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Strategi Penembusan EMA Pengesanan Trend

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2024-01-12 14:23:11
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Ringkasan

Ini adalah strategi penelusuran trend berdasarkan Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Ia menilai arah trend pada bingkai masa bulanan, mingguan dan harian, dan melaksanakan tindakan masuk dan keluar tertentu pada carta harian.

Logika Strategi

Penghakiman Trend

  1. Pada carta bulanan, harga berada di atas EMA 8 hari dan EMA 8 hari berada di atas EMA 21 hari, menunjukkan aliran menaik;
  2. Pada carta mingguan, harga berada di atas EMA 8 hari dan EMA 8 hari berada di atas EMA 21 hari, menunjukkan aliran menaik;
  3. Pada carta harian, harga berada di atas EMA 8 hari dan EMA 8 hari berada di atas EMA 21 hari, menunjukkan aliran menaik;

Isyarat kemasukan

  1. Kemunduran dilihat pada carta harian dengan titik terendah menyentuh EMA 8 hari semalam;
  2. Pullback membentuk corak Ring Low dengan rendah tinggi dan rendah rendah;
  3. Harga penutupan lebih tinggi daripada hari sebelumnya, membentuk isyarat pembalikan trend.

Isyarat keluar

Tetapkan standard mengambil keuntungan dan menghentikan kerugian untuk keluar.

Analisis Kelebihan

  1. Menghakimi trend pada tiga bingkai masa meningkatkan ketepatan;
  2. Pullback ke EMA membentuk sokongan dan meningkatkan kepastian kemasukan;
  3. Mengesan trend berjalan mempunyai potensi keuntungan yang tinggi;

Analisis Risiko

  1. Penghakiman yang tidak konsisten dalam jangka masa boleh menyebabkan isyarat palsu;
  2. Kepelbagaian penarikan balik yang berlebihan boleh membatalkan strategi;
  3. Stop loss sweep boleh berlaku semasa kemalangan kilat.

Arahan pengoptimuman

  1. Tambah MACD, RSI untuk penilaian tambahan;
  2. Mengoptimumkan tetapan parameter EMA;
  3. Sesuaikan julat mengambil keuntungan dan menghentikan kerugian berdasarkan turun naik.

Ringkasan

Strategi ini mempunyai potensi keuntungan yang sangat baik apabila trend dinilai dengan betul. Perlu berhati-hati untuk penilaian trend yang tidak tepat dan penarikan berlebihan yang menyebabkan isyarat palsu. Sementara itu, mengoptimumkan pengambilan keuntungan dan tetapan stop loss adalah kunci untuk meningkatkan kelebihan.

/*backtest
start: 2023-01-11 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-11 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © the_daily_trader

//@version=5
// ---------------------        Start of Code        ---------------------
strategy("Swing Trades Validator", overlay=true, margin_long=100, pyramiding = 0)

// Indicator Display Checks
TakeProfitPercent       = input.float(title="Profit Target %", defval=10, minval=1, step=0.05)
StopLossPercent         = input.float(title="Stop Loss %", defval=10, minval=1, step=0.05)
pullbackchoice          = input.bool(false, "Relaxed Entry Rules")

// EMAs
emaH            = ta.ema(close, 8)
emaHyest        = ta.ema(close[1], 8)
emaHyest1       = ta.ema(close[2], 8)
emaHyest2       = ta.ema(close[3], 8)
emaL            = ta.ema(close, 21)
emaLyest        = ta.ema(close[1], 21)
emaLyest1       = ta.ema(close[2], 21)
emaLyest2       = ta.ema(close[3], 21)
emaf            = ta.ema(close, 50)
emath           = ta.ema(close, 200)
emathhigh       = ta.ema(high, 200)
emathlow        = ta.ema(low, 200)
emaslowmonthly  = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "M", emaL) // Monthly 21ema
emafastmonthly  = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "M", emaH) // Monthly 8ema
emaslowweekly   = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "W", emaL) // Weekly 21ema
emafastweekly   = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "W", emaH) // Weekly 8ema
emaslowdaily    = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaL) // Daily 21ema
emafastdaily    = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaH) // Daily 8ema
emafdaily       = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaf) // Daily 50ema
emathdaily      = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emath) // Daily ema
emathdailyhigh  = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emathhigh) // Daily ema High
emathdailylow   = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emathlow) // Daily ema Low
ema21yest       = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaLyest) // Daily 21ema 1 day ago
ema21yest1      = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaLyest1) // Daily 21ema 2 days ago
ema21yest2      = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaLyest2) // Daily 21ema 3 days ago
ema8yest        = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaHyest) // Daily 8ema 1 day ago
ema8yest1       = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaHyest1) // Daily 8ema 2 days ago
ema8yest2       = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", emaHyest2) // Daily 8ema 3 days ago


// Prices
monthopen       = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'M', open, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
monthclose      = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'M', close, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
weekopen        = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'W', open, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
weekclose       = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'W', close, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
dayopen         = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'D', open, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
dayclose        = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'D', close, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
threedayhigh    = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'D', high[3], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
twodayhigh      = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'D', high[2], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
yesthigh        = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'D', high[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
yestlow         = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, 'D', low[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)

// Conditions 
monthlybullish          = emafastmonthly > emaslowmonthly
monthlybullishprice     = close > emafastmonthly
monthlybullishcandle    = monthclose > monthopen
weeklybullish           = emafastweekly > emaslowweekly
weeklybullishprice      = close > emafastweekly
weeklybullishcandle     = weekclose > weekopen
dailybullish1           = emafdaily > emathdaily
dailybullish2           = emafastdaily > emaslowdaily
dailybullishprice       = close > emafastdaily
dailybullishcandle      = dayclose > dayopen
ringlow                 = yestlow <= ema8yest
aggropullback           = twodayhigh < threedayhigh
pullback                = (pullbackchoice ? aggropullback : 0)
pullbackfailure         = dayclose > yesthigh and yesthigh < twodayhigh or pullback
emasetup                = ema8yest > ema21yest and ema8yest1 > ema21yest1 and ema8yest2 > ema21yest2

// Target Profit and Stop Loss Inputs
// Input parameters can be found at the beginning of the code
ProfitTarget        = (close * (TakeProfitPercent / 100)) / syminfo.mintick
StopLoss            = (close * (StopLossPercent / 100)) / syminfo.mintick

longCondition = monthlybullish and monthlybullishprice and weeklybullish and weeklybullishprice and dailybullish1 and dailybullish2 and dailybullishprice and monthlybullishcandle and weeklybullishcandle and dailybullishcandle and ringlow and pullbackfailure and emasetup

if (longCondition)
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
    strategy.exit ("Exit", "Long", profit = ProfitTarget, loss = StopLoss)
    // strategy.close("Long", qty_percent = 100)


// -----------xxxxxxxxxxx-------------    End of Code     -----------xxxxxxxxxxx---------------
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