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Strategi Pembalikan Bagian Bawah

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-12-15 11:07:41
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Gambaran umum

Strategi ini didasarkan pada dasar pasar untuk perdagangan reversal. Ini menggunakan titik terendah dari EMA 200 hari dikombinasikan dengan level support/resistance Camarilla untuk menentukan dasar pasar.

Logika Strategi

  1. Menghitung harga terendah EMA200Low dari 200 hari EMA. Ketika harga ditutup di bawah EMA ini, pasar dianggap dekat ke bawah.
  2. Menghitung EMA 9 hari Camarilla level support 3 (S3), ema_s3_9, sebagai level support penting.
  3. Juga hitung EMA 9 hari dari titik tengah Camarilla ema_center_9 sebagai sinyal untuk pembalikan.
  4. Ketika ema_center_9 melintasi ema200Lows, dan 3 bar terakhir lebih rendah dari ema200Lows, pergi panjang.
  5. Gunakan ATR trailing stop loss untuk mengunci keuntungan, melacak harga terendah.
  6. Target keuntungan adalah ema_h4_9 (Level Resistance Camarilla 4) dan ema_s3_9.

Analisis Keuntungan

  1. Harga 200 hari EMA terendah menghindari mengambil posisi sebelum dasar yang sebenarnya.
  2. Tingkat Camarilla dikombinasikan dengan titik tengah mengidentifikasi pembalikan secara dapat diandalkan.
  3. ATR stop loss lebih masuk akal. Melacak harga yang lebih rendah memungkinkan keuntungan yang lebih besar.

Analisis Risiko

  1. Periode pemegang jangka panjang meningkatkan risiko.
  2. Gerakan pasar yang besar dapat mengakibatkan stop loss besar.
  3. Sinyal pembalikan Camarilla tidak selalu akurat.

Arahan Optimasi

  1. Pertimbangkan untuk menambahkan indikator seperti RSI untuk melengkapi sinyal pembalikan.
  2. Penelitian parameter optimal untuk produk yang berbeda.
  3. Jelajahi pembelajaran mesin untuk kehilangan stop ATR dinamis.

Ringkasan

Strategi ini mengidentifikasi dasar pasar dan pembalikan menggunakan EMA terendah dan tingkat Camarilla. Ini mengunci keuntungan dengan ATR trailing stop. Secara keseluruhan cukup lengkap dengan nilai praktis. Optimasi lebih lanjut akan meningkatkan ketahanan.

/*backtest
start: 2023-12-07 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-14 00:00:00
period: 1m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © mohanee

//Using the lowest of low of ema200, you can find the bottom
//wait for price to close below ema200Lows line
//when pivot

//@version=4
strategy(title="PickingupFromBottom Strategy", overlay=true )  //default_qty_value=10, default_qty_type=strategy.fixed, 

//HMA
HMA(src1, length1) =>  wma(2 * wma(src1, length1/2) - wma(src1, length1), round(sqrt(length1)))


//variables BEGIN
length1=input(200,title="EMA 1 Length")   
length2=input(50,title="EMA 2 Length")   
length3=input(20,title="EMA 3 Length")   

sourceForHighs= input(hlc3, title="Source for Highs", type=input.source)
sourceForLows = input(hlc3, title="Source for Lows" , type=input.source)

hiLoLength=input(7, title="HiLo Band Length")

atrLength=input(14, title="ATR Length")
atrMultiplier=input(3.5, title="ATR Multiplier")

//takePartialProfits = input(true, title="Take Partial Profits (if this selected, RSI 13 higher reading over 80 is considered for partial closing ) ")


ema200=ema(close,length1)
hma200=HMA(close,length1)


////Camarilla pivot points
//study(title="Camarilla Pivots", shorttitle="Camarilla", overlay=true)
t = input(title = "Pivot Resolution", defval="D", options=["D","W","M"])

//Get previous day/week bar and avoiding realtime calculation by taking the previous to current bar
sopen = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, open[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
shigh = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, high[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
slow = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, low[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
sclose = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, close[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
r = shigh-slow

//Calculate pivots
//center=(sclose)
//center=(close[1] + high[1] + low[1])/3
center=sclose - r*(0.618)

h1=sclose + r*(1.1/12)
h2=sclose + r*(1.1/6)
h3=sclose + r*(1.1/4)
h4=sclose + r*(1.1/2)
h5=(shigh/slow)*sclose
l1=sclose - r*(1.1/12)
l2=sclose - r*(1.1/6)
l3=sclose - r*(1.1/4)
l4=sclose - r*(1.1/2)
l5=sclose - (h5-sclose)

//Colors (<ternary conditional operator> expression prevents continuous lines on history)
c5=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.red
c4=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.purple
c3=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.fuchsia
c2=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.blue
c1=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.gray
cc=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.blue

//Plotting
//plot(center, title="Central",color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
//plot(h5, title="H5",color=c5, linewidth=1)
//plot(h4, title="H4",color=c4, linewidth=2)
//plot(h3, title="H3",color=c3, linewidth=1)
//plot(h2, title="H2",color=c2, linewidth=1)
//plot(h1, title="H1",color=c1, linewidth=1)
//plot(l1, title="L1",color=c1, linewidth=1)
//plot(l2, title="L2",color=c2, linewidth=1)
//plot(l3, title="L3",color=c3, linewidth=1)
//plot(l4, title="L4",color=c4, linewidth=2)
//plot(l5, title="L5",color=c5, linewidth=1)////Camarilla pivot points

ema_s3_9=ema(l3, 9)
ema_s3_50=ema(l3, 50)
ema_h4_9=ema(h4, 9)

ema_center_9=ema(center, 9)




plot(ema_h4_9, title="Camariall R4 Resistance EMA 9", color=color.fuchsia)
plot(ema_s3_9, title="Camarilla S3 support EMA 9", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)

//plot(ema_s3_50, title="Camarilla S3 support EMA 50", color=color.green, linewidth=2)

plot(ema_center_9, title="Camarilla Center Point EMA 9", color=color.blue)




plot(hma200, title="HULL 200", color=color.yellow,  transp=25)
plotEma200=plot(ema200, title="EMA 200",  style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2 , color=color.orange)

ema200High = ema(highest(sourceForHighs,length1), hiLoLength)
ema200Low= ema(lowest(sourceForLows,length1), hiLoLength)

ema50High = ema(highest(sourceForHighs,length2), hiLoLength)
ema50Low= ema(lowest(sourceForLows,length2), hiLoLength)

ema20High = ema(highest(sourceForHighs,length3), hiLoLength)
ema20Low= ema(lowest(sourceForLows,length3), hiLoLength)

//plot(ema200High, title="EMA 200 Highs", linewidth=2, color=color.orange, transp=30)
plotEma200Low=plot(ema200Low, title="EMA 200 Lows", linewidth=2, color=color.green, transp=30, style=plot.style_linebr)

//plot(ema50High, title="EMA 50 Highs", linewidth=2, color=color.blue, transp=30)
//plotEma50Low=plot(ema50Low, title="EMA 50 Lows", linewidth=2, color=color.blue, transp=30)


fill(plotEma200, plotEma200Low, color=color.green )


// Drawings /////////////////////////////////////////





//Highlight when centerpont crossing up ema200Low a
ema200LowBuyColor=color.new(color.green, transp=50)
bgcolor(crossover(ema_center_9,ema200Low) and (close[1]<ema200Low or close[2]<ema200Low or close[3]<ema200Low)? ema200LowBuyColor : na)
//ema200LowBuyCondition= (close[1]<ema200Low or close[2]<ema200Low or close[3]<ema200Low)
strategy.entry(id="ema200Low Buy", comment="LE2", qty=2, long=true,  when= crossover(ema_center_9,ema200Low) and (close[1]<ema200Low or close[2]<ema200Low or close[3]<ema200Low) )  //or (close>open and low<ema20Low and close>ema20Low) ) )     //  // aroonOsc<0


//Trailing StopLoss
////// Calculate trailing SL
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
sl_val = atrMultiplier * atr(atrLength)


trailing_sl = 0.0
//trailing_sl :=   max(low[1]  - sl_val, nz(trailing_sl[1])) 
trailing_sl :=   strategy.position_size>=1 ?  max(low  - sl_val, nz(trailing_sl[1])) :  na

//draw initil stop loss
//plot(strategy.position_size>=1 ? trailing_sl : na, color = color.blue , style=plot.style_linebr,  linewidth = 2, title = "stop loss")
plot(trailing_sl, title="ATR Trailing Stop Loss", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, color=color.red, transp=30)
//Trailing StopLoss
////// Calculate trailing SL
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////



strategy.close(id="ema200Low Buy", comment="TP1="+tostring(close - strategy.position_avg_price, "####.##"), qty=1, when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and crossunder(close, ema_h4_9)  )  //close<ema55 and rsi5Val<20 //ema34<ema55  //close<ema89
strategy.close(id="ema200Low Buy", comment="TP2="+tostring(close - strategy.position_avg_price, "####.##"),  qty=1, when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and crossunder(close, ema_s3_9)  )  //close<ema55 and rsi5Val<20 //ema34<ema55  //close<ema89
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