Strategi Tren Dinamis yang Singkat

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-12-12 18:03:39
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Gambaran umum

Strategi ini didasarkan pada indikator Indeks Dinamis Pedagang (TDI) dan Indikator Saluran Aksi Harga (PAC), bersama dengan Bollinger Bands, Indeks Kekuatan Relatif (RSI) dan MACD, untuk menerapkan sistem trend-following.

Strategi ini terutama digunakan untuk mendeteksi tren dan menghasilkan sinyal perdagangan ketika terjadi pembalikan tren yang signifikan.

Logika Strategi

Inti dari strategi ini adalah indikator TDI.

  • Indeks Kekuatan Relatif (RSI): mengukur momentum harga
  • Bollinger Bands: mencerminkan volatilitas harga
  • Garis Harga RSI: Rata-rata Gerak Sederhana pada RSI yang mewakili tren harga RSI
  • RSI Trade Signal Line: Rata-rata Gerak Sederhana lainnya pada RSI yang digunakan untuk menghasilkan sinyal perdagangan

Ketika garis harga RSI dan garis sinyal perdagangan membentuk salib emas, ini memicu sinyal beli. salib kematian antara kedua garis memicu sinyal jual. Perpindahan garis sinyal perdagangan dan pita tengah juga menghasilkan sinyal yang lebih lemah.

Strategi ini juga menggabungkan indikator Price Action Channel, yang menghitung saluran harga berdasarkan harga tertinggi dan terendah selama periode tertentu.

Untuk menyaring sinyal palsu, indikator MACD juga diterapkan. Sinyal masuk hanya dipicu ketika warna histogram MACD dan arah sinyal cocok.

Keuntungan

Dibandingkan dengan sistem indikator tunggal, strategi multi-indikator ini memiliki keuntungan:

  • TDI sensitif terhadap perubahan tren
  • Saluran Aksi Harga dengan jelas mencerminkan dukungan dan resistensi
  • MACD membantu menyaring sinyal palsu

Selain itu, TDI mendeteksi pembalikan tren lebih cepat daripada indikator yang mengikuti tren seperti rata-rata bergerak, sehingga mengurangi kerugian yang tidak perlu.

Strategi ini dapat disesuaikan dengan berbagai lingkungan pasar melalui pengaturan parameter.

Risiko

  • Kompleksitas dari beberapa indikator yang tumpang tindih
  • Potensi frekuensi perdagangan yang terlalu tinggi, peningkatan biaya dan risiko slippage
  • Risiko kelanjutan tren dari deteksi pembalikan yang tidak akurat
  • Gerakan harga nyata dalam perdagangan langsung bisa jauh lebih kompleks daripada backtest

Risiko dapat dikurangi dengan memperluas rentang stop-loss untuk membatasi kerugian, mengoptimalkan parameter untuk sinyal yang lebih baik, dan melonggarkan kriteria masuk untuk mengurangi frekuensi perdagangan.

Peluang Peningkatan

  • Tune parameter TDI untuk menemukan pengaturan yang optimal
  • Sesuaikan panjang Saluran Aksi Harga untuk deteksi support/resistance terbaik
  • Memperbaiki parameter MACD untuk memaksimalkan efek filter
  • Mengintegrasikan ukuran posisi dan metodologi trailing stop

Kesimpulan

Strategi ini mensintesis berbagai indikator untuk menilai tren dan pembalikan, dan dapat disesuaikan di seluruh produk bila disesuaikan dengan baik.


/*backtest
start: 2023-11-11 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-05 00:00:00
period: 2h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
//

strategy("[BACKTEST]Traders Dynamic Index Indicator Alert by JustUncleL", shorttitle="[BACKTEST]TDIALT")

// 
// author: JustUncleL
// date: 10-Oct-2019
// 
// Description:
//   This script is a "strategy" version of the "Traders Dynamic Index Indicator Alert v0.1 by JustUncleL"
//   made available for backtesting to help optimize settings.
//
//   This is a Trend following system utilising the Traders Dynamic Index (TDI),
//   Price Action Channel (PAC) and Heikin Ashi candles.
//   About while ago I came across the use of TDI in "E.A.S.Y. Method" that I found in
//   forexfactory forums: http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=686629&d=1303831008
//   and I was able to set up a chart based on the specifications by using Kurbelklaus scripts.
//   However, I found that the alerts were being generated one or two bars too late,
//   so I was not successful using it with Binary Options. Later I found a variation of the
//   method in the forums which generates alerts a bit earlier, so this indicator is a
//   variation of that early detection version.
//   The indicator can optionally use Heikin  Ashi candles only for all it's calculations, 
//   I would recommend viewing the chart with normal Heikin Ashi candles, these
//   smooth out the trends and makes them more visible.
//
//   I found that this metod it works OK with currency pairs or commodities.
//   It also seems to work well with 5min+ timeframe charts, 
//   and for Binary Options I would suggest expiry of 2 to 6 candles.
//
//   ALERT GENERATION:
//   =================
//
//   The TDI (Traders Dynamic Index)
//   -------------------------------
//   Volatility Band VB(34), color: Blue, buffer: UpZone, DnZone
//   Relative Strength Index RSI(13)
//   RSI PRICE LINE (2), color: Green, buffer: mab
//   RSI TRADE SIGNAL LINE (7), color: Red, buffer: mbb
//   MARKET BASE LINE MID VB(34), color: Orange, buffer: mid
//
//   Indicator SignalLevels:
//   -----------------------
//   RSI_OversoldLevel : 22 (normally: 32)
//   RSI_OverboughtLevel : 78 (normally: 68)
//
//   Alert Conditions:
//   -----------------
//   Strong Buy (yellow): HIGH>PAC upper && BULL Candle && Candle High>PAC High && RSI>TRADE SIGNAL LINE && RSI>RSI_OversoldLevel && 
//                        && RSI<RSI_OverboughtLevel && TRADE SIGNAL LINE> MARKET BASE LINE
//   Medium Buy (aqua): HIGH>PAC upper && BULL Candle && Candle High>PAC High && RSI>TRADE SIGNAL LINE && RSI>RSI_OversoldLevel 
//                        && RSI<RSI_OverboughtLevel && RSI> MARKET BASE LINE && TRADE SIGNAL LINE< MARKET BASE LINE
//   Weak Buy (blue):   HIGH>PAC upper && BULL Candle && Candle High>PAC High && RSI>TRADE SIGNAL LINE && RSI>RSI_OversoldLevel
//                        && RSI<RSI_OverboughtLevel && TRADE SIGNAL LINE<MARKET BASE LINE && RSI< MARKET BASE LINE
//
//   Strong Sell (fuchsia): LOW<PAC lower && BEAR Candle && Candle Low>PAC Low && RSI<TRADE SIGNAL LINE && RSI>RSI_OversoldLevel 
//                        && RSI<RSI_OverboughtLevel && TRADE SIGNAL LINE< MARKET BASE LINE
//   Medium Sell (purple): LOW<PAC lower && BEAR Candle && Candle Low>PAC Low && RSI<TRADE SIGNAL LINE && RSI>RSI_OversoldLevel 
//                           && RSI<RSI_OverboughtLevel && RSI< MARKET BASE LINE && TRADE SIGNAL LINE> MARKET BASE LINE
//   Weak Sell (black): LOW<PAC lower && BEAR Candle && Candle Low>PAC Low && RSI<TRADE SIGNAL LINE && RSI>RSI_OversoldLevel 
//                        && RSI<RSI_OverboughtLevel && TRADE SIGNAL LINE> MARKET BASE LINE && RSI> MARKET BASE LINE
//
//   HIGH LEVEL FILTER (Overbought): RSI>=RSI_OverboughtLevel or MACD Histogram not green
//   LOW LEVEL FILTER (Oversold): RSI<=RSI_OversoldLevel or MACD Histogram not red
//
//   Hints on How to use:
//   --------------------
//   - When a Medium or Strong alert is generated and MACD histogram colour matches the direction
//     of the alert, then place trade in direction of alert candle and MACD.
//   - Use the multi-Hull MA's for trend direction confirmation.
//   - Best positions occur near the MACD(8,16,1) Histogram crossing the zero line.
//   - The optional coloured Dots along the bottom of the indicator represent the first alert 
//     of this type that was generated in this sequence.
//   - It is advisable to trade in the direction of the main trend as indicated the HULL MA red cloud:
//     if red cloud underneath PAC then BULLISH trend, if red cloud above PAC then BEARISH trend.
//   - Selecting the HeiKin Ashi candles does affect the MACD and MA caculations, so if you select
//     normal candles the result chart will change. Although the TDI calculations and alerts will stay the
//     same.
//   - When using the Heikin Ashi candles, a good buy entry is indicated by long top wick and no bottom wick
//     for bull (green) candles and good sell entry is indicated by long bottom wick and no top wick for
//     bear (red) candles.
//   - When the MACD histogram is flat and close to zero line,
//     this indicates a ranging market, do NOT trade when this occurs.
//   - When the PAC channel on the main chart is spread apart widely, this is an indication
//     of extreme volitity and choppy chart, do NOT try to trade during these periods.
//     A choppy chart is also indicated by Heikin Ashi candles with long wicks on both sides
//     of the candles.
//   - You can specify what strength level Alerts are generated (default 2):
//     Level (1) means only generate Strong Alerts only.
//     Level (2) means generate Strong and Medium Alerts.
//     Level (3) means generate Strong, Medium and Weak Alerts.
//
//   Modifications:
//   --------------
//     11-Oct-2019    
//          - Strategy Version for backtesting created.
//          - Converted to Pinescript V4
//
//     1.3  7-Aug-2017
//          - Modified Alertcondition code so that it only signals on the last completed alerted
//            candle. This should prevent some false alerts and multiple alerts being generated.
//            When setting alarms I suggest using Frequency "Once per bar (on condition)" to get
//            the earliest signal possible.
//          - Added optional alert long/short spikes that only occur on the first Long or Short//      Original code @author LazyBear for basic TDI indicator.

//            signals.
//     1.2  5-Aug-2017:
//          - Added new alerts for Buy and Sell (Long and Short) signals seperately.
//          - Upgraded to version 3 Pinescript.
//          - Added work around patch for opaque bar colouring issue.
//
//     1.1  - Modified code so when viewing Top chart with Heikin Ashi candles, calculations
//            are still based on standard candles, unless Heikin Ashi calculation option selected.
//
//     0.2  - Simplified MACD direction calculation to use just rising/falling.
//     0.1  - Oroginal Version
//   References:
//   -----------
//      Traders Dynamic Index [LazyBear]
//      KK_Traders Dynamic Index_Bar Highlighting by Kurbelklaus
//      KK_Price Action Channel (TDI BH) by Kurbelklaus
//      http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=686629&d=1303831008
//      http://www.forexstrategiesresources.com/trading-system-metatrader-4-iv/504-traders-dynamic-index-how-to-use/
//      http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=460148
//      http://www.forexstrategiesresources.com/scalping-forex-strategies-ii/205-scalping-with-tdi-real-macd-stochrainbow/
//
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Copyright 2016, 2017, 2019 JustUncleL
//
// This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
// it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
// the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
// any later version.
//
// This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
// but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
// MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the
// GNU General Public License for more details.
// 
// The GNU General Public License can be found here
// <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
//
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
//

//
lengthrsi = input(13)
lengthband = input(34)
lengthrsipl = input(2)
lengthtradesl = input(7)
lenH = input(5, minval=1, title="Price Action Channel Length")
lenL = lenH
rsiOSL = input(22, minval=0, maxval=49, title="RSI Oversold Level")
rsiOBL = input(78, minval=51, maxval=100, title="RSI Overbought Level")
strength = input(2, minval=1, maxval=3, step=1, title="Strength Level: (1)Strong (2)Medium (3)All")
sgb = input(false, title="Check Box To Turn Bars Gray")
sbr = input(true, title="Highlight TDI Alert Bars")
sal = input(true, title="Show Alert Condition Status")
uha = input(false, title="Use Heikin Ashi Candles for Calculations")
//

// Constants colours that include fully non-transparent option.
blue100 = #0000FFFF
aqua100 = #00FFFFFF
fuchsia100 = #FF00FFFF
purple100 = #800080FF
gray100 = #808080FF
gold100 = #FFD700FF
white100 = #FFFFFFFF
black100 = #000000FF
gold = #FFD700


// Use only Heikinashi Candles for all calculations or use Standard Candles for calculations.
security_1 = security(heikinashi(syminfo.tickerid), timeframe.period, close)
security_2 = security(syminfo.ticker, timeframe.period, close)
srcClose = uha ? security_1 : security_2
security_3 = security(heikinashi(syminfo.tickerid), timeframe.period, open)
security_4 = security(syminfo.ticker, timeframe.period, open)
srcOpen = uha ? security_3 : security_4
security_5 = security(heikinashi(syminfo.tickerid), timeframe.period, high)
security_6 = security(syminfo.ticker, timeframe.period, high)
srcHigh = uha ? security_5 : security_6
security_7 = security(heikinashi(syminfo.tickerid), timeframe.period, low)
security_8 = security(syminfo.ticker, timeframe.period, low)
srcLow = uha ? security_7 : security_8
//
r = rsi(srcClose, lengthrsi)
ma = sma(r, lengthband)
offs = 1.6185 * stdev(r, lengthband)
upZone = ma + offs
dnZone = ma - offs
mid = (upZone + dnZone) / 2
mab = sma(r, lengthrsipl)
mbb = sma(r, lengthtradesl)
//
hline(rsiOSL, color=color.red, linewidth=1)
hline(50, color=color.black, linewidth=1)
hline(rsiOBL, color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
// Plot the TDI
upl = plot(upZone, color=color.blue, title="VB Channel High", linewidth=2)
dnl = plot(dnZone, color=color.blue, title="VB Channel Low", linewidth=2)
midl = plot(mid, color=color.orange, linewidth=2, title="MBL")
mabl = plot(mab, color=color.green, linewidth=2, title="RSI PL")
mbbl = plot(mbb, color=color.red, linewidth=2, title="TSL Signal")
//
//create RSI TSL cloud to indicate trend direction.
fill(mabl, mbbl, color=mab > mbb ? color.green : color.red, transp=90)

// Calculate Price Action Channel (PAC)
smmaH = 0.0
smmaL = 0.0
sma_1 = sma(srcHigh, lenH)
smmaH := na(smmaH[1]) ? sma_1 : (smmaH[1] * (lenH - 1) + srcHigh) / lenH
sma_2 = sma(srcLow, lenL)
smmaL := na(smmaL[1]) ? sma_2 : (smmaL[1] * (lenL - 1) + srcLow) / lenL
//
umacd = input(false, title="Use MACD Filtering")
fastMA = input(title="MACD Fast MA Length", type=input.integer, defval=8, minval=2)
slowMA = input(title="MACD Slow MA Length", type=input.integer, defval=16, minval=7)
signal = input(title="MACD Signal Length", type=input.integer, defval=1, minval=1)
//
//
[currMacd, _, _] = macd(srcClose[0], fastMA, slowMA, signal)
rising_1 = rising(currMacd, 2)
falling_1 = falling(currMacd, 2)
macdH = currMacd > 0 ? rising_1 ? color.green : color.red : 
   falling_1 ? color.red : color.green

//
// Bar - Highlighting  based on indication strength
long = (not umacd or macdH == color.green) and mab > mbb and mab < rsiOBL and 
   mab > rsiOSL and srcHigh > smmaH and srcClose > srcOpen ? 
   mbb > mid ? 1 : mab > mid and mbb < mid ? 2 : mab < mid and mbb < mid ? 3 : 0 : 0
short = (not umacd or macdH == color.red) and mab < mbb and mab < rsiOBL and 
   mab > rsiOSL and srcLow < smmaL and srcClose < srcOpen ? 
   mbb < mid ? 1 : mab < mid and mbb > mid ? 2 : mab > mid and mbb > mid ? 3 : 0 : 0
//
// Find the right Bar colour if enabled.
bcolor = not sbr ? na : long == 1 ? gold100 : 
   long == 2 and strength > 1 ? aqua100 : long == 3 and strength > 2 ? blue100 : 
   short == 1 ? fuchsia100 : short == 2 and strength > 1 ? purple100 : 
   short == 3 and strength > 2 ? black100 : sgb ? gray100 : na
//
barcolor(color=bcolor, title="Bars Colours")
//
//
// === ALERT conditions
//
// create alerts only once per sequence type.
//
longCond = long > 0 and long != long[1] and long <= strength
shortCond = short > 0 and short != short[1] and short <= strength

// show dot only when alert condition is met and bar closed.
plotshape(sal and (longCond[1] or shortCond[1]), title="Alert Indicator", location=location.bottom, 
          color=long[1] == 1 ? gold : long[1] == 2 ? color.aqua : long[1] == 3 ? color.blue : short[1] == 1 ? color.fuchsia : short[1] == 2 ? color.purple : short[1] == 3 ? color.black : na, 
          transp=0, style=shape.circle, offset=-1)
//

// === /ALERT conditions.

// === STRATEGY ===
tradeType = input("BOTH", title="What trades should be taken : ", options=["LONG", "SHORT", "BOTH", "NONE"])

// stop loss
slPoints = input(defval=0, title="Initial Stop Loss Points (zero to disable)", minval=0)
tpPoints = input(defval=0, title="Initial Target Profit Points (zero for disable)", minval=0)

//>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>//

testStartYear = input(2018, "Backtest Start Year", minval=1980)
testStartMonth = input(1, "Backtest Start Month", minval=1, maxval=12)
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day", minval=1, maxval=31)
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear, testStartMonth, testStartDay, 0, 0)

testStopYear = input(9999, "Backtest Stop Year", minval=1980)
testStopMonth = input(12, "Backtest Stop Month", minval=1, maxval=12)
testStopDay = input(31, "Backtest Stop Day", minval=1, maxval=31)
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear, testStopMonth, testStopDay, 0, 0)

testPeriod() =>
    time >= testPeriodStart and time <= testPeriodStop ? true : false

//<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<//

//
//set up exit parameters
TP = tpPoints > 0 ? tpPoints : na
SL = slPoints > 0 ? slPoints : na

// Make sure we are within the bar range, Set up entries and exit conditions
if testPeriod() and tradeType != "NONE"
    strategy.entry("long", strategy.long, when=longCond == true and tradeType != "SHORT")
    strategy.entry("short", strategy.short, when=shortCond == true and tradeType != "LONG")
    strategy.close("long", when=shortCond == true and tradeType == "LONG")
    strategy.close("short", when=longCond == true and tradeType == "SHORT")
    strategy.exit("XL", from_entry="long", profit=TP, loss=SL)
    strategy.exit("XS", from_entry="short", profit=TP, loss=SL)

// === /STRATEGY ===
//EOF


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