この戦略は,SPY市場を対象に,時間レベルでの価格変動を利用して市場の動きを判断し,ショートラインの反転取引を行う.
5日と13日の移動平均線交差を用いて,時間レベル価格の反転を判定する.
RSIが50を超えると,移動平均線金叉は買い信号を生成する.
13日平均線下を通過5日平均線,MACD差異値下を通過信号線時,売り信号が生成する。
ストップ・ロズとストップ・フローラインを設定し,目標利益の2倍に達したときに部分的に平衡を設定します.
空頭取引を選択し,このラウンドの取引が完了した後,次のラウンドの空頭に入るか否かを判断する.
入力パラメータは,平均線,止損停止比率などにカスタマイズできます.
短線取引の機会を捉えるために,時間単位での価格変動を利用する.
マルチメーター・コンビネーション・検証により,信号の正確性が向上する.
ストップ・ストップ・ストップ戦略を設定することで,リスクをコントロールできます.
部分停止は収益をロックする.
入力パラメータは,ショートライントレーダーに適したカスタマイズ可能である.
時刻価格の波動により,誤信号が発生し,損失を招く可能性があります.
ストップ・ストップ・スロープの比率は正しく設定されず,早めに停止したり,長期間保持したりする可能性があります.
いくつかの品種のパラメータは,良好な反測効果を達成するために最適化調整が必要である.
オーバーフィットするリスクがある
取引の頻度が手数料を増加させる取引コスト
異なるパラメータの組み合わせをテストし,最適なパラメータを探します.
他の指標を評価し,取引信号を補強する.
リスクと利益のバランスをとる ストップ・ストップ・ストップ戦略を最適化する
トレンドフィルターを加え,逆転取引を避ける.
利回りの期間を延長するために,適当な部分的な停止条件の緩和.
戦略に適した他の品種を評価する
この戦略は,SPYの時間レベルショートライン取引の機会を捕捉しようとしています.パラメータ最適化,信号フィルタリングなどの方法で信頼性を高め,有効なショートライン取引戦略にすることができます.
//@version=5
strategy(title="SPY 1 Hour Swing Trader", initial_capital=300000, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=15, pyramiding=0, commission_type=strategy.commission.cash_per_order, commission_value=0, overlay=true, calc_on_every_tick=false, process_orders_on_close=true, max_labels_count=500)
//The purpose of this script is to spot 1 hour pivots that indicate ~5 to 6 trading day swings.
//Results indicate that swings are held approximately 5 to 6 trading days on average, over the last 6 years.
//This indicator spots a go long opportunity when the 5 ema crosses the 13 ema on the 1 hour along with the RSI > 50.
//It also spots uses a couple different means to determine when to exit the trade. Sell condition is
//primarily when the 13 ema crosses the 5 ema and the MACD line crosses below the signal line and
//the smoothed Stoichastic appears oversold (greater than 60). Stop Losses and Take Profits are configurable
//in Inputs along with ability to include short trades plus other MACD and Stoichastic settings.
//If a stop loss is encountered the trade will close. Also once twice the expected move is encountered
//partial profits will taken and stop losses and take profits will be re-established based on most recent close
//Once long trades are exited, short trades will be initiated if recent conditions appeared oversold and
//input option for short trading is enabled. If trying to use this for something other than SPXL it is best
//to update stop losses and take profit percentages and check backtest results to ensure proper levels have
//been selected and the script gives satisfactory results.
// Initialize variables
var float long_entry_price = na
var float short_entry_price = na
var float stop_loss = na
var float take_profit = na
var float twoxtake_profit = na
var float short_stop_loss = na
var float short_take_profit = na
var float short_twoxtake_profit = na
var int startshort = 0
// Inputs
short = input.bool(true, "Include Short Trades!")
option_SL_P = input.float(0.02, "Input Stop Loss Percentage (0.02 = 2%)")
option_TP_P = input.float(0.03, "Input Take Profit Percentage (0.03 = 3%)")
pp = input.int(50, "Partial Profit Percentage in whole numbers (50 is 50%)")
ema5 = input.int(5, "Fast EMA Period", minval=1)
ema13 = input.int(13, "Slow EMA Period", minval=1)
rsi_length = input.int(14, "RSI Length", minval=1)
macd_fast_length = input.int(8, "MACD Fast Length", minval=1)
macd_slow_length = input.int(21, "MACD Slow Length", minval=1)
macd_signal_length = input.int(5, "MACD Signal Length", minval=1)
len = input.int(14, title="ADX Length", minval=1)
length = input.int(14, "Stochastic Length")
smoothK = input.int(3, "Stoicastic Smooth K")
src = input(close, "Stoicastic Source")
// Calculating EMA
ema_13 = ta.ema(close, ema13)
ema_5 = ta.ema(close, ema5)
// Calculate RSI
rsi = ta.rsi(close, rsi_length)
smooth_rsi = ta.ema(rsi, 5)
// Calculate MACD
[macd_line, signal_line, _] = ta.macd(close, macd_fast_length, macd_slow_length, macd_signal_length)
// Calculate the True Range
tr = ta.tr(true)
// Calculate slope of MACD line
rsiSlope = (smooth_rsi - smooth_rsi[3]) / (bar_index - bar_index[3])
// Calculate the Directional Movement
up = ta.change(high)
down = -ta.change(low)
plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
// Calculate the Smoothed Directional Movement
plusDI = 100 * ta.ema(plusDM, len) / ta.ema(tr, len)
minusDI = 100 * ta.ema(minusDM, len) / ta.ema(tr, len)
// Calculate the Directional Index (DX)
DX = 100 * math.abs(plusDI - minusDI) / (plusDI + minusDI)
// Calculate the ADX
adx = ta.ema(DX, len)
//Stochastic Calculation
highestHigh = ta.highest(src, length)
lowestLow = ta.lowest(src, length)
k = 100 * ((src - lowestLow) / (highestHigh - lowestLow))
d = ta.sma(k, smoothK)
// Determine current VIX
vixClose = request.security("VIX", timeframe.period, close[3])
//plot(vixClose, title="VIX Close", color=color.red)
// Buy and Sell Conditions
buy_condition = ta.crossover(ema_5 , ema_13) and rsi > 50
sell_condition = ema_13 > ema_5 and macd_line < signal_line and (d > 60)
// Plotting indicators
plot(ema_13, color=color.orange, title="Slow EMA Period")
plot(ema_5, color=color.blue, title="Fast EMA Period")
// Executing trades
if buy_condition and strategy.position_size == 0 and barstate.isconfirmed
strategy.entry("Pivot Up", strategy.long, alert_message = "Pivoting Up")
long_entry_price := close
stop_loss := long_entry_price - (option_SL_P * close)
take_profit := long_entry_price + (option_TP_P * close)
twoxtake_profit := long_entry_price + (2 * option_TP_P * close)
if strategy.position_size > 0 and barstate.isconfirmed
if close < stop_loss and barstate.isconfirmed
strategy.close("Pivot Up", "Exit Longs Stopped")
if short == 1
startshort := 1
else if sell_condition and barstate.isconfirmed
if short == 1
startshort := 1
strategy.close("Pivot Up", "Exit Longs Sell Condition Met")
else if close >= twoxtake_profit and barstate.isconfirmed
stop_loss := close - (.5*option_TP_P*close)
take_profit := close + (.5*option_TP_P*close)
strategy.exit("Exit Partial Longs", "Pivot Up", stop=stop_loss, limit = take_profit, qty_percent = pp)
if startshort == 1
if (d[6] > 80) and barstate.isconfirmed
strategy.entry("Pivot Down", strategy.short, alert_message = "Pivoting Down")
short_entry_price := close
short_stop_loss := short_entry_price + (option_SL_P * close)
short_take_profit := short_entry_price - (option_TP_P * close)
short_twoxtake_profit := short_entry_price - (2 * option_TP_P * close)
startshort := 0
else
startshort := 0
if strategy.position_size < 0 and barstate.isconfirmed
if close > short_stop_loss and barstate.isconfirmed
strategy.close("Pivot Down", "Exit Shorts Stopped")
else if close <= short_twoxtake_profit and barstate.isconfirmed
short_stop_loss := close + (.5*option_TP_P*close)
short_take_profit := close - (.5*option_TP_P*close)
strategy.exit("Exit Partial Shorts", "Pivot Down", stop=short_stop_loss, limit = short_take_profit, qty_percent = pp)