双方向ADX取引戦略
作成日:
2024-01-30 17:00:44
最終変更日:
2024-01-30 17:00:44
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0
クリック数:
729
ChaoZhang
1
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1617
フォロワー
概要
二方向ADX取引戦略は,平均方向指数 ((ADX) の指標を利用して二方向取引を実現する量化戦略である.この戦略は,ADX指標とDIPlusおよびDIMinus指標の差値を計算し,取引信号が生じるかどうかを判断する門限を設定し,多空頭取引を行い,利益を達成する.
戦略原則
- 真の波動範囲を計算する
- 多頭方向運動 ((Directional Movement Plus) と空頭方向運動 ((Directional Movement Minus)) を計算する
- スムースド・トルー・レンジを計算する
- 滑らかな多頭運動 ((Smoothed Directional Movement Plus) と滑らかな空頭運動 ((Smoothed Directional Movement Minus) を計算する
- DIPlus,DIMinus,ADXを計算する
- DIPlusとADX,DIMinusとADXの差値を計算する
- 多頭と空頭取引の差値の値設定
- 値差が減価値より大きい場合の判断で取引シグナルを生成する
- 購入と販売委託を生成する
この戦略の核心は,ADXなどの動向指数指標を用いてトレンドの方向と強さを判断し,差値判定法と組み合わせて値を設定し,自動取引を行うことである.
優位分析
- ADXは市場動向を正確に捉えるためのトレンドの方向を判断します.
- 差値判定法を適用し,偽信号を効果的にフィルターする
- 双方向取引により,多頭と空頭の機会を最大限に活用できます.
- 完全自動で,人の介入なしの取引です.
- 戦略の論理が明確で,理解し,変更しやすい
リスク分析
- ADXは後退し,トレンド転換点を逃している可能性がある
- 双方向取引のリスクが高まり,損失が拡大する可能性がある
- パラメータを正しく設定しない場合,過剰な取引が発生する可能性があります.
- 市場を代表するデータがないため,現存するリスクは残っている.
解決策は
- 他の指標と組み合わせた取引確認信号
- オプティマイゼーションパラメータ,取引頻度制御
- 厳格なポジションサイジング
最適化の方向
- ADXパラメータを最適化し,その感性を改善する
- フィルタリング信号を追加する
- 機械学習アルゴリズムの最適化パラメータを適用する
- 高度なストップ・ストラトジーを活用して損失のリスクをコントロール
- モデル予測と組み合わせることで より正確な取引信号が得られる
要約する
双方向ADX取引戦略overallは,非常に実用的な量化戦略である. それは,ADX指標を使用してトレンドを判断し,双方向に取引機会を捕獲する.同時に,差値判断を適用して,信号の有効性を確保する. この戦略の論理は,明確でシンプルで,変更しやすい最適化,双方向のトレンドを追跡する取引戦略である.合理的なパラメータの最適化,止損戦略の適用,および信号フィルタリングにより,戦略の安定性と収益性をさらに高めることができる.
ストラテジーソースコード
/*backtest
start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © MAURYA_ALGO_TRADER
//@version=5
strategy("Monthly Performance", overlay=true)
len = input(14)
th = input(20)
TrueRange = math.max(math.max(high - low, math.abs(high - nz(close[1]))), math.abs(low - nz(close[1])))
DirectionalMovementPlus = high - nz(high[1]) > nz(low[1]) - low ? math.max(high - nz(high[1]), 0) : 0
DirectionalMovementMinus = nz(low[1]) - low > high - nz(high[1]) ? math.max(nz(low[1]) - low, 0) : 0
SmoothedTrueRange = 0.0
SmoothedTrueRange := nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) - nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) / len + TrueRange
SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus = 0.0
SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus := nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1]) - nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1]) / len + DirectionalMovementPlus
SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus = 0.0
SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus := nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) - nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) / len + DirectionalMovementMinus
DIPlus = SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
DIMinus = SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
DX = math.abs(DIPlus - DIMinus) / (DIPlus + DIMinus) * 100
ADX = ta.sma(DX, len)
// plot(DIPlus, color=color.new(color.green, 0), title='DI+')
// plot(DIMinus, color=color.new(color.red, 0), title='DI-')
// plot(ADX, color=color.new(color.white, 0), title='ADX')
// hline(th, color=color.black)
//diff_1 = math.abs(DIPlus - DIMinus)
diff_2 = math.abs(DIPlus-ADX)
diff_3 = math.abs(DIMinus - ADX)
long_diff = input(10, "Long Difference")
short_diff = input(10, "Short Difference")
buy_condition = diff_2 >=long_diff and diff_3 >=long_diff and (ADX < DIPlus and ADX > DIMinus)
sell_condition = diff_2 >=short_diff and diff_3 >=short_diff and (ADX > DIPlus and ADX < DIMinus)
if buy_condition
strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long, comment = "Long")
if sell_condition
strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short, comment = "Short")
// Copy below code to end of the desired strategy script
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// monthly pnl performance by Dr. Maurya @MAURYA_ALGO_TRADER //
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
show_performance = input.bool(true, 'Show Monthly Monthly Performance ?', group='Monthly Performance')
dash_loc_mp = input("Bottom Right","Location" ,options=["Top Right","Bottom Right","Top Left","Bottom Left", "Middle Right","Bottom Center"] ,group='Monthly Performance', inline = "performance")
text_size_mp = input('Small',"Size" ,options=["Tiny","Small","Normal","Large"] ,group='Monthly Performance', inline = "performance")
bg_c = input.color( color.rgb(7, 226, 242, 38), "Background Color", group='Monthly Performance')
text_head_color = input.color( color.rgb(0,0,0), "Month/Year Heading Color", group='Monthly Performance')
tab_month_c = input.color( color.white, "Month PnL Data Color", group='Monthly Performance')
tab_year_c = input.color( color.rgb(0,0,0), "Year PnL Data Color", group='Monthly Performance')
border_c = input.color( color.white, "Table Border Color", group='Monthly Performance')
var table_position_mp = dash_loc_mp == 'Top Left' ? position.top_left :
dash_loc_mp == 'Bottom Left' ? position.bottom_left :
dash_loc_mp == 'Middle Right' ? position.middle_right :
dash_loc_mp == 'Bottom Center' ? position.bottom_center :
dash_loc_mp == 'Top Right' ? position.top_right : position.bottom_right
var table_text_size_mp = text_size_mp == 'Tiny' ? size.tiny :
text_size_mp == 'Small' ? size.small :
text_size_mp == 'Normal' ? size.normal : size.large
/////////////////
strategy.initial_capital = 50000
/////////////////////////////////////////////
// var bool new_month = na
new_month = ta.change(month) //> 0 ? true : false
newest_month = new_month and strategy.closedtrades >= 1
// profit
only_profit = strategy.netprofit
initial_balance = strategy.initial_capital
// month number
var int month_number = na
month_number := (ta.valuewhen(newest_month, month(time), 0)) //and month(time) > 1 ? (ta.valuewhen(newest_month, month(time), 0) - 1) : 12 //1 to 12
//month_year
var int month_time = na
month_time := ta.valuewhen(newest_month, time, 0) - 2419200000
var int m_counter = 0
if newest_month
m_counter += 1
// current month values
var bool new_year = na
new_year := ta.change(year)
curr_m_pnl = only_profit - nz(ta.valuewhen(newest_month, only_profit, 0), 0)
curr_m_number = newest_month ? ta.valuewhen(newest_month, month(time), 0) : month(time)
curr_y_pnl = (only_profit - nz(ta.valuewhen(new_year, only_profit, 0),0))
var float [] net_profit_array = array.new_float()
var int [] month_array = array.new_int()
var int [] month_time_array = array.new_int()
if newest_month
array.push(net_profit_array, only_profit)
array.push(month_array, month_number)
array.push(month_time_array, month_time)
var float [] y_pnl_array = array.new_float()
var int [] y_number_array = array.new_int()
var int [] y_time_array = array.new_int()
newest_year = ta.change(year) and strategy.closedtrades >= 1
get_yearly_pnl = nz(ta.valuewhen(newest_year, strategy.netprofit, 0) - nz(ta.valuewhen(newest_year, strategy.netprofit, 1), 0), 0)
get_m_year = ta.valuewhen(newest_year, year(time), 1)
get_y_time = ta.valuewhen(newest_year, time, 0)
if newest_year
array.push(y_pnl_array, get_yearly_pnl)
array.push(y_number_array, get_m_year)
array.push(y_time_array, get_y_time)
var float monthly_profit = na
var int column_month_number = na
var int row_month_time = na
var testTable = table.new(position = table_position_mp, columns = 14, rows = 40, bgcolor = bg_c, border_color = border_c, border_width = 1)
if barstate.islastconfirmedhistory and show_performance
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 0, row = 0, text = "YEAR", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 1, row = 0, text = "JAN", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 2, row = 0, text = "FEB", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 3, row = 0, text = "MAR", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 4, row = 0, text = "APR", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 5, row = 0, text = "MAY", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 6, row = 0, text = "JUN", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 7, row = 0, text = "JUL", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 8, row = 0, text = "AUG", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 9, row = 0, text = "SEP", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 10, row = 0, text = "OCT", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 11, row = 0, text = "NOV", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 12, row = 0, text = "DEC", text_color =text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 13, row = 0, text = "YEAR P/L", text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
for i = 0 to (array.size(y_number_array) == 0 ? na : array.size(y_number_array) - 1)
row_y = year(array.get(y_time_array, i)) - year(array.get(y_time_array, 0)) + 1
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 13, row = row_y, text = str.tostring(array.get(y_pnl_array , i), "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(array.get(y_pnl_array , i)*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = array.get(y_pnl_array , i) > 0 ? color.green : array.get(y_pnl_array , i) < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_year_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
curr_row_y = array.size(month_time_array) == 0 ? 1 : (year(array.get(month_time_array, array.size(month_time_array) - 1))) - (year(array.get(month_time_array, 0))) + 1
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 13, row = curr_row_y, text = str.tostring(curr_y_pnl, "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(curr_y_pnl*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = curr_y_pnl > 0 ? color.green : curr_y_pnl < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_year_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
for i = 0 to (array.size(net_profit_array) == 0 ? na : array.size(net_profit_array) - 1)
monthly_profit := i > 0 ? ( array.get(net_profit_array, i) - array.get(net_profit_array, i - 1) ) : array.get(net_profit_array, i)
column_month_number := month(array.get(month_time_array, i))
row_month_time :=((year(array.get(month_time_array, i))) - year(array.get(month_time_array, 0)) ) + 1
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = column_month_number, row = row_month_time, text = str.tostring(monthly_profit, "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(monthly_profit*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = monthly_profit > 0 ? color.green : monthly_profit < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_month_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 0, row =row_month_time, text = str.tostring(year(array.get(month_time_array, i)), "##.##"), text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
curr_row_m = array.size(month_time_array) == 0 ? 1 : (year(array.get(month_time_array, array.size(month_time_array) - 1))) - (year(array.get(month_time_array, 0))) + 1
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = curr_m_number, row = curr_row_m, text = str.tostring(curr_m_pnl, "##.##") + '\n' + '(' + str.tostring(curr_m_pnl*100/initial_balance, "##.##") + ' %)', bgcolor = curr_m_pnl > 0 ? color.green : curr_m_pnl < 0 ? color.red : color.gray, text_color = tab_month_c, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
table.cell(table_id = testTable, column = 0, row =curr_row_m, text = str.tostring(year(time), "##.##"), text_color = text_head_color, text_size=table_text_size_mp)
//============================================================================================================================================================================