ChaoZhang
概述
一目均衡策略是一种趋势跟踪策略,它通过计算均线并结合 Ichimoku Kinko Hyo指标判断趋势方向,实现低风险的趋势跟踪交易。
策略原理
该策略主要基于 Ichimoku Kinko Hyo 指标判断趋势方向。Ichimoku Kinko Hyo 又称“一目均衡表”,它由转换线(Tenkan-sen)、基准线(Kijun-sen)、先行线(Senkou Span A)和确认线(Senkou Span B)组成,形成前方和后方之间的均衡区域,称为“云带”。当价格在云带上方时为多头趋势,价格下破云带为空头信号。
此策略结合价格与均线的关系判断趋势方向。当价格上穿基准线和转换线时产生买入信号;当价格下破云带时产生卖出信号。通过这样的组合判断,可以有效过滤假突破,锁定趋势方向。
优势分析
- 利用 Ichimoku Kinko Hyo 指标判断趋势,避免被震荡市场的假突破误导
- 均线参数可调,可针对不同周期进行优化
- 结合均线关系判断,可有效锁定趋势方向
- 采用云带判断,可实现低风险的趋势跟踪交易
风险分析
- 震荡行情中容易产生错误信号
- 参数设置不当可能导致过于频繁或不及时地产生交易信号
- 需要人工判断趋势方向及参数调整
优化方向
该策略可以从以下几个方面进行优化:
- 优化 Ichimoku 参数,适应更多时间周期
- 增加止损策略,控制单笔损失
- 结合其他指标判断强弱趋势,避免被震荡行情误导
- 增加开仓条件,避免在极端行情中建仓
总结
整体来说,一目均衡策略通过 Ichimoku Kinko Hyo 指标判断趋势方向,可有效锁定趋势,并配合均线关系判断产生交易信号,实现低风险的趋势跟踪交易。该策略可通过参数调整和优化来适应不同的市场环境,值得投资者进一步研究和使用。
策略源码
/*backtest
start: 2022-12-19 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-25 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=3
// Credit for the initial code to nathanhoffer - I simply added the ability to select a time period
//
strategy("Cloud Breakout", overlay=true, initial_capital=10000, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.0)
/////////////// Component Code Start ///////////////
testStartYear = input(2016, "Backtest Start Year")
testStartMonth = input(1, "Backtest Start Month")
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day")
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear,testStartMonth,testStartDay, 0, 0)
testStopYear = input(2019, "Backtest Stop Year")
testStopMonth = input(12, "Backtest Stop Month")
testStopDay = input(31, "Backtest Stop Day")
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear,testStopMonth,testStopDay, 0, 0)
testPeriod() => true
Ten = input(18, minval=1, title="Tenkan")
Kij = input(60, minval=1, title="Kijun")
LeadSpan = input(30, minval=1, title="Senkou B")
Displace = input(52, minval=1, title="Senkou A")
SpanOffset = input(52, minval=1, title="Span Offset")
sts = input(true, title="Show Tenkan")
sks = input(true, title="Show Kijun")
ssa = input(true, title="Show Span A")
ssb = input(true, title="Show Span B")
sc = input(true, title="Show Chikou")
source = close
//Script for Ichimoku Indicator
donchian(len) => avg(lowest(len), highest(len))
TS = donchian(Ten)
KS = donchian(Kij)
SpanA = avg(TS, KS)
SpanB = donchian(LeadSpan)
CloudTop = max(TS, KS)
Chikou = source[Displace]
SpanAA = avg(TS, KS)[SpanOffset]
SpanBB = donchian(LeadSpan)[SpanOffset]
//Kumo Breakout (Long)
SpanA_Top = SpanAA >= SpanBB ? 1 : 0
SpanB_Top = SpanBB >= SpanAA ? 1 : 0
SpanA_Top2 = SpanA >= SpanB ? 1 : 0
SpanB_Top2 = SpanB >= SpanA ? 1 : 0
SpanA1 = SpanA_Top2 ? SpanA : na
SpanA2 = SpanA_Top2 ? SpanB : na
SpanB1 = SpanB_Top2 ? SpanA : na
SpanB2 = SpanB_Top2 ? SpanB : na
//plot for Tenkan and Kijun (Current Timeframe)
p1= plot(sts and TS ? TS : na, title="Tenkan", linewidth = 2, color = gray)
p2 = plot(sks and KS ? KS : na, title="Kijun", linewidth = 2, color = black)
//p5 = plot(sc and KS ? KS : na, title="Chikou", linewidth = 2, color = orange)
p5 = plot(sc and Displace ? close: na, title="Chikou", linewidth = 2, offset=-Displace, color = orange)
//Plot for Kumo Cloud (Dynamic Color)
p3 = plot(ssa and SpanA ? SpanA : na, title="SpanA", linewidth=2, offset=Displace, color=green)
p4 = plot(ssb and SpanB ? SpanB : na, title="SpanB", linewidth=2, offset=Displace, color=red)
p8 = plot(ssa and SpanA1 ? SpanA1 : na, title="Span A1 above", style=linebr, linewidth=1, offset=Displace, color=green)
p9 = plot(ssa and SpanA2 ? SpanA2 : na, title="Span A2 above", style=linebr, linewidth=1, offset=Displace, color=green)
p10 = plot(ssb and SpanB1 ? SpanB1 : na, title="Span B1 above", style=linebr, linewidth=1, offset=Displace, color=red)
p11 = plot(ssb and SpanB2 ? SpanB2 : na, title="Span B2 above", style=linebr, linewidth=1, offset=Displace, color=red)
fill(p8, p9, color = lime, transp=70, title="Kumo Cloud Up")
fill (p10, p11, color=red, transp=70, title="Kumo Cloud Down")
LongSpan = (SpanA_Top and source[1] < SpanAA[1] and source > SpanAA) or (SpanB_Top and source[1] < SpanBB[1] and source > SpanBB) ? 1 : 0
cupSpan = LongSpan == 1 ? LongSpan : 0
Long_Breakout = (SpanA_Top ==1 and crossover(source, SpanAA)) or (SpanB_Top ==1 and crossover(source, SpanBB))
ShortSpan = (SpanB_Top and source[1] > SpanAA[1] and source < SpanAA) or (SpanA_Top and source[1] > SpanBB[1] and source < SpanBB) ? 1 : 0
cdnSpan = ShortSpan == 1 ? ShortSpan : 0
Short_Breakout = (SpanA_Top ==1 and crossunder(source, SpanBB)) or (SpanB_Top ==1 and crossunder(source, SpanAA))
//Kumo Twist
Kumo_Twist_Long = SpanA[1] < SpanB[1] and SpanA > SpanB ? 1 : 0
Kumo_Twist_Short = SpanA[1] > SpanB[1] and SpanA < SpanB ? 1 : 0
cupD = Kumo_Twist_Long == 1 ? Kumo_Twist_Long : 0
cdnD = Kumo_Twist_Short == 1 ? Kumo_Twist_Short : 0
Chikou_Above = close > Chikou
Chikou_Below = close < Chikou
long = (cross(TS, SpanA) or cross(TS, SpanB)) and TS>SpanA and TS>SpanB and TS>=KS
short = cross(TS, KS) and KS >= TS
if testPeriod()
strategy.entry("long", strategy.long, when=Long_Breakout)
strategy.entry("short", strategy.short, when=Short_Breakout)
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