Strategi Pembelian Belakang

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2023-10-09 14:53:02
Tag:

Ringkasan

Strategi beli yang mengikuti adalah strategi yang mengikuti trend. Apabila purata bergerak pantas melintasi purata bergerak perlahan, ia mencetuskan isyarat kedudukan terbuka. Tidak seperti kedudukan pembukaan secara langsung, strategi ini tidak akan memasuki pasaran dengan segera selepas isyarat kedudukan terbuka dicetuskan, tetapi akan melaksanakan pesanan beli hanya apabila harga mencapai keadaan tertentu. Ini dapat meningkatkan keuntungan strategi hingga tahap tertentu.

Prinsip-prinsip

Strategi ini berdasarkan sistem persilangan purata bergerak dengan dua purata bergerak. purata bergerak pantas dan purata bergerak perlahan dikira masing-masing. Apabila purata bergerak pantas melintasi purata bergerak perlahan, isyarat panjang dihasilkan.

Logik pelaksanaan akan berbeza apabila opsyen beli trailing diaktifkan:

  1. Apabila isyarat panjang dicetuskan, bukannya membeli secara langsung, rakam harga terendah pada masa itu.

  2. Kemudian kira ambang harga beli mengikut peratusan pembelian terakhir, iaitu harga terendah * (1 + peratusan).

  3. Dalam bar seterusnya, terus bandingkan harga terendah bar semasa dengan ambang harga beli.

  4. Apabila harga terendah melintasi ambang harga beli, pelaksanaan pesanan beli.

  5. Dengan cara ini, kita boleh memasuki pasaran pada titik harga yang lebih baik selepas trend itu disahkan.

Analisis Kelebihan

Kelebihan strategi ini ialah:

  1. Menggunakan beli yang mengikuti boleh mengelakkan risiko pecah palsu dengan memasuki pasaran selepas trend menjadi lebih jelas.

  2. Melalui pembelian, harga yang lebih baik dapat dicapai, meningkatkan keuntungan hingga tahap tertentu.

  3. Strategi ini mudah dan mudah dilaksanakan.

  4. Peratusan langkah pembelian terakhir boleh disesuaikan, menjadikan strategi lebih fleksibel.

  5. Tempoh purata bergerak boleh disesuaikan untuk menyesuaikan diri dengan persekitaran pasaran yang berbeza.

Analisis Risiko

Terdapat juga beberapa risiko dalam strategi ini:

  1. Membeli di belakang boleh menyebabkan kelewatan dan kehilangan peluang untuk masuk.

  2. Penentuan peratusan kenaikan pembelian yang tidak betul boleh menyebabkan ketidakupayaan untuk membeli.

  3. Tempoh purata bergerak yang tidak betul boleh menghasilkan lebih banyak isyarat palsu.

  4. Strategi ini mungkin mengalami kerugian yang teruk di pasaran yang berbeza.

  5. Ini adalah strategi yang mudah dengan ruang untuk pengoptimuman parameter.

Langkah-langkah yang sepadan:

  1. Memperpendekkan peratusan langkah pembelian dengan betul untuk mengurangkan kelewatan.

  2. Uji seting peratusan yang berbeza untuk mencari yang optimum.

  3. Mengoptimumkan tempoh purata bergerak untuk menyesuaikan pasaran.

  4. Tambah penapis lain untuk mengelakkan pasaran yang berbeza.

  5. Pertimbangkan untuk menambah stop loss untuk mengurangkan kerugian.

Arahan pengoptimuman

Strategi ini boleh dioptimumkan ke arah berikut:

  1. Tambah penunjuk harga-volume seperti Klinger untuk mengelakkan ketidaksesuaian harga-volume.

  2. Tambah penilaian keadaan jumlah, hanya membeli apabila jumlah berkembang.

  3. Mengoptimumkan tempoh purata bergerak untuk produk yang berbeza.

  4. Tambah penunjuk turun naik untuk mengelakkan zon julat.

  5. Tambah ATR stop loss.

  6. Pertimbangkan untuk membuat peratusan melonjak dinamik, melonjak lebih cepat apabila trend lebih jelas.

Kesimpulan

Ringkasnya, strategi beli yang mengikuti meningkatkan strategi dengan mengikuti harga ke titik kemasukan yang lebih baik sambil menyimpannya sederhana. Tetapi masih ada beberapa risiko dalam strategi ini yang memerlukan pengoptimuman lanjut untuk menyesuaikan diri dengan lebih banyak situasi pasaran. Secara keseluruhan, strategi ini memberikan idea yang layak rujukan untuk perdagangan kuantitatif.


/*backtest
start: 2023-10-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-10-08 00:00:00
period: 5m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ 
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//  Copyright 2022 Iason Nikolas | jason5480
//  Trailing Buy script may be freely distributed under the MIT license.
//
//  Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, 
//  to any person obtaining a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), 
//  to deal in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, 
//  publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, 
//  subject to the following conditions:
//
//  The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software.
//
//  THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, 
//  EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, 
//  FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, 
//  DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, 
//  OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.
//
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
//  Authors:  @jason5480
//  Revision: v1.0.0
//  Date:     15-Feb-2022
//
//  Description
//  =============================================================================
//  This strategy will go long if fast MA crosses over slow MA.
//  If the trailing buy is checked then the strategy instead of entering into the position
//  directly it will follow the price downwards (percentagewise) with small steps
//  If the price raise by this percentage then the entry order will be executed
//
//  The strategy has the following parameters:
//
//  Fast SMA Length - How many candles back to calculte the fast SMA.
//  Slow SMA Length - How many candles back to calculte the slow SMA.
//  Enable Trailing - Enable or disable the trailing
//  Training Buy Deviation % - The step to follow the price when the open position condition is met.
//  Source Buy - The price to compare the current buyPrice in order to trigger the buy order when trailing
//  
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//  Disclaimer:
//    1. I am not licensed financial advisors or broker dealer. I do not tell you 
//       when or what to buy or sell. I developed this software which enables you 
//       execute manual or automated using TradingView. The 
//       software allows you to set the criteria you want for entering and exiting 
//       trades.
//    2. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
//    3. I do not guarantee consistent profits or that anyone can make money with no 
//       effort. And I am not selling the holy grail.
//    4. Every system can have winning and losing streaks.
//    5. Money management plays a large role in the results of your trading. For 
//       example: lot size, account size, broker leverage, and broker margin call 
//       rules all have an effect on results. Also, your Take Profit and Stop Loss 
//       settings for individual pair trades and for overall account equity have a 
//       major impact on results. If you are new to trading and do not understand 
//       these items, then I recommend you seek education materials to further your
//       knowledge.
//
//    YOU NEED TO FIND AND USE THE TRADING SYSTEM THAT WORKS BEST FOR YOU AND YOUR 
//    TRADING TOLERANCE.
//
//    I HAVE PROVIDED NOTHING MORE THAN A TOOL WITH OPTIONS FOR YOU TO TRADE WITH THIS PROGRAM ON TRADINGVIEW.
//    
//    I accept suggestions to improve the script.
//    If you encounter any problems I will be happy to share with me.
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// SETUP ============================================================================================================

strategy(title = 'Trailing Buy',
         shorttitle = 'TB',
         overlay = true,
         pyramiding = 0,
         default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity,
         default_qty_value = 100,
         initial_capital = 100000)

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// FILTERS ==========================================================================================================

// INPUT ============================================================================================================
usefromDate = input.bool(defval = true, title = 'From', inline = "From Date", group = "Filters")
fromDate = input(defval = timestamp('01 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC'), title = '', inline = "From Date", group = 'Filters')
usetoDate = input.bool(defval = false, title = 'To ', inline = "To Date", group = "Filters")
toDate = input(defval = timestamp('31 Dec 2121 23:59 UTC'), title = '', inline = "To Date", group = 'Filters')

// LOGIC ============================================================================================================
isWithinPeriod() => true

// PLOT =============================================================================================================
bgcolor(color = isWithinPeriod() ? color.new(color.gray, 90) : na, title = 'Period')

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// STRATEGY =========================================================================================================

// INPUT ============================================================================================================
fastMALen = input.int(defval = 21, title = 'Fast/Slow SMA Length', inline = 'MA Length', group = 'Strategy')
slowMALen = input.int(defval = 49, title = '', tooltip = 'How many candles back to calculte the fast/slow SMA.', inline = 'MA Length', group = 'Strategy')

// LOGIC ============================================================================================================
fastMA = ta.sma(close, fastMALen)
slowMA = ta.sma(close, slowMALen)

bool openLongPosition = isWithinPeriod() and ta.crossover(fastMA, slowMA)
bool closeLongPosition = ta.crossunder(fastMA, slowMA)

bool longIsActive = openLongPosition or strategy.position_size > 0

// PLOT =============================================================================================================
var fastColor = color.new(#0056BD, 0)
plot(series = fastMA, title = 'Fast SMA', color = fastColor, linewidth = 1, style = plot.style_line)
var slowColor = color.new(#FF6A00, 0)
plot(series = slowMA, title = 'Slow SMA', color = slowColor, linewidth = 1, style = plot.style_line)

plotshape(series = openLongPosition and strategy.position_size <= 0 ? fastMA : na, title = 'Buy', text = 'Buy', style = shape.labelup, location = location.absolute, color = color.new(color.green, 0), textcolor = color.new(color.white, 0), size = size.tiny)

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// BUY ==============================================================================================================

// INPUT ============================================================================================================
enableTrailing = input.bool(defval = true, title = 'Enable Trailing', tooltip = 'Enable or disable the trailing for buy.', group = 'Buy')
trailingBuyDeviationPerc = input.float(defval = 4.0, title = 'Trailing Buy Deviation %', minval = 0.01, maxval = 100, step = 0.05, tooltip = 'The step to follow the price when the open position condition is met.', group = 'Buy') / 100
srcBuy = input.source(defval = high, title = 'Source Buy', tooltip = 'The price to check to trigger the buy order', group = 'Buy')

// LOGIC ============================================================================================================
int barsSinceOpenLong = nz(ta.barssince(openLongPosition), 999999)
int barsSinceCloseLong = nz(ta.barssince(closeLongPosition), 999999)
bool tryOpenLongPosition = isWithinPeriod() and barsSinceCloseLong >= barsSinceOpenLong and not (strategy.position_size > 0)

float longBuyPrice = na
longBuyPrice := if openLongPosition and not (strategy.position_size > 0)
    low * (1 + trailingBuyDeviationPerc)
else if tryOpenLongPosition
    math.min(low * (1 + trailingBuyDeviationPerc), nz(longBuyPrice[1], 999999))
else
    na

bool executeLongPosition = enableTrailing ? isWithinPeriod() and srcBuy > longBuyPrice : openLongPosition

// PLOT =============================================================================================================
var buyColor = color.new(#419388, 0)
plot(series = enableTrailing ? longBuyPrice : na, title = 'Long Buy Price', color = buyColor, linewidth = 1, style = plot.style_linebr, offset = 1)

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// POSITION ORDERS ==================================================================================================

// LOGIC ============================================================================================================
// getting into LONG position
strategy.entry(id = 'Long Entry', direction = strategy.long, when = executeLongPosition, alert_message = 'Long(' + syminfo.ticker + '): Started')
// submit close order on trend reversal
strategy.close(id = 'Long Entry', when = closeLongPosition, comment = 'Close Long', alert_message = 'Long(' + syminfo.ticker + '): Closed at market price')

// PLOT =============================================================================================================
var posColor = color.new(color.white, 0)
plot(series = strategy.position_avg_price, title = 'Position', color = posColor, linewidth = 1, style = plot.style_linebr)

// ==================================================================================================================

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