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Mengikuti mengambil keuntungan Mengikuti strategi berhenti kerugian

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2023-12-11 09:58:35
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Ringkasan

Strategi Trailing Take Profit Trailing Stop Loss adalah strategi perdagangan kuantitatif yang menggabungkan pengesanan trend, mengambil keuntungan separa, stop loss trailing full-cycle dan fungsi lain.

Logika Strategi

Strategi ini menggunakan salib emas purata bergerak pantas dan perlahan sebagai isyarat beli. Apabila MA pantas melintasi di atas MA perlahan, ia menunjukkan aliran menaik terbentuk dan strategi akan pergi lama.

Selepas memasuki kedudukan panjang, strategi menetapkan harga mengambil keuntungan yang sama dengan harga masuk dikalikan dengan nisbah mengambil keuntungan yang telah ditentukan. Apabila harga mencapai tahap ini, strategi akan menutup sebahagian kedudukan dengan lalai menjual 50% daripada kuantiti. Ini merealisasikan keuntungan separa dan mengunci beberapa keuntungan.

Seterusnya, mekanisme mengambil keuntungan yang mengikuti akan diaktifkan jika diaktifkan. Apabila harga terus naik, harga mengambil keuntungan mengikuti harga pada langkah yang telah ditentukan sebelumnya. Ini membolehkan harga mengambil keuntungan untuk mengikuti trend menaik dengan dekat, merealisasikan fungsi mengambil keuntungan yang mengikuti.

Pada masa yang sama, hentian penghantaran juga dimulakan. Sebaik sahaja harga mencapai harga mengambil keuntungan, harga hentian penghantaran mula bergerak ke atas mengikuti paras tertinggi sambil mengekalkan peratusan stop loss yang telah ditentukan di bawah harga tinggi. Ini membolehkan lebih banyak keuntungan dikunci kerana hentian penghantaran bergerak ke atas sambil mengawal risiko penurunan.

Akhirnya, jika penurunan menyebabkan harga menembusi di bawah harga hentian, strategi akan meratakan keseluruhan kedudukan pada harga pasaran. kitaran perdagangan berakhir.

Analisis Kelebihan

Mengintegrasikan pengesanan trend, mengambil keuntungan separa, berhenti jejak kitaran penuh dan banyak lagi, strategi ini mempunyai kelebihan berikut:

  1. Mengambil secara berkesan trend menaik dengan isyarat beli yang tepat;
  2. Mengunci keuntungan mengambil sebahagian dalam beberapa keuntungan, mengelakkan memberikan kembali semua keuntungan;
  3. Mengikuti mengambil keuntungan harga berpegang kepada aliran menaik rapat;
  4. Mengaktifkan trailing menghentikan kunci dalam lebih banyak keuntungan dan mengawal risiko;
  5. Parameter yang boleh disesuaikan untuk menyesuaikan dengan tahap toleransi risiko individu.

Analisis Risiko

Strategi ini juga mempunyai beberapa risiko terutamanya dalam bidang berikut:

  1. Harga boleh berbalik tajam selepas masuk tanpa mengambil keuntungan atau berhenti kerugian, yang membawa kepada kerugian yang diperkuat;
  2. Pengambilan keuntungan yang tertinggal mungkin gagal mengikuti dengan segera apabila trend berakhir, kehilangan titik keluar yang terbaik;
  3. Peratusan stop loss yang ditetapkan terlalu besar boleh menyebabkan kerugian yang berlebihan semasa penurunan tajam;
  4. Kekerapan perdagangan yang tinggi membawa kepada kos perdagangan yang lebih besar dan slippage.

Beberapa cara untuk mengoptimumkan dan meningkatkan dengan sewajarnya termasuk:

  1. Tetapkan parameter purata bergerak dengan betul untuk mengelakkan isyarat yang salah;
  2. Mengurangkan nisbah mengambil keuntungan separa untuk mengurangkan risiko;
  3. Memperketat peratusan stop loss untuk mengehadkan kerugian;
  4. Langkah penyampaian tune halus untuk mengoptimumkan penyampaian mengambil keuntungan.

Arahan pengoptimuman

Terdapat ruang untuk pengoptimuman lanjut:

  1. Tambah lebih banyak penunjuk untuk menentukan trend untuk mengelakkan pecah palsu;
  2. Memasukkan saiz kedudukan untuk menjadikan jumlah kedudukan lebih munasabah;
  3. Membina mekanisme dinamik untuk mengambil keuntungan dan menghentikan tahap kerugian untuk membuat parameter lebih mudah disesuaikan;
  4. Tambah penapis untuk mengelakkan perdagangan yang salah untuk aset yang sangat tidak menentu.

Pengoptimuman ini boleh menjadikan strategi lebih kukuh dan meningkatkan prestasi.

Kesimpulan

Strategi Trailing Take Profit Trailing Stop Loss dengan mahir menggunakan gabungan pengesanan trend, mengambil keuntungan pintar, berhenti mengikuti kitaran penuh dan banyak lagi. Berdasarkan menangkap trend menaik, ia menyedari mengambil harga keuntungan dan menaikkan tahap berhenti. Ini membolehkan strategi untuk mengikuti trend sambil mendapat keuntungan di pasaran lembu. Juga, risiko dikawal melalui mengambil keuntungan separa dan menghentikan kerugian untuk melindungi modal.

/*backtest
start: 2023-11-10 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-18 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ 
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//  Copyright 2021 Iason Nikolas | jason5480
//  Trainiling Take Profit Trailing Stop Loss script may be freely distributed under the MIT license.
//
//  Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, 
//  to any person obtaining a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), 
//  to deal in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, 
//  publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, 
//  subject to the following conditions:
//
//  The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software.
//
//  THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, 
//  EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, 
//  FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, 
//  DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, 
//  OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.
//
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
//  Authors:  @jason5480
//  Revision: v1.0.1
//  Date:     18-Apr-2021
//
//  Description
//  =============================================================================
//  This strategy will go long if fast MA crosses over slow MA.
//  The strategy will exit from long position when the price increases by a fixed percentage.
//  If the trailing take profit is checked then the strategy instead of setting a limit order in a predefined price (based on the percentage)
//  it will follow the price with small steps (percentagewise)
//  If the price drops by this percentage then the exit order will be executed
//
//  The strategy has the following parameters:
//
//  Fast SMA Length - How many candles back to calculte the fast SMA.
//  Slow SMA Length - How many candles back to calculte the slow SMA.
//  Take Profit % - The percentage of the price increase to set the take profit price target.
//  Enable Trailing - Enable or disable the trailing for take profit.
//  Training Take Profit Deviation % - The step to follow the price when the take profit limit is reached.
//  Trailing Stop Loss % - The stop loss percentage drop that will close your position. After the take profit price is reached the trailing stop loss price target will follow the price upwards (for long positions).
//  
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//  Disclaimer:
//    1. I am not licensed financial advisors or broker dealer. I do not tell you 
//       when or what to buy or sell. I developed this software which enables you 
//       execute manual or automated trades using TradingView. The 
//       software allows you to set the criteria you want for entering and exiting 
//       trades.
//    2. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
//    3. I do not guarantee consistent profits or that anyone can make money with no 
//       effort. And I am not selling the holy grail.
//    4. Every system can have winning and losing streaks.
//    5. Money management plays a large role in the results of your trading. For 
//       example: lot size, account size, broker leverage, and broker margin call 
//       rules all have an effect on results. Also, your Take Profit and Stop Loss 
//       settings for individual pair trades and for overall account equity have a 
//       major impact on results. If you are new to trading and do not understand 
//       these items, then I recommend you seek education materials to further your
//       knowledge.
//
//    YOU NEED TO FIND AND USE THE TRADING SYSTEM THAT WORKS BEST FOR YOU AND YOUR 
//    TRADING TOLERANCE.
//
//    I HAVE PROVIDED NOTHING MORE THAN A TOOL WITH OPTIONS FOR YOU TO TRADE WITH THIS PROGRAM ON TRADINGVIEW.
//    
//    I accept suggestions to improve the script.
//    If you encounter any problems I will be happy to share with me.
//  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// SETUP ============================================================================================================
strategy(title = "Trailing Take Profit Trailing Stop Loss",
         shorttitle = "TTPTSL",
         overlay = true,
         pyramiding = 0,
         default_qty_type = strategy.cash,
         default_qty_value = 100000,
         initial_capital = 100000)

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// INPUTS ===========================================================================================================

// STRATEGY INPUT ===================================================================================================
fastMALen = input(defval = 21, title = "Fast SMA Length", type = input.integer, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "How many candles back to calculte the fast SMA.")
slowMALen = input(defval = 49, title = "Slow SMA Length", type = input.integer, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "How many candles back to calculte the slow SMA.")

longTakeProfitPerc = input(defval = 12.0, title = 'Take Profit %', type = input.float, step = 0.1, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The percentage of the price increase to set the take profit price target.") / 100
profitQuantityPerc = input(defval = 50, title = 'Take Profit Quantity %', type = input.float, step = 1.0, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The percentage of the position that will be withdrawn when the take profit price target is hit.") / 100

enableTrailing = input(defval = true, title = "Enable Trailing", type = input.bool, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "Enable or disable the trailing for take profit.")
trailingTakeProfitDeviationPerc = input(defval = 1.0, title = 'Trailing Take Profit Deviation %', type = input.float, step = 0.05, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The step to follow the price when the take profit limit is reached.") / 100

longTrailingStopLossPerc  = input(defval = 7.5, title = 'Trailing Stop Loss %',  type = input.float, step = 0.1, group = "Strategy", tooltip = "The stop loss percentage drop that will close your position. After the take profit price is reached the trailing stop loss price target will follow the price upwards (for long positions).") / 100

// BACKTEST PERIOD INPUT ============================================================================================
fromDate = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC"), title = "From Date", type = input.time, minval = timestamp("01 Jan 1970 00:00 UTC"), group = "Backtest Period") // backtest start date
toDate   = input(defval = timestamp("31 Dec 2121 23:59 UTC"), title = "To Date",   type = input.time, minval = timestamp("01 Jan 1970 00:00 UTC"), group = "Backtest Period") // backtest finish date

isWithinBacktestPeriod() => true // create function "within window of time"

// SHOW PLOT INPUT ==================================================================================================
showDate = input(defval = true, title = "Show Backtest Range", type = input.bool, group = "Plot", tooltip = "Gray out the backround of the backtest period.")

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// STRATEGY =========================================================================================================

fastMA = sma(close, fastMALen)
slowMA = sma(close, slowMALen)

startLongDeal = crossover(fastMA, slowMA)

longTakeProfitPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + longTakeProfitPerc)

longTrailingTakeProfitStepTicks = longTakeProfitPrice * trailingTakeProfitDeviationPerc / syminfo.mintick

// determine trailing stop loss price. Trailing starts when the take profit price is reached
longTrailingStarted = false
longTrailingStarted := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    crossover(high, longTakeProfitPrice) or (high[1] >= longTakeProfitPrice) or longTrailingStarted[1]
else
    false

float longTrailingStopLossPrice = na
longTrailingStopLossPrice := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    stopValue = longTrailingStarted == true ? high * (1 - longTrailingStopLossPerc) : strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - longTrailingStopLossPerc)
    max(stopValue, nz(longTrailingStopLossPrice[1]))
else
    na

//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// STRATEGY EXECUTION ===============================================================================================

if (isWithinBacktestPeriod())
    // getting into LONG position
    strategy.entry(id = "Long", long = strategy.long, when = startLongDeal, comment = "Long", alert_message = "Long("  + syminfo.ticker + "): Started")
    if (strategy.position_size > 0)
        strategy.exit(id = "TTP", from_entry = "Long", qty = profitQuantityPerc * strategy.position_size, limit = enableTrailing ? na : longTakeProfitPrice, trail_price = enableTrailing ? longTakeProfitPrice : na, trail_offset = enableTrailing ? longTrailingTakeProfitStepTicks : na, oca_name = 'Exit Long', comment = "Long Take Profit", alert_message = "Long(" + syminfo.ticker + "): Trailing Take Profit activated")
        strategy.order(id = "TSL", long = strategy.short, qty = strategy.position_size, stop = longTrailingStopLossPrice, oca_name = 'Exit Long', oca_type = strategy.oca.cancel, comment = "Stop/Trail", when = true, alert_message = "Long("  + syminfo.ticker + "): Trailing Stop Loss activated")
    else
        strategy.cancel(id = "TTP", when = true)
        strategy.cancel(id = "TSL", when = true)
        
//
// ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
// PLOT DATE POSITION MA AND TRAILING TAKE PROFIT STOP LOSS =========================================================

bgcolor(color = showDate and isWithinBacktestPeriod() ? color.gray : na, transp = 90)

plot(series = fastMA, color = #0056BD, style = plot.style_line, linewidth = 2, title = "Fast SMA")
plot(series = slowMA, color = #FF6A00, style = plot.style_line, linewidth = 2, title = "Slow SMA")
plotshape(series = isWithinBacktestPeriod() and startLongDeal and strategy.position_size <= 0 ? fastMA : na, title = "UpTrend Begins", location = location.absolute, style = shape.circle, size = size.tiny, color = color.green, transp = 0)
plotshape(series = isWithinBacktestPeriod() and startLongDeal and strategy.position_size <= 0 ? fastMA : na, title = "Buy", text = "Buy", location = location.absolute, style = shape.labelup, size = size.tiny, color = color.green, textcolor = color.black, transp = 0)

plot(series = strategy.position_avg_price, color = color.blue, style = plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2, title = "Position")
plot(series = longTakeProfitPrice, color = #FFD700, style = plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2, title = "Long Take Profit")
plot(series = longTrailingStopLossPrice, color = color.fuchsia, style = plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2, title = "Long Trail Stop")

// ==================================================================================================================
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