Strategi Berdasarkan Corak Lilin

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2023-09-22 12:28:59
Tag:

Ringkasan

Strategi ini berdasarkan corak lilin untuk mengenal pasti isyarat lilin yang berbeza dan berdagang mengikut trend. Dengan kaedah pengurusan risiko yang betul seperti stop loss, take profit, dan trailing stop, ia bertujuan untuk mengurangkan kesan turun naik pasaran.

Logika Strategi

Strategi ini terutamanya mengenal pasti corak lilin berikut untuk isyarat perdagangan:

  • Menghisap: corak menaiki dan menaiki menurun

  • Garis Penembusan/Lapisan Awan Gelap: corak garis penembusan bullish dan corak penembusan awan gelap bearish

  • Bintang Pagi/Bintang Malam: corak bintang pagi menaik dan bintang malam menurun

  • Belt Hold: corak belt hold bullish dan belt hold bearish

  • Tiga Tentera Putih/Tiga Burung Hitam: tiga tentera putih dan tiga corak burung hitam

  • Tiga Bintang di Selatan: tiga bintang dalam corak selatan

  • Sandwich Stick: corak sandwic stick

  • Garis pertemuan: corak garis pertemuan kenaikan dan corak garis pertemuan penurunan

  • Menendang: corak menaiki dan menendang menurun

  • Tangga Bawah: corak bawah tangga

Apabila mengesan isyarat candlestick ini, ia akan meletakkan pesanan menunggu berhampiran harga terbuka bar seterusnya, dengan stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan yang telah ditentukan sebelumnya untuk mengikuti trend.

Ia juga menambah penapis purata bergerak untuk mengelakkan mengambil isyarat apabila harga berada di sisi MA yang salah.

Kelebihan

  1. Berdasarkan corak candlestick klasik, ia mempunyai beberapa aplikasi universal.

  2. Perdagangan secara mekanikal berdasarkan peraturan corak, tidak dipengaruhi oleh faktor subjektif.

  3. Tetapan stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan yang munasabah untuk mengawal risiko perdagangan tunggal.

  4. Mekanisme hentian menyusun stop loss secara dinamik bersama-sama dengan pasaran.

  5. Penapis MA menambah lebih banyak logik untuk mengelakkan terperangkap dalam perdagangan yang salah.

Risiko dan Penyelesaian

  1. Corak candlestick mempunyai beberapa masalah salah mengenal pasti, yang boleh membawa kepada isyarat palsu.

  2. Stop loss statik tidak dapat sepenuhnya mengelakkan risiko daripada peristiwa pasaran.

  3. Sensitif kepada sesi dagangan, tidak boleh berjalan 24x7. boleh menyesuaikan masa dagangan atau menambah penapis lelongan.

  4. Penapis MA mungkin terlepas beberapa peluang. boleh mengurangkan tempoh MA atau membuang penapis.

  5. Sukar untuk mendapat keuntungan dari kedua-dua sisi panjang dan pendek bersama-sama kerana konflik.

Arahan pengoptimuman

  1. Mengoptimumkan parameter corak candlestick untuk meningkatkan pengenalan.

  2. Uji kaedah berhenti yang berbeza untuk mencari yang optimum.

  3. Cuba teknik pengurusan risiko yang lebih maju seperti pengurusan wang atau volatility stop loss.

  4. Tambah lebih banyak penapis untuk meningkatkan logik penapis.

  5. Membina model pengenalan corak lilin menggunakan pembelajaran mesin.

  6. Membangunkan logik strategi yang boleh mengenal pasti kedua-dua isyarat panjang dan pendek.

Ringkasan

Strategi ini menggunakan corak candlestick klasik untuk pengesanan trend dan perdagangan secara mekanikal berdasarkan isyarat. Ia menguruskan risiko dengan stop loss dan trailing stop yang ketat, dan meningkatkan logik dengan menambah penapis MA. Strategi ini mudah difahami dan dilaksanakan, tetapi juga mempunyai beberapa isu seperti salah mengenal pasti dan kesukaran dalam penyesuaian parameter. Pengoptimuman masa depan boleh dilakukan dengan memperkenalkan lebih banyak penunjuk teknikal dan model pembelajaran mesin untuk mencapai prestasi yang lebih baik.


/*backtest
start: 2022-09-15 00:00:00
end: 2023-02-17 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=2
strategy("Candle Patterns Strategy - 2", shorttitle="CPS - 2", overlay=true)
// New risk management system: order entry, moving stop loss to breakeven + moving average filter (SMA)

//--- Patterns Input ---

OnEngulfing = input(defval=true, title="Engulfing", type=bool)
OnHarami = input(defval=true, title="Harami", type=bool)
OnPiercingLine = input(defval=true, title="Piercing Line / Dark Cloud Cover", type=bool)
OnMorningStar = input(defval=true, title="Morning Star / Evening Star ", type=bool)
OnBeltHold = input(defval=true, title="Belt Hold", type=bool)
OnThreeWhiteSoldiers = input(defval=true, title="Three White Soldiers / Three Black Crows", type=bool)
OnThreeStarsInTheSouth = input(defval=true, title="Three Stars in the South", type=bool)
OnStickSandwich = input(defval=true, title="Stick Sandwich", type=bool)
OnMeetingLine = input(defval=true, title="Meeting Line", type=bool)
OnKicking = input(defval=true, title="Kicking", type=bool)
OnLadderBottom = input(defval=true, title="Ladder Bottom", type=bool)

//--- Risk Management Input ---
tick = input (defval = 0.01, title="Tick Size", minval = 0.001)
inpsl = input(defval = 10, title="Stop Loss", minval = 1)
inptp = input(defval = 100, title="Take Profit", minval = 1)
inpbm = input (defval=10, title="Breakeven Margin", minval = 1)
inpindent = input(defval = 5, title="Price Movement Confirmation", minval = 0)
InpSmaFilter = input(defval=false, title="MA Filter", type=bool)
maPer=input(defval = 50, title="MA Period", minval = 1)
//inptrail = input(defval = 0, title="Trailing Stop", minval = 0)
// If the zero value is set for stop loss, take profit or trailing stop, then the function is disabled
//sl = inpsl >= 1 ? inpsl : na
sl = inpsl * tick
bm = inpbm * tick
tp = inptp //* tick
indent = inpindent * tick
//trail = inptrail >= 1 ? inptrail : na

//--- Session Input ---

sess = input(defval = "0000-0000", title="Trading Session")
t = time(timeframe.period, sess)
session_open = na(t) ? false : true

// --- Candlestick Patterns ---

//Engulfing 
bullish_engulfing = high[0]>high[1] and low[0]<low[1] and open[0]<open[1] and close[0]>close[1] and close[0]>open[0] and close[1]<close[2] and close[0]>open[1] ? OnEngulfing : na
bearish_engulfing = high[0]>high[1] and low[0]<low[1] and open[0]>open[1] and close[0]<close[1] and close[0]<open[0] and close[1]>close[2] and close[0]<open[1] ? OnEngulfing : na

//Harami
bullish_harami =  open[1]>close[1] and close[1]<close[2] and open[0]>close[1] and open[0]<open[1] and close[0]>close[1] and close[0]<open[1] and high[0]<high[1] and low[0]>low[1] and close[0]>=open[0] ? OnHarami : na
bearish_harami =   open[1]<close[1] and close[1]>close[2] and open[0]<close[1] and open[0]>open[1] and close[0]<close[1] and close[0]>open[1] and high[0]<high[1] and low[0]>low[1] and close[0]<=open[0] ? OnHarami : na

//Piercing Line/Dark Cloud Cover 
piercing_line = close[2]>close[1] and open[0]<low[1] and close[0]>avg(open[1],close[1]) and close[0]<open[1] ? OnPiercingLine : na
dark_cloud_cover = close[2]<close[1] and open[0]>high[1] and close[0]<avg(open[1],close[1]) and close[0]>open[1] ? OnPiercingLine : na

//Morning Star/Evening Star
morning_star = close[3]>close[2] and close[2]<open[2] and open[1]<close[2] and close[1]<close[2] and open[0]>open[1] and open[0]>close[1] and close[0]>close[2] and open[2]-close[2]>close[0]-open[0] ? OnMorningStar : na
evening_star = close[3]<close[2] and close[2]>open[2] and open[1]>close[2] and close[1]>close[2] and open[0]<open[1] and open[0]<close[1] and close[0]<close[2] and close[2]-open[2]>open[0]-close[0] ? OnMorningStar : na

//Belt Hold
bullish_belt_hold = close[1]<open[1] and low[1]>open[0] and close[1]>open[0] and open[0]==low[0] and close[0]>avg(close[0],open[0]) ? OnBeltHold :na
bearish_belt_hold =  close[1]>open[1] and high[1]<open[0] and close[1]<open[0] and open[0]==high[0] and close[0]<avg(close[0],open[0]) ? OnBeltHold :na

//Three White Soldiers/Three Black Crows 
three_white_soldiers = close[3]<open[3] and open[2]<close[3] and close[2]>avg(close[2],open[2]) and open[1]>open[2] and open[1]<close[2] and close[1]>avg(close[1],open[1]) and open[0]>open[1] and open[0]<close[1] and close[0]>avg(close[0],open[0]) and high[1]>high[2] and high[0]>high[1] ? OnThreeWhiteSoldiers : na
three_black_crows =  close[3]>open[3] and open[2]>close[3] and close[2]<avg(close[2],open[2]) and open[1]<open[2] and open[1]>close[2] and close[1]<avg(close[1],open[1]) and open[0]<open[1] and open[0]>close[1] and close[0]<avg(close[0],open[0]) and low[1]<low[2] and low[0]<low[1] ? OnThreeWhiteSoldiers : na

//Three Stars in the South
three_stars_in_the_south = open[3]>close[3] and open[2]>close[2] and open[2]==high[2] and open[1]>close[1] and open[1]<open[2] and open[1]>close[2] and low[1]>low[2] and open[1]==high[1] and open[0]>close[0] and open[0]<open[1] and open[0]>close[1] and open[0]==high[0] and close[0]==low[0] and close[0]>=low[1] ? OnThreeStarsInTheSouth : na

//Stick Sandwich
stick_sandwich = open[2]>close[2] and open[1]>close[2] and open[1]<close[1] and open[0]>close[1] and open[0]>close[0] and close[0]==close[2] ? OnStickSandwich : na

//Meeting Line 
bullish_ml = open[2]>close[2] and open[1]>close[1] and close[1]==close[0] and open[0]<close[0] and open[1]>=high[0] ? OnMeetingLine : na
bearish_ml = open[2]<close[2] and open[1]<close[1] and close[1]==close[0] and open[0]>close[0] and open[1]<=low[0] ? OnMeetingLine : na

//Kicking 
bullish_kicking =  open[1]>close[1] and open[1]==high[1] and close[1]==low[1] and open[0]>open[1] and open[0]==low[0] and close[0]==high[0] and close[0]-open[0]>open[1]-close[1] ? OnKicking : na
bearish_kicking = open[1]<close[1] and open[1]==low[1] and close[1]==high[1] and open[0]<open[1] and open[0]==high[0] and close[0]==low[0] and open[0]-close[0]>close[1]-open[1] ? OnKicking : na

//Ladder Bottom
ladder_bottom = open[4]>close[4] and open[3]>close[3] and open[3]<open[4] and open[2]>close[2] and open[2]<open[3] and open[1]>close[1] and open[1]<open[2] and open[0]<close[0] and open[0]>open[1] and low[4]>low[3] and low[3]>low[2] and low[2]>low[1] ? OnLadderBottom : na

// --- Plotting Patterns ---

plotshape(bullish_engulfing, text='Engulfing', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=true, title="Bullish Engulfing Text")
plotshape(bearish_engulfing,text='Engulfing', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=true, title="Bearish Engulfing Text")
plotshape(bullish_harami,text='Harami', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=true, title="Bullish Harami Text")
plotshape(bearish_harami,text='Harami', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=true, title="BEarish Harami Text")
plotshape(piercing_line,text='Piercing Line', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(dark_cloud_cover,text='Dark Cloud Cover', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=false)
plotshape(morning_star,text='Morning Star', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(evening_star,text='Evening Star', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=false)
plotshape(bullish_belt_hold,text='Belt Hold', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)    
plotshape(bearish_belt_hold,text='Belt Hold', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=false)
plotshape(three_white_soldiers,text='Three White Soldiers', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(three_black_crows,text='Three Black Crows', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=false)
plotshape(three_stars_in_the_south,text='3 Stars South', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(stick_sandwich,text='Stick Sandwich', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(bullish_ml,text='Meeting Line', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(bearish_ml,text='Meeting Line', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=false)
plotshape(bullish_kicking,text='Kicking', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)
plotshape(bearish_kicking,text='Kicking', style=shape.triangledown, color=#F35A54, editable=false)
plotshape(ladder_bottom,text='Ladder Bottom', style=shape.triangleup, color=#1FADA2, editable=false)

// --- STRATEGY ---

SignalUp = bullish_engulfing or bullish_harami or piercing_line or morning_star or bullish_belt_hold or three_white_soldiers or three_stars_in_the_south or stick_sandwich or bullish_ml or bullish_kicking or ladder_bottom
SignalDown = bearish_engulfing or bearish_harami or dark_cloud_cover or evening_star or bearish_belt_hold or three_black_crows or bearish_ml or bearish_kicking

PointOfEntry = SignalUp ? high[0] + indent : SignalDown ? low[0] - indent : na

bu = strategy.position_avg_price
shlo = strategy.position_size
stL = shlo > 0 and close [0] > bu + bm ? bu : shlo < 0 and close [0] < bu - bm ? bu : na
du = sma(close, maPer)
smaF = SignalUp and high[0]>du[0] ? true : SignalUp and high[0]<du[0] ? false : SignalDown and high[0]>du[0] ? false : SignalDown and high[0]<du[0] ? true : na 
smaFilter = InpSmaFilter ? smaF : true
duplot = InpSmaFilter ? du : na
plot(duplot, color=red)

// -- Orders --

strategy.order("buy", true, stop = PointOfEntry, oca_name = "trade",  when = SignalUp and session_open and smaFilter)
strategy.cancel("buy", when = not session_open or SignalDown or strategy.opentrades > 0)
strategy.order("stop sell", false, stop = bu-sl, oca_name = "trade",  when = strategy.opentrades > 0 and shlo > 0 and session_open)
strategy.cancel("stop sell", close [0] > bu + bm or not session_open or strategy.opentrades == 0 )
strategy.order("breakeven sell", false, stop = bu + 1*tick, oca_name = "trade",  when = strategy.opentrades > 0 and shlo > 0 and close [0] > bu + bm and session_open)
strategy.cancel("breakeven sell", when = strategy.opentrades == 0 or not session_open)

strategy.order("sell", false, stop = PointOfEntry, oca_name = "trade",  when = SignalDown and session_open and smaFilter)
strategy.cancel("sell", when = not session_open or SignalUp or strategy.opentrades > 0)
strategy.order("stop buy", true, stop = bu+sl, oca_name = "trade",  when = strategy.opentrades > 0 and shlo < 0 and session_open)
strategy.cancel("stop buy", when = close [0] < bu - bm or not session_open or  strategy.opentrades == 0 )
strategy.order("breakeven buy", true, stop = bu - 1 * tick, oca_name = "trade",  when = strategy.opentrades > 0 and shlo < 0 and close [0] < bu - bm and session_open)
strategy.cancel("breakeven buy", when = strategy.opentrades == 0 or not session_open)

strategy.close("buy", when = not session_open or SignalDown )
strategy.close("sell", when = not session_open or SignalUp)
strategy.exit("Take Profit", from_entry = "buy", profit = tp)
strategy.exit("Take Profit", from_entry = "sell", profit = tp)

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