Tren Sederhana Mengikuti Strategi

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-09-14 18:01:07
Tag:

Logika Strategi

Strategi ini menggabungkan rata-rata bergerak dan kurva Hull untuk mengidentifikasi arah tren pasar dan mengikuti tren.

Logika utamanya adalah:

  1. McGinley Dynamic MA menilai arah tren keseluruhan

  2. Crossover kurva lambung menghasilkan sinyal panjang/pendek tertentu

  3. Indikator konfirmasi opsional untuk verifikasi sinyal

  4. Manajemen risiko melalui prinsip stop loss dan take profit

  5. Tutup posisi ketika kurva Hull berbalik

Strategi ini bertujuan untuk sistematisasi secara mekanis mengikuti tren, meminimalkan pengaruh subjektif individu.

Keuntungan

  • MA menilai arah keseluruhan, konfirmasi fleksibel

  • Hull clear sinyal panjang/pendek

  • Manajemen risiko berbasis aturan meminimalkan kesalahan

Risiko

  • Pengaturan parameter dan filter membutuhkan optimasi

  • Keakuratan tren memiliki ketidakpastian

  • Kurva lambung rentan terhadap sinyal keterlambatan

Ringkasan

Strategi ini bertujuan untuk menyistematisasi tren mengikuti operasi untuk mencocokkan irama pasar.


/*backtest
start: 2023-08-14 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-13 00:00:00
period: 4h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// © Milleman
//@version=4
strategy("Millebot", overlay=true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, initial_capital=100000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.04)

// Risk management settings
Spacer2 = input(false, title="=== Risk management settings ===")
Risk = input(1.0, title="% Risk")/100
RRR = input(2,title="Risk Reward Ratio",step=0.1,minval=0,maxval=20)
SL = input(5,title="StopLoss %",step=0.25)/100

// Baseline : McGinley Dynamic
Spacer3 = input(false, title="=== Baseline - Switch L/S ===")
McG_Source = input(close, title="McGinley source")
McG_length = input(50, title=" McG length", minval=1)
McG_LS_Switch = 0.0
McG_LS_Switch := na(McG_LS_Switch[1]) ? ema(McG_Source, McG_length) : McG_LS_Switch[1] + (McG_Source - McG_LS_Switch[1]) / (McG_length * pow(McG_Source/McG_LS_Switch[1], 4))

// Confirmation indicator
Spacer4 = input(false, title="=== Confirmation indicator ===")
C1_Act = input(false, title=" Confirmation indicator Activation")
C1_src = input(ohlc4, title="Source")
C1_len = input(5,title="Length")
C1 = sma(C1_src,C1_len)

// Entry indicator : Hull Moving Average
Spacer5 = input(false, title="=== Entry indicator configuration ===")
src = input(ohlc4, title="Source")
length = input(50,title="Length HMA")
HMA = ema(wma(2*wma(src, length/2)-wma(src, length), round(sqrt(length))),1)

//VARIABLES MANAGEMENT
TriggerPrice = 0.0, TriggerPrice := TriggerPrice[1]
TriggerxATR = 0.0, TriggerxATR := TriggerxATR[1]
SLPrice = 0.0, SLPrice := SLPrice[1], TPPrice = 0.0, TPPrice := TPPrice[1]
isLong = false, isLong := isLong[1], isShort = false, isShort := isShort[1]

//LOGIC
GoLong = crossover(HMA[0],HMA[1]) and strategy.position_size == 0.0 and (McG_LS_Switch/McG_LS_Switch[1] > 1) and (not C1_Act or C1>C1[1])
GoShort = crossunder(HMA[0],HMA[1]) and strategy.position_size == 0.0 and (McG_LS_Switch/McG_LS_Switch[1] < 1) and (not C1_Act or C1<C1[1])

//FRAMEWORK

//Long
if GoLong and not GoLong[1]
    isLong := true, TriggerPrice := close
    TPPrice := TriggerPrice * (1 + (SL * RRR))
    SLPrice := TriggerPrice * (1-SL)
    Entry_Contracts = strategy.equity * Risk / ((TriggerPrice-SLPrice)/TriggerPrice) / TriggerPrice //Het aantal contracts moet meegegeven worden. => budget * risk / %afstand tot SL / prijs = aantal contracts
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment=tostring(round(TriggerxATR/TriggerPrice*1000)), qty=Entry_Contracts)
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Long", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice, qty_percent = 100)
if isLong and crossunder(HMA[0],HMA[1])
    strategy.close_all(comment="TrendChange")
    isLong := false

//Short
if GoShort and not GoShort[1]
    isShort := true, TriggerPrice := close
    TPPrice := TriggerPrice * (1 - (SL * RRR))
    SLPrice := TriggerPrice * (1 + SL)
    Entry_Contracts = strategy.equity * Risk / ((SLPrice-TriggerPrice)/TriggerPrice) / TriggerPrice //Het aantal contracts moet meegegeven worden. => budget * risk / %afstand tot SL / prijs = aantal contracts
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment=tostring(round(TriggerxATR/TriggerPrice*1000)), qty=Entry_Contracts)
    strategy.exit("TPSL","Short", limit=TPPrice, stop=SLPrice)//, qty_percent = 100)
if isShort and crossover(HMA[0],HMA[1])
    strategy.close_all(comment="TrendChange")
    isShort := false

//VISUALISATION
plot(McG_LS_Switch,color=color.blue,title="Baseline")
plot(C1_Act?C1:na,color=color.white,title="confirmation Indicator")
plot(HMA, color=(HMA[0]>HMA[1]? color.green : color.red), linewidth=4, transp=40, title="Entry Indicator")
plot(isLong or isShort ? TPPrice : na, title="TakeProfit", color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(isLong or isShort ? SLPrice : na, title="StopLoss", color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr)
bgcolor(isLong[1] and cross(low,SLPrice) and low[1] > SLPrice ? color.yellow : na, transp=75, title="SL Long")
bgcolor(isShort[1] and cross(high,SLPrice) and high[1] < SLPrice ? color.yellow : na, transp=75, title="SL Short")

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