Strategi ambil untung mengikut arah aliran dan henti rugi mengekori
ChaoZhang
Gambaran keseluruhan
Trend Tracking Stop Tracking Stop adalah strategi perdagangan kuantitatif yang menggabungkan trend tracking, partial stop, dan full stop tracking untuk menangkap trend kenaikan harga dalam pasaran lembu dan mengambil keuntungan dengan menggunakan smart stop, sambil menggunakan tracking stop untuk mengawal risiko turun.
Prinsip Strategi
Strategi ini menggunakan rata-rata bergerak cepat dan garpu emas rata-rata bergerak perlahan sebagai isyarat membeli. Apabila rata-rata bergerak cepat merentasi rata-rata bergerak perlahan, menunjukkan bahawa trend kenaikan harga terbentuk, strategi ini akan membuka lebih banyak kedudukan.
Selepas itu, strategi akan menetapkan harga hentian, yang sama dengan harga bukaan kedudukan kalikan dengan perkadaran hentian yang ditetapkan. Apabila harga mencapai harga hentian, strategi akan terpadam sebahagian dan menjual 50% kedudukan secara lalai. Ini mewujudkan hentian separa dan mengunci sebahagian keuntungan.
Kemudian, strategi ini juga akan memulakan mekanisme penghentian trend. Apabila harga terus meningkat, harga penghentian akan mengikuti harga dengan kadar trailingTakeProfitDeviationPerc yang ditetapkan. Ini membolehkan harga penghentian untuk mengikuti trend kenaikan harga, untuk mencapai penghentian trend.
Pada masa yang sama, strategi juga akan memulakan pengesanan berhenti. Apabila harga mencapai harga berhenti, harga berhenti akan mula bergerak ke arah yang lebih tinggi, ia sentiasa dikekalkan pada tahap yang tinggi untuk menetapkan perkadaran penurunan berhenti. Ini membolehkan harga berhenti untuk bergerak ke arah yang lebih tinggi, sehingga dapat mengunci lebih banyak keuntungan, dan juga mengawal risiko turun.
Apabila harga berlaku penyesuaian semula, strategi akan berhenti menjejaki jika harga berhenti, dan teruskan seluruh kedudukan yang tersisa di harga pasaran. Dengan ini, keseluruhan kitaran perdagangan selesai.
Analisis kelebihan
Strategi ini menggabungkan pelbagai fungsi seperti trend tracking, partial stop, dan full stop tracking dan mempunyai kelebihan berikut:
- Ia juga boleh digunakan untuk mengesan pergerakan harga yang lebih tinggi dengan tepat dan memberi isyarat pembelian.
- Mekanisme penangguhan sebahagian membolehkan sebahagian keuntungan dikunci dan tidak dikumpulkan sepenuhnya;
- Mekanisme penangguhan trend membolehkan harga penangguhan untuk mengimbangi kenaikan harga;
- Apabila anda mengaktifkan tracker stop loss, anda boleh mengunci lebih banyak keuntungan dan mengawal risiko penurunan.
- Parameter strategi boleh dikonfigurasi dan boleh disesuaikan dengan tahap risiko yang boleh diterima.
Analisis risiko
Strategi ini juga mempunyai risiko, terutamanya dalam aspek berikut:
- Harga mungkin turun dengan ketara selepas pembelian, tidak dapat dihentikan atau dihentikan, menyebabkan kerugian meningkat;
- Pada penghujung trend, harga stop loss tidak dapat dikesan dengan tepat dan mungkin terlepas titik stop terbaik.
- Harga Stop Loss ditetapkan terlalu lebar, dan penurunan harga yang teruk menyebabkan kerugian yang terlalu besar;
- Ia boleh menyebabkan frekuensi dagangan yang terlalu tinggi, kos dagangan yang tinggi, dan kehilangan slippage yang tinggi.
Oleh itu, terdapat beberapa aspek yang boleh dioptimumkan dan diperbaiki:
- Menetapkan parameter purata bergerak yang munasabah untuk mengelakkan isyarat yang salah;
- Menurunkan risiko dengan mengurangkan peratusan penghentian yang sesuai;
- Memperketat markah hentian kerugian dengan sewajarnya, mengawal kerugian tunggal;
- Sesuaikan parameter nisbah langkah untuk mengoptimumkan kesan pengesanan berhenti.
Arah pengoptimuman
Strategi ini masih boleh dioptimumkan lagi:
- Ia juga boleh digunakan untuk mengkaji lebih lanjut mengenai trend dan mengelakkan penembusan palsu.
- Menambah modul pengurusan kedudukan untuk saiz kedudukan yang lebih munasabah;
- Menambah mekanisme penyesuaian dinamik hentian dan hentian untuk membuat parameter lebih automatik;
- Menambah mekanisme penapisan untuk mengelakkan salah urus niaga dalam varieti bertenaga tinggi.
Pengoptimuman ini boleh menjadikan strategi lebih stabil, lebih berkesan, dan meningkatkan prestasi.
ringkaskan
Strategi berhenti kehilangan trend track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track track
/*backtest
start: 2023-11-10 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-18 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=4
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Copyright 2021 Iason Nikolas | jason5480
// Trainiling Take Profit Trailing Stop Loss script may be freely distributed under the MIT license.
//
// Permission is hereby granted, free of charge,
// to any person obtaining a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"),
// to deal in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge,
// publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so,
// subject to the following conditions:
//
// The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software.
//
// THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND,
// EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
// FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM,
// DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
// OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.
//
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// Authors: @jason5480
// Revision: v1.0.1
// Date: 18-Apr-2021
//
// Description
// =============================================================================
// This strategy will go long if fast MA crosses over slow MA.
// The strategy will exit from long position when the price increases by a fixed percentage.
// If the trailing take profit is checked then the strategy instead of setting a limit order in a predefined price (based on the percentage)
// it will follow the price with small steps (percentagewise)
// If the price drops by this percentage then the exit order will be executed
//
// The strategy has the following parameters:
//
// Fast SMA Length - How many candles back to calculte the fast SMA.
// Slow SMA Length - How many candles back to calculte the slow SMA.
// Take Profit % - The percentage of the price increase to set the take profit price target.
// Enable Trailing - Enable or disable the trailing for take profit.
// Training Take Profit Deviation % - The step to follow the price when the take profit limit is reached.
// Trailing Stop Loss % - The stop loss percentage drop that will close your position. After the take profit price is reached the trailing stop loss price target will follow the price upwards (for long positions).
//
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Disclaimer:
// 1. I am not licensed financial advisors or broker dealer. I do not tell you
// when or what to buy or sell. I developed this software which enables you
// execute manual or automated trades using TradingView. The
// software allows you to set the criteria you want for entering and exiting
// trades.
// 2. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
// 3. I do not guarantee consistent profits or that anyone can make money with no
// effort. And I am not selling the holy grail.
// 4. Every system can have winning and losing streaks.
// 5. Money management plays a large role in the results of your trading. For
// example: lot size, account size, broker leverage, and broker margin call
// rules all have an effect on results. Also, your Take Profit and Stop Loss
// settings for individual pair trades and for overall account equity have a
// major impact on results. If you are new to trading and do not understand
// these items, then I recommend you seek education materials to further your
// knowledge.
//
// YOU NEED TO FIND AND USE THE TRADING SYSTEM THAT WORKS BEST FOR YOU AND YOUR
// TRADING TOLERANCE.
//
// I HAVE PROVIDED NOTHING MORE THAN A TOOL WITH OPTIONS FOR YOU TO TRADE WITH THIS PROGRAM ON TRADINGVIEW.
//
// I accept suggestions to improve the script.
// If you encounter any problems I will be happy to share with me.
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// SETUP ============================================================================================================
strategy(title = "Trailing Take Profit Trailing Stop Loss",
shorttitle = "TTPTSL",
overlay = true,
pyramiding = 0,
default_qty_type = strategy.cash,
default_qty_value = 100000,
initial_capital = 100000)
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// INPUTS ===========================================================================================================
// STRATEGY INPUT ===================================================================================================
fastMALen = input(defval = 21, title = "Fast SMA Length", type = input.integer, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "How many candles back to calculte the fast SMA.")
slowMALen = input(defval = 49, title = "Slow SMA Length", type = input.integer, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "How many candles back to calculte the slow SMA.")
longTakeProfitPerc = input(defval = 12.0, title = 'Take Profit %', type = input.float, step = 0.1, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The percentage of the price increase to set the take profit price target.") / 100
profitQuantityPerc = input(defval = 50, title = 'Take Profit Quantity %', type = input.float, step = 1.0, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The percentage of the position that will be withdrawn when the take profit price target is hit.") / 100
enableTrailing = input(defval = true, title = "Enable Trailing", type = input.bool, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "Enable or disable the trailing for take profit.")
trailingTakeProfitDeviationPerc = input(defval = 1.0, title = 'Trailing Take Profit Deviation %', type = input.float, step = 0.05, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The step to follow the price when the take profit limit is reached.") / 100
longTrailingStopLossPerc = input(defval = 7.5, title = 'Trailing Stop Loss %', type = input.float, step = 0.1, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The stop loss percentage drop that will close your position. After the take profit price is reached the trailing stop loss price target will follow the price upwards (for long positions).") / 100
// BACKTEST PERIOD INPUT ============================================================================================
fromDate = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC"), title = "From Date", type = input.time, minval = timestamp("01 Jan 1970 00:00 UTC"), group = "Backtest Period") // backtest start date
toDate = input(defval = timestamp("31 Dec 2121 23:59 UTC"), title = "To Date", type = input.time, minval = timestamp("01 Jan 1970 00:00 UTC"), group = "Backtest Period") // backtest finish date
isWithinBacktestPeriod() => true // create function "within window of time"
// SHOW PLOT INPUT ==================================================================================================
showDate = input(defval = true, title = "Show Backtest Range", type = input.bool, group = "Plot", tooltip = "Gray out the backround of the backtest period.")
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// STRATEGY =========================================================================================================
fastMA = sma(close, fastMALen)
slowMA = sma(close, slowMALen)
startLongDeal = crossover(fastMA, slowMA)
longTakeProfitPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + longTakeProfitPerc)
longTrailingTakeProfitStepTicks = longTakeProfitPrice * trailingTakeProfitDeviationPerc / syminfo.mintick
// determine trailing stop loss price. Trailing starts when the take profit price is reached
longTrailingStarted = false
longTrailingStarted := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
crossover(high, longTakeProfitPrice) or (high[1] >= longTakeProfitPrice) or longTrailingStarted[1]
else
false
float longTrailingStopLossPrice = na
longTrailingStopLossPrice := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
stopValue = longTrailingStarted == true ? high * (1 - longTrailingStopLossPerc) : strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - longTrailingStopLossPerc)
max(stopValue, nz(longTrailingStopLossPrice[1]))
else
na
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// STRATEGY EXECUTION ===============================================================================================
if (isWithinBacktestPeriod())
// getting into LONG position
strategy.entry(id = "Long", long = strategy.long, when = startLongDeal, comment = "Long", alert_message = "Long(" + syminfo.ticker + "): Started")
if (strategy.position_size > 0)
strategy.exit(id = "TTP", from_entry = "Long", qty = profitQuantityPerc * strategy.position_size, limit = enableTrailing ? na : longTakeProfitPrice, trail_price = enableTrailing ? longTakeProfitPrice : na, trail_offset = enableTrailing ? longTrailingTakeProfitStepTicks : na, oca_name = 'Exit Long', comment = "Long Take Profit", alert_message = "Long(" + syminfo.ticker + "): Trailing Take Profit activated")
strategy.order(id = "TSL", long = strategy.short, qty = strategy.position_size, stop = longTrailingStopLossPrice, oca_name = 'Exit Long', oca_type = strategy.oca.cancel, comment = "Stop/Trail", when = true, alert_message = "Long(" + syminfo.ticker + "): Trailing Stop Loss activated")
else
strategy.cancel(id = "TTP", when = true)
strategy.cancel(id = "TSL", when = true)
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// PLOT DATE POSITION MA AND TRAILING TAKE PROFIT STOP LOSS =========================================================
bgcolor(color = showDate and isWithinBacktestPeriod() ? color.gray : na, transp = 90)
plot(series = fastMA, color = #0056BD, style = plot.style_line, linewidth = 2, title = "Fast SMA")
plot(series = slowMA, color = #FF6A00, style = plot.style_line, linewidth = 2, title = "Slow SMA")
plotshape(series = isWithinBacktestPeriod() and startLongDeal and strategy.position_size <= 0 ? fastMA : na, title = "UpTrend Begins", location = location.absolute, style = shape.circle, size = size.tiny, color = color.green, transp = 0)
plotshape(series = isWithinBacktestPeriod() and startLongDeal and strategy.position_size <= 0 ? fastMA : na, title = "Buy", text = "Buy", location = location.absolute, style = shape.labelup, size = size.tiny, color = color.green, textcolor = color.black, transp = 0)
plot(series = strategy.position_avg_price, color = color.blue, style = plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2, title = "Position")
plot(series = longTakeProfitPrice, color = #FFD700, style = plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2, title = "Long Take Profit")
plot(series = longTrailingStopLossPrice, color = color.fuchsia, style = plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2, title = "Long Trail Stop")
// ==================================================================================================================