Strategi perdagangan EMA Triple Pullback Breakout

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-09-12 15:12:56
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Strategi ini mengamati aksi harga di sekitar tiga EMA untuk menentukan tren dan perdagangan setelah pullbacks.

Logika Strategi:

  1. Tetapkan EMA cepat, menengah dan lambat, biasanya 25, 100, 200 periode.

  2. Harga mencapai EMA tercepat selama kenaikan / penurunan penurunan menunjukkan bull / bear sementara.

  3. Masuk long pada bounce off upside pullback ketika harga melanggar di atas EMA tercepat. Masuk short pada bounce off downside pullback ketika harga melanggar di bawah EMA tercepat.

  4. Zona jual beli kode warna untuk intuisi visual.

  5. Gunakan stop loss tetap dan rasio risiko/pembayaran untuk manajemen risiko.

Keuntungan:

  1. Pullback trading menikmati tingkat kemenangan yang lebih tinggi.

  2. Triple EMA melihat tren dan menghindari kegagalan.

  3. Rasio risiko/manfaat meningkatkan keberlanjutan kinerja.

Risiko:

  1. Penarikan yang diperpanjang mungkin tidak tepat waktu masuk.

  2. EMA perlu disesuaikan dengan periode yang berbeda.

  3. Stop tetap bisa terlalu mekanis dan membutuhkan kalibrasi.

Singkatnya, strategi ini memperdagangkan penarikan mundur menggunakan EMA tiga kali lipat untuk melacak tren yang lebih luas. Kontrol risiko membantu menghasilkan keuntungan jangka panjang yang stabil tetapi optimasi parameter dan penilaian mundur tetap penting.


/*backtest
start: 2023-09-04 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-11 00:00:00
period: 5m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy(title="Pullback", overlay=true, initial_capital=1000, slippage=25)

averageData = input.source(close, title="Source")
target_stop_ratio = input.float(title="Ratio Risk/Reward", defval=2, group="Money Management")
security = input.float(50, title='min of pips (00001.00) for each position', group="Money Management")
risk = input.float(2, title="Risk per Trade %", group="Money Management")

riskt = risk / 100 + 1

ema1V = input.int(25, title="Rapide", group="Ema Period")
ema2V = input.int(100, title="Moyenne", group="Ema Period")
ema3V = input.int(200, title="Lente", group="Ema Period")

ema1 = ta.ema(averageData, ema1V)
ema2 = ta.ema(averageData, ema2V)
ema3 = ta.ema(averageData, ema3V)

useDateFilter = input.bool(true, title="Filter Date Range of Backtest",
     group="Backtest Time Period")
backtestStartDate = input(timestamp("5 June 2022"), 
     title="Start Date", group="Backtest Time Period",
     tooltip="This start date is in the time zone of the exchange " + 
     "where the chart's instrument trades. It doesn't use the time " + 
     "zone of the chart or of your computer.")
backtestEndDate = input(timestamp("5 July 2022"),
     title="End Date", group="Backtest Time Period",
     tooltip="This end date is in the time zone of the exchange " + 
     "where the chart's instrument trades. It doesn't use the time " + 
     "zone of the chart or of your computer.")

inTradeWindow = true

float pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose = na
float pricePullBelowEMA_minClose = na

if ta.crossover(close, ema1)
    pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose := close
  
else
    pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose := pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose[1]

if close > pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose
    pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose := close

if ta.crossunder(close, ema1)
    pricePullBelowEMA_minClose := close
 
else
    pricePullBelowEMA_minClose := pricePullBelowEMA_minClose[1]

if close < pricePullBelowEMA_minClose
    pricePullBelowEMA_minClose := close

BuyZone = ema1 > ema2 and ema2 > ema3
SellZone = ema1 < ema2 and ema2 < ema3

longcondition = ta.crossover(close, ema1) and pricePullBelowEMA_minClose > ema3 and pricePullBelowEMA_minClose < ema1 
shortcondition = ta.crossunder(close , ema1) and pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose < ema3 and pricePullAboveEMA_maxClose > ema1

float risk_long = na
float risk_short = na
float stopLoss = na
float takeProfit = na
float entry_price = na

risk_long := risk_long[1]
risk_short := risk_short[1]

lotB = (strategy.equity*riskt-strategy.equity)/(close - ema2)
lotS = (strategy.equity*riskt-strategy.equity)/(ema2 - close)

if strategy.position_size == 0 and BuyZone and longcondition and inTradeWindow
    risk_long := (close - ema2) / close
    minp = close - ema2
    if minp > security
        strategy.entry("long", strategy.long, qty=lotB)
    
if strategy.position_size == 0 and SellZone and shortcondition and inTradeWindow
    risk_short := (ema2 - close) / close
    minp = ema2 - close
    if minp > security
        strategy.entry("short", strategy.short, qty=lotS)
    
if strategy.position_size > 0

    stopLoss := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - risk_long)
    takeProfit := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + target_stop_ratio * risk_long)
    entry_price := strategy.position_avg_price
    strategy.exit("long exit", "long", stop = stopLoss, limit = takeProfit)
    
if strategy.position_size < 0

    stopLoss := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + risk_short)
    takeProfit := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - target_stop_ratio * risk_short)
    entry_price := strategy.position_avg_price
    strategy.exit("short exit", "short", stop = stopLoss, limit = takeProfit)
    
plot(ema1, color=color.blue, linewidth=2, title="Ema Rapide")
plot(ema2, color=color.orange, linewidth=2, title="Ema Moyenne")
plot(ema3, color=color.white, linewidth=2, title="Ema Lente")
p_ep = plot(entry_price, color=color.new(color.white, 0), linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr, title='entry price')
p_sl = plot(stopLoss, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr, title='stopLoss')
p_tp = plot(takeProfit, color=color.new(color.green, 0), linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr, title='takeProfit')
fill(p_sl, p_ep, color.new(color.red, transp=85))
fill(p_tp, p_ep, color.new(color.green, transp=85))

bgcolor(BuyZone ? color.new(color.green, 95)  : na)
bgcolor(SellZone ? color.new(color.red, 95)  : na)




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