Strategi Perdagangan ADX Dua Arah


Tanggal Pembuatan: 2024-01-30 17:00:44 Akhirnya memodifikasi: 2024-01-30 17:00:44
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Strategi Perdagangan ADX Dua Arah

Ringkasan

Strategi perdagangan ADX dua arah adalah strategi kuantitatif untuk melakukan perdagangan dua arah dengan menggunakan indeks arah rata-rata (ADX). Strategi ini menghasilkan keuntungan dengan menghitung selisih ADX dengan DIPlus dan DIMinus, menetapkan ambang batas untuk menentukan apakah sinyal perdagangan dihasilkan, dan melakukan perdagangan multihead kosong.

Prinsip Strategi

  1. Menghitung rentang fluktuasi yang sebenarnya
  2. Hitung gerakan arah arah dan gerakan arah kosong
  3. Perhitungan Smoothed True Range
  4. Hitung gerakan multicap mulus ((Smoothed Directional Movement Plus) dan gerakan kosong mulus ((Smoothed Directional Movement Minus)
  5. Perhitungan DIPlus, DIMinus dan ADX
  6. Hitung perbedaan antara DIPlus dan ADX, DIMinus dan ADX
  7. Setting multiple dan blank trade spread threshold
  8. Penjelasan menghasilkan sinyal perdagangan ketika nilai ekuitas lebih besar dari nilai turun
  9. Membuat pembelian dan penjualan mandat

Inti dari strategi ini adalah menggunakan indikator indeks dinamis seperti ADX untuk menentukan arah dan kekuatan tren, yang dikombinasikan dengan aturan penetapan nilai selisih untuk menetapkan nilai terendah, untuk perdagangan otomatis.

Analisis Keunggulan

  1. Menggunakan ADX untuk menentukan arah tren, dapat menangkap tren pasar secara akurat
  2. Dengan menggunakan aturan diferensial, sinyal palsu dapat disaring secara efektif.
  3. Perdagangan dua arah, memanfaatkan peluang multihead dan kosong
  4. Transaksi otomatis tanpa intervensi manusia
  5. Strategi logis yang jelas, mudah dipahami dan dimodifikasi

Analisis risiko

  1. Indeks ADX Terlambat, Mungkin Melewatkan Titik Peralihan
  2. Risiko perdagangan dua arah meningkat, kerugian bisa meluas
  3. Penetapan parameter yang salah dapat menyebabkan over-trading
  4. Data retrospektif tidak mewakili pasar yang sebenarnya, risiko tetap ada

Solusi:

  1. Sinyal konfirmasi transaksi dikombinasikan dengan indikator lain
  2. Parameter optimasi, kontrol frekuensi transaksi
  3. Strict Position Sizing mengelola posisi perdagangan

Arah optimasi

  1. Optimalkan parameter ADX untuk meningkatkan sensitivitasnya
  2. Menambahkan sinyal filter indikator lainnya
  3. Parameter optimasi untuk menerapkan algoritma pembelajaran mesin
  4. Menggunakan strategi Stop Loss Advanced untuk mengendalikan risiko kerugian
  5. Kombinasi prediksi model dengan sinyal perdagangan yang lebih akurat

Meringkaskan

Strategi perdagangan ADX dua arah overall adalah strategi kuantitatif yang sangat praktis. Ia menggunakan indikator ADX untuk menilai tren, menangkap peluang perdagangan dua arah. Ia juga menerapkan penilaian diferensial untuk memastikan efektivitas sinyal.

Kode Sumber Strategi
/*backtest
start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © MAURYA_ALGO_TRADER

//@version=5
strategy("Monthly Performance", overlay=true)


len = input(14)
th = input(20)

TrueRange = math.max(math.max(high - low, math.abs(high - nz(close[1]))), math.abs(low - nz(close[1])))
DirectionalMovementPlus = high - nz(high[1]) > nz(low[1]) - low ? math.max(high - nz(high[1]), 0) : 0
DirectionalMovementMinus = nz(low[1]) - low > high - nz(high[1]) ? math.max(nz(low[1]) - low, 0) : 0

SmoothedTrueRange = 0.0
SmoothedTrueRange := nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) - nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) / len + TrueRange

SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus = 0.0
SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus := nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1]) - nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1]) / len + DirectionalMovementPlus

SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus = 0.0
SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus := nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) - nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) / len + DirectionalMovementMinus

DIPlus = SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
DIMinus = SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
DX = math.abs(DIPlus - DIMinus) / (DIPlus + DIMinus) * 100
ADX = ta.sma(DX, len)

// plot(DIPlus, color=color.new(color.green, 0), title='DI+')
// plot(DIMinus, color=color.new(color.red, 0), title='DI-')
// plot(ADX, color=color.new(color.white, 0), title='ADX')
// hline(th, color=color.black)


//diff_1 = math.abs(DIPlus - DIMinus)
diff_2 = math.abs(DIPlus-ADX)
diff_3 = math.abs(DIMinus - ADX)

long_diff = input(10, "Long Difference")
short_diff = input(10, "Short Difference")

buy_condition = diff_2 >=long_diff and diff_3 >=long_diff and (ADX < DIPlus and ADX > DIMinus)
sell_condition = diff_2 >=short_diff and diff_3 >=short_diff and (ADX > DIPlus and ADX < DIMinus)


if buy_condition
    strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long, comment = "Long")
if sell_condition
    strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short, comment = "Short")



// Copy below code to end of the desired strategy script
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//                                 monthly pnl performance  by Dr. Maurya @MAURYA_ALGO_TRADER                        //
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
show_performance = input.bool(true, 'Show Monthly Monthly Performance ?', group='Monthly Performance')

dash_loc_mp = input("Bottom Right","Location"  ,options=["Top Right","Bottom Right","Top Left","Bottom Left", "Middle Right","Bottom Center"]  ,group='Monthly Performance', inline = "performance")

text_size_mp = input('Small',"Size"  ,options=["Tiny","Small","Normal","Large"]  ,group='Monthly Performance', inline = "performance")

bg_c = input.color( color.rgb(7, 226, 242, 38), "Background Color", group='Monthly Performance')

text_head_color = input.color( color.rgb(0,0,0), "Month/Year Heading Color", group='Monthly Performance')

tab_month_c = input.color( color.white, "Month PnL Data Color", group='Monthly Performance')

tab_year_c = input.color( color.rgb(0,0,0), "Year PnL Data Color", group='Monthly Performance')

border_c = input.color( color.white, "Table Border Color", group='Monthly Performance')



var table_position_mp = dash_loc_mp == 'Top Left' ? position.top_left :
  dash_loc_mp == 'Bottom Left' ? position.bottom_left :
  dash_loc_mp == 'Middle Right' ? position.middle_right :
  dash_loc_mp == 'Bottom Center' ? position.bottom_center :
  dash_loc_mp == 'Top Right' ? position.top_right : position.bottom_right
  
var table_text_size_mp = text_size_mp == 'Tiny' ? size.tiny :
  text_size_mp == 'Small' ? size.small :
  text_size_mp == 'Normal' ? size.normal : size.large

/////////////////

strategy.initial_capital = 50000

/////////////////////////////////////////////

// var bool new_month = na
new_month = ta.change(month) //> 0 ? true : false
newest_month = new_month and strategy.closedtrades >= 1

// profit
only_profit = strategy.netprofit
initial_balance = strategy.initial_capital

// month number
var int month_number = na
month_number := (ta.valuewhen(newest_month, month(time), 0)) //and month(time) > 1 ? (ta.valuewhen(newest_month, month(time), 0) - 1) :  12 //1 to 12

//month_year
var int month_time = na
month_time := ta.valuewhen(newest_month, time, 0) - 2419200000 


var int m_counter = 0
if newest_month
    m_counter += 1



// current month values
var bool new_year = na
new_year := ta.change(year)
curr_m_pnl = only_profit - nz(ta.valuewhen(newest_month, only_profit, 0), 0)
curr_m_number = newest_month ? ta.valuewhen(newest_month, month(time), 0) : month(time)
curr_y_pnl = (only_profit - nz(ta.valuewhen(new_year, only_profit, 0),0)) 



var float [] net_profit_array = array.new_float()
var int [] month_array = array.new_int()
var int [] month_time_array = array.new_int()


if newest_month
    array.push(net_profit_array, only_profit)
    array.push(month_array, month_number)
    array.push(month_time_array, month_time)



var float [] y_pnl_array = array.new_float()
var int [] y_number_array = array.new_int()
var int [] y_time_array = array.new_int()

newest_year = ta.change(year) and strategy.closedtrades >= 1
get_yearly_pnl = nz(ta.valuewhen(newest_year, strategy.netprofit, 0) - nz(ta.valuewhen(newest_year, strategy.netprofit, 1), 0), 0)
get_m_year = ta.valuewhen(newest_year, year(time), 1)
get_y_time = ta.valuewhen(newest_year, time, 0)

if newest_year
    array.push(y_pnl_array, get_yearly_pnl)
    array.push(y_number_array, get_m_year)
    array.push(y_time_array, get_y_time)
var float monthly_profit = na
var int column_month_number = na
var int row_month_time = na

 


var testTable = table.new(position = table_position_mp, columns = 14, rows = 40, bgcolor = bg_c, border_color = border_c, border_width = 1)
if barstate.islastconfirmedhistory and show_performance
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 0, row = 0, text = "YEAR", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 1, row = 0, text = "JAN", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 2, row = 0, text = "FEB", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 3, row = 0, text = "MAR", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 4, row = 0, text = "APR", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 5, row = 0, text = "MAY", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 6, row = 0, text = "JUN", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 7, row = 0, text = "JUL", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 8, row = 0, text = "AUG", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 9, row = 0, text = "SEP", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 10, row = 0, text = "OCT", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 11, row = 0, text = "NOV", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 12, row = 0, text = "DEC", text_color =text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 13, row = 0, text = "YEAR P/L", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)

    for i = 0 to (array.size(y_number_array) == 0 ? na : array.size(y_number_array) - 1)
        row_y = year(array.get(y_time_array, i)) - year(array.get(y_time_array, 0)) + 1
        table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 13, row = row_y, text = str.tostring(array.get(y_pnl_array , i), "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(array.get(y_pnl_array , i)*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = array.get(y_pnl_array , i) > 0 ? color.green : array.get(y_pnl_array , i) < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_year_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    curr_row_y = array.size(month_time_array) == 0 ? 1 : (year(array.get(month_time_array, array.size(month_time_array) - 1))) - (year(array.get(month_time_array, 0))) + 1
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 13, row = curr_row_y, text = str.tostring(curr_y_pnl, "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(curr_y_pnl*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = curr_y_pnl > 0 ? color.green : curr_y_pnl < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_year_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    

    for i = 0 to (array.size(net_profit_array) == 0 ? na : array.size(net_profit_array) - 1)
        monthly_profit := i > 0 ? ( array.get(net_profit_array, i) - array.get(net_profit_array, i - 1) ) : array.get(net_profit_array, i) 
        column_month_number := month(array.get(month_time_array, i)) 
        row_month_time :=((year(array.get(month_time_array, i))) - year(array.get(month_time_array, 0)) ) + 1 
        table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = column_month_number, row = row_month_time, text = str.tostring(monthly_profit, "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(monthly_profit*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = monthly_profit > 0 ? color.green : monthly_profit < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_month_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
        table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 0, row =row_month_time, text = str.tostring(year(array.get(month_time_array, i)), "##.##"), text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
       
    curr_row_m = array.size(month_time_array) == 0 ? 1 : (year(array.get(month_time_array, array.size(month_time_array) - 1))) - (year(array.get(month_time_array, 0))) + 1
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = curr_m_number, row = curr_row_m, text = str.tostring(curr_m_pnl, "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(curr_m_pnl*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = curr_m_pnl > 0 ? color.green : curr_m_pnl < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_month_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
    table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 0, row =curr_row_m, text = str.tostring(year(time), "##.##"), text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)

//============================================================================================================================================================================