Stratégie de combinaison des moyennes mobiles de renversement de l'élan

Auteur:ChaoZhang est là., Date: 2023-11-24 10:23:36
Les étiquettes:

Résumé

Cette stratégie identifie les tendances en combinant plusieurs indicateurs de moyenne mobile. Plus précisément, cette stratégie utilise un ruban de moyenne mobile rapide et un ruban de moyenne mobile lente en même temps. Le ruban de moyenne mobile rapide se compose d'une EMA de 5 jours et d'une WMA de 25 jours, tandis que le ruban de moyenne mobile lente se compose d'une EMA de 28 jours et d'une WMA de 72 jours.

La logique de la stratégie

Utilisez des moyennes mobiles doubles pour déterminer la direction de la tendance
- La valeur de l'indice de volatilité est la valeur de l'indice de volatilité de l'indice.
- La valeur de l'indice de volatilité est la valeur de l'indice de volatilité de l'indice.
- Lorsque le MA rapide dépasse le MA lent, générer un signal d'achat
- Lorsque le MA rapide passe sous le MA lent, générer un signal de vente
Utiliser l'indicateur RSI pour aider à déterminer le moment des achats et des ventes
- RSI bas à acheter: Générer un signal d'achat lorsque le RSI <35
- RSI élevé à vendre: générer un signal de vente lorsque le RSI est supérieur à 65
Adopter des mécanismes de suivi des tendances, notamment le déplacement des stop loss et le déplacement des profits
- Stop-loss mobile: Suivre le prix le plus élevé/le plus bas pour éviter des pertes excessives
- Transfert de profit: Suivre le prix le plus élevé/le plus bas pour une prise de profit en temps opportun

Analyse des avantages

L'utilisation de doubles MA pour déterminer les tendances, les MA rapides et lents travaillant ensemble peuvent identifier efficacement les points tournants
L'assistance de l'indicateur RSI aide à éviter les signaux erronés des MAs
Le mécanisme de stop loss mobile contrôle efficacement les pertes des transactions individuelles perdantes
Le déplacement du mécanisme de prise de bénéfices bloque les bénéfices et empêche le retracement des bénéfices

Analyse des risques

Une probabilité relativement élevée d'échec de la détermination de la tendance par double MA peut générer de faux signaux.
Des paramètres RSI incorrects peuvent faire perdre des opportunités de négociation
L'importance excessive du stop loss peut entraîner des pertes inutiles.
Une prise de profit trop faible peut entraîner une réduction des bénéfices

Directions d'optimisation

Les paramètres des MAs rapides et lents peuvent être optimisés pour trouver des combinaisons optimales de paramètres
Les paramètres du RSI peuvent également être optimisés pour trouver de meilleures lignes surachetées/survendues
Test avec différentes magnitudes de stop loss pour trouver l'équilibre entre minimiser les pertes et éviter les faux signaux
Essayez des stratégies adaptatives de prise de profit pour permettre à la taille de la prise de profit de s'ajuster de lui-même en fonction de la volatilité du marché

Conclusion

Cette stratégie capture et suit les tendances en déterminant la direction de la tendance avec des MAs doubles, en jugeant le timing aidé par le RSI et des méthodes telles que le mouvement prendre profit et stop loss. Des améliorations supplémentaires peuvent être obtenues en optimisant les paramètres des MAs, du RSI et des limites de profit / perte.

/*backtest
start: 2023-11-16 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-23 00:00:00
period: 3m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
strategy(title="[WAI GUA]", shorttitle="[EOS] 1.0", overlay=false )

//study(title="[WAI GUA]", shorttitle="[EOS] 1.0", overlay=true)



//
// Use Alternate Anchor TF for MAs 
uRenko    = input(true, title="IS This a RENKO Chart")
//
anchor     = input(0,minval=0,maxval=1440,title="Alternate TimeFrame Multiplier (0=none)")
//
src          = close //input(close, title="EMA Source")
showRibbons  = input(false,title="Show Coloured MA Ribbons")
showAvgs     = input(false,title="Show Ribbon Median MA Lines")

//
// Fast Ribbon MAs
// Lower MA - type, length
typeF1    = input(defval="EMA", title="FAST MA Ribbon Type: ", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "VWMA", "SMMA", "DEMA", "TEMA", "LAGMA", "HullMA", "ZEMA", "TMA", "SSMA"])
lenF1     = input(defval=5, title="FAST Ribbon Lower MA Length", minval=1)
gammaF1   = 0.33 //input(defval=0.33,title="Fast MA - Gamma for LAGMA")

// Upper MA - type, length
typeF11   = typeF1 //input(defval="WMA", title="FAST Ribbon Upper MA Type: ", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "VWMA", "SMMA", "DEMA", "TEMA", "LAGMA", "HullMA", "ZEMA", "TMA", "SSMA"])
lenF11    = input(defval=25, title="FAST Ribbon Upper Length", minval=2)
gammaF11  = 0.77 //input(defval=0.77,title="Slow MA - Gamma for LAGMA")

// Slow Ribbon MAs
// Lower MA - type, length
typeS1   = input(defval="EMA", title="SLOW MA Ribbon Type: ", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "VWMA", "SMMA", "DEMA", "TEMA", "LAGMA", "HullMA", "ZEMA", "TMA", "SSMA"])
lenS1    = input(defval=28, title="SLOW Ribbon Lower MA Length", minval=1)
gammaS1  = 0.33 //input(defval=0.33,title="Fast MA - Gamma for LAGMA")

// Upper MA - type, length
typeS16   = typeS1 //input(defval="WMA", title="SLOW Ribbon Upper MA Type: ", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "VWMA", "SMMA", "DEMA", "TEMA", "LAGMA", "HullMA", "ZEMA", "TMA", "SSMA"])
lenS16    = input(defval=72, title="SLOW Ribbon Upper Length", minval=2)
gammaS16  = 0.77 //input(defval=0.77,title="Slow MA - Gamma for LAGMA")

// - Constants
gold = #FFD700

// - FUNCTIONS
// - variant(type, src, len, gamma)
// 返回MA输入选择变量，默认为SMA，如果空白或键入。

// SuperSmoother filter
variant_supersmoother(src,len) =>
    a1 = exp(-1.414*3.14159 / len)
    b1 = 2*a1*cos(1.414*3.14159 / len)
    c2 = b1
    c3 = (-a1)*a1
    c1 = 1 - c2 - c3
    v9 = 0.0
    v9 := c1*(src + nz(src[1])) / 2 + c2*nz(v9[1]) + c3*nz(v9[2])
    v9
    
variant_smoothed(src,len) =>
    v5 = 0.0
    v5 := na(v5[1]) ? sma(src, len) : (v5[1] * (len - 1) + src) / len
    v5

variant_zerolagema(src,len) =>
    ema1 = ema(src, len)
    ema2 = ema(ema1, len)
    v10 = ema1+(ema1-ema2)
    v10
    
variant_doubleema(src,len) =>
    v2 = ema(src, len)
    v6 = 2 * v2 - ema(v2, len)
    v6

variant_tripleema(src,len) =>
    v2 = ema(src, len)
    v7 = 3 * (v2 - ema(v2, len)) + ema(ema(v2, len), len)               // Triple Exponential
    v7
    
//calc Laguerre
variant_lag(p,g) =>
    L0 = 0.0
    L1 = 0.0
    L2 = 0.0
    L3 = 0.0
    L0 := (1 - g)*p+g*nz(L0[1])
    L1 := -g*L0+nz(L0[1])+g*nz(L1[1])
    L2 := -g*L1+nz(L1[1])+g*nz(L2[1])
    L3 := -g*L2+nz(L2[1])+g*nz(L3[1])
    f = (L0 + 2*L1 + 2*L2 + L3)/6
    f

// return variant, defaults to SMA 
variant(type, src, len, g) =>
    type=="EMA"     ? ema(src,len) : 
      type=="WMA"   ? wma(src,len): 
      type=="VWMA"  ? vwma(src,len) : 
      type=="SMMA"  ? variant_smoothed(src,len) : 
      type=="DEMA"  ? variant_doubleema(src,len): 
      type=="TEMA"  ? variant_tripleema(src,len): 
      type=="LAGMA" ? variant_lag(src,g) :
      type=="HullMA"? wma(2 * wma(src, len / 2) - wma(src, len), round(sqrt(len))) :
      type=="SSMA"  ? variant_supersmoother(src,len) : 
      type=="ZEMA"  ? variant_zerolagema(src,len) : 
      type=="TMA"   ? sma(sma(src,len),len) : 
                      sma(src,len)

// - /variant 

// If have anchor specified, calculate the base multiplier.
//mult  = isintraday ? anchor==0 or interval<=0 or interval>=anchor or anchor>1440? 1 : round(anchor/interval) : 1
//mult := isdwm?  1 : mult  // Only available Daily or less
mult = anchor>0 ? anchor : 1 

//
high_  = uRenko? max(close,open) : high
low_   = uRenko? min(close,open) : low


//用锚乘器调整MA长度

//Fast MA Ribbon
emaF1 = variant(typeF1, src, lenF1*mult, gammaF1)
emaF11 = variant(typeF11, src, lenF11*mult,gammaF11)
emafast = (emaF1+emaF11)/2 // Average of Upper and Lower MAs
//
//Slow MA Ribbon
emaS1 = variant(typeS1,src, lenS1*mult,gammaS1)
emaS16 = variant(typeS16, src, lenS16*mult, gammaS16)
emaslow = (emaS1+emaS16)/2 // Average of Upper and Lower MAs
//
// Count crossover candles
xup = 0
xdn = 0
fup = 0
fdn = 0
sup = 0
sdn = 0
// 
xup := (emafast-emaslow)>0 and (emafast-emaslow)>(emafast[1]-emaslow[1]) ? nz(xup[1])+1 : 0
xdn := (emafast-emaslow)<0 and (emafast-emaslow)<(emafast[1]-emaslow[1]) ? nz(xdn[1])+1 : 0
fup := (emaF1-emaF11)>0 and (emaF1-emaF11)>(emaF1[1]-emaF11[1]) ? nz(fup[1])+1 : 0
fdn := (emaF1-emaF11)<0 and (emaF1-emaF11)<(emaF1[1]-emaF11[1]) ? nz(fdn[1])+1 : 0
sup := (emaS1-emaS16)>0 and (emaS1-emaS16)>(emaS1[1]-emaS16[1]) ? nz(sup[1])+1 : 0
sdn := (emaS1-emaS16)<0 and (emaS1-emaS16)<(emaS1[1]-emaS16[1]) ? nz(sdn[1])+1 : 0

//Fast EMA Final Color Rules
colFinal = fup>=2 ? aqua : fdn>=2 ? blue : gray
//Slow EMA Final Color Rules
colFinal2 = sup>=2 ? lime : sdn>=2 ? red : gray

//Fast EMA Plots
p1=plot(showRibbons?emaF1:na, title="Fast Ribbon Lower MA", style=line, linewidth=1, color=colFinal,transp=10)
p2=plot(showRibbons?emaF11:na, title="Fast Ribbon Upper MA", style=line, linewidth=1, color=colFinal,transp=10)
plot(showAvgs?emafast:na, title="Fast Ribbon Avg MA", style=circles,join=true, linewidth=1, color=gold,transp=10)

//
//fill(p1,p2,color=colFinal, transp=90)

//Slow EMA Plots
p3=plot(showRibbons?emaS1:na, title="Slow Ribbon Lower MA", style=line, linewidth=1, color=colFinal2,transp=10)
p4=plot(showRibbons?emaS16:na, title="Slow Ribbon Upper MA", style=line, linewidth=1, color=colFinal2,transp=10)
plot(showAvgs?emaslow:na, title="Slow Ribbon Avg MA", style=circles,join=true, linewidth=1, color=fuchsia,transp=10)
//
//fill(p3,p4, color=colFinal2, transp=90)

// Generate Buy Sell signals, 
buy = 0
sell=0
//
buy  := xup>=2 and sup>=2 and fup>=2 ? nz(buy[1])>0?buy[1]+1  :1 : 0
sell := xdn>=2 and sdn>=2 and fdn>=2 ? nz(sell[1])>0?sell[1]+1 :1 : 0

////////////////////////
//* 反测试周期选择器 *//
////////////////////////

testStartYear = input(2018, "Backtest Start Year",minval=1980)
testStartMonth = input(1, "Backtest Start Month",minval=1,maxval=12)
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day",minval=1,maxval=31)
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear,testStartMonth,testStartDay,0,0)

testStopYear = 9999 //input(9999, "Backtest Stop Year",minval=1980)
testStopMonth = 12 // input(12, "Backtest Stop Month",minval=1,maxval=12)
testStopDay = 31 //input(31, "Backtest Stop Day",minval=1,maxval=31)
testPeriodStop = timestamp(testStopYear,testStopMonth,testStopDay,0,0)

testPeriod() => time >= testPeriodStart and time <= testPeriodStop ? true : false


///////////////
//* RSI策略 *//
///////////////

//指示器 1
lowerpc = lowest(low, 21)
upperpc = highest(high, 21)
midpc = avg(upperpc, lowerpc)

//指示器 2
ma = sma(close, 50)
petd = ema(close,13)
rangema = ema(tr, 50)
upperkc = ma + rangema * 0.25
lowerkc = ma - rangema * 0.25

//指示器 3
up = rma(max(change(close), 0), 5)
down = rma(-min(change(close), 0), 5)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))

// PET-D
petdcolor = close > petd ? green : red
barcolor (petdcolor)


//Slope
SlopeL = midpc > midpc[5]
SlopeS = midpc < midpc[5]

//条件
CL = SlopeL == 1 and close > lowerkc and close < midpc and rsi < 35 
CS = SlopeS == 1 and close < upperkc and close > midpc and rsi > 65 

//Setup
RsiSL = CL == 1 and CL[1] != 1
RsiSS = CS == 1 and CS[1] != 1

/////////////////////
//* RSA抛物线指标 *//
/////////////////////
start = input(0.02)
increment = input(0.02)
maximum = input(0.2)

psar = sar(start, increment, maximum)

RSALE = false
RSASE = false
if (psar > high)
    RSALE = true
else
    RSALE = false

if (psar < low)
    RSASE = true
else
    RSASE = false


////////////////
//* 策略组件 *//
////////////////

AQUA = #00FFFFFF
BLUE = #0000FFFF
RED  = #FF0000FF
LIME = #00FF00FF
GRAY = #808080FF
DARKRED   = #8B0000FF
DARKGREEN = #006400FF
//
fastExit  = input(false,title="Use Opposite Trade as a Close Signal")
clrBars   = input(true,title="Colour Candles to Trade Order state")
orderType = input("Longs+Shorts",title="What type of Orders", options=["Longs+Shorts","LongsOnly","ShortsOnly","Flip"])
//
isLong   = (orderType != "ShortsOnly")
isShort  = (orderType != "LongsOnly")

//////////////////////////
//* 贸易状态引擎 *//
//////////////////////////

// 追踪当前贸易状态
longClose = false, longClose := nz(longClose[1],false)
shortClose = false, shortClose := nz(shortClose[1],false)
tradeState = 0, tradeState := nz(tradeState[1])
tradeState := tradeState==0 ?   buy==1 and (barstate.isconfirmed or barstate.ishistory) and isLong and not longClose and not shortClose? 1 :
                               sell==1  and (barstate.isconfirmed or barstate.ishistory) and isShort and not longClose and not shortClose? -1 : 
                          tradeState : tradeState
                          
////////////////////////////////////
//* 在这里设置入口和特殊出口条件 *//
////////////////////////////////////

//进入状态，当状态改变方向时。
longCondition  = false
shortCondition = false
//longCondition  := longCondition != true ? change(tradeState) and tradeState==1 : true
//shortCondition := shortCondition != true ? change(tradeState) and tradeState==-1 : true
longCondition  := change(tradeState) and tradeState==1
shortCondition := change(tradeState) and tradeState==-1
if orderType=="Flip"
    temp = longCondition
    longCondition  := shortCondition
    shortCondition := temp
//end if

// 卖出信号退出
longExitC  =  (emafast[1]<emaslow[1] and open<emaslow[1]) ? 1 : 0
shortExitC = (emafast[1]>emaslow[1] and open>emaslow[1]) ? 1 : 0

// change退出条件。
longExit = change(longExitC) and longExitC==1 and tradeState==1
shortExit = change(shortExitC) and shortExitC==1 and tradeState==-1

// -- debugs
//plotchar(tradeState,"tradeState at Event",location=location.bottom, color=#FF0000FF)
//plotchar(longCondition, title="longCondition",color=#FF0000FF)
//plotchar(shortCondition, title="shortCondition",color=#FF0000FF)
//plotchar(tradeState, title="tradeState",color=#006400FF)
// -- /debugs

////////////////////////////////
//======[ 交易入门价格 ]======//
////////////////////////////////

last_open_longCondition = na
last_open_shortCondition = na
last_open_longCondition := longCondition ? close : nz(last_open_longCondition[1])
last_open_shortCondition := shortCondition ? close : nz(last_open_shortCondition[1])

////////////////////////////
//======[ 位置状态 ]======//
////////////////////////////

in_longCondition  = tradeState == 1 
in_shortCondition = tradeState == -1

////////////////////////
//======[ 尾停 ]======//
////////////////////////

isTS = input(true, "Trailing Stop")
ts = input(3.0, "Trailing Stop (%)", minval=0,step=0.1, type=float) /100

last_high = na
last_low = na
last_high_short = na
last_low_long = na
last_high := not in_longCondition ? na : in_longCondition and (na(last_high[1]) or high_ > nz(last_high[1])) ? high_ : nz(last_high[1])
last_high_short := not in_shortCondition ? na : in_shortCondition and (na(last_high[1]) or high_ > nz(last_high[1])) ? high_ : nz(last_high[1])
last_low := not in_shortCondition ? na : in_shortCondition and (na(last_low[1]) or low_ < nz(last_low[1])) ? low_ : nz(last_low[1])
last_low_long := not in_longCondition ? na : in_longCondition and (na(last_low[1]) or low_ < nz(last_low[1])) ? low_ : nz(last_low[1])

long_ts =  isTS and in_longCondition and not na(last_high) and (low_ <= last_high - last_high * ts) //and (last_high >= last_open_longCondition + last_open_longCondition * tsi)
short_ts = isTS and in_shortCondition and not na(last_low) and (high_ >= last_low + last_low * ts) //and (last_low <= last_open_shortCondition - last_open_shortCondition * tsi)


////////////////////////
//======[ 获利 ]======//
////////////////////////

isTP = input(true, "Take Profit")
tp = input(3.0, "Take Profit (%)",minval=0,step=0.1,type=float) / 100
ttp = input(1.0, "Trailing Profit (%)",minval=0,step=0.1,type=float) / 100
ttp := ttp>tp ? tp : ttp

long_tp =  isTP and in_longCondition  and (last_high >= last_open_longCondition + last_open_longCondition * tp)   and (low_ <= last_high - last_high * ttp)
short_tp = isTP and in_shortCondition and (last_low <= last_open_shortCondition - last_open_shortCondition * tp) and (high_ >= last_low + last_low * ttp)

////////////////////////////
//======[ 停止损耗 ]======//
////////////////////////////

isSL = input(false, "Stop Loss")
sl = input(3.0, "Stop Loss (%)", minval=0,step=0.1, type=float) / 100
long_sl =  isSL and in_longCondition and (low_ <= last_open_longCondition - last_open_longCondition * sl)
short_sl = isSL and in_shortCondition and (high_ >= last_open_shortCondition + last_open_shortCondition * sl)

////////////////////////
//======[ 对峙 ]======//
////////////////////////

//注：短出口信号不重漆，无需用力，如果锥体继续进行。
long_sos = (fastExit or (not isTS and not isSL)) and longExit and in_longCondition
short_sos = (fastExit or (not isTS and not isSL)) and shortExit and in_shortCondition 

////////////////////////////
//======[ 关闭信号 ]======//
////////////////////////////

// 为所有不同的关闭条件创建一个单独的关闭，这里的所有条件都不重漆。
longClose :=  isLong and (long_tp or long_sl or long_ts or long_sos) and not longCondition
shortClose := isShort and (short_tp or short_sl or short_ts or short_sos) and not shortCondition
////////////////////////////
//======[ 情节色彩 ]======//
////////////////////////////

longCloseCol = na
shortCloseCol = na
longCloseCol := long_tp ? green : long_sl ? maroon : long_ts ? purple : long_sos ? orange :longCloseCol[1]
shortCloseCol := short_tp ? green : short_sl ? maroon : short_ts ? purple : short_sos ? orange : shortCloseCol[1]
//
tpColor = isTP and in_longCondition ? lime : isTP and in_shortCondition ? lime : na
slColor = isSL and in_longCondition ? red : isSL and in_shortCondition ? red : na


//////////////////////////////////
//======[ 策略图 ]======//
//////////////////////////////////

plot(isTS and in_longCondition?
     last_high - last_high * ts : na, "Long Trailing", fuchsia, style=2, linewidth=2,offset=1)
plot(isTP and in_longCondition and last_high < last_open_longCondition + last_open_longCondition * tp ? 
     last_open_longCondition + last_open_longCondition * tp : na, "Long TP Active", tpColor, style=3,join=false, linewidth=2,offset=1)
plot(isTP and in_longCondition and last_high >= last_open_longCondition +  last_open_longCondition * tp ? 
     last_high - last_high * ttp : na, "Long Trailing", black, style=2, linewidth=2,offset=1)
plot(isSL and in_longCondition and last_low_long > last_open_longCondition - last_open_longCondition * sl ? 
     last_open_longCondition - last_open_longCondition * sl : na, "Long SL", slColor, style=3,join=false, linewidth=2,offset=1)

plot(isTS and in_shortCondition?
     last_low + last_low * ts : na, "Short Trailing", fuchsia, style=2, linewidth=2,offset=1)
plot(isTP and in_shortCondition and last_low > last_open_shortCondition - last_open_shortCondition * tp ? 
     last_open_shortCondition - last_open_shortCondition * tp : na, "Short TP Active", tpColor, style=3,join=false, linewidth=2,offset=1)
plot(isTP and in_shortCondition and last_low <= last_open_shortCondition -  last_open_shortCondition * tp ? 
     last_low + last_low * ttp : na, "Short Trailing", black, style=2, linewidth=2,offset=1)
plot(isSL and in_shortCondition and last_high_short < last_open_shortCondition + last_open_shortCondition * sl ? 
     last_open_shortCondition + last_open_shortCondition * sl : na, "Short SL", slColor, style=3,join=false, linewidth=2,offset=1)

bclr = not clrBars ? na : tradeState==0 ? GRAY : 
                          in_longCondition ? close<last_open_longCondition? DARKGREEN : LIME :
                          in_shortCondition ? close>last_open_shortCondition? DARKRED : RED : GRAY
barcolor(bclr,title="Trade State Bar Colouring")


//////////////////////////////////
//======[ 战略进入与退出 ]======//
//////////////////////////////////

if testPeriod() and isLong
    strategy.entry("Long", 1, when=longCondition)
    strategy.close("Long", when=longClose )

if testPeriod() and isShort
    strategy.entry("Short", 0,  when=shortCondition)
    strategy.close("Short", when=shortClose )
    
// --- Debugs
//plotchar(longExit,title="longExit",location=location.bottom,color=na)
//plotchar(longCondition,title="longCondition",location=location.bottom,color=na)
//plotchar(in_longCondition,title="in_longCondition",location=location.bottom,color=na)
//plotchar(longClose,title="longClose",location=location.bottom,color=na,color=na)
//plotchar(buy,title="buy",location=location.bottom,color=na)
// --- /Debugs
//开单时改变背景
bgcolor( in_longCondition ? lime : na, transp=90)
bgcolor( in_shortCondition ? red : na, transp=90)

////////////////////////////
//======[ 重置变量 ]======//
////////////////////////////


if longClose or not in_longCondition
    last_high := na
    last_high_short := na
    
if shortClose or not in_shortCondition
    last_low := na
    last_low_long := na
    
if longClose or shortClose
    tradeState := 0
    in_longCondition := false
    in_shortCondition := false

    
//plotchar(tradeState,"tradeState at EOF",location=location.bottom, color=na)
// EOF

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