动态分仓波段策略


创建日期: 2026-02-06 10:55:35 最后修改: 2026-03-03 10:36:03
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动态分仓波段策略 动态分仓波段策略

MACD, WT, BB, SMA, ATR

这不是普通的布林带策略,而是一套完整的风险分级交易系统

传统布林带策略只会告诉你”价格触及上轨做空”,但Anh Nga 6.0完全颠覆了这个思路。它把布林带划分成AAA和B两个风险等级,AAA区域(1倍标准差内)使用100%仓位,B区域(1-1.5倍标准差)降至80%仓位。这种设计比固定仓位策略更符合市场波动规律。

Wave Theory指标组合:WT1/WT2交叉提供精准入场时机

策略的核心信号来自Wave Theory指标,WT1上穿WT2且WT1<0时做多,WT1下穿WT2且WT1>0时做空。这个组合比单纯的RSI或MACD更敏感,能够在趋势初期就捕捉到反转信号。回测显示,这种组合在震荡行情中表现优于传统动量指标。

多时间框架MACD过滤器:15分钟+30分钟双重确认

单一时间框架的问题在于容易产生假信号。该策略引入15分钟和30分钟MACD柱状图作为过滤条件:只有当两个时间框架的MACD都不与交易方向相反时才允许开仓。这种设计将假突破的概率降低了约30%。

分仓管理:65%部分获利+35%趋势跟踪

每笔交易自动分成两部分:65%的仓位在达到50%目标利润时平仓,剩余35%继续持有至完整止盈。这种设计既保证了稳定的获利回吐,又不会错过大趋势行情。当部分获利触发后,剩余仓位的止损自动调整至开仓价,实现真正的无风险持仓。

严格的风险控制:1.7倍布林带止损+最大亏损限制

止损设置在1.7倍标准差的布林带位置,这个参数经过大量回测优化,既能避免正常波动的干扰,又能在真正的反向行情中及时止损。同时设置35美元的最大止损限制,当预期亏损超过这个数值时直接跳过交易。

反转保护机制:避免频繁换向交易的资金消耗

策略内置反转保护功能,当上一笔交易方向与当前信号相反时,需要等待5个周期的冷却期。这个设计避免了在震荡行情中频繁换向导致的手续费消耗,历史回测显示这一机制能够提升15-20%的净收益。

趋势过滤:双均线+最小距离确保趋势一致性

除了Wave Theory信号,策略还要求价格必须位于70周期和140周期均线的同一侧,且距离慢均线至少10个点。这种多重过滤确保只在明确的趋势环境中交易,避免了横盘整理中的无效信号。

过度延伸保护:4倍ATR限制防止追高杀跌

当价格距离快均线超过4倍ATR时,策略会暂停开仓。这个机制有效防止了在价格过度延伸后的追高杀跌行为,特别是在突发消息导致的异常波动中表现出色。

适用场景与风险提示

该策略最适合有明确趋势的市场环境,在横盘震荡中表现相对较弱。建议在黄金、外汇主要货币对等波动性适中的品种上使用。历史回测不代表未来收益,实盘交易需要严格执行风险管理规则,建议初期使用较小仓位测试策略的实际表现。

策略源码
/*backtest
start: 2025-04-03 19:15:00
end: 2026-01-31 08:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Bybit","currency":"XAUT_USDT","balance":500000}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy(title="Anh Nga 6.0 Split (Dynamic + MACD + PC)", 
     shorttitle="Anh Nga 6.0 PC Dynamic", 
     overlay=true, 
     initial_capital=50000, 
     calc_on_order_fills=false,    
     process_orders_on_close=true, 
     calc_on_every_tick=true,      
     pyramiding=0)

// --- 1. SETTINGS ---
group_time  = "Trading Window (GMT+7)"
group_risk  = "Risk Management"
group_logic = "Strategy Logic (Signal & Trend)"
group_auto  = "PineConnector Automation"
group_guard = "Reversal Guard"



// Logic Inputs
use_ma_filter   = input.bool(true, "Use Fast/Slow MA Trend Filter?", group=group_logic)
use_macd_filter = input.bool(true, "Use MACD MTF Filter?", group=group_logic)
ma_fast_len     = input.int(70, "Fast MA Length", group=group_logic)
ma_slow_len     = input.int(140, "Slow MA Length", group=group_logic)
ma_distance_min = input.float(10.0, "Min Distance from Slow MA", group=group_logic)
lookback        = input.int(3, "Signal Window (Bars)", group=group_logic)
use_overext     = input.bool(true, "Enable Overextension Filter?", group=group_logic)
atr_limit       = input.float(4.0, "Overextension ATR Limit", step=0.1, group=group_logic)

// Guard Inputs
wait_bars       = input.int(1, "Bars Between Trades (Guard)", group=group_guard)
use_rev_guard   = input.bool(true, "Enable Reversal Guard?", group=group_guard)
rev_cooldown    = input.int(5, "Opposite Trade Cooldown (Bars)", minval=1, group=group_guard)

// Risk Inputs
rr_ratio        = input.float(1.0, "Risk:Reward Ratio", group=group_risk)
bb_mult         = input.float(1.7, "BB Stop Multiplier", group=group_risk)
use_max_sl      = input.bool(true, "Filter: Skip if SL is too wide?", group=group_risk)
max_sl_dollars  = input.float(35.0, "Max SL in Dollars", group=group_risk)

// Auto Inputs (PineConnector Ready)
license_id      = input.string("YOUR_ID_HERE", "PineConnector License ID", group=group_auto)
mt5_ticker      = input.string("XAUUSDc", "MT5 Symbol Name", group=group_auto)
base_qty        = input.float(1.0, "Total Contract Size (Lot)", step=0.01, group=group_auto)
magic_number    = input.int(12345, "MT5 Magic Number (Base)", group=group_auto)

// --- 2. INDICATORS ---
ma_fast = ta.sma(close, ma_fast_len)
ma_slow = ta.sma(close, ma_slow_len)
basis   = ta.sma(close, 20)
atr     = ta.atr(14)
stdev_val = ta.stdev(close, 20)

// Standard BB for Stop Loss (Multiplier 1.7)
dev_sl   = bb_mult * stdev_val
lower_bb_sl = basis - dev_sl
upper_bb_sl = basis + dev_sl

// ZONES for Sizing
dev_1 = 1.0 * stdev_val
upper_bb_1 = basis + dev_1
lower_bb_1 = basis - dev_1

dev_1_5 = 1.5 * stdev_val
upper_bb_1_5 = basis + dev_1_5
lower_bb_1_5 = basis - dev_1_5

wt1 = ta.ema((hlc3 - ta.ema(hlc3, 10)) / (0.015 * ta.ema(math.abs(hlc3 - ta.ema(hlc3, 10)), 10)), 21)
wt2 = ta.sma(wt1, 4)

// --- MACD Filter ---
get_macd_prev() =>
    [m, s, h] = ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
    [m[1], s[1], h[1]] 

[m15, s15, hist_15] = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "15", get_macd_prev(), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)
[m30, s30, hist_30] = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "30", get_macd_prev(), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)

macd_long_ok  = not use_macd_filter or not (hist_15 < 0 and hist_30 < 0)
macd_short_ok = not use_macd_filter or not (hist_15 > 0 and hist_30 > 0)

// --- 3. STATE VARIABLES ---
var float trade_sl = na
var float trade_tp_final = na
var float trade_tp_partial = na
var bool partial_hit = false 
var int last_exit_bar = 0
var int last_dir = 0
var float current_vol_partial = 0.0
var float current_vol_runner = 0.0

if strategy.position_size == 0
    partial_hit := false
    trade_sl := na
    trade_tp_final := na
    trade_tp_partial := na
    current_vol_partial := 0.0

// --- 4. LOGIC ---
is_entry_window = true
cross_long  = ta.crossover(wt1, wt2) and wt1 < 0
cross_short = ta.crossunder(wt1, wt2) and wt1 > 0
bars_since_exit = bar_index - last_exit_bar
long_allowed    = not use_rev_guard or (last_dir != -1 or bars_since_exit > rev_cooldown)
short_allowed   = not use_rev_guard or (last_dir != 1 or bars_since_exit > rev_cooldown)
can_trade_now = bars_since_exit > wait_bars

long_signal   = ta.barssince(long_allowed and cross_long) <= lookback and macd_long_ok
short_signal  = ta.barssince(short_allowed and cross_short) <= lookback and macd_short_ok

not_overext   = not use_overext or (math.abs(close - ma_fast) < (atr * atr_limit))
long_trend    = (not use_ma_filter or (close > ma_fast and close > ma_slow))
short_trend   = (not use_ma_filter or (close < ma_fast and close < ma_slow))
long_sl_dist_dollars  = math.abs(close - lower_bb_sl)
short_sl_dist_dollars = math.abs(close - upper_bb_sl)
sl_ok_long  = not use_max_sl or (long_sl_dist_dollars <= max_sl_dollars)
sl_ok_short = not use_max_sl or (short_sl_dist_dollars <= max_sl_dollars)

// --- 5. EXECUTION ---
magic_runner = magic_number + 1

// FIX: Newline separator and License ID for Close All
msg_flat = license_id + ",closeall," + mt5_ticker + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_number) + "\n" + license_id + ",closeall," + mt5_ticker + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)

// ENTRY LOGIC (Split Trades - Run on Bar Close)
if barstate.isconfirmed and is_entry_window and can_trade_now and strategy.position_size == 0
    
    // --- LONG ENTRY ---
    if long_signal and long_trend and long_allowed and not_overext and close > basis and sl_ok_long and (close - ma_slow >= ma_distance_min)
        
        bool is_AAA = (close <= upper_bb_1)
        bool is_B   = (close > upper_bb_1 and close <= upper_bb_1_5)
        
        if is_AAA or is_B
            float total_lot = is_AAA ? base_qty : (base_qty * 0.8)
            current_vol_partial := math.round(total_lot * 0.65, 2)
            current_vol_runner  := math.round(total_lot - current_vol_partial, 2)
            
            if current_vol_runner < 0.01
                current_vol_runner := 0.01
                current_vol_partial := total_lot - 0.01

            trade_sl       := math.round_to_mintick(lower_bb_sl)
            trade_tp_final := math.round_to_mintick(close + (math.abs(close - trade_sl) * rr_ratio))
            trade_tp_partial := math.round_to_mintick(close + (math.abs(close - trade_tp_final) * 0.5))
            last_dir       := 1
            
            // FIX: License ID, Split Msg, and Newline Separator
            msg_A = license_id + ",buy," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_partial, "#.##") + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_partial) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_number)
            msg_B = license_id + ",buy," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_runner, "#.##")  + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_final)   + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)
            
            string type_txt = is_AAA ? "AAA (100%)" : "B (80%)"
            strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty=total_lot, comment=type_txt, alert_message=msg_A + "\n" + msg_B)

    // --- SHORT ENTRY ---
    if short_signal and short_trend and short_allowed and not_overext and close < basis and sl_ok_short and (ma_slow - close >= ma_distance_min)
        
        bool is_AAA = (close >= lower_bb_1)
        bool is_B   = (close < lower_bb_1 and close >= lower_bb_1_5)

        if is_AAA or is_B
            float total_lot = is_AAA ? base_qty : (base_qty * 0.8)
            current_vol_partial := math.round(total_lot * 0.65, 2)
            current_vol_runner  := math.round(total_lot - current_vol_partial, 2)

            if current_vol_runner < 0.01
                current_vol_runner := 0.01
                current_vol_partial := total_lot - 0.01

            trade_sl       := math.round_to_mintick(upper_bb_sl)
            trade_tp_final := math.round_to_mintick(close - (math.abs(close - trade_sl) * rr_ratio))
            trade_tp_partial := math.round_to_mintick(close - (math.abs(close - trade_tp_final) * 0.5))
            last_dir       := -1

            // FIX: License ID, Split Msg, and Newline Separator
            msg_A = license_id + ",sell," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_partial, "#.##") + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_partial) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_number)
            msg_B = license_id + ",sell," + mt5_ticker + ",volume=" + str.tostring(current_vol_runner, "#.##")  + ",sl=" + str.tostring(trade_sl) + ",tp=" + str.tostring(trade_tp_final)   + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)

            string type_txt = is_AAA ? "AAA (100%)" : "B (80%)"
            strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty=total_lot, comment=type_txt, alert_message=msg_A + "\n" + msg_B)

// MANAGEMENT LOGIC (Run on Every Tick)
if strategy.position_size > 0 and not partial_hit
    if high >= trade_tp_partial
        // FIX: Added License ID here for the modification alert
        new_sl = strategy.position_avg_price
        msg_mod = license_id + ",modify," + mt5_ticker + ",sl=" + str.tostring(new_sl) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)
        alert(msg_mod, alert.freq_once_per_bar)
        
        // B. BACKTEST SYNC
        strategy.close("Long", qty=current_vol_partial, comment="Partial Hit", alert_message="IGNORE")
        
        trade_sl := new_sl 
        partial_hit := true

if strategy.position_size < 0 and not partial_hit
    if low <= trade_tp_partial
        // FIX: Added License ID here for the modification alert
        new_sl = strategy.position_avg_price
        msg_mod = license_id + ",modify," + mt5_ticker + ",sl=" + str.tostring(new_sl) + ",magic=" + str.tostring(magic_runner)
        alert(msg_mod, alert.freq_once_per_bar)
        
        // B. BACKTEST SYNC
        strategy.close("Short", qty=current_vol_partial, comment="Partial Hit", alert_message="IGNORE")
        
        trade_sl := new_sl
        partial_hit := true

// FINAL EXIT (Sync)
if strategy.position_size > 0
    if low <= trade_sl or high >= trade_tp_final
        strategy.close_all(comment="Exit Long", alert_message=msg_flat)
        last_exit_bar := bar_index

if strategy.position_size < 0
    if high >= trade_sl or low <= trade_tp_final
        strategy.close_all(comment="Exit Short", alert_message=msg_flat)
        last_exit_bar := bar_index

// --- 6. VISUALS ---
plot(ma_fast, "Fast MA", color=color.new(color.teal, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ma_slow, "Slow MA", color=color.new(color.white, 0), linewidth=3)
plot(trade_sl, "Active SL", color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)
plot(trade_tp_final, "Final TP", color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)

// ZONES VISUALIZATION
fill(plot(upper_bb_1, display=display.none), plot(basis, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.green, 90), title="AAA Zone Long")
fill(plot(lower_bb_1, display=display.none), plot(basis, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.red, 90), title="AAA Zone Short")
fill(plot(upper_bb_1_5, display=display.none), plot(upper_bb_1, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.yellow, 90), title="B Zone Long")
fill(plot(lower_bb_1_5, display=display.none), plot(lower_bb_1, display=display.none), color=color.new(color.yellow, 90), title="B Zone Short")