Trendstrategie zur Richtungsanpassung des gleitenden Durchschnitts


Erstellungsdatum: 2023-09-14 17:47:01 zuletzt geändert: 2023-09-14 17:47:01
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Strategieprinzip

Die Strategie ermittelt die Richtung der langen Trendlinie des Marktes, indem sie die Richtung der mehreren Gleichlinien beurteilt und entsprechende Über- oder Unterziehungshandlungen vornimmt.

Hauptgeschäftslogik:

  1. Berechnen von Moving Averages für mehrere Gruppen von verschiedenen Zeitspannen, wie 5, 20 und 50 Tage

  2. Vergleichen der Richtung der verschiedenen Durchschnittslinien, um zu beurteilen, ob eine einheitliche Anpassungsrichtung besteht

  3. Wenn die Durchschnittslinie ganz nach oben angepasst ist, wird sie als langfristig positiv beurteilt. Wenn die Durchschnittslinie ganz nach unten angepasst ist, wird sie als langfristig negativ beurteilt.

  4. Bei bullish Signalen, bei denen der Preis die Stop-Loss-Linie nach unten überschreitet, wird ein Plus eingerichtet.

  5. Bei einem Rückschlag hat der Kurs die Stop-Loss-Linie überschritten und eine Short-Position eingerichtet.

  6. Setzen Sie Rücktrittsstopps, um Risiken zu kontrollieren

Die Strategie legt Wert auf die Beurteilung von langfristigen Trends und tritt erst nach Trendbestätigung ein, um unsystematische Risiken zu kontrollieren.

Strategische Vorteile

  • Mehrwertsteiger-Kombinationen für langfristige Trends

  • Die Börse hat die Stop-Line überschritten.

  • Rücknahme von Stop-Loss-Strategie und Risikokontrolle

Strategisches Risiko

  • Der Durchschnittswert selbst hinterlässt den Preis.

  • Fehlentscheidungen bei Trends können zu anhaltenden Verlusten führen

  • Nur zu viel oder zu wenig zu tun, bringt keine Chancen mit sich

Zusammenfassen

Die Strategie betont, dass langfristige Trends durch die Berechnung von Mittellinien beurteilt werden, um unsystematische Risiken zu reduzieren. Die Schlüssel sind jedoch die Genauigkeit der Beurteilung und die Optimierung der Stop-Loss-Strategie.

Strategiequellcode
/*backtest
start: 2022-09-07 00:00:00
end: 2023-06-24 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © HeWhoMustNotBeNamed

//@version=4
strategy("TrendMaAlignmentStrategy", overlay=true, initial_capital = 2000, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, commission_type = strategy.commission.cash_per_order, pyramiding = 1, commission_value = 2)

MAType = input(title="Moving Average Type", defval="sma", options=["ema", "sma", "hma", "rma", "vwma", "wma"])
LookbackPeriod = input(5, step=10)
shortHighLowPeriod = input(10, step=10)
longHighLowPeriod = input(20, step=10)

atrlength=input(22)
stopMultiplyer = input(6, minval=1, maxval=10, step=0.5)
reentryStopMultiplyer = input(3, minval=1, maxval=10, step=0.5)
exitOnSignal = input(false)
tradeDirection = input(title="Trade Direction", defval=strategy.direction.long, options=[strategy.direction.all, strategy.direction.long, strategy.direction.short])

backtestYears = input(10, minval=1, step=1)
inDateRange = true

allowReduceCompound=true
includePartiallyAligned = true
considerYearlyHighLow = true
considerNewLongTermHighLows = true

//////////////////////////////////// Get Moving average ///////////////////////////////////
f_getMovingAverage(source, MAType, length)=>
    ma = sma(source, length)
    if(MAType == "ema")
        ma := ema(source,length)
    if(MAType == "hma")
        ma := hma(source,length)
    if(MAType == "rma")
        ma := rma(source,length)
    if(MAType == "vwma")
        ma := vwma(source,length)
    if(MAType == "wma")
        ma := wma(source,length)
    ma
    
f_getMaAlignment(MAType, includePartiallyAligned)=>
    ma5 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,5)
    ma10 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,10)
    ma20 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,20)
    ma30 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,30)
    ma50 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,50)
    ma100 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,100)
    ma200 = f_getMovingAverage(close,MAType,200)

    upwardScore = 0
    upwardScore := close > ma5? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    upwardScore := ma5 > ma10? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    upwardScore := ma10 > ma20? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    upwardScore := ma20 > ma30? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    upwardScore := ma30 > ma50? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    upwardScore := ma50 > ma100? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    upwardScore := ma100 > ma200? upwardScore+1:upwardScore
    
    upwards = close > ma5 and ma5 > ma10 and ma10 > ma20 and ma20 > ma30 and ma30 > ma50 and ma50 > ma100 and ma100 > ma200
    downwards = close < ma5 and ma5 < ma10 and ma10 < ma20 and ma20 < ma30 and ma30 < ma50 and ma50 < ma100 and ma100 < ma200
    upwards?1:downwards?-1:includePartiallyAligned ? (upwardScore > 5? 0.5: upwardScore < 2?-0.5:upwardScore>3?0.25:-0.25) : 0

f_getMaAlignmentHighLow(MAType, includePartiallyAligned, LookbackPeriod)=>
    maAlignment = f_getMaAlignment(MAType,includePartiallyAligned)
    [highest(maAlignment, LookbackPeriod), lowest(maAlignment, LookbackPeriod)]

//////////////////////////////////// Calculate new high low condition //////////////////////////////////////////////////
f_calculateNewHighLows(shortHighLowPeriod, longHighLowPeriod, considerNewLongTermHighLows)=>
    newHigh = highest(shortHighLowPeriod) == highest(longHighLowPeriod) or not considerNewLongTermHighLows
    newLow = lowest(shortHighLowPeriod) == lowest(longHighLowPeriod) or not considerNewLongTermHighLows
    [newHigh,newLow]

//////////////////////////////////// Calculate stop and compound //////////////////////////////////////////////////
f_calculateStopAndCompound(target, atr, stopMultiplyer, allowReduceCompound, barState)=>
    buyStop = target - (stopMultiplyer * atr)
    sellStop = target + (stopMultiplyer * atr)
    buyStop := (barState > 0 or strategy.position_size > 0 ) and (buyStop < buyStop[1] or close < sellStop[1])? buyStop[1] : strategy.position_size < 0 and close > buyStop[1]? buyStop[1] : barState < 0 and allowReduceCompound and buyStop > buyStop[1] ? buyStop[1] : buyStop
    sellStop := (barState < 0 or strategy.position_size < 0) and (sellStop > sellStop[1] or close > buyStop[1])? sellStop[1] : strategy.position_size > 0 and close < sellStop[1]? sellStop[1]: barState > 0 and allowReduceCompound and sellStop < sellStop[1] ? sellStop[1] : sellStop
    [buyStop, sellStop]

//////////////////////////////////// Calculate Yearly High Low //////////////////////////////////////////////////
f_getYearlyHighLowCondition(considerYearlyHighLow)=>
    yhigh = security(syminfo.tickerid, '12M', high[1]) 
    ylow = security(syminfo.tickerid, '12M', low[1]) 
    yhighlast = yhigh[365]
    ylowlast = ylow[365]
    yhighllast = yhigh[2 * 365]
    ylowllast = ylow[2 * 365]
    
    yearlyTrendUp = na(yhigh)? true : na(yhighlast)? close > yhigh : na(yhighllast)? close > max(yhigh,yhighlast) : close > max(yhigh, min(yhighlast, yhighllast))
    yearlyHighCondition = (  (na(yhigh) or na(yhighlast) ? true : (yhigh > yhighlast) ) and ( na(yhigh) or na(yhighllast) ? true : (yhigh > yhighllast))) or yearlyTrendUp or not considerYearlyHighLow
    yearlyTrendDown = na(ylow)? true : na(ylowlast)? close < ylow : na(ylowllast)? close < min(ylow,ylowlast) : close < min(ylow, max(ylowlast, ylowllast))
    yearlyLowCondition = (  (na(ylow) or na(ylowlast) ? true : (ylow < ylowlast) ) and ( na(ylow) or na(ylowllast) ? true : (ylow < ylowllast))) or yearlyTrendDown or not considerYearlyHighLow
    
    [yearlyHighCondition,yearlyLowCondition]
    
atr = atr(atrlength)    
[maAlignmentHigh, maAlignmentLow] = f_getMaAlignmentHighLow(MAType, includePartiallyAligned, LookbackPeriod)
[newHigh,newLow] = f_calculateNewHighLows(shortHighLowPeriod, longHighLowPeriod, considerNewLongTermHighLows)
[middle, upper, lower] = bb(close, 20, 2)
barState = (maAlignmentLow > 0 or maAlignmentHigh == 1) and newHigh ? 1 : (maAlignmentHigh < 0 or maAlignmentLow == -1) and newLow ? -1 : 0
[buyStop, sellStop] = f_calculateStopAndCompound(close, atr, stopMultiplyer, allowReduceCompound, barState)
[yearlyHighCondition,yearlyLowCondition] = f_getYearlyHighLowCondition(considerYearlyHighLow)

barcolor(barState == 1?color.lime : barState == -1? color.orange: color.silver)
//plot(maAlignmentHigh, title="AlighmentHigh", color=color.green, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_line)
//plot(maAlignmentLow, title="AlignmentLow", color=color.red, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_line)

plot(barState == 1 or strategy.position_size != 0 ?buyStop:na, title="BuyStop", color=color.green, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(barState == -1 or strategy.position_size != 0 ?sellStop:na, title="SellStop", color=color.red, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)

buyEntry = barState == 1 and close - reentryStopMultiplyer*atr > buyStop and yearlyHighCondition and inDateRange
sellEntry = barState == -1 and close + reentryStopMultiplyer*atr < sellStop and yearlyLowCondition and inDateRange
buyExit = barState == -1
sellExit = barState == 1

strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(tradeDirection)
strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long, when=buyEntry)
strategy.close("Buy", when=buyExit and exitOnSignal)
strategy.exit("ExitBuy", "Buy", stop = buyStop)

strategy.entry("Sell", strategy.short, when=sellEntry)
strategy.close("Sell", when=sellExit and exitOnSignal)
strategy.exit("ExitSell", "Sell", stop = sellStop)