Strategi Saluran Dukungan dan Perlawanan Dinamis Multisaluran Kenny Channel

KC EMA ATR SMA WMA PP SR
Tanggal Pembuatan: 2025-01-17 15:17:59 Akhirnya memodifikasi: 2025-01-17 15:17:59
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Strategi Saluran Dukungan dan Perlawanan Dinamis Multisaluran Kenny Channel

Ringkasan

Strategi ini adalah sistem perdagangan gabungan berdasarkan Saluran Keltner dan tingkat dukungan dan perlawanan yang dinamis. Alat ini membentuk kerangka kerja pengambilan keputusan perdagangan yang lengkap dengan menganalisis berbagai periode waktu dan menggabungkan rata-rata pergerakan dan indikator volatilitas. Inti dari strategi ini adalah menangkap peluang perdagangan berpeluang tinggi dengan mengidentifikasi momen ketika harga menembus level teknis utama sambil memperhitungkan tren dan volatilitas pasar.

Prinsip Strategi

Strategi ini menggunakan sistem indikator teknis berlapis-lapis untuk analisis:

  1. Gunakan saluran Kenny 21 periode sebagai alat penentu tren utama, dan lebar saluran ditentukan oleh nilai ATR.
  2. Hitung level support dan resistance utama menggunakan 21 candlestick di sebelah kiri dan 8 candlestick di sebelah kanan
  3. Memperkenalkan rata-rata pergerakan periode waktu tingkat tinggi sebagai filter tren
  4. Menggabungkan rata-rata pergerakan jangka pendek (5 periode) dan jangka panjang (30 periode) untuk menentukan waktu masuk
  5. Gunakan ATR untuk menyesuaikan posisi stop loss secara dinamis

Keunggulan Strategis

  1. Indikator teknis multidimensi saling memverifikasi dan secara efektif mengurangi sinyal palsu
  2. Level support dan resistance dinamis diperbarui secara real time untuk beradaptasi dengan perubahan pasar
  3. Filter tren pasar sekunder melalui analisis periode waktu tingkat tinggi
  4. Sesuaikan parameter stop loss secara fleksibel sesuai dengan periode waktu yang berbeda
  5. Gunakan manajemen posisi persentase untuk mengendalikan risiko secara efektif

Risiko Strategis

  1. Sinyal perdagangan yang sering dapat dihasilkan di pasar yang bergejolak
  2. Verifikasi beberapa indikator dapat menyebabkan hilangnya beberapa peluang perdagangan
  3. Optimasi parameter memiliki risiko overfitting
  4. Penghentian mungkin terlalu lebar dalam lingkungan volatilitas tinggi
  5. Level support dan resistance mungkin menjadi tidak valid ketika pasar berubah secara drastis

Arah optimasi strategi

  1. Memperkenalkan indikator volume untuk membantu menilai efektivitas terobosan
  2. Tambahkan modul analisis volatilitas pasar dan sesuaikan parameter secara dinamis
  3. Optimalkan metode perhitungan level support dan resistance untuk meningkatkan akurasi
  4. Tambahkan penilaian kekuatan tren dan perbaiki kondisi entri
  5. Meningkatkan sistem manajemen posisi untuk mencapai pengendalian risiko yang lebih canggih

Meringkaskan

Ini adalah strategi perdagangan kuantitatif dengan struktur lengkap dan logika yang ketat. Melalui penggunaan terkoordinasi beberapa lapisan indikator teknis, keandalan sinyal perdagangan terjamin dan pengendalian risiko yang efektif tercapai. Strategi ini memiliki skalabilitas yang kuat dan diharapkan dapat mempertahankan kinerja yang stabil di berbagai lingkungan pasar melalui pengoptimalan dan peningkatan yang berkelanjutan.

Kode Sumber Strategi
/*backtest
start: 2024-12-17 00:00:00
end: 2024-12-21 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT","balance":49999}]
*/

// This Pine Scriptβ„’ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// Β© sathcm
//@version=5 
strategy("KMS", overlay=true, initial_capital=100000, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.05, slippage=3)

// Inputs for Keltner Channels
kcLength = input.int(21, title="Keltner Channel Length", minval=1)  // Length for Keltner Channel calculation
kcMultiplier = input.float(2.0, title="Keltner Channel Multiplier", minval=0.1)  // Multiplier for Keltner Channel width

// Calculate Keltner Channels using best practices
kcBasis = ta.ema(close, kcLength)  // Use EMA for a smoother basis line
atrValue = ta.atr(kcLength)  // Use ATR for channel width calculation
kcUpper = kcBasis + kcMultiplier * atrValue  // Upper Keltner Channel
kcLower = kcBasis - kcMultiplier * atrValue  // Lower Keltner Channel

// Inputs for Pivot Point Calculation
leftBars = input.int(21, title="Left Bars", minval=1)  // Number of bars to the left for pivot calculation
rightBars = input.int(8, title="Right Bars", minval=1, tooltip="Number of bars to the right for pivot calculation")  // Number of bars to the right for pivot calculation

// Calculate Smoothed Pivot Highs and Lows using Weighted Moving Average
pivotHigh = ta.pivothigh(high, leftBars, rightBars)  // Apply WMA for smoothing
pivotLow = ta.pivotlow(low, leftBars, rightBars)  // Apply WMA for smoothing

// Convert Pivot Highs and Lows to Boolean Conditions
isPivotHigh = not na(pivotHigh)  // True when a pivot high exists
isPivotLow = not na(pivotLow)  // True when a pivot low exists

// Get Recent Support and Resistance Levels
recentResistance = ta.valuewhen(isPivotHigh, high, 0)  // Most recent resistance level
recentSupport = ta.valuewhen(isPivotLow, low, 0)  // Most recent support level

// Plot Smoothed Support and Resistance Levels
//plot(recentResistance, color=color.red, title="Recent Resistance", linewidth=2, style=plot.style_line)
//plot(recentSupport, color=color.green, title="Recent Support", linewidth=2, style=plot.style_line)

// Store Entry Price into a Variable
var float entryPrice = na  // Declare a variable to store the entry price

// Input for Higher Timeframe
higherTimeframeInput = input.timeframe('W', title="Higher Timeframe for MA Calculation")

if (timeframe.period == "240") or (timeframe.period == "120")
    higherTimeframeInput := "D"
if (timeframe.period == "60") or (timeframe.period == "30") or (timeframe.period == "15")
    higherTimeframeInput := "120"
if (timeframe.period == "10") or (timeframe.period == "5") 
    higherTimeframeInput := "30"
if (timeframe.period == "1")
    higherTimeframeInput := "10"

prd = input.int(defval=10, title='Pivot Period', minval=4, maxval=30, group='Settings πŸ”¨', tooltip='Used while calculating Pivot Points, checks left&right bars')
ppsrc = input.string(defval='High/Low', title='Source', options=['High/Low', 'Close/Open'], group='Settings πŸ”¨', tooltip='Source for Pivot Points')
ChannelW = input.int(defval=5, title='Maximum Channel Width %', minval=1, maxval=8, group='Settings πŸ”¨', tooltip='Calculated using Highest/Lowest levels in 300 bars')
minstrength = input.int(defval=1, title='Minimum Strength', minval=1, group='Settings πŸ”¨', tooltip='Channel must contain at least 2 Pivot Points')
maxnumsr = input.int(defval=4, title='Maximum Number of S/R', minval=1, maxval=10, group='Settings πŸ”¨', tooltip='Maximum number of Support/Resistance Channels to Show') - 1
loopback = input.int(defval=150, title='Loopback Period', minval=100, maxval=400, group='Settings πŸ”¨', tooltip='While calculating S/R levels it checks Pivots in Loopback Period')
res_col = input.color(defval=color.new(color.red, 75), title='Resistance Color', group='Colors 🟑🟒🟣')
sup_col = input.color(defval=color.new(color.lime, 75), title='Support Color', group='Colors 🟑🟒🟣')
inch_col = input.color(defval=color.new(color.gray, 75), title='Color When Price in Channel', group='Colors 🟑🟒🟣')

// Get Pivot High/Low
src1 = ppsrc == 'High/Low' ? high : math.max(close, open)
src2 = ppsrc == 'High/Low' ? low : math.min(close, open)
ph = ta.pivothigh(src1, prd, prd)
pl = ta.pivotlow(src2, prd, prd)

// Calculate maximum S/R channel width
prdhighest = ta.highest(300)
prdlowest = ta.lowest(300)
cwidth = (prdhighest - prdlowest) * ChannelW / 100

// Get/keep Pivot levels
var pivotvals = array.new_float(0)
var pivotlocs = array.new_float(0)
if ph or pl
    array.unshift(pivotvals, ph ? ph : pl)
    array.unshift(pivotlocs, bar_index)
    for x = array.size(pivotvals) - 1 to 0 by 1
        if bar_index - array.get(pivotlocs, x) > loopback  // remove old pivot points
            array.pop(pivotvals)
            array.pop(pivotlocs)
            continue
        break

// Find/create SR channel of a pivot point
get_sr_vals(ind) =>
    float lo = array.get(pivotvals, ind)
    float hi = lo
    int numpp = 0
    for y = 0 to array.size(pivotvals) - 1 by 1
        float cpp = array.get(pivotvals, y)
        float wdth = cpp <= hi ? hi - cpp : cpp - lo
        if wdth <= cwidth  // fits the max channel width?
            if cpp <= hi
                lo := math.min(lo, cpp)
            else
                hi := math.max(hi, cpp)
            numpp += 20  // each pivot point added as 20
    [hi, lo, numpp]

// Keep old SR channels and calculate/sort new channels if we met new pivot point
var suportresistance = array.new_float(20, 0)  // min/max levels
changeit(x, y) =>
    tmp = array.get(suportresistance, y * 2)
    array.set(suportresistance, y * 2, array.get(suportresistance, x * 2))
    array.set(suportresistance, x * 2, tmp)
    tmp := array.get(suportresistance, y * 2 + 1)
    array.set(suportresistance, y * 2 + 1, array.get(suportresistance, x * 2 + 1))
    array.set(suportresistance, x * 2 + 1, tmp)

if ph or pl
    supres = array.new_float(0)  // number of pivot, strength, min/max levels
    stren = array.new_float(10, 0)
    // Get levels and strengths
    for x = 0 to array.size(pivotvals) - 1 by 1
        [hi, lo, strength] = get_sr_vals(x)
        array.push(supres, strength)
        array.push(supres, hi)
        array.push(supres, lo)

    // Add each HL to strength
    for x = 0 to array.size(pivotvals) - 1 by 1
        h = array.get(supres, x * 3 + 1)
        l = array.get(supres, x * 3 + 2)
        s = 0
        for y = 0 to loopback by 1
            if high[y] <= h and high[y] >= l or low[y] <= h and low[y] >= l
                s += 1
        array.set(supres, x * 3, array.get(supres, x * 3) + s)

    // Reset SR levels
    array.fill(suportresistance, 0)
    // Get strongest SRs
    src = 0
    for x = 0 to array.size(pivotvals) - 1 by 1
        stv = -1.  // value
        stl = -1  // location
        for y = 0 to array.size(pivotvals) - 1 by 1
            if array.get(supres, y * 3) > stv and array.get(supres, y * 3) >= minstrength * 20
                stv := array.get(supres, y * 3)
                stl := y
        if stl >= 0
            // Get SR level
            hh = array.get(supres, stl * 3 + 1)
            ll = array.get(supres, stl * 3 + 2)
            array.set(suportresistance, src * 2, hh)
            array.set(suportresistance, src * 2 + 1, ll)
            array.set(stren, src, array.get(supres, stl * 3))

            // Make included pivot points' strength zero
            for y = 0 to array.size(pivotvals) - 1 by 1
                if array.get(supres, y * 3 + 1) <= hh and array.get(supres, y * 3 + 1) >= ll or array.get(supres, y * 3 + 2) <= hh and array.get(supres, y * 3 + 2) >= ll
                    array.set(supres, y * 3, -1)

            src += 1
            if src >= 10
                break

    for x = 0 to 8 by 1
        for y = x + 1 to 9 by 1
            if array.get(stren, y) > array.get(stren, x)
                tmp = array.get(stren, y)
                array.set(stren, y, array.get(stren, x))
                changeit(x, y)

get_level(ind) =>
    float ret = na
    if ind < array.size(suportresistance)
        if array.get(suportresistance, ind) != 0
            ret := array.get(suportresistance, ind)
    ret

get_color(ind) =>
    color ret = na
    if ind < array.size(suportresistance)
        if array.get(suportresistance, ind) != 0
            ret := array.get(suportresistance, ind) > close and array.get(suportresistance, ind + 1) > close ? res_col : array.get(suportresistance, ind) < close and array.get(suportresistance, ind + 1) < close ? sup_col : inch_col
    ret

// var srchannels = array.new_box(10)
// for x = 0 to math.min(9, maxnumsr) by 1
//     box.delete(array.get(srchannels, x))
//     srcol = get_color(x * 2)
//     if not na(srcol)
//         array.set(srchannels, x, box.new(left=bar_index, top=get_level(x * 2), right=bar_index + 1, bottom=get_level(x * 2 + 1), border_color=srcol, border_width=1, extend=extend.both, bgcolor=srcol))

// Improved dynamic support detection
float recentSupport1 = na
float previousSupport = na
float currentsupport = na

if na(previousSupport) or currentsupport != previousSupport
    if array.size(suportresistance) > 1 
        for i = 0 to math.floor(array.size(suportresistance) / 2) - 1  // Iterate through support levels
            currentsupport := array.get(suportresistance, i * 2 + 1)  // Support is stored at odd indices
            if currentsupport < close and (na(recentSupport1) or math.abs(close - currentsupport) < math.abs(close - recentSupport1))
                previousSupport := currentsupport  // Store the newly detected support
                  // Set the most recent support to the new support
                recentSupport1 := na(recentSupport1) ? ta.lowest(low, 10) : currentsupport
// Moving averages for entry and exit
maShort = ta.sma(close, 5)
maLong = ta.sma(close, 30) + ta.atr(14)
// Track entry price
entryPrice1 = strategy.position_avg_price  // Get the price of the currently open position
currentTimeFrame = timeframe.period
exitPrice = entryPrice1 * 0.99

if currentTimeFrame == "1H" or currentTimeFrame == "30" or currentTimeFrame == "15" or currentTimeFrame == "5"
    exitPrice := entryPrice1 * 0.99  // Set the exit price at 99% of the entry price

if currentTimeFrame == "120" or currentTimeFrame == "180" or currentTimeFrame == "240" or currentTimeFrame == "D"
    exitPrice := entryPrice1 * 0.98 // Set the exit price at 95% of the entry price




// Calculate Moving Average based on higher timeframe for length of 20 bars
higherTimeframeMA = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, higherTimeframeInput, ta.sma(close, 20), barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)  // Calculate MA with adjusted timeframe

// Entry and Exit Conditions for Long
entryLong = (close > kcUpper) and (close > recentResistance) and (close > higherTimeframeMA)  // Long entry when price breaks above KC upper, recent resistance, and higher timeframe MA
exitLong = (close < recentResistance - 1.5*atrValue)  // Long exit when price falls below recent resistance with cushion of one ATR

// Entry and Exit Conditions for Short
entryShort = (close < kcLower) and (close < recentSupport) and (close < higherTimeframeMA+atrValue) // Add RSI filter to reduce false signals by confirming momentum  // Short entry when price breaks below KC lower, recent support, and higher timeframe MA
exitShort = (close > recentSupport + atrValue)  // Short exit when price rises above recent support with cushion of one ATR(close > recentSupport + atrValue)  // Short exit when price rises above recent support with cushion of one ATR(close > recentSupport + atrValue)  // Short exit when price rises above recent support with cushion of one ATR

// Strategy Execution for Long
if not na(recentSupport1) and (close <= recentSupport1 +(close*0.01) or close >= recentSupport1 - (close*0.0075)) and (maShort > maLong) and entryLong
    strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long)
    //entryPrice := strategy.position_avg_price  // Store the entry price when a position is opened

if ((maShort < maLong + 3*ta.atr(14)) or  close < exitPrice) and exitLong
    strategy.close("Long Entry")

// Strategy Execution for Short
if entryShort
    strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short)
    entryPrice := strategy.position_avg_price  // Store the entry price when a position is opened

if exitShort
    strategy.close("Short Entry")

// Plot Keltner Channels
plot(kcUpper, color=color.orange, title="Keltner Channel Upper", linewidth=1)
plot(kcLower, color=color.orange, title="Keltner Channel Lower", linewidth=1)

// Plot Moving Averages
plot(higherTimeframeMA, color=color.blue, title="Higher Timeframe MA", linewidth=2)

//plot(recentSupport1, color=#04313f, title="Recent Support1")
//plot(recentResistance, color=color.purple, title="Recent Resistance")
//plot(entryPrice1, color=color.lime, title="Entry Price 1")
//plot(exitPrice, color=color.maroon, title="Exit Price")
//plot(maShort, color=color.green, title="MA Short")
//plot(maLong, color=color.blue, title="MA Long Plus ATR")

// Highlight Entry Zones
bgcolor(entryLong ? color.new(color.green, 85) : na, title="Long Entry Zone")
bgcolor(entryShort ? color.new(color.red, 85) : na, title="Short Entry Zone")

// Alerts
alertcondition(entryLong, title="Long Entry", message="Price broke above the Keltner Channel and recent resistance for Long Entry")
alertcondition(exitLong, title="Long Exit", message="Price fell below recent resistance with cushion of one ATR - Long Exit")
alertcondition(entryShort, title="Short Entry", message="Price broke below the Keltner Channel and recent support for Short Entry")
alertcondition(exitShort, title="Short Exit", message="Price rose above recent support with cushion of one ATR - Short Exit")