Stratégie de super-tendance du réseau neuronal

Auteur:ChaoZhang est là., Date: 14 septembre 2023 à 16h49
Les étiquettes:

La logique de la stratégie

Cette stratégie combine un modèle de réseau neuronal, un indicateur RSI et un indicateur Super Trend pour le trading.

La logique est la suivante:

  1. Construire un modèle de réseau neuronal avec des entrées, y compris le changement de volume, les bandes de Bollinger, le RSI, etc.

  2. Le réseau prédit le taux de variation future des prix

  3. Calculer les valeurs du RSI et les combiner avec la variation de prix prévue

  4. Générer des lignes de stop loss dynamiques basées sur le RSI

  5. Allez court lorsque le prix dépasse le stop-loss; allez long lorsque le prix dépasse le stop-down

  6. Utilisez le jugement de tendance de Super Trend pour filtrer

La stratégie tire parti de la capacité des réseaux neuronaux à modéliser des données complexes, avec une vérification supplémentaire du signal à partir d'indicateurs tels que RSI et Super Trend pour améliorer la précision tout en contrôlant les risques.

Les avantages

  • Les réseaux neuronaux modélisent des données multidimensionnelles pour déterminer les tendances

  • RSI arrête de protéger les bénéfices, Super Trend aide le jugement

  • Plusieurs indicateurs combinés pour améliorer la qualité du signal

Les risques

  • Requiert de grands ensembles de données pour la formation des réseaux neuronaux

  • Il est nécessaire de régler les paramètres RSI et Super Trend

  • Les performances dépendent des prédictions du modèle, il existe des incertitudes

Résumé

Cette stratégie combine l'apprentissage automatique avec des techniques traditionnelles d'efficacité avec des contrôles de risques.


/*backtest
start: 2023-08-14 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-13 00:00:00
period: 2h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
//ANN taken from https://www.tradingview.com/script/Eq4zZsTI-ANN-MACD-BTC/
//it only work for BTC as the ANN is trained for this data only
//super trend https://www.tradingview.com/script/VLWVV7tH-SuperTrend/
// Strategy version created for @che_trader
strategy ("ANN RSI SUPER TREND STRATEGY BY che_trader", overlay = true)
qty = input(10000, "Buy quantity")

testStartYear = input(2019, "Backtest Start Year")
testStartMonth = input(1, "Backtest Start Month")
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day")
testStartHour = input(0, "Backtest Start Hour")
testStartMin = input(0, "Backtest Start Minute")
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear,testStartMonth,testStartDay,testStartHour,testStartMin)
testStopYear = input(2099, "Backtest Stop Year")
testStopMonth = input(1, "Backtest Stop Month")
testStopDay = input(30, "Backtest Stop Day")
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear,testStopMonth,testStopDay,0,0)
testPeriod() => true

max_bars_back = (21)
src = close[0]

// Essential Functions

// Highest - Lowest Functions ( All efforts goes to RicardoSantos )

f_highest(_src, _length)=>
    _adjusted_length = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length
    _value = _src
    for _i = 0 to (_adjusted_length-1)
        _value := _src[_i] >= _value ? _src[_i] : _value
    _return = _value

f_lowest(_src, _length)=>
    _adjusted_length = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length
    _value = _src
    for _i = 0 to (_adjusted_length-1)
        _value := _src[_i] <= _value ? _src[_i] : _value
    _return = _value

// Function Sum  

f_sum(_src , _length) => 

    _output  = 0.00 
    
    _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length
    
    for i = 0 to _length_adjusted-1
        _output := _output + _src[i]


// Unlocked Exponential Moving Average Function

f_ema(_src, _length)=>
    _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length
    _multiplier = 2 / (_length_adjusted + 1)
    _return  = 0.00
    _return := na(_return[1]) ? _src : ((_src - _return[1]) * _multiplier) + _return[1]


// Unlocked Moving Average Function 

f_sma(_src, _length)=>
    
    _output = 0.00
    _length_adjusted = _length < 0 ? 0 : _length
    w = cum(_src)

    _output:= (w - w[_length_adjusted]) / _length_adjusted
   
    _output    


// Definition : Function Bollinger Bands

Multiplier = 2 
_length_bb = 20


e_r = f_sma(src,_length_bb)


// Function Standard Deviation : 

f_stdev(_src,_length) =>

    float _output = na 
    _length_adjusted = _length < 2 ? 2 : _length
    _avg  = f_ema(_src , _length_adjusted)
    evar  = (_src - _avg) * (_src - _avg)
    evar2 = ((f_sum(evar,_length_adjusted))/_length_adjusted)
    
    _output := sqrt(evar2)


std_r = f_stdev(src , _length_bb )


upband = e_r + (Multiplier * std_r)  // Upband
dnband = e_r - (Multiplier * std_r)  // Lowband
basis  = e_r                         // Midband

// Function : RSI


length = input(14, minval=1) // 


f_rma(_src, _length) =>
    _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length
    alpha = _length_adjusted
    sum = 0.0
    sum := (_src + (alpha - 1) * nz(sum[1])) / alpha



f_rsi(_src, _length) => 

    _output = 0.00 
    _length_adjusted = _length < 0 ? 0 : _length

    u = _length_adjusted < 1 ? max(_src - _src[_length_adjusted], 0) : max(_src - _src[1] , 0) // upward change
    d = _length_adjusted < 1 ? max(_src[_length_adjusted] - _src, 0) : max(_src[1] - _src , 0) // downward change
    rs = f_rma(u, _length) / f_rma(d, _length)
    res = 100 - 100 / (1 + rs)
    res


_rsi = f_rsi(src, length)


// MACD 

_fastLength   = input(12 , title = "MACD Fast Length")
_slowlength   = input(26 , title = "MACD Slow Length")
_signalLength = input(9  , title = "MACD Signal Length")


_macd   = f_ema(close, _fastLength) - f_ema(close, _slowlength)
_signal = f_ema(_macd, _signalLength)
	   
_macdhist = _macd - _signal


// Inputs on Tangent Function : 

tangentdiff(_src) => nz((_src - _src[1]) / _src[1] ) 


// Deep Learning Activation Function (Tanh) : 

ActivationFunctionTanh(v) => (1 - exp(-2 * v))/( 1 + exp(-2 * v))


// DEEP LEARNING 

// INPUTS : 

input_1 = tangentdiff(volume)
input_2 = tangentdiff(dnband)
input_3 = tangentdiff(e_r)
input_4 = tangentdiff(upband)
input_5 = tangentdiff(_rsi)
input_6 = tangentdiff(_macdhist)

// LAYERS : 

// Input Layers 

n_0 = ActivationFunctionTanh(input_1 + 0)   
n_1 = ActivationFunctionTanh(input_2 + 0) 
n_2 = ActivationFunctionTanh(input_3 + 0) 
n_3 = ActivationFunctionTanh(input_4 + 0) 
n_4 = ActivationFunctionTanh(input_5 + 0)
n_5 = ActivationFunctionTanh(input_6 + 0)


// Hidden Layers 

n_6   = ActivationFunctionTanh( -2.580743 * n_0 + -1.883627 * n_1 + -3.512462 * n_2 + -0.891063 * n_3 + -0.767728 * n_4 + -0.542699 * n_5 +  0.221093) 
n_7   = ActivationFunctionTanh( -0.131977 * n_0 + -1.543499 * n_1 +  0.019450 * n_2 +  0.041301 * n_3 + -0.926690 * n_4 + -0.797512 * n_5 + -1.804061) 
n_8   = ActivationFunctionTanh( -0.587905 * n_0 + -7.528007 * n_1 + -5.273207 * n_2 +  1.633836 * n_3 +  6.099666 * n_4 +  3.509443 * n_5 + -4.384254) 
n_9   = ActivationFunctionTanh( -1.026331 * n_0 + -1.289491 * n_1 + -1.702887 * n_2 + -1.052681 * n_3 + -1.031452 * n_4 + -0.597999 * n_5 + -1.178839) 
n_10  = ActivationFunctionTanh( -5.393730 * n_0 + -2.486204 * n_1 +  3.655614 * n_2 +  1.051512 * n_3 + -2.763198 * n_4 +  6.062295 * n_5 + -6.367982) 
n_11  = ActivationFunctionTanh(  1.246882 * n_0 + -1.993206 * n_1 +  1.599518 * n_2 +  1.871801 * n_3 +  0.294797 * n_4 + -0.607512 * n_5 + -3.092821) 
n_12  = ActivationFunctionTanh( -2.325161 * n_0 + -1.433500 * n_1 + -2.928094 * n_2 + -0.715416 * n_3 + -0.914663 * n_4 + -0.485397 * n_5 + -0.411227) 
n_13  = ActivationFunctionTanh( -0.350585 * n_0 + -0.810108 * n_1 + -1.756149 * n_2 + -0.567176 * n_3 + -0.954021 * n_4 + -1.027830 * n_5 + -1.349766) 


// Output Layer 

_output  = ActivationFunctionTanh(2.588784 * n_6  + 0.100819 * n_7  + -5.305373 * n_8  + 1.167093 * n_9  + 
                                  3.770143 * n_10 + 1.269190 * n_11 +  2.090862 * n_12 + 0.839791 * n_13 + -0.196165)

_chg_src = tangentdiff(src) * 100

_seed = (_output - _chg_src)
// BEGIN ACTUAL STRATEGY
length1 = input(title="RSI Period", type=input.integer, defval=21)
mult = input(title="RSI Multiplier", type=input.float, step=0.1, defval=4.0)
wicks = input(title="Take Wicks into Account ?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
showLabels = input(title="Show Buy/Sell Labels ?", type=input.bool, defval=true)

srsi = mult* rsi(_seed ,length1)

longStop = hl2 - srsi
longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop)
longStop := (wicks ? low[1] : close[1]) > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop

shortStop = hl2 + srsi
shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop)
shortStop := (wicks ? high[1] : close[1]) < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop

dir = 1
dir := nz(dir[1], dir)
dir := dir == -1 and (wicks ? high : close) > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and (wicks ? low : close) < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir

longColor = color.green
shortColor = color.red

plot(dir == 1 ? longStop : na, title="Long Stop", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=longColor)
buySignal = dir == 1 and dir[1] == -1
plotshape(buySignal ? longStop : na, title="Long Stop Start", location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=longColor, transp=0)
plotshape(buySignal and showLabels ? longStop : na, title="Buy Label", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=longColor, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)

plot(dir == 1 ? na : shortStop, title="Short Stop", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=shortColor)
sellSignal = dir == -1 and dir[1] == 1
plotshape(sellSignal ? shortStop : na, title="Short Stop Start", location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=shortColor, transp=0)
plotshape(sellSignal and showLabels ? shortStop : na, title="Sell Label", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=shortColor, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)





if testPeriod() and buySignal
    strategy.entry("Long",strategy.long)

if testPeriod() and sellSignal
    strategy.entry("Short",strategy.short)

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