究極ボラティリティ指数に基づくリバーサルロング戦略


作成日: 2023-09-13 17:32:53 最終変更日: 2023-09-13 17:32:53
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この策略は,が最終波動指標に基づく反転を行う多策策と呼ばれています.この策略は,最終波動指標を利用して,オーバーバイ・オーバーセルの状況を判断し,指標がオーバーセルの状態に達したときに逆市を行う多操作を行う.

極限波動指標は,複数の周期の価格情報を融合させ,市場の超買超売のレベルを判断する.指標の下の低点を通過すると,市場が超売状態に入ることを示し,価格が反発する可能性を示唆する.

取引の論理は以下の通りです.

  1. 最終波動指標の下の低点を突破する際 ((例えば45)),市場が過売りであることを示し,多額を考慮する。

  2. 複数のポジションを保持し続け,指数で中線を貫くまで (例えば70),平仓を止めてください.

  3. 価格がストップラインを下回るとストップアウトする.指数が多頭差を示している場合は,ストップラインを適切に調整することができます.

  4. 株価が低点から戻った場合,さらに高額な株価を上げることも考えられます.

この戦略の利点は,超売り反発の機会を捉えることです.しかし,指標のパラメータは最適化され,指標自体は遅れ,トレンド分析と組み合わせる必要があります.

全体として,指数を使って反転時間を判断することは一般的な方法である。しかし,トレーダーは判断の柔軟性を維持し,いかなる単一の指数にも完全に依存することはできない。

ストラテジーソースコード
/*backtest
start: 2023-09-11 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-12 00:00:00
period: 5m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © mohanee

//@version=4

strategy(title="Ultimate Oscillator [Long] Strategy",  shorttitle="UO" , overlay=false, pyramiding=2,     default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity,  default_qty_value=20, initial_capital=10000, currency=currency.USD)  //default_qty_value=10, default_qty_type=strategy.fixed,

	
//Ultimate Oscillator logic copied from  TradingView   builtin indicator
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
length1 = input(5, minval=1), length2 = input(10, minval=1), length3 = input(15, minval=1)


//rsiUOLength = input(7, title="RSI UO length", minval=1)

signalLength = input(9, title="Signal length", minval=1)

buyLine = input (45, title="Buy Line (UO crossing up oversold at ) ")       //crossover
exitLine = input (70, title="Exit Line (UO crsossing down overbought at) ")      //crossunder


riskCapital = input(title="Risk % of capital", defval=10, minval=1)
stopLoss=input(3,title="Stop Loss",minval=1)

takeProfit=input(false, title="Take Profit")
profitExitLine = input (75, title="Take Profit at RSIofUO crossing below this value ") //crossunder


showSignalLine=input(true, "show Signal Line")
//showUO=input(false, "show Ultimate Oscialltor")


average(bp, tr_, length) => sum(bp, length) / sum(tr_, length)
high_ = max(high, close[1])
low_ = min(low, close[1])
bp = close - low_
tr_ = high_ - low_
avg7 = average(bp, tr_, length1)
avg14 = average(bp, tr_, length2)
avg28 = average(bp, tr_, length3)
ultOscVal = 100 * (4*avg7 + 2*avg14 + avg28)/7
//Ultimate Oscillator 
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//Willimas Alligator  copied from  TradingView built in Indicator
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
smma(src, length) =>
	smma =  0.0
	smma := na(smma[1]) ? sma(src, length) : (smma[1] * (length - 1) + src) / length
	smma

//moving averages logic copied from Willimas Alligator -- builtin indicator in TradingView
sma1=smma(hl2,5)
sma2=smma(hl2,20)
sma3=smma(hl2,50)

//Willimas Alligator
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

myVwap= vwap(hlc3)

//drawings
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
hline(profitExitLine, title="Middle Line 60  [Profit Exit Here]", color=color.purple  , linestyle=hline.style_dashed)

obLevelPlot = hline(exitLine, title="Overbought",  color=color.red , linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
osLevelPlot = hline(buyLine, title="Oversold", color=color.blue, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)

//fill(obLevelPlot, osLevelPlot, title="Background", color=color.blue, transp=90)
//rsiUO = rsi(ultOscVal,rsiUOLength)

rsiUO=ultOscVal

//emaUO = ema(rsiUO, 9)

//signal line
emaUO = ema(ultOscVal , 5)     // ema(ultOscVal / rsiUO, 9)

//ultPlot=plot(showUO==true? ultOscVal : na, color=color.green, title="Oscillator")

plot(rsiUO, title = "rsiUO" ,  color=color.purple)
plot(showSignalLine ? emaUO : na , title = "emaUO [signal line]" ,  color=color.blue)  //emaUO

//drawings
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////




//Strategy Logic 
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

longCond=  crossover(rsiUO, buyLine)  or crossover(rsiUO, 30)


//longCond= ( ema10>ema20 and crossover(rsiUO, buyLine) ) or ( ema10 < ema20 and crossover(rsiUO, 75)  )

//Entry--
//Echeck how many units can be purchased based on risk manage ment and stop loss
qty1 = (strategy.equity  * riskCapital / 100 ) /  (close*stopLoss/100)  

//check if cash is sufficient  to buy qty1  , if capital not available use the available capital only
qty1:= (qty1 * close >= strategy.equity ) ? (strategy.equity / close) : qty1



//strategy.entry(id="LERSIofUO", long=true,   qty=qty1,  when = close > open and  barssince(longCond)<=3  and strategy.position_size<1 )  //and sma1 > sma3)  //  and close>open and  rsiUO >= 25 )   //and


strategy.entry(id="LEUO", long=true,   qty=qty1,  when = close > open and  barssince(longCond)<=3  and strategy.position_size<1  and sma2 > sma3)  //  and close>open and  rsiUO >= 25 )   //and


//Add
//strategy.entry(id="LEUO", comment="Add" , qty=qty1/2 ,  long=true,   when = strategy.position_size>=1 and close < strategy.position_avg_price and crossover(rsiUO, 60) )  //and sma1 > sma3)  //  and close>open and  rsiUO >= 25 )   //and


//strategy.entry(id="LEUO", long=true,   qty=qty1, when = close > open and  barssince(longCond)<=10  and valuewhen(longCond , close , 1)  > close  and rsiUO>=30) //  and close>open and  rsiUO >= 25 )   //and 

//for Later versions
//also check for divergence  ... later version
//also check if close above vwap session

//strategy.entry(id="LEUO", long=false, when = sma1< sma2  and crossunder(rsiUO,60) )

//change the bar color to yellow , indicating startegy will trigger BUY
barcolor( close > open and  barssince(longCond)<=3  and strategy.position_size<1  and sma2 > sma3 ? color.orange : na)


//barcolor(abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 ? color.blue : na )
bgcolor(abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 ? color.blue : na , transp=70)

//signal for addition to existing position 
barcolor( strategy.position_size>=1 and close < strategy.position_avg_price and crossover(rsiUO, 60) ? color.yellow : na)
//bgcolor( strategy.position_size>=1 and close < strategy.position_avg_price and crossover(rsiUO, 60)  ? color.yellow : na, transp=30)

//partial exit
strategy.close(id="LEUO", comment="PExit",  qty=strategy.position_size/3, when= takeProfit and abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and close > strategy.position_avg_price and crossunder(rsiUO,profitExitLine) )


//close the Long order
strategy.close(id="LEUO", comment="Profit is "+tostring(close - strategy.position_avg_price,  "###.##"), when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and crossunder(rsiUO,exitLine) ) //and close > strategy.position_avg_price )
//strategy.close(id="LEUO", comment="CloseAll", when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and crossunder(rsiUO2,40) ) //and close > strategy.position_avg_price )

// stop loss exit
stopLossVal = strategy.position_size>=1 ?  strategy.position_avg_price * ( 1 - (stopLoss/100) ) : 0.00
strategy.close(id="LEUO", comment="SL exit Loss is  "+tostring(close - strategy.position_avg_price,  "###.##") , when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and close < stopLossVal and rsiUO < exitLine)   
//reason to rsiUO <30 is if price is going down , indicator should reflect it ... but indicator is above 30 means it showing divergence... so hold on it until it crossdown 30 ...that way even Stop Loss less than predefined ...


//Strategy Logic 
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////