この記事では,価格の突破入場と,ストップ・ロスの退出を追跡したトレンド取引戦略について詳しく説明します.この戦略は,最高点を突破して多頭ポジションを構築し,波動的な低点を利用してストップ・ロスを追跡します.
戦略の原則
この戦略の主要な取引論理は以下の通りです.
振幅指数を使用して最高値と最低値の変動点を計算する.
価格が最高点に達したときに多頭入場を行うこと.
最近の波動的な低点は,激進的なストップポイントとして;
より高い波動の低点が発生すると,ストップを位置に移動して,追跡ストップを実現する.
この方法で,価格が上昇抵抗を突破した後に,強いトレンドの動きを捉えることができます. そして,止まりの継続的な上昇により,利益がロックされます.
2 戦略的優位性
この戦略の主な利点は
突破型エントリーでは,トレンドのスタート地点がより正確に把握できます.
ダイナミック・トラッキング・ストップ・ロスは,利潤を最大限に固定し,反転を低減します.
止損位置には一定の緩衝区間があり,止損が突破されるのを防ぐことができる.
逆操作を避けるため,均線フィルターを追加することもできます.
3 潜在的リスク
しかし,この戦略にはいくつかの潜在的なリスクがあります.
突破シグナルが遅れているため,トレンドの初期にチャンスを逃す可能性が高くなります.
過剰な激進は,不必要に試合を中止する恐れがある.
退却のプレッシャーに 耐えなければならないのです
内容と要約
この記事では,価格の突破とストップを追跡するトレンド戦略を主に紹介する.これは,トレンドを効果的に追跡して利益を最大化することができるが,ストップを突破されるなどのリスクを防ぎることも必要である.総合的に,この戦略は,シンプルで直感的なトレンド追跡方法を提供します.
/*backtest
start: 2022-09-13 00:00:00
end: 2023-02-03 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=4
// Revision: 1
// Author: @millerrh
// Strategy: Enter long when recent swing high breaks out, using recent swing low as stop level. Move stops up as higher lows print to act
// as trailing stops. Ride trend as long as it is there and the higher lows aren't breached.
// Conditions/Variables
// 1. Can place a user-defined percentage below swing low and swing high to use as a buffer for your stop to help avoid stop hunts
// 2. Can add a filter to only take setups that are above a user-defined moving average (helps avoid trading counter trend)
// 3. Manually configure which dates to back test
// 4. Color background of backtested dates - allows for easier measuring buy & hold return of time periods that don't go up to current date
// === CALL STRATEGY/STUDY, PROGRAMATICALLY ENTER STRATEGY PARAMETERS HERE SO YOU DON'T HAVE TO CHANGE THEM EVERY TIME YOU RUN A TEST ===
// (STRATEGY ONLY) - Comment out srategy() when in a study()
strategy("Breakout Trend Follower", overlay=true, initial_capital=10000, currency='USD',
default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.1)
// (STUDY ONLY) - Comment out study() when in a strategy()
//study("Breakout Trend Follower", overlay=true)
// === BACKTEST RANGE ===
From_Year = input(defval = 2019, title = "From Year")
From_Month = input(defval = 1, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12)
From_Day = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31)
To_Year = input(defval = 9999, title = "To Year")
To_Month = input(defval = 1, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12)
To_Day = input(defval = 1, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31)
Start = timestamp(From_Year, From_Month, From_Day, 00, 00) // backtest start window
Finish = timestamp(To_Year, To_Month, To_Day, 23, 59) // backtest finish window
// A switch to control background coloring of the test period - Use for easy visualization of backtest range and manual calculation of
// buy and hold (via measurement) if doing prior periods since value in Strategy Tester extends to current date by default
testPeriodBackground = input(title="Color Background - Test Period?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
testPeriodBackgroundColor = testPeriodBackground and (time >= Start) and (time <= Finish) ? #00FF00 : na
bgcolor(testPeriodBackgroundColor, transp=95)
// == FILTERING ==
// Inputs
useMaFilter = input(title = "Use MA for Filtering?", type = input.bool, defval = true)
maType = input(defval="SMA", options=["EMA", "SMA"], title = "MA Type For Filtering")
maLength = input(defval = 50, title = "MA Period for Filtering", minval = 1)
// Declare function to be able to swap out EMA/SMA
ma(maType, src, length) =>
maType == "EMA" ? ema(src, length) : sma(src, length) //Ternary Operator (if maType equals EMA, then do ema calc, else do sma calc)
maFilter = ma(maType, close, maLength)
plot(maFilter, title = "Trend Filter MA", color = color.green, linewidth = 3, style = plot.style_line, transp = 50)
// Check to see if the useMaFilter check box is checked, this then inputs this conditional "maFilterCheck" variable into the strategy entry
maFilterCheck = if useMaFilter == true
maFilter
else
0
// === PLOT SWING HIGH/LOW AND MOST RECENT LOW TO USE AS STOP LOSS EXIT POINT ===
// Inputs
//pvtLenL = input(3, minval=1, title="Pivot Length Left Hand Side") //use if you want to change this to an input
//pvtLenR = input(3, minval=1, title="Pivot Length Right Hand Side") //use if you want to change this to an input
pvtLenL = 3
pvtLenR = 3
// Get High and Low Pivot Points
pvthi_ = pivothigh(high, pvtLenL, pvtLenR)
pvtlo_ = pivotlow(low, pvtLenL, pvtLenR)
// Force Pivot completion before plotting.
Shunt = 1 //Wait for close before printing pivot? 1 for true 0 for flase
maxLvlLen = 0 //Maximum Extension Length
pvthi = pvthi_[Shunt]
pvtlo = pvtlo_[Shunt]
// Count How many candles for current Pivot Level, If new reset.
counthi = barssince(not na(pvthi))
countlo = barssince(not na(pvtlo))
pvthis = fixnan(pvthi)
pvtlos = fixnan(pvtlo)
hipc = change(pvthis) != 0 ? na : color.maroon
lopc = change(pvtlos) != 0 ? na : color.green
// Display Pivot lines
plot((maxLvlLen == 0 or counthi < maxLvlLen) ? pvthis : na, color=hipc, transp=0, linewidth=1, offset=-pvtLenR-Shunt, title="Top Levels")
plot((maxLvlLen == 0 or countlo < maxLvlLen) ? pvtlos : na, color=lopc, transp=0, linewidth=1, offset=-pvtLenR-Shunt, title="Bottom Levels")
plot((maxLvlLen == 0 or counthi < maxLvlLen) ? pvthis : na, color=hipc, transp=0, linewidth=1, offset=0, title="Top Levels 2")
plot((maxLvlLen == 0 or countlo < maxLvlLen) ? pvtlos : na, color=lopc, transp=0, linewidth=1, offset=0, title="Bottom Levels 2")
// Stop Levels
stopBuff = input(0.0, minval=-2, title="Stop Loss Buffer off Swing Low (%)")
stopPerc = stopBuff*.01 // Turn stop buffer input into a percentage
stopLevel = valuewhen(pvtlo_, low[pvtLenR], 0) //Stop Level at Swing Low
stopLevel2 = stopLevel - stopLevel*stopPerc // Stop Level with user-defined buffer to avoid stop hunts and give breathing room
plot(stopLevel2, style=plot.style_line, color=color.orange, show_last=1, linewidth=1, transp=50, trackprice=true)
buyLevel = valuewhen(pvthi_, high[pvtLenR], 0) //Buy level at Swing High
buyLevel2 = buyLevel + buyLevel*stopPerc // Buy-stop level with user-defined buffer to avoid stop hunts and give breathing room
plot(buyLevel2, style=plot.style_line, color=color.blue, show_last=1, linewidth=1, transp=50, trackprice=true)
// Conditions for entry and exit
buySignal = high > buyLevel2
buy = buySignal and time > Start and time < Finish and buyLevel2 > maFilterCheck // All these conditions need to be met to buy
sellSignal = low < stopLevel2 // Code to act like a stop-loss for the Study
// (STRATEGY ONLY) Comment out for Study
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, stop = buyLevel2, when = buyLevel2 > maFilterCheck)
strategy.exit("Exit Long", from_entry = "Long", stop=stopLevel2)
// == (STUDY ONLY) Comment out for Strategy ==
// Check if in position or not
inPosition = bool(na)
inPosition := buy[1] ? true : sellSignal[1] ? false : inPosition[1]
flat = bool(na)
flat := not inPosition
buyStudy = buy and flat
sellStudy = sellSignal and inPosition
//Plot indicators on chart and set up alerts for Study
plotshape(buyStudy, style = shape.triangleup, location = location.belowbar, color = #1E90FF, text = "Buy")
plotshape(sellStudy, style = shape.triangledown, location = location.abovebar, color = #EE82EE, text = "Sell")
alertcondition(buyStudy, title='Trend Change Follower Buy', message='Trend Change Follower Buy')
// Color background when trade active (for easier visual on what charts are OK to enter on)
tradeBackground = input(title="Color Background for Trades?", type=input.bool, defval=true)
tradeBackgroundColor = tradeBackground and inPosition ? #00FF00 : na
bgcolor(tradeBackgroundColor, transp=95)
noTradeBackgroundColor = tradeBackground and flat ? #FF0000 : na
bgcolor(noTradeBackgroundColor, transp=90)