Strategi perdagangan jangka pendek berbasis ZigZag dengan berbagai pola


Tanggal Pembuatan: 2024-01-23 15:09:13 Akhirnya memodifikasi: 2024-01-23 15:09:13
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Strategi perdagangan jangka pendek berbasis ZigZag dengan berbagai pola

Ringkasan

Strategi ini didasarkan pada indikator ZigZag untuk mengidentifikasi bentuk K-line, yang digabungkan dengan Fibonacci retracement line untuk mengatur jendela entri, harga stop loss dan harga stop loss, untuk melakukan perdagangan short line. Strategi ini mendukung berbagai bentuk, termasuk 13 bentuk dengan dua tren yang lebih banyak, seperti Bat, Butterfly, dan Gartley.

Prinsip Strategi

  1. Menggunakan indikator ZigZag untuk mengidentifikasi titik balik potensial
  2. Hitung 4 titik balik terbaru untuk melihat apakah mereka cocok dengan salah satu dari 13 bentuk yang telah ditentukan
  3. Jika harga masuk ke area Fibonacci retracement 0.382, maka masuklah
  4. Stop loss adalah -0.618
  5. Bentuk efektif termasuk yang umum seperti Bat, Butterfly, Gartley, dan beberapa bentuk terbalik seperti Anti-Bat, Anti-Butterfly, dan lain-lain.

Analisis Keunggulan

  1. Strategi memanfaatkan keunggulan indikator ZigZag untuk menyaring kebisingan pasar secara efektif dan mengidentifikasi titik-titik perubahan tren yang lebih jelas
  2. Menggabungkan berbagai bentuk untuk meningkatkan peluang Entry, sekaligus mengendalikan risiko
  3. Fibonacci retracement digunakan untuk menetapkan titik acuan untuk standar entry dan stop loss Take profit

Analisis risiko

  1. Indikator ZigZag sensitif terhadap parameter dan perlu disesuaikan untuk menemukan kombinasi parameter yang optimal
  2. Pencocokan bentuk massal meningkatkan risiko pencocokan kurva, dan efek padat mungkin lebih lemah dari pengukuran ulang
  3. Hanya dengan melihat 4 titik balik terakhir, kita tidak bisa melihat bentuk yang lebih kompleks.
  4. Tidak mempertimbangkan pengujian ulang setelah penembusan garis penarikan, dapat menyebabkan stop loss prematur

Arah optimasi

  1. Optimalkan parameter ZigZag untuk menemukan kombinasi parameter yang optimal
  2. Pengujian efektivitas tambahan, seperti mempertimbangkan konfirmasi pada titik kritis
  3. Menambahkan lebih banyak K-Line dan memperluas kesempatan Entry
  4. Meningkatkan mekanisme penarikan kembali dan pengujian ulang untuk mengurangi risiko kerugian

Meringkaskan

Strategi ini menggunakan indikator ZigZag dan bentuk garis K untuk menilai titik-titik pergeseran tren, mengatur Fibonacci retracement area standar masuk dan keluar dari logika, adalah strategi perdagangan garis pendek yang berpotensi. Kuncinya adalah menemukan kombinasi parameter terbaik, sambil menyesuaikan mekanisme stop loss dengan tepat, diharapkan untuk mendapatkan efek langsung yang lebih baik.

Kode Sumber Strategi
/*backtest
start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59
period: 2h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4

strategy(title='[STRATEGY][RS]ZigZag PA Strategy V4', shorttitle='S', overlay=true)
useHA = input(false, title='Use Heikken Ashi Candles')
useAltTF = input(true, title='Use Alt Timeframe')
tf = input('60', title='Alt Timeframe')
showPatterns = input(true, title='Show Patterns')
showFib0000 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.000:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0236 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.236:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0382 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.382:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0500 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.500:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0618 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.618:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0764 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.764:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib1000 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 1.000:', type=bool, defval=true)
zigzag() =>
    _isUp = close >= open
    _isDown = close <= open
    _direction = _isUp[1] and _isDown ? -1 : _isDown[1] and _isUp ? 1 : nz(_direction[1])
    _zigzag = _isUp[1] and _isDown and _direction[1] != -1 ? highest(2) : _isDown[1] and _isUp and _direction[1] != 1 ? lowest(2) : na

_ticker = useHA ? heikenashi(syminfo.tickerid) : syminfo.tickerid
sz = useAltTF ? (ta.change(time(tf)) != 0 ? request.security(_ticker, tf, zigzag()) : na) : zigzag()

plot(sz, title='zigzag', color=color.black, linewidth=2)

//  ||---   Pattern Recognition:

x = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 4) 
a = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 3) 
b = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 2) 
c = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 1) 
d = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 0)

xab = (abs(b-a)/abs(x-a))
xad = (abs(a-d)/abs(x-a))
abc = (abs(b-c)/abs(a-b))
bcd = (abs(c-d)/abs(b-c))

//  ||-->   Functions:
isBat(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.382 and xab <= 0.5
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618
    _xad = xad <= 0.618 and xad <= 1.000    // 0.886
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiBat(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.886    // 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.000 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.13 --> 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618    // 2.0  --> 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.886 and xad <= 1.000    // 1.13
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAltBat(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab <= 0.382
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 2.0 and bcd <= 3.618
    _xad = xad <= 1.13
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isButterfly(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab <= 0.786
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 1.27 and xad <= 1.618
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiButterfly(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.236 and xab <= 0.886    // 0.382 - 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.130 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.130 - 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.000 and bcd <= 1.382    // 1.27
    _xad = xad >= 0.500 and xad <= 0.886    // 0.618 - 0.786
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isABCD(_mode)=>
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.13 and bcd <= 2.618
    _abc and _bcd and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isGartley(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.5 and xab <= 0.618 // 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.13 and bcd <= 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.75 and xad <= 0.875 // 0.786
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiGartley(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.886    // 0.618 -> 0.786
    _abc = abc >= 1.000 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.130 -> 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.500 and bcd <= 5.000    // 1.618
    _xad = xad >= 1.000 and xad <= 5.000    // 1.272
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isCrab(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.875    // 0.886
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886    
    _bcd = bcd >= 2.000 and bcd <= 5.000    // 3.618
    _xad = xad >= 1.382 and xad <= 5.000    // 1.618
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiCrab(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.250 and xab <= 0.500    // 0.276 -> 0.446
    _abc = abc >= 1.130 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.130 -> 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618    // 1.618 -> 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.500 and xad <= 0.750    // 0.618
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isShark(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.875    // 0.5 --> 0.886
    _abc = abc >= 1.130 and abc <= 1.618    //
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.270 and bcd <= 2.240    //
    _xad = xad >= 0.886 and xad <= 1.130    // 0.886 --> 1.13
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiShark(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.382 and xab <= 0.875    // 0.446 --> 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 0.500 and abc <= 1.000    // 0.618 --> 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.250 and bcd <= 2.618    // 1.618 --> 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.500 and xad <= 1.250    // 1.130 --> 1.130
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

is5o(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 1.13 and xab <= 1.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.618 and abc <= 2.24
    _bcd = bcd >= 0.5 and bcd <= 0.625 // 0.5
    _xad = xad >= 0.0 and xad <= 0.236 // negative?
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isWolf(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 1.27 and xab <= 1.618
    _abc = abc >= 0 and abc <= 5
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.27 and bcd <= 1.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.0 and xad <= 5
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isHnS(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 2.0 and xab <= 10
    _abc = abc >= 0.90 and abc <= 1.1
    _bcd = bcd >= 0.236 and bcd <= 0.88
    _xad = xad >= 0.90 and xad <= 1.1
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isConTria(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.382 and xab <= 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 0.382 and bcd <= 0.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.236 and xad <= 0.764
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isExpTria(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 1.236 and xab <= 1.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.000 and abc <= 1.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.236 and bcd <= 2.000
    _xad = xad >= 2.000 and xad <= 2.236
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isABCD(-1) and not isABCD(-1)[1], text="\nAB=CD", title='Bear ABCD', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0, offset=-2)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isBat(-1) and not isBat(-1)[1], text="Bat", title='Bear Bat', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0, offset=-2)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiBat(-1) and not isAntiBat(-1)[1], text="Anti Bat", title='Bear Anti Bat', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0, offset=-2)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAltBat(-1) and not isAltBat(-1)[1], text="Alt Bat", title='Bear Alt Bat', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isButterfly(-1) and not isButterfly(-1)[1], text="Butterfly", title='Bear Butterfly', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiButterfly(-1) and not isAntiButterfly(-1)[1], text="Anti Butterfly", title='Bear Anti Butterfly', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isGartley(-1) and not isGartley(-1)[1], text="Gartley", title='Bear Gartley', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiGartley(-1) and not isAntiGartley(-1)[1], text="Anti Gartley", title='Bear Anti Gartley', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isCrab(-1) and not isCrab(-1)[1], text="Crab", title='Bear Crab', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiCrab(-1) and not isAntiCrab(-1)[1], text="Anti Crab", title='Bear Anti Crab', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isShark(-1) and not isShark(-1)[1], text="Shark", title='Bear Shark', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiShark(-1) and not isAntiShark(-1)[1], text="Anti Shark", title='Bear Anti Shark', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : is5o(-1) and not is5o(-1)[1], text="5-O", title='Bear 5-O', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isWolf(-1) and not isWolf(-1)[1], text="Wolf Wave", title='Bear Wolf Wave', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isHnS(-1) and not isHnS(-1)[1], text="Head and Shoulders", title='Bear Head and Shoulders', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isConTria(-1) and not isConTria(-1)[1], text="Contracting Triangle", title='Bear Contracting triangle', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isExpTria(-1) and not isExpTria(-1)[1], text="Expanding Triangle", title='Bear Expanding Triangle', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)

plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isABCD(1) and not isABCD(1)[1], text="AB=CD\n", title='Bull ABCD', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isBat(1) and not isBat(1)[1], text="Bat", title='Bull Bat', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiBat(1) and not isAntiBat(1)[1], text="Anti Bat", title='Bull Anti Bat', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAltBat(1) and not isAltBat(1)[1], text="Alt Bat", title='Bull Alt Bat', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isButterfly(1) and not isButterfly(1)[1], text="Butterfly", title='Bull Butterfly', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiButterfly(1) and not isAntiButterfly(1)[1], text="Anti Butterfly", title='Bull Anti Butterfly', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isGartley(1) and not isGartley(1)[1], text="Gartley", title='Bull Gartley', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiGartley(1) and not isAntiGartley(1)[1], text="Anti Gartley", title='Bull Anti Gartley', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isCrab(1) and not isCrab(1)[1], text="Crab", title='Bull Crab', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiCrab(1) and not isAntiCrab(1)[1], text="Anti Crab", title='Bull Anti Crab', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isShark(1) and not isShark(1)[1], text="Shark", title='Bull Shark', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiShark(1) and not isAntiShark(1)[1], text="Anti Shark", title='Bull Anti Shark', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : is5o(1) and not is5o(1)[1], text="5-O", title='Bull 5-O', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isWolf(1) and not isWolf(1)[1], text="Wolf Wave", title='Bull Wolf Wave', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isHnS(1) and not isHnS(1)[1], text="Head and Shoulders", title='Bull Head and Shoulders', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isConTria(1) and not isConTria(1)[1], text="Contracting Triangle", title='Bull Contracting Triangle', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isExpTria(1) and not isExpTria(1)[1], text="Expanding Triangle", title='Bull Expanding Triangle', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)

//-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
fib_range = abs(d-c)
fib_0000 = not showFib0000 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.000):d+(fib_range*0.000)
fib_0236 = not showFib0236 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.236):d+(fib_range*0.236)
fib_0382 = not showFib0382 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.382):d+(fib_range*0.382)
fib_0500 = not showFib0500 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.500):d+(fib_range*0.500)
fib_0618 = not showFib0618 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.618):d+(fib_range*0.618)
fib_0764 = not showFib0764 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.764):d+(fib_range*0.764)
fib_1000 = not showFib1000 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*1.000):d+(fib_range*1.000)
plot(title='Fib 0.000', series=fib_0000, color=fib_0000 != fib_0000[1] ? na : black)
plot(title='Fib 0.236', series=fib_0236, color=fib_0236 != fib_0236[1] ? na : red)
plot(title='Fib 0.382', series=fib_0382, color=fib_0382 != fib_0382[1] ? na : olive)
plot(title='Fib 0.500', series=fib_0500, color=fib_0500 != fib_0500[1] ? na : lime)
plot(title='Fib 0.618', series=fib_0618, color=fib_0618 != fib_0618[1] ? na : teal)
plot(title='Fib 0.764', series=fib_0764, color=fib_0764 != fib_0764[1] ? na : blue)
plot(title='Fib 1.000', series=fib_1000, color=fib_1000 != fib_1000[1] ? na : black)

bgcolor(not useAltTF ? na : change(time(tf))!=0?black:na)
f_last_fib(_rate)=>d > c ? d-(fib_range*_rate):d+(fib_range*_rate)

trade_size = input(title='Trade size:', type=float, defval=1.00)
ew_rate = input(title='Fib. Rate to use for Entry Window:', type=float, defval=0.382)
tp_rate = input(title='Fib. Rate to use for TP:', type=float, defval=0.618)
sl_rate = input(title='Fib. Rate to use for SL:', type=float, defval=-0.618)
buy_patterns_00 = isABCD(1) or isBat(1) or isAltBat(1) or isButterfly(1) or isGartley(1) or isCrab(1) or isShark(1) or is5o(1) or isWolf(1) or isHnS(1) or isConTria(1) or isExpTria(1)
buy_patterns_01 = isAntiBat(1) or isAntiButterfly(1) or isAntiGartley(1) or isAntiCrab(1) or isAntiShark(1)
sel_patterns_00 = isABCD(-1) or isBat(-1) or isAltBat(-1) or isButterfly(-1) or isGartley(-1) or isCrab(-1) or isShark(-1) or is5o(-1) or isWolf(-1) or isHnS(-1) or isConTria(-1) or isExpTria(-1)
sel_patterns_01 = isAntiBat(-1) or isAntiButterfly(-1) or isAntiGartley(-1) or isAntiCrab(-1) or isAntiShark(-1)
buy_entry = (buy_patterns_00 or buy_patterns_01) and close <= f_last_fib(ew_rate)
buy_close = high >= f_last_fib(tp_rate) or low <= f_last_fib(sl_rate)
sel_entry = (sel_patterns_00 or sel_patterns_01) and close >= f_last_fib(ew_rate)
sel_close = low <= f_last_fib(tp_rate) or high >= f_last_fib(sl_rate)
strategy.entry('buy', long=strategy.long, qty=trade_size, comment='buy', when=buy_entry)
strategy.close('buy', when=buy_close)
strategy.entry('sell', long=strategy.short, qty=trade_size, comment='sell', when=sel_entry)
strategy.close('sell', when=sel_close)