Triple SuperTrend Strategi Perdagangan Kuantitatif

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-12-01 16:43:02
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Gambaran umum

Strategi perdagangan kuantitatif Triple SuperTrend menggabungkan tiga indikator SuperTrend untuk perdagangan jangka pendek seperti perdagangan intraday dan scalping.

Logika Perdagangan

  • Gunakan rata-rata bergerak 200 hari untuk menentukan arah tren pasar secara keseluruhan.
  • Gunakan indikator SuperTrend triple untuk menentukan arah tren pasar minor. SuperTrend akurat dalam menilai tren bullish dan bearish.
  • Membangun sinyal masuk menggunakan indikator Stoch RSI overbought dan oversold dengan Bollinger Bands.
  • Tentukan rasio risiko-manfaat sebesar 1,5 berdasarkan stop loss dan take profit SuperTrend.

Keuntungan

  • Verifikasi beberapa tren meningkatkan keakuratan keputusan.
  • Indikator oversold dan overbought mengidentifikasi peluang pembalikan.
  • Hentikan kerugian dan ambil keuntungan kontrol risiko dan imbalan proporsi.
  • Cocok untuk perdagangan jangka pendek frekuensi tinggi dengan potensi keuntungan yang tinggi.

Risiko

  • Kerugian yang lebih besar ketika tren utama tidak menguntungkan untuk perdagangan jangka pendek.
  • Kemungkinan pembalikan yang gagal masih ada yang mengarah pada keputusan yang salah.
  • Membutuhkan pemantauan konstan, tidak cocok untuk perdagangan di luar pasar.

Peningkatan

  • Mengoptimalkan parameter rata-rata bergerak untuk beradaptasi dengan periode yang lebih lama.
  • Mengoptimalkan parameter Stoch RSI untuk mengurangi sinyal palsu.
  • Mengoptimalkan periode SuperTrend ATR untuk meningkatkan berhenti.
  • Tambahkan ukuran posisi untuk meningkatkan ukuran pada penarikan.

Ringkasan

Strategi SuperTrend tiga kali lipat meningkatkan akurasi keputusan melalui verifikasi tren ganda dan mengontrol rasio risiko / imbalan menggunakan stop dan limit. Ini cocok untuk perdagangan jangka pendek frekuensi tinggi. Optimasi parameter dapat menyesuaikan dengan periode yang lebih lama, mengurangi sinyal palsu, dan meningkatkan stop. Menambahkan ukuran posisi memungkinkan menambahkan ukuran selama pullback untuk memaksimalkan keuntungan.


/*backtest
start: 2022-11-24 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-30 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
strategy("3x SuperTrend Strategy (Mel0nTek) V1", calc_on_every_tick=true, overlay=true)

// ***************************************************
//  A Mel0nTek Project
//  Author: mel0n
//  Revision: 1.0 - Initial Release
// ***************************************************

// ***************************************************
//              Strategy & Rules
// ***************************************************
// === Sources ===
// Strategy Idea:
// Trade Pro - HIGHEST PROFIT Triple Supertrend Trading Strategy Proven 100 Trade Results
// https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HpNZ2VpZzSE
//
// Combining SuperTrend with StochRSI is not a new idea by any means.
// However the method/criteria used in his video to apply them caught my interest.
// So I decided to code it up for myself to do some backtesting.
// The default values are the ones he uses in his video, however I found some tuning beneficial. YMMV
// Trade Pro makes some great content, the video is a good watch to get a better understanding of this strategy.
//
// Improved SuperTrend Calculation Method:
// SuperTrend by KivancOzbilgic

// === Indicators ===
// EMA 
// @ 200
// Stoch RSI (default)
// @ 3, 3, 14, 14, close
// Supertrend slow
// @ 12, hl2, 3, change = true
// Supertrend med
// @ 11, hl2, 2, change = true
// Supertrend fast
// @ 10, hl2, 1, change = true

// === Rules ===
// long only 
// - price above EMA200
// short only 
// - price below EMA200
// Stop Loss = 2nd SuperTrend line above (short) or below(long) entry candle
// Profit = 1.5x SL/risk (Profit Ratio x Max Loss)

// === Entries ===
// LONG
// - long entry (Typical): 
// - Stoch RSI below 20, cross up
// - 2nd SuperTrend line below close

// SHORT
// - short entry (Typical): 
// - Stoch RSI above 80, cross down
// - 2nd SuperTrend line above close


// ***************************************************
// Backtest Parameters
// ***************************************************
testStartYear = input(2020, "Backtest Start Year")
testStartMonth = input(1, "Backtest Start Month")
testStartDay = input(1, "Backtest Start Day")
testPeriodStart = timestamp(testStartYear, testStartMonth, testStartDay, 0, 0)
timeCondition = time >= testPeriodStart
direction = input(0, title = "Strategy Direction", type=input.integer, minval=-1, maxval=1)
strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(direction == 0 ? strategy.direction.all : (direction < 0 ? strategy.direction.short : strategy.direction.long))

// ***************************************************
// Inputs
// ***************************************************
// P/L Ratio
plInput = input(1.5, title="P/L Ratio", step=0.1, minval=0.1)
// EMA
EMAInputlength = input(200, "EMA Length",step=100, minval=1)
// Stoch RSI
srsiInputSmoothK = input(3, "K", minval=1)
srsiInputSmoothD = input(3, "D", minval=1)
srsiInputLengthRSI = input(14, "Stoch RSI Length", minval=1)
srsiInputLengthStoch = input(14, "Stochastic Length", minval=1)
srsiInputSrc = input(close, title="Stoch RSI Source")
srsiInputThresh = input(20, title="Stoch RSI Entry Thresh", minval=1)
// SuperTrends
stInputSrc = input(hl2, title="SuperTrend Source")
stSlowInputLength = input(12, "Slow SuperTrend Length", minval=1)
stSlowInputMult = input(3, "Slow SuperTrend Multiplier", minval=1)
stMedInputLength = input(11, "Med SuperTrend Length", minval=1)
stMedInputMult = input(2, "Med SuperTrend Multiplier", minval=1)
stFastInputLength = input(10, "Fast SuperTrend Length", minval=1)
stFastInputMult = input(1, "Fast SuperTrend Multiplier", minval=1)
stInputchangeATR= input(title="Alternate SuperTrend ATR Calculation?", type=input.bool, defval=true)
// Toggles
showPLTargets = input(true, title="Show Open Profit/Loss Targets?")
showBuySell = input(true, title="Show Buy/Sell Indicators?")


// ***************************************************
// Indicator Functions
// ***************************************************
// SuperTrend Function
superTrend(period, src, mult, chgATR) =>
    stATRSmooth = sma(tr, period)                       // tr = true range
    stATR = chgATR ? atr(period) : stATRSmooth          // select ATR to use
    stUP = src - (mult * stATR)                         // up value
    stUP1 = nz(stUP[1], stUP)                           // prev candle value if not 0
    stUP := close[1] > stUP1 ? max(stUP,stUP1) : stUP   // select the larger up value if close is higher than previous up value
    stDN = src  + (mult * stATR)
    stDN1 = nz(stDN[1], stDN)
    stDN := close[1] < stDN1 ? min(stDN, stDN1) : stDN
    stTrend = 1
    stTrend := nz(stTrend[1], stTrend)
    stTrend := stTrend == -1 and close > stDN1 ? 1 : stTrend == 1 and close < stUP1 ? -1 : stTrend
    stBuySignal = stTrend == 1 and stTrend[1] == -1
    stSellSignal = stTrend == -1 and stTrend[1] == 1
    stChangeCond = stTrend != stTrend[1]
    [stUP, stDN, stTrend, stBuySignal, stSellSignal, stChangeCond]

// Stochastic RSI Function
stochRSI(smoothK, smoothD, lengthRSI, lengthStoch, src) =>
    rsiVal = rsi(src, lengthRSI)
    k = sma(stoch(rsiVal, rsiVal, rsiVal, lengthStoch), smoothK)
    d = sma(k, smoothD)
    [k, d]

// ***************************************************
// Data Calculation
// ***************************************************
// SuperTrend Slow
[stSlowUP, stSlowDN, stSlowTrend, stSlowBuy, stSlowSell, stSlowChanged] = superTrend(stSlowInputLength, stInputSrc, stSlowInputMult, stInputchangeATR)

// SuperTrend Medium
[stMedUP, stMedDN, stMedTrend, stMedBuy, stMedSell, stMedChanged] = superTrend(stMedInputLength, stInputSrc, stMedInputMult, stInputchangeATR)

// SuperTrend Fast
[stFastUP, stFastDN, stFastTrend, stFastBuy, stFastSell, stFastChanged] = superTrend(stFastInputLength, stInputSrc, stFastInputMult, stInputchangeATR)

// Stoch RSI
[srsiK, srsiD] = stochRSI(srsiInputSmoothK,srsiInputSmoothD,srsiInputLengthRSI,srsiInputLengthStoch,srsiInputSrc)

// EMA
emaVal = ema(close,EMAInputlength)

// ***************************************************
// Indicator Plots
// ***************************************************
// EMA
plot(emaVal, "K", color=#0094FF)

// SuperTrend Slow
plot(stSlowTrend == 1 ? stSlowUP : na, title="Slow Up Trend", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.green)
plotshape(stSlowBuy ? stSlowUP : na, title="Slow UpTrend Begins", location=location.absolute, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, transp=0)
plot(stSlowTrend == 1 ? na : stSlowDN, title="Slow Down Trend", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.red)
plotshape(stSlowSell ? stSlowDN : na, title="Slow DownTrend Begins", location=location.absolute, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, transp=0)

// SuperTrend Medium
plot(stMedTrend == 1 ? stMedUP : na, title="Med Up Trend", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.green)
plotshape(stMedBuy ? stMedUP : na, title="Med UpTrend Begins", location=location.absolute, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, transp=0)
plot(stMedTrend == 1 ? na : stMedDN, title="Med Down Trend", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.red)
plotshape(stMedSell ? stMedDN : na, title="Med DownTrend Begins", location=location.absolute, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, transp=0)

// SuperTrend Fast
plot(stFastTrend == 1 ? stFastUP : na, title="Fast Up Trend", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.green)
plotshape(stFastBuy ? stFastUP : na, title="Fast UpTrend Begins", location=location.absolute, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, transp=0)
plot(stFastTrend == 1 ? na : stFastDN, title="Fast Down Trend", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.red)
plotshape(stFastSell ? stFastDN : na, title="Fast DownTrend Begins", location=location.absolute, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, transp=0)

// Stoch RSI
// plot(srsiK, "K", color=#0094FF)
// plot(srsiD, "D", color=#FF6A00)
// h0 = hline(80, "Upper Band", color=#606060)
// h1 = hline(20, "Lower Band", color=#606060)
// fill(h0, h1, color=#9915FF, transp=80, title="Background")

// ***************************************************
// Conditional Logic
// ***************************************************
// common vars
float longStop = na
float longProfit = na
float shortStop = na
float shortProfit = na

// check EMA to determine long/short side trading
emaTrend = emaVal < close ? 1 : -1

// count how many supertrends are above/below
stCount = 0
stCount := stFastTrend + stMedTrend + stSlowTrend

// LONG
// - long entry (Typical): 
// - Stoch RSI below 20, cross up
// - 2 ST's below close
stochLongCond = srsiK < srsiInputThresh and crossover(srsiK, srsiD)
stLongCond = stCount >= 1
longCondition = emaTrend > 0 and stochLongCond and stLongCond

tempStopLong = longCondition ? stCount == 3 ? stMedUP : stSlowUP : longStop
longStopDelta = abs(close - tempStopLong)
tempProfitLong = longCondition ? close + (plInput * longStopDelta) : longProfit

longStop := strategy.position_size <= 0 ? longCondition ? tempStopLong : na : longStop[1]
longProfit := strategy.position_size <= 0 ? longCondition ? tempProfitLong : na : longProfit[1]

// SHORT
// - short entry (Typical): 
// - Stoch RSI above 80, cross down
// - 2 ST's above close
stochShortCond = srsiK > 100 - srsiInputThresh and crossunder(srsiK, srsiD)
stShortCond = stCount <= -1
shortCondition = emaTrend < 0 and stochShortCond and stShortCond

tempStopShort = shortCondition ? stCount == -3 ? stMedDN : stSlowDN : shortStop
shortStopDelta = abs(close - tempStopShort)
tempProfitShort = shortCondition ? close - (plInput * shortStopDelta) : shortProfit

shortStop := strategy.position_size >= 0 ? shortCondition ? tempStopShort : na : shortStop[1]
shortProfit := strategy.position_size >= 0 ? shortCondition ? tempProfitShort : na : shortProfit[1]

// ***************************************************
// Strategy Execution
// ***************************************************
strategy.exit("TP/SL", "LongPos", stop=longStop, limit=longProfit) 
strategy.exit("TP/SL", "ShortPos", stop=shortStop, limit=shortProfit) 

if (longCondition)
	strategy.entry("LongPos", strategy.long, stop=longStop, oca_name="3xST", comment="Long")
else
	strategy.cancel(id="LongPos")
if (shortCondition)
	strategy.entry("ShortPos", strategy.short, stop=shortStop, oca_name="3xST", comment="Short")
else
	strategy.cancel(id="ShortPos")

// ***************************************************
// Strategy Plotting
// ***************************************************
// profit/loss target lines
plot(showPLTargets ? strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : longStop : na, title="Long Stop Loss", color=color.new(#ff0000, 0), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)
plot(showPLTargets ? strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : longProfit : na, title="Long Profit Target", color=color.new(#00ff00, 0), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)
plot(showPLTargets ? strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : shortStop : na, title="Short Stop Loss", color=color.new(#ff0000, 0), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)
plot(showPLTargets ? strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : shortProfit : na, title="Short Profit Target", color=color.new(#00ff00, 0), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2)
// buy/sell arrows
plotshape(showBuySell and longCondition ? true : na, title='Buy Arrow',  location=location.belowbar, color=color.green,   style=shape.arrowup,   text="BUY",  textcolor=color.green, transp=0, size=size.small)
plotshape(showBuySell and shortCondition ? true : na, title='Sell Arrow', location=location.abovebar, color=color.red,     style=shape.arrowdown, text="SELL", textcolor=color.red,   transp=0, size=size.small)

// ***************************************************
// Alerts (for use in a study)
// ***************************************************
alertcondition(longCondition, title="3xST Buy alert", message="Buy")
alertcondition(shortCondition, title="3xST SELL alert", message="Sell")
alertcondition(stSlowChanged, title="3xST Slow Trend alert", message="Slow Trend Changed")

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