Tendencia de seguimiento de la estrategia de transferencia de pérdidas

El autor:¿ Qué pasa?, Fecha: 2023-10-10 10:36:16
Las etiquetas:

Resumen general

Esta estrategia utiliza una combinación de promedios móviles e índice de fuerza relativa para determinar la dirección de la tendencia, e implementa un mecanismo de stop loss para alcanzar objetivos de ganancias.

Estrategia lógica

La estrategia utiliza el indicador RSI para determinar la tendencia actual del mercado. RSI por debajo de 30 se considera bajista, mientras que por encima de 70 se considera alcista. Cuando el cruce RSI señala una tendencia alcista, será largo. Cuando el cruce RSI señala una tendencia bajista, será corto.

Después de abrir posiciones, la estrategia utiliza un mecanismo de stop loss móvil para rastrear los cambios de precios y bloquear las ganancias. Específicamente, registra el precio promedio de entrada de cada posición. Cuando el precio alcanza el 1% del precio de entrada, activará el mecanismo de stop loss móvil, moviendo la línea de stop loss basada en la diferencia entre el precio actual y el precio más alto.

Cuando el precio alcanza el nivel de stop loss, saldrá de la posición. Cuando el precio alcanza el 3% del precio de entrada, obtendrá ganancias. Al usar doble protección contra stop loss y take profit, logra el objetivo de ganancia.

Ventajas

El uso del RSI para determinar la dirección de la tendencia permite un juicio rápido del impulso del mercado
El stop loss móvil puede ajustar de manera flexible el nivel de stop loss basado en el cambio de precio en tiempo real, evitando el stop loss prematuro
La doble protección contra el stop loss y el take profit garantiza una cierta ganancia controlando los riesgos

Los riesgos

El RSI puede indicar una entrada falsa si se utiliza solo
La distancia de detención de pérdida demasiado pequeña puede activarse fácilmente, mientras que demasiado floja puede no detener la pérdida
La configuración inadecuada de las ganancias también puede incumplir el objetivo de ganancias

Se pueden agregar indicadores adicionales para confirmar las señales RSI y reducir las señales falsas.

Optimización

Añadir bandas de Bollinger o KD para confirmar las señales de tendencia y evitar entradas falsas
Investigación mediante adiciones y multiplicaciones para ampliar las combinaciones de indicadores
Pruebe la confirmación de marcos de tiempo múltiples para evitar señales falsas en un solo marco de tiempo
Investigación de un mecanismo de stop loss adaptativo para ajustar la distancia de parada en función de la volatilidad del mercado

Resumen de las actividades

En general, esta es una estrategia de seguimiento de tendencias muy profesional y confiable. Puede determinar rápidamente la dirección del mercado y bloquear las ganancias a través de movimientos de stop loss y take profit. La optimización adicional de parámetros y la adición de indicadores de confirmación pueden mejorar la tasa de ganancia y la confiabilidad. Con lógica clara y parámetros flexibles, es un muy buen ejemplo para aprender estrategias de negociación cuantitativas.

/*backtest
start: 2022-10-03 00:00:00
end: 2023-10-09 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
// Learn more about Autoview and how you can automate strategies like this one here: https://autoview.with.pink/
// strategy("Autoview Build-a-bot - 1m chart", "Strategy", overlay=true, pyramiding=2000, default_qty_value=10000)
// study("Autoview Build-a-bot", "Alerts")

///////////////////////////////////////////////
//* Backtesting Period Selector | Component *//
///////////////////////////////////////////////

//* https://www.tradingview.com/script/eCC1cvxQ-Backtesting-Period-Selector-Component *//
//* https://www.tradingview.com/u/pbergden/ *//
//* Modifications made *//

testStartYear = input(1, "Backtest Start Year") 
testStartMonth = input(11, "Backtest Start Month")
testStartDay = input(10, "Backtest Start Day")
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear,testStartMonth,testStartDay,0,0)

testStopYear = input(77777777, "Backtest Stop Year")
testStopMonth = input(11, "Backtest Stop Month")
testStopDay = input(15, "Backtest Stop Day")
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear,testStopMonth,testStopDay,0,0)

testPeriod() => true

/////////////////////////////////////
//* Put your strategy logic below *//
/////////////////////////////////////
RSIlength = input(6,title="RSI Period Length") 
price = close
vrsi = (rsi(price, RSIlength))
src = close
len = input(2, minval=1, title="Length")

up = rma(max(change(src), 0), len)
down = rma(-min(change(src), 0), len)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))

rsin = input(14)
sn = 100 - rsin
ln = 0 + rsin

// Put your long and short rules here
longLocic = crossunder(rsi, ln)
shortLogic = crossover(rsi, sn)

//////////////////////////
//* Strategy Component *//
//////////////////////////

isLong = input(true, "Longs Only")
isShort = input(false, "Shorts Only")
isFlip = input(false, "Flip the Opens")

long = longLocic
short = shortLogic

if isFlip
    long := shortLogic
    short := longLocic
else
    long := longLocic
    short := shortLogic

if isLong
    long := long
    short := na

if isShort
    long := na
    short := short
    
////////////////////////////////
//======[ Signal Count ]======//
////////////////////////////////

sectionLongs = 0
sectionLongs := nz(sectionLongs[1])
sectionShorts = 0
sectionShorts := nz(sectionShorts[1])

if long
    sectionLongs := sectionLongs + 1
    sectionShorts := 0

if short
    sectionLongs := 0
    sectionShorts := sectionShorts + 1

//////////////////////////////
//======[ Pyramiding ]======//
//////////////////////////////

pyrl = input(2, "Pyramiding less than") // If your count is less than this number
pyre = input(1, "Pyramiding equal to") // If your count is equal to this number
pyrg = input(1000000, "Pyramiding greater than") // If your count is greater than this number

longCondition = long and sectionLongs <= pyrl or long and sectionLongs >= pyrg or long and sectionLongs == pyre ? 1 : 0 and vrsi < 20
shortCondition = short and sectionShorts <= pyrl or short and sectionShorts >= pyrg or short and sectionShorts == pyre ? 1 : 0

////////////////////////////////
//======[ Entry Prices ]======//
////////////////////////////////

last_open_longCondition = na
last_open_shortCondition = na
last_open_longCondition := longCondition ? close : nz(last_open_longCondition[1])
last_open_shortCondition := shortCondition ? close : nz(last_open_shortCondition[1])

////////////////////////////////////
//======[ Open Order Count ]======//
////////////////////////////////////

sectionLongConditions = 0
sectionLongConditions := nz(sectionLongConditions[1])
sectionShortConditions = 0
sectionShortConditions := nz(sectionShortConditions[1])

if longCondition
    sectionLongConditions := sectionLongConditions + 1
    sectionShortConditions := 0

if shortCondition
    sectionLongConditions := 0
    sectionShortConditions := sectionShortConditions + 1
    
///////////////////////////////////////////////
//======[ Position Check (long/short) ]======//
///////////////////////////////////////////////

last_longCondition = na
last_shortCondition = na
last_longCondition := longCondition ? time : nz(last_longCondition[1])
last_shortCondition := shortCondition ? time : nz(last_shortCondition[1])

in_longCondition = last_longCondition > last_shortCondition
in_shortCondition = last_shortCondition > last_longCondition

/////////////////////////////////////
//======[ Position Averages ]======//
/////////////////////////////////////

totalLongs = 0.0
totalLongs := nz(totalLongs[1])
totalShorts = 0.0
totalShorts := nz(totalShorts[1])
averageLongs = 0.0
averageLongs := nz(averageLongs[1])
averageShorts = 0.0
averageShorts := nz(averageShorts[1]) 

if longCondition
    totalLongs := totalLongs + last_open_longCondition
    totalShorts := 0.0

if shortCondition
    totalLongs := 0.0
    totalShorts := totalShorts + last_open_shortCondition

averageLongs := totalLongs / sectionLongConditions
averageShorts := totalShorts / sectionShortConditions

/////////////////////////////////
//======[ Trailing Stop ]======//
/////////////////////////////////

isTS = input(false, "Trailing Stop")
tsi = input(100, "Activate Trailing Stop Price (%). Divided by 100 (1 = 0.01%)") / 100 
ts = input(100, "Trailing Stop (%). Divided by 100 (1 = 0.01%)") / 100

last_high = na
last_low = na
last_high_short = na
last_low_short = na
last_high := not in_longCondition ? na : in_longCondition and (na(last_high[1]) or high > nz(last_high[1])) ? high : nz(last_high[1])
last_high_short := not in_shortCondition ? na : in_shortCondition and (na(last_high[1]) or high > nz(last_high[1])) ? high : nz(last_high[1])
last_low := not in_shortCondition ? na : in_shortCondition and (na(last_low[1]) or low < nz(last_low[1])) ? low : nz(last_low[1])
last_low_short := not in_longCondition ? na : in_longCondition and (na(last_low[1]) or low < nz(last_low[1])) ? low : nz(last_low[1])

long_ts = isTS and not na(last_high) and low <= last_high - last_high / 100 * ts and longCondition == 0 and last_high >= averageLongs + averageLongs / 100 * tsi
short_ts = isTS and not na(last_low) and high >= last_low + last_low / 100 * ts and shortCondition == 0 and last_low <= averageShorts - averageShorts/ 100 * tsi

///////////////////////////////
//======[ Take Profit ]======//
///////////////////////////////

isTP = input(true, "Take Profit")
tp = input(33, "Take Profit (%). Divided by 100 (1 = 0.01%)") / 100
long_tp = isTP and close > averageLongs + averageLongs / 100 * tp and not longCondition
short_tp = isTP and close < averageShorts - averageShorts / 100 * tp and not shortCondition

/////////////////////////////
//======[ Stop Loss ]======//
/////////////////////////////

isSL = input(true, "Stop Loss")
sl = input(55, "Stop Loss (%). Divided by 100 (1 = 0.01%)") / 100
long_sl = isSL and close < averageLongs - averageLongs / 100 * sl and longCondition == 0
short_sl = isSL and close > averageShorts + averageShorts / 100 * sl and shortCondition == 0

/////////////////////////////////
//======[ Close Signals ]======//
/////////////////////////////////

longClose = long_tp or long_sl or long_ts ? 1 : 0
shortClose = short_tp or short_sl or short_ts ? 1: 0

///////////////////////////////
//======[ Plot Colors ]======//
///////////////////////////////

longCloseCol = na
shortCloseCol = na
longCloseCol := long_tp ? purple : long_sl ? maroon : long_ts ? blue : longCloseCol[1]
shortCloseCol := short_tp ? purple : short_sl ? maroon : short_ts ? blue : shortCloseCol[1]
tpColor = isTP and in_longCondition ? purple : isTP and in_shortCondition ? purple : white
slColor = isSL and in_longCondition ? red : isSL and in_shortCondition ? red : white

//////////////////////////////////
//======[ Strategy Plots ]======//
//////////////////////////////////

plot(isTS and in_longCondition ? averageLongs + averageLongs / 100 * tsi : na, "Long Trailing Activate", blue, style=3, linewidth=2)
plot(isTS and in_longCondition and last_high >= averageLongs +  averageLongs / 100 * tsi ? last_high - last_high / 100 * ts : na, "Long Trailing", fuchsia, style=2, linewidth=3)
plot(isTS and in_shortCondition ? averageShorts - averageShorts/ 100 * tsi : na, "Short Trailing Activate", blue, style=3, linewidth=2)
plot(isTS and in_shortCondition and last_low <= averageShorts - averageShorts/ 100 * tsi ? last_low + last_low / 100 * ts : na, "Short Trailing", fuchsia, style=2, linewidth=3)
plot(isTP and in_longCondition and last_high < averageLongs + averageLongs / 100 * tp ? averageLongs + averageLongs / 100 * tp : na, "Long TP", tpColor, style=3, linewidth=2)
plot(isTP and in_shortCondition and last_low > averageShorts - averageShorts / 100 * tp ? averageShorts - averageShorts / 100 * tp : na, "Short TP", tpColor, style=3, linewidth=2)
plot(isSL and in_longCondition and last_low_short > averageLongs - averageLongs / 100 * sl ? averageLongs - averageLongs / 100 * sl : na, "Long SL", slColor, style=3, linewidth=2)
plot(isSL and in_shortCondition and last_high_short < averageShorts + averageShorts / 100 * sl ? averageShorts + averageShorts / 100 * sl : na, "Short SL", slColor, style=3, linewidth=2)

///////////////////////////////
//======[ Alert Plots ]======//
///////////////////////////////

// plot(longCondition, "Long", green)
// plot(shortCondition, "Short", red)
// plot(longClose, "Long Close", longCloseCol)
// plot(shortClose, "Short Close", shortCloseCol)

///////////////////////////////////
//======[ Reset Variables ]======//
///////////////////////////////////

if longClose or not in_longCondition
    averageLongs := 0
    totalLongs := 0.0
    sectionLongs := 0
    sectionLongConditions := 0

if shortClose or not in_shortCondition
    averageShorts := 0
    totalShorts := 0.0
    sectionShorts := 0
    sectionShortConditions := 0

////////////////////////////////////////////
//======[ Strategy Entry and Exits ]======//
////////////////////////////////////////////

if testPeriod()
    strategy.entry("Long", 1, when=longCondition)
    strategy.entry("Short", 0,  when=shortCondition)
    strategy.close("Long", when=longClose)
    strategy.close("Short", when=shortClose)

Más.