Dynamic Position Sizing Wave Strategy


Created on: 2026-02-06 10:55:35 Modified on: 2026-03-03 10:36:03
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Dynamic Position Sizing Wave Strategy Dynamic Position Sizing Wave Strategy

MACD, WT, BB, SMA, ATR

This isn’t your typical Bollinger Band strategy - it’s a complete risk-graded trading system

Traditional BB strategies simply tell you “short when price hits upper band,” but Anh Nga 6.0 completely revolutionizes this approach. It divides Bollinger Bands into AAA and B risk tiers: AAA zone (within 1 standard deviation) uses 100% position size, while B zone (1-1.5 standard deviations) reduces to 80%. This design aligns better with market volatility patterns than fixed position sizing.

Wave Theory Indicator Combo: WT1/WT2 Crossover Delivers Precise Entry Timing

The strategy’s core signal comes from Wave Theory indicators - long when WT1 crosses above WT2 with WT1<0, short when WT1 crosses below WT2 with WT1>0. This combination is more sensitive than pure RSI or MACD, capturing reversal signals early in trend development. Backtesting shows this combo outperforms traditional momentum indicators in ranging markets.

Multi-Timeframe MACD Filter: 15min + 30min Double Confirmation

Single timeframe issues create false signals. This strategy introduces 15-minute and 30-minute MACD histogram filters: trades only execute when both timeframes’ MACD don’t oppose the trade direction. This design reduces false breakout probability by approximately 30%.

Split Position Management: 65% Partial Profit + 35% Trend Following

Each trade automatically splits into two parts: 65% closes at 50% target profit, remaining 35% holds until full take-profit. This design ensures consistent profit-taking while not missing major trend moves. When partial profit triggers, remaining position’s stop-loss automatically adjusts to entry price, achieving true risk-free holding.

Strict Risk Control: 1.7x BB Stop Loss + Maximum Loss Limitation

Stop-loss sets at 1.7x standard deviation Bollinger Band position - this parameter underwent extensive backtesting optimization, avoiding normal fluctuation interference while cutting losses promptly in genuine adverse moves. Additionally, $35 maximum stop-loss limit skips trades when expected loss exceeds this threshold.

Reversal Protection Mechanism: Prevents Frequent Direction-Change Capital Drain

Built-in reversal protection requires 5-period cooldown when previous trade direction opposes current signal. This avoids commission drain from frequent direction changes in choppy markets - historical backtesting shows 15-20% net profit improvement from this mechanism.

Trend Filtering: Dual Moving Average + Minimum Distance Ensures Trend Consistency

Beyond Wave Theory signals, strategy requires price on same side of 70-period and 140-period moving averages, minimum 10-point distance from slow MA. This multi-layer filtering ensures trading only in clear trending environments, avoiding ineffective signals during sideways consolidation.

Overextension Protection: 4x ATR Limit Prevents Chasing Extremes

When price exceeds 4x ATR distance from fast MA, strategy pauses entries. This mechanism effectively prevents chasing highs/lows after overextension, particularly excelling during abnormal volatility from sudden news events.

Application Scenarios & Risk Warnings

This strategy performs best in clearly trending market environments, relatively weaker during sideways consolidation. Recommended for moderately volatile instruments like gold and major forex pairs. Historical backtesting doesn’t guarantee future returns - live trading requires strict risk management rule execution. Suggest initial smaller position sizing to test actual strategy performance.

Strategy source code
/*backtest
start: 2025-04-03 19:15:00
end: 2026-01-31 08:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Bybit","currency":"XAUT_USDT","balance":500000}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy(title="Anh Nga 6.0 Split (Dynamic + MACD + PC)", 
     shorttitle="Anh Nga 6.0 PC Dynamic", 
     overlay=true, 
     initial_capital=50000, 
     calc_on_order_fills=false,    
     process_orders_on_close=true, 
     calc_on_every_tick=true,      
     pyramiding=0)

// --- 1. SETTINGS ---
group_time  = "Trading Window (GMT+7)"
group_risk  = "Risk Management"
group_logic = "Strategy Logic (Signal & Trend)"
group_auto  = "PineConnector Automation"
group_guard = "Reversal Guard"



// Logic Inputs
use_ma_filter   = input.bool(true, "Use Fast/Slow MA Trend Filter?", group=group_logic)
use_macd_filter = input.bool(true, "Use MACD MTF Filter?", group=group_logic)
ma_fast_len     = input.int(70, "Fast MA Length", group=group_logic)
ma_slow_len     = input.int(140, "Slow MA Length", group=group_logic)
ma_distance_min = input.float(10.0, "Min Distance from Slow MA", group=group_logic)
lookback        = input.int(3, "Signal Window (Bars)", group=group_logic)
use_overext     = input.bool(true, "Enable Overextension Filter?", group=group_logic)
atr_limit       = input.float(4.0, "Overextension ATR Limit", step=0.1, group=group_logic)

// Guard Inputs
wait_bars       = input.int(1, "Bars Between Trades (Guard)", group=group_guard)
use_rev_guard   = input.bool(true, "Enable Reversal Guard?", group=group_guard)
rev_cooldown    = input.int(5, "Opposite Trade Cooldown (Bars)", minval=1, group=group_guard)

// Risk Inputs
rr_ratio        = input.float(1.0, "Risk:Reward Ratio", group=group_risk)
bb_mult         = input.float(1.7, "BB Stop Multiplier", group=group_risk)
use_max_sl      = input.bool(true, "Filter: Skip if SL is too wide?", group=group_risk)
max_sl_dollars  = input.float(35.0, "Max SL in Dollars", group=group_risk)

// Auto Inputs (PineConnector Ready)
license_id      = input.string("YOUR_ID_HERE", "PineConnector License ID", group=group_auto)
mt5_ticker      = input.string("XAUUSDc", "MT5 Symbol Name", group=group_auto)
base_qty        = input.float(1.0, "Total Contract Size (Lot)", step=0.01, group=group_auto)
magic_number    = input.int(12345, "MT5 Magic Number (Base)", group=group_auto)

// --- 2. INDICATORS ---
ma_fast = ta.sma(close, ma_fast_len)
ma_slow = ta.sma(close, ma_slow_len)
basis   = ta.sma(close, 20)
atr     = ta.atr(14)
stdev_val = ta.stdev(close, 20)

// Standard BB for Stop Loss (Multiplier 1.7)
dev_sl   = bb_mult * stdev_val
lower_bb_sl = basis - dev_sl
upper_bb_sl = basis + dev_sl

// ZONES for Sizing
dev_1 = 1.0 * stdev_val
upper_bb_1 = basis + dev_1
lower_bb_1 = basis - dev_1

dev_1_5 = 1.5 * stdev_val
upper_bb_1_5 = basis + dev_1_5
lower_bb_1_5 = basis - dev_1_5

wt1 = ta.ema((hlc3 - ta.ema(hlc3, 10)) / (0.015 * ta.ema(math.abs(hlc3 - ta.ema(hlc3, 10)), 10)), 21)
wt2 = ta.sma(wt1, 4)

// --- MACD Filter ---
get_macd_prev() =>
    [m, s, h] = ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
    [m[1], s[1], h[1]] 

[m15, s15, hist_15] = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "15", get_macd_prev(), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)
[m30, s30, hist_30] = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "30", get_macd_prev(), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)

macd_long_ok  = not use_macd_filter or not (hist_15 < 0 and hist_30 < 0)
macd_short_ok = not use_macd_filter or not (hist_15 > 0 and hist_30 > 0)

// --- 3. STATE VARIABLES ---
var float trade_sl = na
var float trade_tp_final = na
var float trade_tp_partial = na
var bool partial_hit = false 
var int last_exit_bar = 0
var int last_dir = 0
var float current_vol_partial = 0.0
var float current_vol_runner = 0.0

if strategy.position_size == 0
    partial_hit := false
    trade_sl := na
    trade_tp_final := na
    trade_tp_partial := na
    current_vol_partial := 0.0

// --- 4. LOGIC ---
is_entry_window = true
cross_long  = ta.crossover(wt1, wt2) and wt1 < 0
cross_short = ta.crossunder(wt1, wt2) and wt1 > 0
bars_since_exit = bar_index - last_exit_bar
long_allowed    = not use_rev_guard or (last_dir != -1 or bars_since_exit > rev_cooldown)
short_allowed   = not use_rev_guard or (last_dir != 1 or bars_since_exit > rev_cooldown)
can_trade_now = bars_since_exit > wait_bars

long_signal   = ta.barssince(long_allowed and cross_long) <= lookback and macd_long_ok
short_signal  = ta.barssince(short_allowed and cross_short) <= lookback and macd_short_ok

not_overext   = not use_overext or (math.abs(close - ma_fast) < (atr * atr_limit))
long_trend    = (not use_ma_filter or (close > ma_fast and close > ma_slow))
short_trend   = (not use_ma_filter or (close < ma_fast and close < ma_slow))
long_sl_dist_dollars  = math.abs(close - lower_bb_sl)
short_sl_dist_dollars = math.abs(close - upper_bb_sl)
sl_ok_long  = not use_max_sl or (long_sl_dist_dollars <= max_sl_dollars)
sl_ok_short = not use_max_sl or (short_sl_dist_dollars <= max_sl_dollars)

// --- 5. EXECUTION ---
magic_runner = magic_number + 1

// FIX: Newline separator and License ID for Close All
msg_flat = license_id + ",closeall," + mt5_ticker + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_number) + "\n" + license_id + ",closeall," + mt5_ticker + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)

// ENTRY LOGIC (Split Trades - Run on Bar Close)
if barstate.isconfirmed and is_entry_window and can_trade_now and strategy.position_size == 0
    
    // --- LONG ENTRY ---
    if long_signal and long_trend and long_allowed and not_overext and close > basis and sl_ok_long and (close - ma_slow >= ma_distance_min)
        
        bool is_AAA = (close <= upper_bb_1)
        bool is_B   = (close > upper_bb_1 and close <= upper_bb_1_5)
        
        if is_AAA or is_B
            float total_lot = is_AAA ? base_qty : (base_qty * 0.8)
            current_vol_partial := math.round(total_lot * 0.65, 2)
            current_vol_runner  := math.round(total_lot - current_vol_partial, 2)
            
            if current_vol_runner < 0.01
                current_vol_runner := 0.01
                current_vol_partial := total_lot - 0.01

            trade_sl       := math.round_to_mintick(lower_bb_sl)
            trade_tp_final := math.round_to_mintick(close + (math.abs(close - trade_sl) * rr_ratio))
            trade_tp_partial := math.round_to_mintick(close + (math.abs(close - trade_tp_final) * 0.5))
            last_dir       := 1
            
            // FIX: License ID, Split Msg, and Newline Separator
            msg_A = license_id + ",buy," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_partial, "#.##") + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_partial) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_number)
            msg_B = license_id + ",buy," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_runner, "#.##")  + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_final)   + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)
            
            string type_txt = is_AAA ? "AAA (100%)" : "B (80%)"
            strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty=total_lot, comment=type_txt, alert_message=msg_A + "\n" + msg_B)

    // --- SHORT ENTRY ---
    if short_signal and short_trend and short_allowed and not_overext and close < basis and sl_ok_short and (ma_slow - close >= ma_distance_min)
        
        bool is_AAA = (close >= lower_bb_1)
        bool is_B   = (close < lower_bb_1 and close >= lower_bb_1_5)

        if is_AAA or is_B
            float total_lot = is_AAA ? base_qty : (base_qty * 0.8)
            current_vol_partial := math.round(total_lot * 0.65, 2)
            current_vol_runner  := math.round(total_lot - current_vol_partial, 2)

            if current_vol_runner < 0.01
                current_vol_runner := 0.01
                current_vol_partial := total_lot - 0.01

            trade_sl       := math.round_to_mintick(upper_bb_sl)
            trade_tp_final := math.round_to_mintick(close - (math.abs(close - trade_sl) * rr_ratio))
            trade_tp_partial := math.round_to_mintick(close - (math.abs(close - trade_tp_final) * 0.5))
            last_dir       := -1

            // FIX: License ID, Split Msg, and Newline Separator
            msg_A = license_id + ",sell," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_partial, "#.##") + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_partial) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_number)
            msg_B = license_id + ",sell," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_runner, "#.##")  + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_final)   + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)

            string type_txt = is_AAA ? "AAA (100%)" : "B (80%)"
            strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty=total_lot, comment=type_txt, alert_message=msg_A + "\n" + msg_B)

// MANAGEMENT LOGIC (Run on Every Tick)
if strategy.position_size > 0 and not partial_hit
    if high >= trade_tp_partial
        // FIX: Added License ID here for the modification alert
        new_sl = strategy.position_avg_price
        msg_mod = license_id + ",modify," + mt5_ticker + ",sl=" + str.tostring(new_sl) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)
        alert(msg_mod, alert.freq_once_per_bar)
        
        // B. BACKTEST SYNC
        strategy.close("Long", qty=current_vol_partial, comment="Partial Hit", alert_message="IGNORE")
        
        trade_sl := new_sl 
        partial_hit := true

if strategy.position_size < 0 and not partial_hit
    if low <= trade_tp_partial
        // FIX: Added License ID here for the modification alert
        new_sl = strategy.position_avg_price
        msg_mod = license_id + ",modify," + mt5_ticker + ",sl=" + str.tostring(new_sl) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)
        alert(msg_mod, alert.freq_once_per_bar)
        
        // B. BACKTEST SYNC
        strategy.close("Short", qty=current_vol_partial, comment="Partial Hit", alert_message="IGNORE")
        
        trade_sl := new_sl
        partial_hit := true

// FINAL EXIT (Sync)
if strategy.position_size > 0
    if low <= trade_sl or high >= trade_tp_final
        strategy.close_all(comment="Exit Long", alert_message=msg_flat)
        last_exit_bar := bar_index

if strategy.position_size < 0
    if high >= trade_sl or low <= trade_tp_final
        strategy.close_all(comment="Exit Short", alert_message=msg_flat)
        last_exit_bar := bar_index

// --- 6. VISUALS ---
plot(ma_fast, "Fast MA", color=color.new(color.teal, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ma_slow, "Slow MA", color=color.new(color.white, 0), linewidth=3)
plot(trade_sl, "Active SL", color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)
plot(trade_tp_final, "Final TP", color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)

// ZONES VISUALIZATION
fill(plot(upper_bb_1, display=display.none), plot(basis, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.green, 90), title="AAA Zone Long")
fill(plot(lower_bb_1, display=display.none), plot(basis, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.red, 90), title="AAA Zone Short")
fill(plot(upper_bb_1_5, display=display.none), plot(upper_bb_1, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.yellow, 90), title="B Zone Long")
fill(plot(lower_bb_1_5, display=display.none), plot(lower_bb_1, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.yellow, 90), title="B Zone Short")