Strategi Optimasi Trailing Stop Dinamis Berdasarkan Awan Ichimoku

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-12-29 14:40:47
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Gambaran umum

Ide inti dari strategi ini adalah untuk menggabungkan strategi Ichimoku Cloud dan mekanisme stop trailing dinamis untuk mencapai exit stop loss yang lebih efisien. Strategi Ichimoku Cloud menilai tren pasar dan waktu melalui indikator K-line. Sementara mekanisme stop loss dinamis dapat menetapkan titik stop loss berdasarkan amplitudo volatilitas pasar untuk mengontrol risiko secara efektif.

Prinsip-prinsip

Modul utama dari strategi ini meliputi:

  1. Modul Indikator Awan Ichimoku

    Hitung indikator Ichimoku Cloud melalui Fisher Transform dan Stoch untuk menentukan tren pasar dan sinyal perdagangan.

  2. Modul Stop Loss Dinamis

    Menghitung titik stop loss secara dinamis berdasarkan ATR dan RSI untuk mencapai stop loss trailing yang dinamis.

  3. Trailing Stop Tracking Module

    Tetapkan titik stop loss yang tetap, keluarkan posisi saat harga mencapai titik stop loss.

Analisis Keuntungan

Keuntungan terbesar dari strategi ini adalah kemampuan kontrol risiko yang sangat baik. Mekanisme stop loss dinamis dapat mengatur rentang stop loss yang sesuai berdasarkan volatilitas pasar untuk secara efektif menghindari kerugian yang disebabkan oleh slippage yang berlebihan dan melacak tren yang lebih baik daripada stop loss tetap. Selain itu, indikator Ichimoku Cloud dapat menyaring beberapa perdagangan yang bising dan menentukan titik masuk dan keluar dengan andal.

Analisis Risiko

Risiko utama dari strategi ini adalah pengaturan titik stop loss yang tidak tepat dapat menyebabkan keluar yang terlalu agresif. Juga, menggunakan parameter yang terlalu agresif dapat menyebabkan perdagangan whipsaw yang terlalu sering. Untuk mengurangi risiko ini, parameter harus ditetapkan secara wajar untuk menghindari besarnya pergerakan yang berlebihan.

Arahan Optimasi

Ruang optimasi dari strategi ini terutama berfokus pada:

  1. Optimasi parameter Ichimoku Cloud untuk menemukan kombinasi parameter yang lebih baik untuk menentukan tren.

  2. Optimasi parameter stop loss dinamis untuk menemukan rentang stop loss yang lebih seimbang.

  3. Tambahkan modul ukuran posisi berdasarkan volatilitas untuk menyesuaikan posisi berdasarkan volatilitas pasar.

Melalui pencarian parameter dan pengoptimalan aturan, pengembalian yang disesuaikan risiko yang lebih tinggi dapat diperoleh dari strategi ini.

Kesimpulan

Strategi ini menggabungkan Ichimoku Cloud dan teknik stop trailing dinamis, yang dapat secara akurat menentukan tren pasar untuk keputusan waktu, dan juga secara dinamis menyesuaikan rentang stop loss untuk mengontrol risiko secara efektif.


/*backtest
start: 2022-12-22 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-28 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
strategy("IFTS+TS Strategy Overlay ", overlay=true, pyramiding = 0, calc_on_order_fills = false, commission_type =  strategy.commission.percent, commission_value = 0.0454, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100)

//INPUTS
stochlength=input(19, "Stoch & ATR Length")
wmalength=input(4, title="Smooth")
ul = input(82.05,step=0.01, title="UP line")
dl = input(19,step=0.01, title="DOWN line")
uts = input(true, title="Use trailing stop")
rts = input(false, title="Re-enter after trailing stop")
tsi = input(title="trailing stop actiation pips",defval=245)                                                                       
tso = input(title="trailing stop offset pips",defval=20)
udts = input(true, title="Use dynamic trailing stop start")
mpl2 = input(68.3,step=0.05, title="Multiplier for Dynamic TS start X*ATR")
udto = input(true, title="Use dynamic trailing stop offset")
mpl = input(1,step=0.01, title="Multiplier for Dynamic TS offset X*ATR")
occ = input(1, title="Occurancy for dynamic TS")
useCurrentRes = input(true, title="Use Current Chart Resolution?")  
resCustom = input(title="Timeframe",defval="30")
hma = input(title="Plot Hull MA", defval=true)
pl = input(title="Plot all", defval=true)

//CALCULATIONS
v1=0.1*(stoch(close, high, low, stochlength)-50)
v2=wma(v1, wmalength)
k1=(exp(2*v2)-1)/(exp(2*v2)+1)*50+50
res = useCurrentRes ? timeframe.period : resCustom
k=security(syminfo.tickerid, res, k1, barmerge.lookahead_off)

//CALCULATIONS HULL MA
n=stochlength/2
n2ma=2*wma(close,round(n/2))
nma=wma(close,n)
diff=n2ma-nma
sqn=round(sqrt(n))
n2ma1=2*wma(close[1],round(n/2))
nma1=wma(close[1],n)
diff1=n2ma1-nma1
sqn1=round(sqrt(n))
n1=wma(diff,sqn)    
n2=wma(diff1,sqn)
n3=n1-(n1*-1)
n4=n1+(n1)

//CALCULATIONS FOR BUY/SELL LEVELS
//stc=(stoch(close, high, low, stochlength))

//v3=0.1*(stoch(low, low, low, stochlength)-50)
//v4=wma(v3, wmalength)
//k3=(exp(2*v4)-1)/(exp(2*v4)+1)*50+50
//k2=security(syminfo.tickerid, res, k3, barmerge.lookahead_off)
//stl=(stoch(low, low, low, stochlength))

//v5=0.1*(stoch(high, high, high, stochlength)-50)
//v6=wma(v5, wmalength)
//k5=(exp(2*v6)-1)/(exp(2*v6)+1)*50+50
//k4=security(syminfo.tickerid, res, k5, barmerge.lookahead_off)
//sth=(stoch(high, high, high, stochlength))

//difc=k-stc
//difl=k2-stl+difc
//difh=k4-sth+difc

hg1=wma(highest(stochlength),wmalength)//-highest(stochlength)*(difh/10000)
hg=security(syminfo.tickerid, res, hg1, barmerge.lookahead_off)
hgob=hg-hg*((100-ul)/10000)
lw1=wma(lowest(stochlength),wmalength)//-lowest(stochlength)*(difl/10000)
lw=security(syminfo.tickerid, res, lw1, barmerge.lookahead_off)
lwos=lw+lw*(dl/10000)

////CONDITIONS CROSS
sell = crossunder(k,ul)? 1 : 0
buy = crossover(k,dl)? 1 : 0

////COUNT BARCOLORS
var countred = 0
if sell == 1
    countred := 1
if buy == 1
    countred := 0

var countgreen = 0
if buy == 1
    countgreen := 1
if sell == 1
    countgreen := 0

////CONDITIONS COUNT BARCOLORS
long=countgreen[1]==0 and countgreen==1 ? 1 : 0
short=countred[1]==0 and countred==1 ? 1 : 0
    
////COLORS
//STOCH
col = k>=k[1] ? color.aqua : color.red
col1 = countred[2]==1 ? na : #00FF00
col2 = countgreen[2]==1 ? na : #FF0000
col3 = countred[2]==1 ? na : color.yellow
col4 = countgreen[2]==1 ? na : color.yellow
//HMA
dif = n1[1]-n3
dif1 = dif>dif[1] and dif[1]>dif[2] ? na: #00FF00 //uptrend - green
dif3 = n4-n1[1]
dif2 = dif3>dif3[1] and dif3[1]>dif3[2] ? na: #FF0000  //downtrend - red
dif4 = (dif>dif[1] and dif[1]>dif[2]) == (dif3>dif3[1] and dif3[1]>dif3[2]) ? #FFFF00: na //trend change - yellow

////PLOTS CALCULATIONS DYNAMIC TS
dtso1 = sma(atr(stochlength),2)*100
dtso=security(syminfo.tickerid, "1", dtso1,barmerge.lookahead_on)*mpl
dtsi = rsi(atr(stochlength),stochlength)/mpl2*tsi
dtsiv = valuewhen(long or short, dtsi, occ)
dtsov = valuewhen(long or short, dtso, occ)
//DYNAMIC TS START
dtsil1 = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and udts? open+(dtsiv/100) : na
dtsis1 = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and udts? open-(dtsiv/100) : na
dtsil = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and udts? open+(dtsiv/100) : fixnan(dtsil1[1])
dtsis = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and udts? open-(dtsiv/100) : fixnan(dtsis1[1])
//DYNAMIC TS OFFSET+START
dtsol1 = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and udto? dtsil-(dtsov/100) : na
dtsos1 = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and udto? dtsis+(dtsov/100) : na
dtsol = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and udto? dtsil-(dtsov/100) : fixnan(dtsol1[1])
dtsos = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and udto? dtsis+(dtsov/100) : fixnan(dtsos1[1])
//CONST TS START
tsil1 = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts? open+(tsi/100) : na
tsis1 = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts? open-(tsi/100) : na
tsil = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts? open+(tsi/100) : fixnan(tsil1[1])
tsis = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts? open-(tsi/100) : fixnan(tsis1[1])
//CONST TS START + DYNAMIC TS OFFSET
tsol21 = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts and udto? open+(tsi/100)-(dtsov/100) : na
tsos21 = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts and udto? open-(tsi/100)+(dtsov/100) : na
tsol2 = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts and udto? open+(tsi/100)-(dtsov/100) : fixnan(tsol21[1])
tsos2 = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udts and udto? open-(tsi/100)+(dtsov/100) : fixnan(tsos21[1])
//CONST TS OFFSET
tsol1 = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udto? tsil-(tso/100) : na
tsos1 = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udto? tsis+(tso/100) : na
tsol = countred[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udto? tsil-(tso/100) : fixnan(tsol1[1])
tsos = countgreen[2]==1 and pl and uts and not udto? tsis+(tso/100) : fixnan(tsos1[1])

//////PLOTS
////LABELS
//TS LABELS
// ltsos = (short==1) and udto and pl? label.new(bar_index, high[1]+close*0.006,  text="os "+tostring(round(dtsov)), color=color.white, size=size.small) : na
// ltsol = (long==1) and udto and pl? label.new(bar_index, low[1]-close*0.006,  text="os "+tostring(round(dtsov)), color=color.white, size=size.small, style=label.style_labelup) : na
// ltsis = (short==1) and udts and pl? label.new(bar_index, high[1]+close*0.008, text="st "+tostring(round(dtsiv)), color=color.white, size=size.small) : na
// ltsil = (long==1) and udts and pl? label.new(bar_index, low[1]-close*0.008,  text="st "+tostring(round(dtsiv)), color=color.white, size=size.small, style=label.style_labelup) : na
//STOCH LABEL
//lk = k>ul and pl? label.new(bar_index, high, text=tostring(round(k)), color=col, size=size.small) :na
//lk2 = k<dl and pl? label.new(bar_index, high, text=tostring(round(k)), color=col, size=size.small) :na
//lk3 = k>dl and k<ul and pl? label.new(bar_index, high, text=tostring(round(k)), color=color.white, size=size.small) :na
//label.delete(lk[1])
//label.delete(lk2[1])
//label.delete(lk3[1])

//ltson = udto==true and pl? label.new(bar_index, 75, text="os "+tostring(round(dtso)), color=color.yellow, size=size.small) :na
//label.delete(ltson[1])
//ltsin = udts==true and pl? label.new(bar_index, 0, text="st "+tostring(round(dtsi)), color=color.yellow, size=size.small) :na
//label.delete(ltsin[1])

//DYNAMIC TS LINES
plot(dtsil, color=col1, transp = 0, title = "dynamic ts stop long level")
plot(dtsis, color=col2, transp = 0, title = "dynamic ts stop short level")
plot(dtsol, color=col3, transp = 30, title = "dynamic ts offset long level")
plot(dtsos, color=col4, transp = 30, title = "dynamic ts offset short level")
plot(tsol2, color=col3, transp = 30, title = "const start + dynamic ts offset long level")
plot(tsos2, color=col4, transp = 30, title = "const start + dynamic ts offset short level")
//TS LINES
plot(tsil, color=col1, transp = 0, title = "const ts stop long level")
plot(tsis, color=col2, transp = 0, title = "const ts stop short level")
plot(tsol, color=col3, transp = 30, title = "const ts stop offset long level")
plot(tsos, color=col4, transp = 30, title = "const ts stop offset short level")
//ARROWS
plotarrow(pl==true? long : na, colorup = color.teal, transp=0, title = "buy arrow")
plotarrow(pl==true? -short : na, colordown = color.red, transp=0, title = "sell arrow")
//HIGH/LOW
p1 = plot(pl==true?hg : na, color=color.green, transp=100, editable=false)
p2 = plot(pl==true?lw : na, color=color.red, transp=100, editable=false)
p3 = plot(pl==true?lwos : na, color=color.green, linewidth=1, transp=100, editable=false)
p4 = plot(pl==true?hgob : na, color=color.red, linewidth=1, transp=100, editable=false)
fill(p1,p4, color=color.green, transp=75, title = "highest price levels")
fill(p2,p3, color=color.red, transp=75, title = "lowest price levels")
//HMA
mab=plot(hma and pl ? n1 : na,color=#000000, linewidth=5, transp=0, title = "Background HMA line") //black
ma=plot(hma and pl ? n1 : na,color=dif1, linewidth=3, transp=10, title = "HMA uptrend line") //green
ma2=plot(hma and pl ? n1 : na,color=dif2, linewidth=3, transp=20, title = "HMA downtrend line")//red
ma3=plot(hma and pl ? n1 : na,color=dif4, linewidth=3, transp=10, title = "HMA reverse trend line") //yellow
//LINES
// ldl = long[1]==1 and uts and udts? line.new(bar_index, high, bar_index, dtsil, color=#00FF00, width = 1) : na
// lds = short[1]==1 and uts and udts? line.new(bar_index, high, bar_index, dtsis, color=#FF0000, width = 1) : na
// ll = long[1]==1 and uts and not udts? line.new(bar_index, high, bar_index, tsil, color=#00FF00, width = 1) : na
// ls = short[1]==1 and uts and not udts? line.new(bar_index, high, bar_index, tsis, color=#FF0000, width = 1) : na

////STRATEGY
strategy.entry("BUY", strategy.long, when = buy)
strategy.entry("SELL", strategy.short, when = sell)

if (rts)
    strategy.entry("BUY", strategy.long, when = countgreen==1 and dif1==#00FF00)
    strategy.entry("SELL", strategy.short, when = countred==1 and dif2==#FF0000)

if  (uts)
    strategy.exit("Close BUY with TS","BUY", trail_points = tsi, trail_offset = tso)
    strategy.exit("Close SELL with TS","SELL", trail_points = tsi, trail_offset = tso)

    if  (udto)
        strategy.exit("Close BUY with TS","BUY", trail_points = tsi, trail_offset = dtsov)
        strategy.exit("Close SELL with TS","SELL", trail_points = tsi, trail_offset = dtsov)
        
    if  (udts)
        strategy.exit("Close BUY with TS","BUY", trail_points = dtsiv, trail_offset = tso)
        strategy.exit("Close SELL with TS","SELL", trail_points = dtsiv, trail_offset = tso)
        
    if  (udto and udts)
        strategy.exit("Close BUY with TS","BUY", trail_points = dtsiv, trail_offset = dtsov)
        strategy.exit("Close SELL with TS","SELL", trail_points = dtsiv, trail_offset = dtsov)
        



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