This strategy is a trend trading strategy based on moving averages. It uses 3 moving averages with different parameters to generate trading signals. It goes long when price crosses above the moving average and goes short when price crosses below. The strategy has 3 moving average lines for staged entry long or short, which allows it to follow the trend.
The strategy calculates the moving average line ma with length len using the sma function. Then it calculates 3 additional moving average lines longline1, longline2, longline3 which are shifted by -4%, -5%, -6% respectively based on ma.
For long signal generation, if current position is flat, it goes long with 1 lot when price crosses above longline1. If already 1 lot long, it adds 1 more lot when price crosses above longline2. If already 2 lots long, it adds 1 more lot when price crosses above longline3. The maximum long position is 3 lots.
For short signal generation, if already long, it exits all long positions when price crosses below ma.
The staged entry allows the strategy to follow the trend.
Risk Solutions:
The strategy can be optimized in the following aspects:
Add other indicators like MACD to determine trend strength
Optimize moving average parameters to find best combination
Adjust staged entry batch size and ratio to prevent chasing high prices
Add moving stop loss mechanism based on ATR
Dynamically adjust position size based on market volatility, reduce size when volatility is high
Test parameters on different products to find optimal symbol
Develop exit module to consider taking profit at certain patterns
Overall, the strategy trades based on trend direction determined by moving averages, and profits from trends via staged entries. But it has some lagging issues and risks of chasing high prices. We can optimize it by adding auxiliary indicators, optimizing parameters, adjusting position sizing, adding stop loss, etc, to adapt to different market conditions and achieve steady profits.
/*backtest start: 2022-10-02 00:00:00 end: 2023-10-08 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //Noro //2019 //@version=4 strategy(title = "Noro's ShiftMA-multi Strategy v1.0", shorttitle = "ShiftMA-multi", overlay = true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, pyramiding = 3) //Settings capital = input(100, defval = 100, minval = 1, maxval = 10000, title = "Lot") len = input(3, minval = 1, title = "MA Lenghs") src = input(ohlc4, title = "MA Source") longlevel1 = input(-4.0, title = "Long line 1") longlevel2 = input(-5.0, title = "Long line 2") longlevel3 = input(-6.0, title = "Long line 3") needoffset = input(true, title = "Offset") //Variables size = strategy.position_size mult = 1 / syminfo.mintick //MA ma = sma(src, len) longline1 = round(ma * ((100 + longlevel1) / 100) * mult) / mult longline2 = round(ma * ((100 + longlevel2) / 100) * mult) / mult longline3 = round(ma * ((100 + longlevel3) / 100) * mult) / mult //Lines offset = needoffset ? 1 : 0 plot(ma, color = color.blue) plot(longline1, offset = offset, color = color.lime) plot(longline2, offset = offset, color = color.lime) plot(longline3, offset = offset, color = color.lime) //Trading lot = 0.0 lot := size == 0 ? strategy.equity / close * capital / 100 : lot[1] lots = 0.0 if ma > 0 lots := round(size / lot) strategy.entry("L1", strategy.long, lot, limit = longline1, when = (lots == 0)) lots := round(size / lot) strategy.entry("L2", strategy.long, lot, limit = longline2, when = (lots <= 1)) lots := round(size / lot) strategy.entry("L3", strategy.long, lot, limit = longline3, when = (lots <= 2)) if size > 0 strategy.entry("TP", strategy.short, 0, limit = ma)