ChaoZhang
本策略名称为“多指标融合反转交易策略”。该策略综合应用多种技术指标,识别价格在短期内出现反转的时机,进行反向交易以获利。
首先,该策略使用123反转形态判断短期价格反转。123反转形态是指价格连续三日收盘有明显的高低缺口,第三日收盘反转前两日趋势的形态。根据统计,延续123反转形态发出信号的获利率较高。
其次,该策略加入随机指标RSI判定反转信号的可靠性。RSI低于50代表超卖形态,高于50代表超买形态。结合RSI指标可以避免仅凭123反转形态产生过多不可靠信号。
最后,该策略再引入CMO指标的多周期叉差判定。CMO叉差结合不同周期指数移动平均线,判断价格动能反转。其信号再次确认123反转交易时机。
上述多指标综合运用,可以提高价格反转捕捉的成功率,避免出现过多不确定信号。当RSI和CMO均支持123形态时,发出强烈的反转交易信号。
该策略适合用于盘整震荡市场,捕捉短期价格脉动。但多指标组合也容易出现不同指标互相对冲的情况,需要进行参数优化。止损策略也需要配合使用,控制单笔交易的最大亏损。
总体而言,多指标融合反转交易策略,综合各种工具提高对市场反转时机的判断准确性。但任何单一策略难以完美,需要交易者根据当下市场情况进行细致验证和调整,始终保持交易意识的灵活性。
策略源码
/*backtest
start: 2023-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-03-11 00:00:00
period: 4h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=4
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// Copyright by HPotter v1.0 25/02/2020
// This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
//
// First strategy
// This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
// Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
// The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
// during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
// The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
// during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
//
// Second strategy
// The related CMOaDisparity Index article is copyrighted material from Stocks & Commodities Dec 2009
// My strategy modification.
//
// WARNING:
// - For purpose educate only
// - This script to change bars colors.
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level) =>
vFast = sma(stoch(close, high, low, Length), KSmoothing)
vSlow = sma(vFast, DLength)
pos = 0.0
pos := iff(close[2] < close[1] and close > close[1] and vFast < vSlow and vFast > Level, 1,
iff(close[2] > close[1] and close < close[1] and vFast > vSlow and vFast < Level, -1, nz(pos[1], 0)))
pos
CMOD(LengthFirst, LengthSecond, LengthThird) =>
pos = 0.0
xEMAFirst = ema(close,LengthFirst)
xEMASecond = ema(close,LengthSecond)
xEMAThird = ema(close,LengthThird)
xResFirst = 100 * (close - xEMAFirst) / close
xResSecond = 100 * (close - xEMASecond) / close
xResThird = 100 * (close - xEMAThird) / close
pos := iff(xResThird > xResFirst, -1,
iff(xResThird < xResSecond, 1, nz(pos[1], 0)))
pos
strategy(title="Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & CMOaDisparity Index", shorttitle="Combo", overlay = true)
Length = input(14, minval=1)
KSmoothing = input(1, minval=1)
DLength = input(3, minval=1)
Level = input(50, minval=1)
//-------------------------
LengthFirst = input(50, minval=1)
LengthSecond = input(25, minval=1)
LengthThird = input(10, minval=1)
reverse = input(false, title="Trade reverse")
posReversal123 = Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level)
posCMOD = CMOD(LengthFirst, LengthSecond, LengthThird)
pos = iff(posReversal123 == 1 and posCMOD == 1 , 1,
iff(posReversal123 == -1 and posCMOD == -1, -1, 0))
possig = iff(reverse and pos == 1, -1,
iff(reverse and pos == -1 , 1, pos))
if (possig == 1)
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if (possig == -1)
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)
if (possig == 0)
strategy.close_all()
barcolor(possig == -1 ? #b50404: possig == 1 ? #079605 : #0536b3 )