ChaoZhang
概要
AlphaTradingBotは,ジグザグ指数とフィボナッチ数列に基づいた日内取引戦略である.この戦略は,市場の高点 (HH) と低点 (LL) を識別してトレンドを判断し,フィボナッチの引き下げと拡張を組み合わせて入場点,ストップとストップを設定する.この戦略は,設定された日間の範囲内でのみ動作し,それぞれ多額の値と空白の値が作られ,一定のトレンド把握能力と損率のコントロールがある.
戦略原則
- ジグザグ指数は,市場の高点 (HH),低点 (LL),高い低点 (HL) および低い高点 (LH) を識別する.
- HHが出現すると,上昇傾向としてスタートし,多額の機会を探し始める.LLが出現すると,下降傾向としてスタートし,空調機会を探し始める.
- 上昇傾向では,HLが発生した場合,HLとLLの形成区間を多頭フィボナッチの引き戻し区間として使用する.価格が突破前高であれば,引き戻し23.6%-38.2% (設定可能) の間の領域で多項を開く.止損は61.8%の引き戻しで設定され,止まりはRR (設定可能) で計算される.
- 下降傾向では,LHが発生した場合,LHと前HHの形成区間を空頭のフィボナッチ逆戻り区間として用いる.価格が突破前低であれば,逆戻り61.8%-76.4% (設定可能) の間の領域で空席を開き,ストップロスは逆戻り38.2%で設定され,ストップはRR値で計算される (設定可能).
- 注文管理:シグナルごとに1つの注文のみ開設し,その注文が平定するまで.単一の損失が口座総額のX%に達した場合 (設定可能),戦略は停止する.
優位分析
- 傾向を追跡する能力が強い.Zigzagは,トレンドを効果的に識別し,トレンドの初期に介入することができます.
- 撤回論理が明確である。フィボナッチの撤回を活用して入場区間を設定し,トレンドの撤回時に介入し,勝率は比較的高い。
- リスク管理. 単一の最大損失比率を設定することで,各取引のリスクを制御し,厳格な止損制度は,総リスクを管理することを保証します.
- 利回り比率は最適化できる.市場特性と個人の好みに応じてRR値を調整して戦略を最適化する利回り比率は.
リスク分析
- 頻繁に取引する. Zigzagの高い感度により,頻繁に信号が発生し,過剰取引を引き起こす可能性があります.
- 傾向把握は不正確である。ジグザグの判断の傾向は依然として偏りがあり,入場タイミングが理想的ではない。
- 振動の状況では,この戦略は多くの損失取引を生む可能性があります.
- 実行周期は制限されている. 策略は指定された日付区間内でのみ実行され,部分的な動作を逃す可能性がある.
最適化の方向
- MA,MACDなどの技術指標の導入により,トレンド判断の精度が向上する.
- ポジション管理の最適化,ATRなどの指標に基づいてポジションの動的調整.
- ストップ・ストップ・ロジックの最適化,例えば市場の変動率に合わせてストップ・ロズーを動的に調整する.
- 市場情緒指標を導入し,極端に楽観的または悲観的であれば入場を避ける.
- 戦略の普及を図る日程制限の緩和
要約する
AlphaTradingBotは,ジグザグ指標とフィボナッチ逆戻りに基づくトレンド追跡日内戦略である.これは,高低点によってトレンドを判断し,トレンドが逆戻りしたときに入場し,より高い勝率と損益率を追求する.この戦略の優点は,トレンド把握能力が強く,逆戻りロジックは明確で,リスクは測定可能である,しかし同時に,過度取引,トレンド判断偏差,振動走行情勢の不良なども存在する.将来,技術指標,ポジション管理,ストップ・ロス,市場情緒などの観点からこの戦略を最適化して,戦略の安定性と収益性を向上させることができる.
ストラテジーソースコード
/*backtest
start: 2024-04-20 00:00:00
end: 2024-04-27 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © javierfish
//@version=5
strategy(title = 'Augusto Bot v1.2', shorttitle='🤑 🤖 v1.2', overlay = true, pyramiding=0, initial_capital=100000, default_qty_value=1)
lb = input.int(5, title='Pivot Bars Count', minval=1)
rb = lb
var color supcol = color.lime
var color rescol = color.red
// srlinestyle = line.style_dotted
srlinewidth = 1
changebarcol = true
bcolup = color.blue
bcoldn = color.black
intDesde = input(timestamp('2023-01-01T00:00:00'), 'Desde', group='Rango de fechas')
intHasta = input(timestamp('2023-12-31T23:59:59'), 'Hasta', group='Rango de fechas')
blnFechas = true
blnShorts = input.bool(false, " Shorts", group="Trading", tooltip = 'Checked = Shorts. No Checked = Longs')
blnLongs = not blnShorts
pctRisk = input.float(1, 'Riesgo %', 0.1, 100,step = .1, group='Trading', tooltip = 'Porcentaje del total de su cuenta que está dispuesto a arriesgar en cada trade')
RR = input.float(2, 'Ratio de Ganancia X', 1, 10, .5, tooltip = 'Proporción de Take Profit contra Stop Loss', group='Trading')
retro = input.float(40, 'Retroceso %', 1, 100, 10, tooltip = 'Porcentaje de Fibonacci que debe alcanzar el precio para considerar un retroceso', group='Fibonacci')
fibSL = input.float(72, 'Stop Loss %', 1, 100, 5, tooltip = 'Porcentaje de Fibonacci que debe alcanzar el precio para considerar perdido un trade', group='Fibonacci')
blnDebug = input.bool(false, 'Debug', tooltip = 'Mostrar información de depuración como estatus y línea de tendencia')
showsupres = blnDebug
blnEnLong = strategy.position_size > 0
blnEnShort = strategy.position_size < 0
blnEnTrade = blnEnLong or blnEnShort
ph = ta.pivothigh(lb, rb)
pl = ta.pivotlow(lb, rb)
iff_1 = pl ? -1 : na // Trend direction
hl = ph ? 1 : iff_1
iff_2 = pl ? pl : na // similar to zigzag but may have multiple highs/lows
zz = ph ? ph : iff_2
valuewhen_1 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_2 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
zz := pl and hl == -1 and valuewhen_1 == -1 and pl > valuewhen_2 ? na : zz
valuewhen_3 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_4 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
zz := ph and hl == 1 and valuewhen_3 == 1 and ph < valuewhen_4 ? na : zz
valuewhen_5 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_6 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
hl := hl == -1 and valuewhen_5 == 1 and zz > valuewhen_6 ? na : hl
valuewhen_7 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_8 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
hl := hl == 1 and valuewhen_7 == -1 and zz < valuewhen_8 ? na : hl
zz := na(hl) ? na : zz
findprevious() => // finds previous three points (b, c, d, e)
float loc1 = na
float loc2 = na
float loc3 = na
float loc4 = na
if not na(hl)
ehl = hl == 1 ? -1 : 1
loc1 := 0.0
loc2 := 0.0
loc3 := 0.0
loc4 := 0.0
xx = 0
for x = 1 to 1000 by 1
if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
loc1 := zz[x]
xx := x + 1
break
ehl := hl
for x = xx to 1000 by 1
if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
loc2 := zz[x]
xx := x + 1
break
ehl := hl == 1 ? -1 : 1
for x = xx to 1000 by 1
if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
loc3 := zz[x]
xx := x + 1
break
ehl := hl
for x = xx to 1000 by 1
if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
loc4 := zz[x]
break
[loc1, loc2, loc3, loc4]
[loc1, loc2, loc3, loc4] = findprevious()
a = fixnan(zz)
b = loc1
c = loc2
d = loc3
e = loc4
_hh = zz and a > b and a > c and c > b and c > d
_ll = zz and a < b and a < c and c < b and c < d
_hl = zz and (a >= c and b > c and b > d and d > c and d > e or a < b and a > c and b < d)
_lh = zz and (a <= c and b < c and b < d and d < c and d < e or a > b and a < c and b > d)
plotshape(blnDebug and _hl, text='HL', title='Higher Low', style=shape.labelup, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.new(color.black, 0), location=location.belowbar, offset=-rb)
plotshape(blnDebug and _hh, text='HH', title='Higher High', style=shape.labeldown, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.new(color.black, 0), location=location.abovebar, offset=-rb)
plotshape(blnDebug and _ll, text='LL', title='Lower Low', style=shape.labelup, color=color.red, textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.belowbar, offset=-rb)
plotshape(blnDebug and _lh, text='LH', title='Lower High', style=shape.labeldown, color=color.red, textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.abovebar, offset=-rb)
float res = na
float sup = na
res := _lh ? zz : res[1]
sup := _hl ? zz : sup[1]
int trend = na
iff_3 = close < sup ? -1 : nz(trend[1])
trend := close > res ? 1 : iff_3
res := trend == 1 and _hh or trend == -1 and _lh ? zz : res
sup := trend == 1 and _hl or trend == -1 and _ll ? zz : sup
rechange = res != res[1]
suchange = sup != sup[1]
var line resline = na
var line supline = na
if showsupres
if rechange
line.set_x2(resline, bar_index)
line.set_extend(resline, extend=extend.none)
resline := line.new(x1=bar_index - rb, y1=res, x2=bar_index, y2=res, color=rescol, extend=extend.right, width=srlinewidth)
resline
if suchange
line.set_x2(supline, bar_index)
line.set_extend(supline, extend=extend.none)
supline := line.new(x1=bar_index - rb, y1=sup, x2=bar_index, y2=sup, color=supcol, extend=extend.right, width=srlinewidth)
supline
iff_4 = trend == 1 ? bcolup : bcoldn
barcolor(color=changebarcol and blnDebug ? iff_4 : na)
usdCalcRisk = strategy.equity * pctRisk / 100
usdRisk = usdCalcRisk > 0 ? usdCalcRisk : 0
blnOrder = strategy.opentrades > 0
var entryPrice = close
var hhVal = high
var lhVal = high
var hlVal = low
var llVal = low
var longTP = high
var longSL = low
var shortTP = low
var shortSL = high
var lowest = low
var highest = high
var status = 0
var closedTrades = strategy.closedtrades
var currSignal = ''
var prevSignal = currSignal
if _hh
hhVal := a
prevSignal := currSignal
currSignal := 'HH'
else if _lh
lhVal := a
prevSignal := currSignal
currSignal := 'LH'
else if _hl
hlVal := a
prevSignal := currSignal
currSignal := 'HL'
else if _ll
llVal := a
prevSignal := currSignal
currSignal := 'LL'
fibo(fibTop, fibLow) =>
diff = fibTop - fibLow
fib50 = 0.0
if status % 2 == 1 // Estatus pares son longs
fib50 := fibLow + (diff * (1 - (retro / 100))) // Longs
else
fib50 := fibLow + (diff * (retro / 100))
fib70UP = fibLow + (diff * (1 - (fibSL / 100))) // Fibo 61.8% up
fib70DW = fibLow + (diff * (fibSL / 100)) // Fibo 61.8% down
[fib50, fib70UP, fib70DW]
currLowest = ta.lowest(low, lb + 1) // El menor low de las últimas n barras
currHighest = ta.highest(high, lb + 1) // El mayor high de las últimas n barras
// status 0. En espera de un LL para longs o un HH para shorts
if status == 0 and blnFechas
closedTrades := strategy.closedtrades
if _ll and blnLongs
status := 1
else if _hh and blnShorts
status := 2
// -------- LONGS --------
// status 1. Longs. En espera de un nuevo nivel superior (HH o LH)
else if status == 1
closedTrades := strategy.closedtrades
if _hh or _lh
highest := currHighest
else if _hl
lowest := currLowest
if high > highest
status := 5
highest := high
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
if low <= entryPrice and close <= open // Si la vela roja que rebasó el reciente nivel superior también cruzó el precio de entrada se ingresa a un trade inmediatamente
entryPrice := close
longSL := fibUP // Reajuste de SL para long
diff = entryPrice - longSL
longTP := entryPrice + diff * RR // Reajuste de TP para long
lotSize = usdRisk / diff
if entryPrice > longSL
strategy.entry('🚀 1', strategy.long, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'long ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(longTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(longSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
strategy.exit('lx', '🚀 1', limit = longTP, stop = longSL, comment_loss = '💥', comment_profit = '✅', alert_message = 'bal')
else
status := 3
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
else if low < llVal
status := 0
// status 3. Longs. En espera de que aparezca un HL
else if status == 3
if _hl
lowest := currLowest
if _lh or _ll or low < hlVal
strategy.cancel_all()
status := _ll ? 1 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo LL comienza a formarse un nuevo setup alcista
else if high > highest
status := 5
highest := high
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
if low <= entryPrice
entryPrice := close
longSL := fibUP // Reajuste de SL para long
diff = entryPrice - longSL
longTP := entryPrice + diff * RR // Reajuste de TP para long
lotSize = usdRisk / diff
if not blnEnLong and entryPrice > longSL
strategy.cancel_all()
strategy.entry('🚀 3', strategy.long, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'long ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(longTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(longSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
strategy.exit('lx', '🚀 3', limit = longTP, stop = longSL, comment_loss = '💥', comment_profit = '✅', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 5. Longs. Crecimiento del fibo en espera de que se rebase el nivel superior y se toque el entry price para entrar a un trade
else if status == 5
if strategy.closedtrades > closedTrades // Caso trade abre y cierra en una misma vela
status := 0
else if blnEnLong
status := 7
else if _lh or _ll or low < llVal // Caso invalidación por nuevo bajo nivel
strategy.cancel_all()
status := _ll ? 1 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo LL comienza a formarse un nuevo setup alcista
else if high > highest // Caso de rebase de niveles superiores
highest := high
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
longSL := fibUP // Reajuste de SL para long
diff = entryPrice - longSL
longTP := entryPrice + diff * RR // Reajuste de TP para long
lotSize = usdRisk / diff
if not blnEnLong and entryPrice > longSL // Orden limit de long con su TP y SL
strategy.cancel_all()
strategy.entry('🚀 5', strategy.long, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'long ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(longTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(longSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
strategy.exit('lx', '🚀 5', limit = longTP, stop = longSL, comment_loss = '💥', comment_profit = '✅', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 7. Longs. En espera que finalice el trade
else if status == 7
blnOrder := false
if not blnEnLong
strategy.cancel_all()
if currSignal == 'HH' and blnShorts // Si se finaliza un trade e inmediatamente se presenta un HH debe comenzarse la formación de un setup bajista
status := 2
else
status := 0
// -------- SHORTS --------
// status 2. Shorts. En espera de un nuevo nivel inferior (LL o HL)
else if status == 2
closedTrades := strategy.closedtrades
if _ll or _hl
lowest := currLowest
else if _lh
highest := currHighest
if low < lowest
status := 6
lowest := low
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
if high >= entryPrice and close > open // Si la vela verde que rebasó el reciente nivel inferior tambien cruzó el precio de entrada se ingresa a un trade inmediatamente
entryPrice := close
shortSL := fibDW
diff = shortSL - entryPrice
shortTP := entryPrice - diff * RR
lotSize = usdRisk / diff
if entryPrice < shortSL
strategy.entry('🐻 2', strategy.short, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'short ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(shortTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(shortSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
strategy.exit('sx', '🐻 2', limit = shortTP, stop = shortSL, comment_loss = '☠️', comment_profit = '❎', alert_message = 'bal')
else
status := 4
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
else if high > hhVal
status := 0
// status 4. Shorts. En espera de que aparezca un LH
else if status == 4
if _lh
highest := currHighest
if _hl or _hh or high > lhVal
strategy.cancel_all()
status := _hh ? 2 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo HH comienza a formarse un nuevo setup bajista
else if low < lowest
status := 6
lowest := low
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
if high >= entryPrice
entryPrice := close
shortSL := fibDW
diff = shortSL - entryPrice
shortTP := entryPrice - diff * RR
lotSize = usdRisk / diff
if not blnEnShort and entryPrice < shortSL
strategy.cancel_all()
strategy.entry('🐻 4', strategy.short, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'short ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(shortTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(shortSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
strategy.exit('sx', '🐻 4', limit = shortTP, stop = shortSL, comment_loss = '☠️', comment_profit = '❎', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 6. Shorts. Crecimiento del fibo en espera de que se rebase el nivel inferior y se toque el entry price para entrar a un trade
else if status == 6
if strategy.closedtrades > closedTrades // Caso trade abre y cierra en una misma vela
status := 0
else if blnEnShort
status := 8
else if _hl or _hh or high > hhVal
strategy.cancel_all()
status := _hh ? 2 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo HH comienza a formarse un nuevo setup bajista
else if low < lowest // Caso de rebase de niveles inferiores
lowest := low
[fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
entryPrice := fib50
shortSL := fibDW
diff = shortSL - entryPrice
shortTP := entryPrice - diff * RR
lotSize = usdRisk / diff
if entryPrice < shortSL
strategy.cancel_all()
strategy.entry('🐻 6', strategy.short, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'short ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(shortTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(shortSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
strategy.exit('sx', '🐻 6', limit = shortTP, stop = shortSL, comment_loss = '☠️', comment_profit = '❎', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 8. Shorts. En espera que finalice el trade
else if status == 8
blnOrder := false
if not blnEnShort
strategy.cancel_all()
if currSignal == 'LL' and blnLongs // Si inmediatamente después de finalizar un trade existe un LL debe comenzarse un setup alcista
status := 1
else
status := 0
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 0 and blnFechas, '0', '0', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 1 and blnFechas, '1', '1', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 2 and blnFechas, '2', '2', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 3 and blnFechas, '3', '3', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 4 and blnFechas, '4', '4', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 5 and blnFechas, '5', '5', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 6 and blnFechas, '6', '6', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 7 and blnFechas, '7', '7', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 8 and blnFechas, '8', '8', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plot(highest, 'highest', (status == 5 or status[1] == 5) and blnLongs ? color.new(color.orange, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(entryPrice, 'entryPrice', (status == 5 or status[1] == 5) and blnLongs ?color.new(color.white, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(lowest, 'lowest', (status == 3 or status == 5 or status[1] == 5) and blnLongs ? color.new(color.yellow, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(lowest, 'currLowest', (status == 6 or status[1] == 6) and blnShorts ? color.new(color.orange, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(entryPrice, 'currEntryPrice', (status == 6 or status[1] == 6) and blnShorts ?color.new(color.white, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(highest, 'currHighest', (status == 4 or status == 6 or status[1] == 6) and blnShorts ?color.new(color.yellow, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
exitLong = barstate.isconfirmed and blnEnLong and time >= intHasta
exitShort = barstate.isconfirmed and blnEnShort and time >= intHasta
if exitLong
strategy.cancel_all()
strategy.close_all(comment = close > strategy.position_avg_price ? '✅' : '💥')
status := 0
if exitShort
strategy.cancel_all()
strategy.close_all(comment = close < strategy.position_avg_price ? '❎' : '☠️')
status := 0
plot(zz, 'Zigzag', blnDebug ? color.white : na, offset = lb * -1)
rayaTradeLong = strategy.position_size == strategy.position_size[1] and (strategy.position_size > 0) and blnLongs
tpPlLong = plot(longTP, color = rayaTradeLong ? color.teal : na)
epPlLong = plot(entryPrice, color= rayaTradeLong ? color.white : na)
slPlLong = plot(longSL, color = rayaTradeLong ? color.maroon : na)
fill(tpPlLong, epPlLong, color= rayaTradeLong ? color.new(color.teal, 85) : na)
fill(epPlLong, slPlLong, color= rayaTradeLong ? color.new(color.maroon, 85) : na)
rayaTradeShort = strategy.position_size == strategy.position_size[1] and strategy.position_size < 0 and blnShorts
tpPlShort = plot(shortTP, color = rayaTradeShort ? color.teal : na)
epPlShort = plot(entryPrice, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.white : na)
slPlShort = plot(shortSL, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.maroon : na)
fill(tpPlShort, epPlShort, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.new(color.teal, 85) : na)
fill(epPlShort, slPlShort, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.new(color.maroon, 85) : na)