR, dan stop loss multiplier yang disetel.
Keunggulan
Multi-factor verifikasi, menghindari penembusan palsu, meningkatkan akurasi masuk.
Manajemen Dana Dinamis Mengontrol Risiko Individual dan Melindungi Akun Secara Efektif.
Stop loss stop stop adalah setelan ATR yang dapat disesuaikan dengan volatilitas pasar.
Setelan persentase fluktuasi untuk mengunci keuntungan dan menghindari pengembalian.
Risiko
Portfolio multifaktor mungkin melewatkan beberapa peluang perdagangan.
Persentase yang terlalu tinggi dapat menyebabkan kerugian meningkat.
Setting nilai ATR yang tidak tepat dapat menyebabkan stop loss terlalu longgar atau terlalu radikal.
Pengaturan manajemen dana yang tidak tepat dapat menyebabkan posisi tunggal terlalu besar.
Arah optimasi
Menyesuaikan berat faktor masuk, mengoptimalkan akurasi sinyal.
Uji berbagai pengaturan parameter persentase untuk menemukan kombinasi optimal.
Pilihlah ATR yang wajar sesuai dengan karakteristik varietas yang berbeda.
Parameter pengelolaan dana secara dinamis disesuaikan dengan hasil pengukuran.
Optimalkan pengaturan periode waktu, uji waktu transaksi.
Meringkaskan
Strategi ini mengintegrasikan beberapa indikator teknis untuk menilai tren, menambahkan risiko pengendalian pengelolaan dana yang dinamis, dan mencapai keuntungan yang stabil dalam kerangka waktu yang lebih banyak. Berdasarkan hasil pengukuran, faktor-faktor berat, parameter pengendalian risiko, dan pengaturan pengelolaan dana dapat terus dioptimalkan untuk mendapatkan hasil yang lebih baik.
/*backtest
start: 2023-09-16 00:00:00
end: 2023-10-16 00:00:00
period: 10m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © SoftKill21
//@version=4
strategy("EURUSD 1min strat RISK %% ", overlay=false, initial_capital = 1000)
// BACKTESTING RANGE
// From Date Inputs
fromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31)
fromMonth = input(defval = 6, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12)
fromYear = input(defval = 2020, title = "From Year", minval = 1970)
// To Date Inputs
toDay = input(defval = 1, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31)
toMonth = input(defval = 12, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12)
toYear = input(defval = 2020, title = "To Year", minval = 1970)
// Calculate start/end date and time condition
DST = 1 //day light saving for usa
//--- Europe
London = iff(DST==0,"0000-0900","0100-1000")
//--- America
NewYork = iff(DST==0,"0400-1500","0500-1600")
//--- Pacific
Sydney = iff(DST==0,"1300-2200","1400-2300")
//--- Asia
Tokyo = iff(DST==0,"1500-2400","1600-0100")
//-- Time In Range
timeinrange(res, sess) => time(res, sess) != 0
london = timeinrange(timeframe.period, London)
newyork = timeinrange(timeframe.period, NewYork)
startDate = timestamp(fromYear, fromMonth, fromDay, 00, 00)
finishDate = timestamp(toYear, toMonth, toDay, 00, 00)
time_cond = true
//
//
// rsi
length = input( 5 )
overSold = input( 23 )
overBought = input( 72 )
price = close
vrsi = rsi(price, length)
co = crossover(vrsi, overSold)
cu = crossunder(vrsi, overBought)
// macd
fast_length_macd = input(title="Fast Length", type=input.integer, defval=12)
slow_length_macd = input(title="Slow Length", type=input.integer, defval=26)
src_macd = input(title="Source", type=input.source, defval=close)
signal_length = input(title="Signal Smoothing", type=input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 50, defval = 9)
sma_source = input(title="Simple MA(Oscillator)", type=input.bool, defval=true)
sma_signal = input(title="Simple MA(Signal Line)", type=input.bool, defval=true)
// Plot colors
col_grow_above = #26A69A
col_grow_below = #FFCDD2
col_fall_above = #B2DFDB
col_fall_below = #EF5350
col_macd = #0094ff
col_signal = #ff6a00
// Calculating
fast_ma = sma_source ? sma(src_macd, fast_length_macd) : ema(src_macd, fast_length_macd)
slow_ma = sma_source ? sma(src_macd, slow_length_macd) : ema(src_macd, slow_length_macd)
macd = fast_ma - slow_ma
signal = sma_signal ? sma(macd, signal_length) : ema(macd, signal_length)
hist = macd - signal
//plot(hist, title="Histogram", style=plot.style_columns, color=(hist>=0 ? (hist[1] < hist ? col_grow_above : col_fall_above) : (hist[1] < hist ? col_grow_below : col_fall_below) ), transp=0 )
// sar
start = input(0.02)
increment = input(0.02)
maximum = input(0.2)
var bool uptrend = na
var float EP = na
var float SAR = na
var float AF = start
var float nextBarSAR = na
if bar_index > 0
firstTrendBar = false
SAR := nextBarSAR
if bar_index == 1
float prevSAR = na
float prevEP = na
lowPrev = low[1]
highPrev = high[1]
closeCur = close
closePrev = close[1]
if closeCur > closePrev
uptrend := true
EP := high
prevSAR := lowPrev
prevEP := high
else
uptrend := false
EP := low
prevSAR := highPrev
prevEP := low
firstTrendBar := true
SAR := prevSAR + start * (prevEP - prevSAR)
if uptrend
if SAR > low
firstTrendBar := true
uptrend := false
SAR := max(EP, high)
EP := low
AF := start
else
if SAR < high
firstTrendBar := true
uptrend := true
SAR := min(EP, low)
EP := high
AF := start
if not firstTrendBar
if uptrend
if high > EP
EP := high
AF := min(AF + increment, maximum)
else
if low < EP
EP := low
AF := min(AF + increment, maximum)
if uptrend
SAR := min(SAR, low[1])
if bar_index > 1
SAR := min(SAR, low[2])
else
SAR := max(SAR, high[1])
if bar_index > 1
SAR := max(SAR, high[2])
nextBarSAR := SAR + AF * (EP - SAR)
//plot(SAR, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=3, color=color.orange)
//plot(nextBarSAR, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=3, color=color.aqua)
//plot(strategy.equity, title="equity", color=color.red, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_areabr)
//bb
length_bb = input(17, minval=1)
src_bb = input(close, title="Source")
mult_bb = input(2.0, minval=0.001, maxval=50, title="StdDev")
basis_bb = sma(src_bb, length_bb)
dev_bb = mult_bb * stdev(src_bb, length_bb)
upper_bb = basis_bb + dev_bb
lower_bb = basis_bb - dev_bb
offset = input(0, "Offset", type = input.integer, minval = -500, maxval = 500)
//plot(basis_bb, "Basis", color=#872323, offset = offset)
//p1_bb = plot(upper_bb, "Upper", color=color.teal, offset = offset)
//p2_bb = plot(lower_bb, "Lower", color=color.teal, offset = offset)
//fill(p1_bb, p2_bb, title = "Background", color=#198787, transp=95)
//ema
len_ema = input(10, minval=1, title="Length")
src_ema = input(close, title="Source")
offset_ema = input(title="Offset", type=input.integer, defval=0, minval=-500, maxval=500)
out_ema = ema(src_ema, len_ema)
//plot(out_ema, title="EMA", color=color.blue, offset=offset_ema)
//out_ema e emaul
//basis_bb e middle de la bb
//hist e histograma
// rsi cu band0 cross pt rsi
// confirmarea
shortCondition = (uptrend==false and crossunder(ema(src_ema, len_ema),sma(src_bb, length_bb)) and hist < 0 and vrsi < overSold) //and time_cond
longCondition = (uptrend==true and crossover(ema(src_ema, len_ema),sma(src_bb, length_bb)) and hist > 0 and vrsi > overBought ) //and time_cond
//tp=input(0.0025,type=input.float, title="tp")
//sl=input(0.001,type=input.float, title="sl")
//INDICATOR---------------------------------------------------------------------
//Average True Range (1. RISK)
atr_period = input(14, "Average True Range Period")
atr = atr(atr_period)
strategy.initial_capital = 50000
//MONEY MANAGEMENT--------------------------------------------------------------
balance = strategy.netprofit + strategy.initial_capital //current balance
floating = strategy.openprofit //floating profit/loss
risk = input(2,type=input.float,title="Risk %")/100 //risk % per trade
isTwoDigit = input(false,"Is this a 2 digit pair? (JPY, XAU, XPD...")
equity_protector = input(1 ,type=input.float, title="Equity Protection %")/100 //equity protection %
equity_protectorTP = input(2 ,type=input.float, title="Equity TP %")/100 //equity protection %
multtp = input(5,type=input.float, title="multi atr tp")
multsl = input(5,type=input.float, title="multi atr sl")
stop = atr*100000*input(1,"SL X")* multsl //Stop level
if(isTwoDigit)
stop := stop/100
target = atr*100000*input(1,"TP X")*multtp //Stop level
//Calculate current DD and determine if stopout is necessary
equity_stopout = false
if(floating<0 and abs(floating/balance)>equity_protector)
equity_stopout := true
equity_stopout2 = false
if(floating>0 and abs(floating/balance)>equity_protectorTP)
equity_stopout2 := true
//Calculate the size of the next trade
temp01 = balance * risk //Risk in USD
temp02 = temp01/stop //Risk in lots
temp03 = temp02*100000 //Convert to contracts
size = temp03 - temp03%1000 //Normalize to 1000s (Trade size)
if(size < 10000)
size := 10000 //Set min. lot size
//TRADE EXECUTION---------------------------------------------------------------
strategy.close_all(equity_stopout, comment="equity sl", alert_message = "equity_sl") //Close all trades w/equity protector
//strategy.close_all(equity_stopout2, comment="equity tp", alert_message = "equity_tp") //Close all trades w/equity protector
is_open = strategy.opentrades > 0
strategy.entry("long",true,oca_name="a",when=longCondition and not is_open) //Long entry
strategy.entry("short",false,oca_name="a",when=shortCondition and not is_open) //Short entry
strategy.exit("exit_long","long",loss=stop, profit=target) //Long exit (stop loss)
strategy.close("long",when=shortCondition) //Long exit (exit condition)
strategy.exit("exit_short","short",loss=stop, profit=target) //Short exit (stop loss)
strategy.close("short",when=longCondition) //Short exit (exit condition)
//strategy.entry("long", strategy.long,size,when=longCondition , comment="long" , alert_message = "long")
//strategy.entry("short", strategy.short, size,when=shortCondition , comment="short" , alert_message = "short")
//strategy.exit("closelong", "long" , profit = close * tp / syminfo.mintick, alert_message = "closelong")
//strategy.exit("closeshort", "short" , profit = close * tp / syminfo.mintick, alert_message = "closeshort")
//strategy.exit("closelong", "long" ,size, profit = close * tp / syminfo.mintick, loss = close * sl / syminfo.mintick, alert_message = "closelong")
//strategy.exit("closeshort", "short" , size, profit = close * tp / syminfo.mintick, loss = close * sl / syminfo.mintick, alert_message = "closeshort")
//strategy.close("long" , when=not (time_cond), comment="time", alert_message = "closelong" )
//strategy.close("short" , when=not (time_cond), comment="time", alert_message = "closeshort")
//strategy.close_all(when=not (time_cond), comment ='time')