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Peak-to-Peak Pattern Based Trading Strategy

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-02-20 15:40:58
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Overview

The strategy is named “Peak-to-Peak Pattern Based Trading Strategy”. It mainly uses the peak-to-peak pattern in candlestick charts to determine entries and exits. This is a technical analysis based strategy.

Strategy Principle

The strategy defines rising peak (upFractal) and falling peak (downFractal) to identify the peak-to-peak pattern in candlestick charts.

Specifically, the judgment logic for rising peak is: the high of current candlestick is the highest of recent n candlesticks, and the high of subsequent candlesticks does not exceed the current one.

The judgment logic for falling peak is: the low of current candlestick is the lowest of recent n candlesticks, and the low of subsequent candlesticks does not break below the current one.

Boolean variables and loops are used here to determine the relationship between previous n and later n candlesticks’ high/low and that of the current one, and eventually identify rising and falling peaks.

Therefore, the core logic of this strategy is:

  1. Identify rising peaks and falling peaks
  2. Long on rising peaks and short on falling peaks

Advantage Analysis

The advantages of this strategy include:

  1. Peak-to-peak pattern is easy to identify, simple to operate
  2. Based on technical pattern, not affected by fundamentals
  3. Possible smaller drawdowns

Risk Analysis

There are also some risks with this strategy:

  1. Inaccurate peak-to-peak pattern judgment, may miss best entry timing
  2. Hard to set stop loss when market moves violently
  3. Only relies on pattern, ignores other factors

Counter measures:

  1. Adjust parameters of peak-to-peak pattern to optimize the logic
  2. Combine with other indicators to determine stop loss position
  3. Use together with fundamental or other analysis

Optimization Directions

Some directions to optimize the strategy:

  1. Increase parameter tuning options to better identify peak-to-peak patterns
  2. Add stop loss logic
  3. Consider trading volume, volatility and other indicators
  4. Combine different timeframe analysis

Summary

This strategy is simple to operate with possibly smaller drawdowns based on the peak-to-peak pattern principle. But still has some risks and needs to be combined with other analysis methods to maximize its performance. Next step is to improve on accuracy of pattern judgment, stop loss, indicator optimizations etc.

/*backtest
start: 2024-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy("sanju parmar", shorttitle="sanju trading empire", overlay=true)

// Define "n" as the number of periods and keep a minimum value of 2 for error handling.
n = input.int(title="Periods", defval=2, minval=2)

// UpFractal
bool upflagDownFrontier = true
bool upflagUpFrontier0 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier1 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier2 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier3 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier4 = true

for i = 1 to n
    upflagDownFrontier := upflagDownFrontier and (high[n-i] < high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier0 := upflagUpFrontier0 and (high[n+i] < high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier1 := upflagUpFrontier1 and (high[n+1] <= high[n] and high[n+i + 1] < high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier2 := upflagUpFrontier2 and (high[n+1] <= high[n] and high[n+2] <= high[n] and high[n+i + 2] < high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier3 := upflagUpFrontier3 and (high[n+1] <= high[n] and high[n+2] <= high[n] and high[n+3] <= high[n] and high[n+i + 3] < high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier4 := upflagUpFrontier4 and (high[n+1] <= high[n] and high[n+2] <= high[n] and high[n+3] <= high[n] and high[n+4] <= high[n] and high[n+i + 4] < high[n])
flagUpFrontier = upflagUpFrontier0 or upflagUpFrontier1 or upflagUpFrontier2 or upflagUpFrontier3 or upflagUpFrontier4

upFractal = (upflagDownFrontier and flagUpFrontier)


// downFractal
bool downflagDownFrontier = true
bool downflagUpFrontier0 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier1 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier2 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier3 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier4 = true

for i = 1 to n
    downflagDownFrontier := downflagDownFrontier and (low[n-i] > low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier0 := downflagUpFrontier0 and (low[n+i] > low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier1 := downflagUpFrontier1 and (low[n+1] >= low[n] and low[n+i + 1] > low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier2 := downflagUpFrontier2 and (low[n+1] >= low[n] and low[n+2] >= low[n] and low[n+i + 2] > low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier3 := downflagUpFrontier3 and (low[n+1] >= low[n] and low[n+2] >= low[n] and low[n+3] >= low[n] and low[n+i + 3] > low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier4 := downflagUpFrontier4 and (low[n+1] >= low[n] and low[n+2] >= low[n] and low[n+3] >= low[n] and low[n+4] >= low[n] and low[n+i + 4] > low[n])
flagDownFrontier = downflagUpFrontier0 or downflagUpFrontier1 or downflagUpFrontier2 or downflagUpFrontier3 or downflagUpFrontier4

downFractal = (downflagDownFrontier and flagDownFrontier)

plotshape(downFractal, style=shape.triangleup, location=location.belowbar, offset=-n, color=#18f523, size = size.small)
plotshape(upFractal, style=shape.triangledown, location=location.abovebar, offset=-n, color=#cf3d11, size = size.small)

// Strategy Conditions
longCondition = upFractal
shortCondition = downFractal

// Strategy Entry and Exit
if (longCondition)
    strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)
if (shortCondition)
    strategy.entry("Sell", strategy.short)
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