2つの移動平均のクロスオーバー取引戦略

作者: リン・ハーンチャオチャン, 日付: 2023-11-21 12:26:53
タグ:

img

概要

この戦略は,デュアル・シンプル・ムービング・平均値 (SMA) のクロスオーバー信号に基づいてエントリーと出口を決定する.特に,短期SMAは14の期間があり,長期SMAは28の期間を有する.短期SMAが長期SMAを横切ったときに長い信号が起動する.逆に,短期SMAが長期SMAを下回ったときに短い信号が起動する.

戦略の論理

  1. インプット

    • インディケーター設定: 速いSMAと遅いSMAの期間を定義する
    • 利益とストップ・ロスの割合を設定する
    • 資金管理: 初期資本,手数料など
  2. 変数

    中間変数は,取利益価格,ストップ損失価格,ポジションサイズ等の値を保存するために定義されます.これは繰り返しの計算を避けます.

  3. シグナル生成

    SMAクロスオーバーは,長信号と短信号を決定するために使用されます.

  4. 入国規則

    入力シグナルが発信されると,戦略論理に基づいて新しいオーダーを出す前に,反対方向の既存のポジションは最初に平坦化されます.

  5. 退去規則

    ポジションの出口には 利益とストップ・ロスのルールが設定されています

  6. 資金管理

    ポジションのサイジングは,取引ごとにリスクを管理するために使用されます.

利点

  1. シンプルな論理,分かりやすい
  2. 制御可能な引き上げ
  3. 最適化可能なパラメータ

リスク と 軽減

  1. SMAクロスオーバー信号の遅延

    短めのSMA期間を考慮するか,追加の指標で補完するか

  2. リスクの拡大

    ストップ・ロスの割合を拡大するか,トレーリング・ストップを使用するか

  3. 劣悪なパラメータは損失を増幅する可能性があります

    厳格なバックテストとパラメータの最適化

増進 の 機会

  1. 追加指標で補完する

    例えば,MACD,KDなど,信号遅延を減らすために

  2. SMA 期間を最適化する

    短時間および長時間のSMAの組み合わせをテストする

  3. 利潤/ストップ損失戦略を試す

    固定ドル値,遅延ストップなど

結論

戦略は明確でシンプルな論理があり,バックテストの結果を約束し,操作が簡単で,初心者向けに適しています.戦略をより堅牢にするために,追加の指標,マネーマネジメント技術などにより改善の余地があります.


/*backtest
start: 2023-10-21 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-20 00:00:00
period: 4h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © BigJasTrades https://linktr.ee/bigjastrades 

// READ THIS BEFORE USE:
// This code is provided as an example strategy for educational purposes only.  It comes with NO warranty or claims of performance.
// It should be used as a basis for your own learning and development and to create your own strategies.
// It is NOT provided to enable you to profitably trade. 
// If you use this code or any part of it you agree that you have thoroughly tested it and determined that it is suitable for your own purposes prior to use.
// If you use this code or any part of it you agree that you accept all risk and you are responsibile for the results.

//@version=5
strategy(title = "Strategy Template", shorttitle = "ST v1.0", overlay = true, pyramiding = 1, initial_capital = 1000, commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, commission_value = 0.1, max_labels_count = 500)

//INPUTS
//indicator values
shortSMAlength              = input.int(defval = 14, title = "Short SMA Length", tooltip = "Set the length of the short simple moving average here.", minval = 1, step = 1, group = "Indicator Settings")
longSMAlength               = input.int(defval = 28, title = "Long SMA Length", tooltip = "Set the length of the long simple moving average here.", minval = 1, step = 1, group = "Indicator Settings")
//compounding
compoundingSelected         = input.bool(defval = true, title = "Compounding", tooltip = "Select this option if you want to compound your net profits.", group = "Compounding")
//take profit and stop loss
takeProfitSelected          = input.bool(defval = true, title = "Use Take Profit", tooltip = "Select this to enable take profits.", group = "Take Profit and Stop Loss")
takeProfitPercent           = input.float(defval = 1.0, title = "Take Profit %", tooltip = "Set the value of take profits here.", minval = 0.1, step = 0.1, group = "Take Profit and Stop Loss")
stopLossSelected            = input.bool(defval = true, title = "Use Stop Loss", tooltip = "Select this to enable stop losses.", group = "Take Profit and Stop Loss")
stopLossPercent             = input.float(defval = 1.0, title = "Take Profit %", tooltip = "Set the value of stop losses here.", minval = 0.1, step = 0.1, group = "Take Profit and Stop Loss")
//trading window
startDate                   = input(defval = timestamp("1 Jan 2023 00:00:00"), title = "Start Date", tooltip = "Use this to set the date and time when Viva will start placing trades.  Set this to a time just after the last candle when activating auto trading.", group = "TRADING WINDOW")
endDate                     = input(defval = timestamp("1 Jan 2030 00:00:00"), title = "End Date", tooltip = "Use this to set the date and time when Viva will stop placing trades.", group = "TRADING WINDOW")

//VARIABLES
var float tradingCapital    = na //trading capital is used to calculate position size based on the intitial capital and, if compounding is selected, also the net profit
var float positionSize      = na //position size is used to set the quantity of the asset you want to buy.  It is based on the initial capital and the net profit if compounding is selected.
var float takeProfitPrice   = na //this is used for take profit targets if selected
var float stopLossPrice     = na //this is used for stop loss if selected

inTradeWindow               = true
strategy.initial_capital = 50000
//COMPOUNDING
if compoundingSelected // set the tradingCapital available to the strategy based on wither Compounding has been selected or not.  This will be used to determine the position size.
    tradingCapital := strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit
else
    tradingCapital := strategy.initial_capital

//ENTRY CONDITIONS
//replace these with your own conditions
longCondition = ta.crossover(source1 = ta.sma(source = close, length = shortSMAlength), source2 =  ta.sma(source = close, length =longSMAlength))
shortCondition = ta.crossunder(source1 = ta.sma(source = close, length = shortSMAlength), source2 = ta.sma(source = close, length = longSMAlength))

//EXIT CONDITIONS
//Exit conditions are based on stop loss, take profit and the opposite entry condition being present.  Stop Loss and Take Profit are contained in the strategy.exit code below and are based on the value assigned in the Inputs.


//ENTRY ORDERS
//Enter Long
if longCondition and inTradeWindow
    //close any prior short positions
    if strategy.position_size < 0 //if in a short position
        strategy.close_all(comment = "Buy to Close")
    //set position size
    positionSize := tradingCapital / close
    //enter long position
    strategy.entry(id = "Buy to Open", direction =  strategy.long, qty = positionSize)

//Enter Short
if shortCondition and inTradeWindow
    //close any prior long positions
    if strategy.position_size > 0 //if in a long position
        strategy.close_all(comment = "Sell to Close")
    //set position size
    positionSize := tradingCapital / close
    //enter short position
    strategy.entry(id = "Sell to Open", direction =  strategy.short, qty = positionSize)

//IN-ORDER MANAGEMENT
//placeholder - none used in this template


//EXIT ORDERS
//Stop Loss and Take Profit for Long Positions
if strategy.opentrades > 0 and strategy.position_size > 0 and (takeProfitSelected or stopLossSelected)   //if there is an open position and it is a long position and either a take profit or sto ploss is selected.
    if takeProfitSelected
        takeProfitPrice := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + (takeProfitPercent / 100))
    else
        takeProfitPrice := na
    if stopLossSelected
        stopLossPrice := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - (stopLossPercent / 100))
    else
        stopLossPrice := na
    strategy.exit(id = "Exit", from_entry = "Buy to Open", qty_percent = 100, profit = takeProfitPrice, loss = stopLossPrice, comment_profit = "Take Profit", comment_loss = "Stop Loss")

//Stop Loss and Take Profit for Short Positions
if strategy.opentrades > 0 and strategy.position_size < 0 and (takeProfitSelected or stopLossSelected)   //if there is an open position and it is a short position and either a take profit or sto ploss is selected.
    if takeProfitSelected
        takeProfitPrice := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - (takeProfitPercent / 100))
    else
        takeProfitPrice := na
    if stopLossSelected
        stopLossPrice := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + (stopLossPercent / 100))
    else
        stopLossPrice := na
    strategy.exit(id = "Exit", from_entry = "Buy to Open", qty_percent = 100, profit = takeProfitPrice, loss = stopLossPrice, comment_profit = "Take Profit", comment_loss = "Stop Loss")


//VISUALISATIONS
plot(series = ta.sma(source = close, length = shortSMAlength), title = "Short SMA", color = color.new(color = color.red, transp = 50), linewidth = 2)
plot(series = ta.sma(source = close, length = longSMAlength), title = "Long SMA", color = color.new(color = color.blue, transp = 50), linewidth = 2)

bgcolor(color = longCondition ? color.new(color = color.green, transp = 95) : na, title = "Long")
bgcolor(color = shortCondition ? color.new(color = color.red, transp = 95) : na, title = "Short")

もっと