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The core idea of this strategy is to dynamically adjust position size based on the trend of the equity curve - increase position size during profit and decrease size during loss to control overall risk. The strategy also combines Chande Momentum indicator, SuperTrend indicator and Momentum indicator to identify trading signals.

Dynamic Position Sizing Strategy Based on Equity Curve

The strategy uses two methods to determine if the equity curve is in a downtrend: 1) Calculate fast and slow simple moving averages of the equity curve, if the fast SMA is below the slow one, it is considered a downtrend; 2) Calculate the equity curve against its own longer period simple moving average, if the equity is below the moving average line, it is considered a downtrend.

When equity curve downtrend is determined, the position size will be reduced or increased by a certain percentage based on the settings. For example, if 50% reduction is set, the original 10% position size will be reduced to 5%. This mechanism increases position size during profit and decreases size during loss to control overall risk.

- Uses equity curve to judge the overall profit/loss and dynamically adjusts position size to control risk
- Combining multiple indicators to identify entry signals can improve win rate
- Customizable parameters for position adjustment suit different risk appetites

- Loss can be amplified with increased position size during profit
- Aggressive adjustment due to improper parameter settings
- Position sizing alone cannot completely avoid system risk

- Test effectiveness of different position adjustment parameters
- Try other indicators to determine equity curve trend
- Optimize entry conditions to improve win rate

The overall logic of this strategy is clear - it dynamically adjusts position size based on equity curve, which helps effectively control risk. Further testing and optimization of parameters and stop loss strategies are needed to avoid the risk of aggressive maneuvers.

/*backtest start: 2024-01-08 00:00:00 end: 2024-01-15 00:00:00 period: 3m basePeriod: 1m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © shardison //@version=5 //EXPLANATION //"Trading the equity curve" as a risk management method is the //process of acting on trade signals depending on whether a system’s performance //is indicating the strategy is in a profitable or losing phase. //The point of managing equity curve is to minimize risk in trading when the equity curve is in a downtrend. //This strategy has two modes to determine the equity curve downtrend: //By creating two simple moving averages of a portfolio's equity curve - a short-term //and a longer-term one - and acting on their crossings. If the fast SMA is below //the slow SMA, equity downtrend is detected (smafastequity < smaslowequity). //The second method is by using the crossings of equity itself with the longer-period SMA (equity < smasloweequity). //When "Reduce size by %" is active, the position size will be reduced by a specified percentage //if the equity is "under water" according to a selected rule. If you're a risk seeker, select "Increase size by %" //- for some robust systems, it could help overcome their small drawdowns quicker. strategy("Use Trading the Equity Curve Postion Sizing", shorttitle="TEC", default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 10, initial_capital = 100000) //TRADING THE EQUITY CURVE INPUTS useTEC = input.bool(true, title="Use Trading the Equity Curve Position Sizing") defulttraderule = useTEC ? false: true initialsize = input.float(defval=10.0, title="Initial % Equity") slowequitylength = input.int(25, title="Slow SMA Period") fastequitylength = input.int(9, title="Fast SMA Period") seedequity = 100000 * .10 if strategy.equity == 0 seedequity else strategy.equity slowequityseed = strategy.equity > seedequity ? strategy.equity : seedequity fastequityseed = strategy.equity > seedequity ? strategy.equity : seedequity smaslowequity = ta.sma(slowequityseed, slowequitylength) smafastequity = ta.sma(fastequityseed, fastequitylength) equitycalc = input.bool(true, title="Use Fast/Slow Avg", tooltip="Fast Equity Avg is below Slow---otherwise if unchecked uses Slow Equity Avg below Equity") sizeadjstring = input.string("Reduce size by (%)", title="Position Size Adjustment", options=["Reduce size by (%)","Increase size by (%)"]) sizeadjint = input.int(50, title="Increase/Decrease % Equity by:") equitydowntrendavgs = smafastequity < smaslowequity slowequitylessequity = strategy.equity < smaslowequity equitymethod = equitycalc ? equitydowntrendavgs : slowequitylessequity if sizeadjstring == ("Reduce size by (%)") sizeadjdown = initialsize * (1 - (sizeadjint/100)) else sizeadjup = initialsize * (1 + (sizeadjint/100)) c = close qty = 100000 * (initialsize / 100) / c if useTEC and equitymethod if sizeadjstring == "Reduce size by (%)" qty := (strategy.equity * (initialsize / 100) * (1 - (sizeadjint/100))) / c else qty := (strategy.equity * (initialsize / 100) * (1 + (sizeadjint/100))) / c //EXAMPLE TRADING STRATEGY INPUTS CMO_Length = input.int(defval=9, minval=1, title='Chande Momentum Length') CMO_Signal = input.int(defval=10, minval=1, title='Chande Momentum Signal') chandeMO = ta.cmo(close, CMO_Length) cmosignal = ta.sma(chandeMO, CMO_Signal) SuperTrend_atrPeriod = input.int(10, "SuperTrend ATR Length") SuperTrend_Factor = input.float(3.0, "SuperTrend Factor", step = 0.01) Momentum_Length = input.int(12, "Momentum Length") price = close mom0 = ta.mom(price, Momentum_Length) mom1 = ta.mom( mom0, 1) [supertrend, direction] = ta.supertrend(SuperTrend_Factor, SuperTrend_atrPeriod) stupind = (direction < 0 ? supertrend : na) stdownind = (direction < 0? na : supertrend) //TRADING CONDITIONS longConditiondefault = ta.crossover(chandeMO, cmosignal) and (mom0 > 0 and mom1 > 0 and close > stupind) and defulttraderule if (longConditiondefault) strategy.entry("DefLong", strategy.long, qty=qty) shortConditiondefault = ta.crossunder(chandeMO, cmosignal) and (mom0 < 0 and mom1 < 0 and close < stdownind) and defulttraderule if (shortConditiondefault) strategy.entry("DefShort", strategy.short, qty=qty) longCondition = ta.crossover(chandeMO, cmosignal) and (mom0 > 0 and mom1 > 0 and close > stupind) and useTEC if (longCondition) strategy.entry("AdjLong", strategy.long, qty = qty) shortCondition = ta.crossunder(chandeMO, cmosignal) and (mom0 < 0 and mom1 < 0 and close < stdownind) and useTEC if (shortCondition) strategy.entry("AdjShort", strategy.short, qty = qty) plot(strategy.equity) plot(smaslowequity, color=color.new(color.red, 0)) plot(smafastequity, color=color.new(color.green, 0))

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