ChaoZhang
Esta é uma estratégia abrangente de negociação de momentum baseada em múltiplos indicadores de cruzamento de média móvel e indicadores de preço de volume. A estratégia gera sinais de negociação com base na combinação de vários indicadores, como cruzamento de média móvel exponencial rápida e lenta (EMA), preço médio ponderado por volume (VWAP) e SuperTrend, ao mesmo tempo que combina janelas de tempo de negociação intradiária e condições como intervalo de mudança de preço. usado para controlar entrada e saída.
Princípio da estratégia
A estratégia usa EMA de 5 e 13 dias como os principais indicadores de julgamento de tendência. Quando a EMA rápida cruza acima da EMA lenta e o preço de fechamento está acima do VWAP, um sinal longo é acionado; quando a EMA rápida cruza abaixo da EMA lenta e o preço de fechamento estiver abaixo do VWAP, um sinal longo é acionado. Quando ele cai, um sinal curto é acionado. Ao mesmo tempo, a estratégia também introduz o indicador SuperTrend como base para confirmação de tendência e stop loss. A estratégia define diferentes condições de entrada para diferentes dias de negociação, incluindo a faixa de variação de preço em comparação com o preço de fechamento do dia de negociação anterior, a faixa de flutuação dos preços mais altos e mais baixos do dia, etc.
Vantagens estratégicas
- O uso coordenado de vários indicadores técnicos melhora a confiabilidade dos sinais de negociação
- Defina condições de entrada diferenciadas para diferentes dias de negociação para melhor adaptação às características do mercado
- A adoção de mecanismos dinâmicos de stop-profit e stop-loss pode controlar riscos de forma eficaz
- Combinado com as restrições das janelas de tempo de negociação intradiária, os riscos de períodos de alta volatilidade são evitados
- Ao limitar os pontos altos e baixos anteriores e a faixa de flutuação de preços, o risco de perseguir o alto e vender o baixo é reduzido.
Risco estratégico
- Sinais falsos podem aparecer em condições de mercado em rápida evolução
- Pode haver um atraso nos estágios iniciais de uma reversão de tendência
- A otimização de parâmetros pode apresentar o risco de overfitting
- Os custos de transação podem afetar os retornos da estratégia
- O mercado pode enfrentar grandes quedas durante períodos de alta volatilidade
Direção de otimização da estratégia
- Considere introduzir indicadores de análise de volume para confirmar ainda mais a força da tendência
- Otimize as configurações de parâmetros para diferentes dias de negociação para melhorar a adaptabilidade da estratégia
- Adicione mais indicadores de sentimento de mercado para melhorar a precisão da previsão
- Melhorar o mecanismo de stop-profit e stop-loss para melhorar a eficiência da utilização do capital
- Considere adicionar indicadores de volatilidade para otimizar o gerenciamento de posições
Resumir
Esta estratégia combina monitoramento de tendências e negociação de momentum por meio do uso abrangente de múltiplos indicadores técnicos. O design da estratégia considera totalmente a diversidade do mercado e adota regras de negociação diferenciadas para diferentes dias de negociação. Por meio de rigoroso controle de risco e mecanismos flexíveis de stop-profit e stop-loss, a estratégia demonstra bom valor de aplicação prática. No futuro, a estabilidade e a lucratividade da estratégia podem ser melhoradas pela introdução de mais indicadores técnicos e pela otimização das configurações de parâmetros.
Código-fonte da estratégia
/*backtest
start: 2019-12-23 08:00:00
end: 2025-01-04 08:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
//@version=6
strategy("S1", overlay=true)
fastEMA = ta.ema(close, 5)
slowEMA = ta.ema(close,13)
ema9 = ta.ema(close, 9)
ema100 = ta.ema(close, 100)
ema5 = ta.ema(close, 5)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)
ma = ta.sma(close, 50)
mult = input.float(defval=3)
len = input.int(defval=11)
[superTrend, dir] = ta.supertrend(mult, len)
vwap1= ta.vwap(hlc3)
plot(slowEMA,color = color.green)
plot(fastEMA,color = color.black)
plot(vwap1, color = color.blue)
var dailyTaskDone = false
var gapdown = false
var gapup = false
var runup = 0.0
var biggapdown = false
var biggapup = false
var prevDayClose = 0.0
var todayLow = 0.0
var todayHigh = 0.0
var noBuyNow = false
var noSellNow = false
var buyPrice = 0.0
var sellPrice = 0.0
var todayBuyDone = false
var todaySellDone = false
var dragonflyDoji = false
var candleCount = 0
var candleCount1 = 0
var lastTrade = 9
var lastFiveCandles = false
var lastSevenCandlesS = false
var fiveEMACC = 0
candleCount := candleCount + 1
candleCount1 := candleCount1 + 1
if fiveEMACC > 0
fiveEMACC := fiveEMACC + 1
if fiveEMACC == 6
fiveEMACC := 0
if strategy.openprofit == 0
candleCount := 0
if hour == 9 and minute ==15
prevDayClose := close[1]
todayLow := low
todayHigh := high
lastTrade := 9
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (open - close[1]) > close*0.01
gapup := true
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (open - close[1]) < close*0.005*-1
gapdown := true
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (close - close[1]) > 200
biggapup := true
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (close - close[1]) < 200
biggapdown := true
if low < todayLow
todayLow := low
candleCount1 := 0
if high > todayHigh
todayHigh := high
if close > todayLow + 200
noBuyNow := true
if close < todayHigh - 200//0.01*close
noSellNow := false
lastFiveCandles := (close[4]<open[4] or close[3]<open[3] or close[2] < open[2] or close[1]<open[1])
lastSevenCandlesS := (close[6]>open[6] or close[5]>open[5] or close[4]>open[4] or close[3]>open[3] or close[2] > open[2] or close[1]>open[1])
if hour == 15
dailyTaskDone := false
gapdown := false
gapup := false
biggapup := false
biggapdown := false
noBuyNow := false
noSellNow := false
todayLow := 0.0
todayHigh := 0.0
buyPrice := 0.0
sellPrice := 0.0
todayBuyDone := false
todaySellDone := false
dragonflyDoji := false
lastTrade := 9
// if fastEMA < slowEMA and lastTrade == 1 and strategy.openprofit==0
// lastTrade := 9
if fastEMA > slowEMA and lastTrade == 0 and strategy.openprofit==0
lastTrade := 9
buy = (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.011) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and lastFiveCandles and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001))and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and (hour!=9 or minute>=35))
sell= (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and lastSevenCandlesS and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.008 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01 ) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and (open - low < 2*(high-close)) and (close-open<10) and not dragonflyDoji and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and prevDayClose-close<close*0.012 and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (hour!=9 or minute>=40) and close<open and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (close-todayLow>30 or candleCount1<1) ) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (hour!=9 or minute>=55) )
// buy = (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.011) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and lastFiveCandles and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((fastEMA > slowEMA))and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and (hour!=9 or minute>=35))
// sell= (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and lastSevenCandlesS and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.008 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01 ) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and (open - low < 2*(high-close)) and (close-open<10) and not dragonflyDoji and (slowEMA > fastEMA) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and prevDayClose-close<close*0.012 and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (hour!=9 or minute>=40) and close<open and (slowEMA > fastEMA) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (close-todayLow>30 or candleCount1<1) ) or
// (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (hour!=9 or minute>=55) )
dragonflyDoji:= false
// (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089 or (slowEMA-fastEMA>close*0.00049 and (high[2]>vwap or high[1]>vwap)))
if sellPrice != 0 and runup < sellPrice - low
runup := sellPrice - low
if buyPrice != 0 and runup < high - buyPrice
//ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(runup), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
runup := high - buyPrice
NoBuySellTime = (hour == 15) or ((hour==14 and minute>=25)) or (hour==9 and minute<=35) or hour >= 14
//(fiveEMACC > 0 and low < fastEMA and close < vwap1)
buyexit = fastEMA<slowEMA or (close<superTrend and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
sellexit = slowEMA<fastEMA or (close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close>superTrend) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
exitPosition = (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > 50) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 80) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and buyPrice !=0.0 and high-buyPrice > 30) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 30)
//code such that 2 fastema is > than 2 slowema
//exitPosition = (sellPrice!=0 and runup >21 and strategy.openprofit < -2000) or (candleCount > 18 and strategy.openprofit > 50 and strategy.openprofit < 1000) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > buyPrice * 0.007) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > sellPrice * 0.007) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and buyPrice !=0.0 and high-buyPrice > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > buyPrice * 0.002) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > sellPrice * 0.002)
//(runup >21 and strategy.openprofit < -2000) or
if buy and fastEMA>vwap1 and (not todayBuyDone or lastTrade != 1) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (close-prevDayClose)<150)//and not biggapup
strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long)
//dailyTaskDone := true
if buyPrice == 0.0
fiveEMACC := 1
buyPrice := close
//ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(todayLow + 500), yloc=yloc.belowbar9
todayBuyDone := true
lastTrade := 1
runup := 0.0
if sell and (not todaySellDone or lastTrade != 0) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone // and dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (prevDayClose-close)<150)//and not biggapdown
strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short)
//dailyTaskDone := true
if sellPrice == 0.0
fiveEMACC := 1
sellPrice := close
todaySellDone := true
lastTrade := 0
runup := 0.0
// if ((fastEMA-slowEMA>18 and close>vwap and close[1]>vwap[1] and (not todayBuyDone or candleCount>12)) or (slowEMA-fastEMA>10 and close < vwap and close[1]<vwap[1] and (not todaySellDone or candleCount > 12))) and strategy.openprofit==0
// ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(abs(prevDayClose-close)), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
IntraDay_SquareOff = minute >=15 and hour >= 15
if true and (IntraDay_SquareOff or exitPosition)
strategy.close("buy")
strategy.close("sell")
buyPrice := 0
sellPrice := 0
runup := 0.0
if buyexit
strategy.close("buy")
buyPrice := 0
if sellexit
strategy.close("sell")
sellPrice := 0
buy1 = ((dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and not gapup) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.0085) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close - todayLow < close*0.012))
and dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday and (not todayBuyDone or lastTrade != 1) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (close-prevDayClose)<150)//and not biggapup
sell1= ((dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.01 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not gapdown and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and prevDayClose-close < 0.005*close) or
(dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and prevDayClose-close < 0.005*close)) and
dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday and (not todaySellDone or lastTrade != 0) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone
// if buy1 and strategy.openprofit==0
// ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(fastEMA - slowEMA), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
// if sell1 and strategy.openprofit==0
// ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(slowEMA - fastEMA), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
// buy = ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 10) or ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 20)
// sell= ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] ) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 10) or ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] > slowEMA[2]) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 20)
// buy = (fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1])
// sell= (fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] )
// buy = ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 10) or ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 1)
// sell= ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] ) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 5)
// buy = fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]
// sell= fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] > slowEMA[2]
//Daily chart
// buyexit = (close + 40 < slowEMA)//rsi > 65 and fastEMA > ema9 // fastEMA > ema9// close < fastEMA//(rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA and fastEMA > ema3 and close > ema200) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and slowEMA > ema3 and slowEMA[1] < ema3[1] and 1==2
// sellexit = (close - 40 > slowEMA)//rsi < 35 // and close > ema200) or (rsi < 35 and close < ema200 and fastEMA < ema3) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and fastEMA < ema3 and fastEMA[1] > ema3[1] and 1==2
// buyexit = (close < superTrend)// and (close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and close < close[1])//and close[2] < vwap1[2]//rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA// fastEMA > ema9// close < fastEMA//(rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA and fastEMA > ema3 and close > ema200) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and slowEMA > ema3 and slowEMA[1] < ema3[1] and 1==2
// sellexit = (close > superTrend)// and (close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close > close[1]) //and close[2] > vwap1[2]//rsi < 35// and close > ema200) or (rsi < 35 and close < ema200 and fastEMA < ema3) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and fastEMA < ema3 and fastEMA[1] > ema3[1] and 1==2
// buyexit = (close < superTrend and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and close[1] < superTrend[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
// sellexit = (close > superTrend and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close[1] > superTrend[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000