Strategi ini mengintegrasikan pelbagai petunjuk dan strategi teknikal yang digunakan untuk menentukan masa masuk dan titik keluar indeks.
Logik perdagangan utama:
Hitung garis K purata bergerak, termasuk purata bergerak harga pembukaan, harga penutupan, harga tertinggi, dan harga terendah
Mengira momentum pada garis K purata bergerak, dan regresi linear pada momentum
Hitung kemerosotan linear pada purata bergerak K
Mengira trend super untuk menentukan arah trend keseluruhan
Apabila momentum kembali dari negatif ke arah yang betul, atau kembali dengan kuat, dinilai sebagai masa masuk
Apabila momentum bertukar dari positif ke negatif, atau kembali ke lemah, dinilai sebagai titik keluar
Strategi ini menggunakan pelbagai petunjuk teknikal untuk menilai pergerakan dan kadar jangka pendek dan jangka panjang pasaran untuk menentukan masa perdagangan indeks.
Garis purata bergerak K mencerminkan pergerakan jangka panjang pasaran
Analisis regresi untuk menilai perubahan trend
Trend super membantu menentukan arah keseluruhan
Kombinasi pelbagai indikator meningkatkan ketepatan penilaian
Pengoptimuman parameter lebih rumit
Portfolio pelbagai indikator sukar diimbangi
Sinyal jarang, frekuensi perdagangan rendah
Strategi ini bertujuan untuk menggali jangka masa panjang dan jangka pendek pasaran untuk menentukan masa terbaik untuk perdagangan indeks. Namun, penyesuaian parameter dan pengoptimuman model masih belum sempurna.
/*backtest
start: 2023-09-06 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-13 00:00:00
period: 15m
basePeriod: 5m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © HeWhoMustNotBeNamed
//@version=4
strategy("MACandles-LinearRegression-Strategy", shorttitle="MALinReg - Strategy",
overlay=false, initial_capital = 100000,
default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, pyramiding = 1,
commission_value = 0.01)
resolution = ""
MAType = input(title="Moving Average Type (MA Candles)", defval="hma", options=["ema", "sma", "hma", "rma", "vwma", "wma"])
LoopbackBars = input(60, title="Length (MA Candles)", step=10)
MMAType = input(title="Moving Average Type (Momentum)", defval="ema", options=["ema", "sma", "hma", "rma", "vwma", "wma"])
MLength = input(20, title="MA Length (Momentum)", step=10)
lb = input(40 , title="Look Back Period Percentile High/Low", step=10, minval=10, maxval=100)
ph = input(.85, title="Highest Percentile - 0.90=90%, 0.95=95%, 0.99=99%")
pl = input(1.01, title="Lowest Percentile - 1.10=90%, 1.05=95%, 1.01=99%")
mult = input(3.0 , minval=1, maxval=5, title="Bollinger Band Standard Devaition Up")
aggressiveLong = input(true)
longTrades = input(true)
useVixFix = input(false)
i_startTime = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2010 00:00 +0000"), title = "Start Time", type = input.time)
i_endTime = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2099 00:00 +0000"), title = "End Time", type = input.time)
inDateRange = true
f_getMovingAverage(source, MAType, length)=>
ma = sma(source, length)
if(MAType == "ema")
ma := ema(source,length)
if(MAType == "hma")
ma := hma(source,length)
if(MAType == "rma")
ma := rma(source,length)
if(MAType == "vwma")
ma := vwma(source,length)
if(MAType == "wma")
ma := wma(source,length)
ma
f_getMACandles(resolution, MAType, LoopbackBars)=>
oOpen = f_getMovingAverage(open, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oClose = f_getMovingAverage(close, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oHigh = f_getMovingAverage(high, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oLow = f_getMovingAverage(low, MAType, LoopbackBars)
[oOpen, oClose, oHigh, oLow]
f_getVixFixLinReg(oClose, oLow, MLength)=>
wvf = ((highest(oClose, MLength)-oLow)/(highest(oClose, MLength)))*100
sDev = mult * stdev(wvf, MLength)
midLine = sma(wvf, MLength)
lowerBand = midLine - sDev
upperBand = midLine + sDev
rangeHigh = (highest(wvf, lb)) * ph
rangeLow = (lowest(wvf, lb)) * pl
col = wvf >= upperBand or wvf >= rangeHigh ? color.lime : color.gray
val = linreg(wvf, MLength, 0)
absVal = abs(val)
linRegColor = val>val[1]? (val > 0 ? color.green : color.orange): (val > 0 ? color.lime : color.red)
vixFixState = (col == color.lime) ? 1: 0
vixFixState := strategy.position_size == 0? max(vixFixState, nz(vixFixState[1],0)) : vixFixState
[val, absVal, wvf, col, linRegColor, vixFixState]
f_getMACandlesLinReg(oClose, MMAType, MLength, mult, lb, ph, pl)=>
ma = f_getMovingAverage(oClose, MMAType, MLength)
maDiff = oClose - ma
val = linreg(maDiff, MLength,0)
absVal = abs(val)
linRegColor = iff( val > 0,
iff( val > nz(val[1]), color.green, color.lime),
iff( val < nz(val[1]), color.red, color.orange))
sDev = mult * stdev(maDiff, MLength)
midLine = sma(maDiff, MLength)
lowerBand = midLine - sDev
upperBand = midLine + sDev
rangeHigh = (highest(maDiff, lb)) * ph
rangeLow = (lowest(maDiff, lb)) * pl
col = maDiff >= upperBand or maDiff >= rangeHigh ? color.lime : maDiff <= lowerBand or maDiff <= rangeLow ? color.orange : color.silver
absMaDiff = abs(maDiff)
[val, absVal, maDiff, absMaDiff, col, linRegColor]
f_getSupertrend(resolution, oOpen, oClose, oHigh, oLow, AtrMAType, AtrLength, AtrMult, wicks)=>
truerange = max(oHigh, oClose[1]) - min(oLow, oClose[1])
averagetruerange = f_getMovingAverage(truerange, AtrMAType, AtrLength)
atr = averagetruerange * AtrMult
longWicks = wicks
shortWicks = wicks
longStop = oClose - atr
longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop)
longStop := (longWicks ? oLow[1] : oClose[1]) > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop
shortStop = oClose + atr
shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop)
shortStop := (shortWicks ? oHigh[1] : oClose[1]) < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop
dir = 1
dir := nz(dir[1], dir)
dir := dir == -1 and (longWicks ? oHigh : oClose) > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and (shortWicks[1]? oLow : oClose) < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir
[dir, longStop, shortStop]
f_getMACandlesAndSupertrend(MAType, LoopbackBars, AtrMult, wicks)=>
oOpen = f_getMovingAverage(open, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oClose = f_getMovingAverage(close, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oHigh = f_getMovingAverage(high, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oLow = f_getMovingAverage(low, MAType, LoopbackBars)
[dir, longStop, shortStop] = f_getSupertrend(resolution, oOpen, oClose, oHigh, oLow, MAType, LoopbackBars, AtrMult, wicks)
dir
[oOpen, oClose, oHigh, oLow] = f_getMACandles(resolution, MAType, LoopbackBars)
dir = f_getMACandlesAndSupertrend("sma", 200, 1, false)
colorByPreviousClose = false
candleColor = colorByPreviousClose ?
(oClose[1] < oClose ? color.green : oClose[1] > oClose ? color.red : color.silver) :
(oOpen < oClose ? color.green : oOpen > oClose ? color.red : color.silver)
[vval, vabsVal, wvf, vcol, vlinRegColor, vixFixState] = f_getVixFixLinReg(oClose, oLow, MLength)
[val, absVal, maDiff, absMaDiff, col, linRegColor] = f_getMACandlesLinReg(oClose, MMAType, MLength, mult, lb, ph, pl)
plot(useVixFix?na:absMaDiff, title="Momentum", style=plot.style_histogram, linewidth = 4, color=col)
plot(useVixFix?wvf:na, title="VIX Fix", style=plot.style_histogram, linewidth = 4, color=vcol)
plot(useVixFix?na:-absVal, title="Linear Regression (Momentum)", style=plot.style_histogram, linewidth=4, color=linRegColor)
plot(useVixFix?-vabsVal:na, title="Linear Regression (VIX Fix)", style=plot.style_histogram, linewidth=4, color=vlinRegColor)
exitColor = longTrades? color.orange : color.silver
exitPreviousColor = longTrades? color.silver : color.lime
longCondition = (useVixFix? (vixFixState == 1 and vlinRegColor == color.lime) :
((linRegColor == color.orange and linRegColor[1] == color.red) or (linRegColor == color.green and linRegColor[1] != color.green and aggressiveLong))) and inDateRange and dir>0
exitLongCondition = (col == exitColor and col[1] == exitColor and col[2] == exitPreviousColor and (linRegColor != color.green or not aggressiveLong))
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, when=longCondition, oca_name="oca_buy")
strategy.close("Long", when=exitLongCondition)