Strategi Terobosan Osilasi Rata-rata Bergerak VWAP Ganda


Tanggal Pembuatan: 2023-11-23 11:10:28 Akhirnya memodifikasi: 2023-11-23 11:10:28
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Strategi Terobosan Osilasi Rata-rata Bergerak VWAP Ganda

Ringkasan

Strategi penembusan VWAP rata-rata VWAP dengan analisa tren pasar melalui VWAP rata-rata ganda, mencari peluang untuk menembus di pasar yang bergoyang. Ini menggabungkan indikator ADX untuk menentukan apakah pasar bergoyang dan menggunakan dua standar yang berbeda untuk mencari VWAP rata-rata untuk masuk ke dalam pasar di bawah lubang yang pecah.

Prinsip Strategi

Strategi ini terdiri dari beberapa bagian utama:

  1. Pengaturan VWAP: Menghitung garis rata-rata VWAP dan bandwidthnya.stDevMultiplierKontrol, default 1; bandwidth VWAP eksternal melaluistDevMultiplierPengendalian, acuan 2.

  2. Pengaturan ADX: Menghitung nilai ADX untuk menentukan apakah pasar bergoyang. Dianggap sebagai pasar bergoyang ketika ADX berada di bawah titik terendah. Parameter ADX dapat dikonfigurasi.

  3. Pengaturan masuk: Di pasar yang bergoyang, masuk ketika harga menembus bandwidth VWAP eksternal. Stop loss dan stop loss dapat dikonfigurasi.

  4. Pembatasan masuk: Anda dapat memilih EMA rata-rata atau filter periode untuk menghindari masuk pada waktu yang tidak ideal.

  5. Cara mendapatkan keuntungan: Menelusuri stop loss atau stop loss saat harga pecah. Anda dapat memilih untuk menembus VWAP keluar.

Strategi ini menilai pergerakan dengan indikator ADX, mencari peluang masuk saat harga menembus bandwidth VWAP. Dua band VWAP memberikan lebih banyak penyaringan, memastikan kekuatan masuk. Pelacakan stop loss membuat keuntungan lebih stabil.

Analisis Keunggulan

  1. Dua pita VWAP memberikan filter tambahan untuk memastikan waktu masuk yang kuat.

  2. Indeks ADX menilai pasar yang bergoyang, menghindari kesalahan dalam tren.

  3. Pelacakan Stop Loss untuk Mengunci Keuntungan dan Menghindari Penjara.

  4. Ada banyak parameter yang dapat dikonfigurasi, dan sangat mudah beradaptasi.

  5. Pemikiran yang jelas, mudah dipahami, mudah disalin dan dimodifikasi.

Risiko dan Solusi

  1. Penetapan parameter yang tidak tepat dapat menyebabkan terlalu banyak masuk ke lapangan atau posisi kosong. Kombinasi parameter yang dioptimalkan memastikan stabilitas strategi.

  2. Tracking stop loss mudah terlalu radikal atau konservatif. Kombinasi dengan indikator volatilitas secara dinamis menyesuaikan posisi stop loss.

  3. Kinerja sensitif terhadap waktu transaksi. Dapat dioptimalkan melalui filter waktu, untuk memastikan masuk yang efisien.

  4. Indikator VWAP sensitif terhadap harga yang tidak normal.

Arah optimasi

  1. Dimensi Stop Loss dapat disesuaikan secara dinamis. Posisi Stop Loss dapat disesuaikan secara real-time berdasarkan indikator seperti volatilitas.

  2. Multiple timeframe Mengkonfirmasi waktu masuk. Menambahkan indikator tren dan institusional dengan timeframe yang lebih tinggi, menghindari masuk yang berlawanan.

  3. Pertimbangkan manajemen posisi. Persentase posisi disesuaikan dengan fluktuasi dan dinamika dana akun.

  4. Uji kinerja siklus VWAP yang berbeda. Pengaturan siklus VWAP menentukan periode kepemilikan strategi yang dapat dioptimalkan.

Meringkaskan

Strategi penembusan pergerakan rata-rata VWAP ganda melalui ADX menilai pergerakan pasar yang memanfaatkan band VWAP ganda untuk memberikan filter masuk tambahan. Strategi ini lebih jelas dan lebih mudah untuk diterapkan. Strategi ini dapat meningkatkan stabilitas strategi secara signifikan melalui penyesuaian parameter, pengoptimalan stop loss, manajemen posisi, dan sebagainya.

Kode Sumber Strategi 
/*backtest
start: 2023-10-23 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-22 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © jordanfray

//@version=5
strategy(title="Double VWAP Strategy", overlay=true, scale=scale.none, max_bars_back=500, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100,initial_capital=100000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.05, backtest_fill_limits_assumption=2)

// Indenting Classs
indent_1 = " "
indent_2 = "  "
indent_3 = "   "
indent_4 = "    "

// Group Titles
group_one_title = "VWAP Settings"
group_two_title = "ADX Settings"
group_three_title = "Entry Settings"
group_four_title = "Limit Entries"

// Input Tips
adx_thresholdToolTip = "The minumn ADX value to allow opening a postion"
adxCancelToolTip= "You can optionally set a different lower value for ADX that will allow entries even if below the trigger threshold."

ocean_blue = color.new(#0C6090,0)
sky_blue = color.new(#00A5FF,0)
green = color.new(#2DBD85,0)
red = color.new(#E02A4A,0)
light_blue = color.new(#00A5FF,90)
light_green = color.new(#2DBD85,90)
light_red = color.new(#E02A4A,90)
light_yellow = color.new(#FFF900,90)
white = color.new(#ffffff,0)
transparent = color.new(#000000,100)

// Strategy Settings - VWAP
var cumVol = 0.
cumVol += nz(volume)
if barstate.islast and cumVol == 0
    runtime.error("No volume is provided by the data vendor.")
    
computeVWAP(src, isNewPeriod, stDevMultiplier) =>
    var float sum_src_vol = na
    var float sum_vol = na
    var float sum_src_src_vol = na

    sum_src_vol := isNewPeriod ? src * volume : src * volume + sum_src_vol[1]
    sum_vol := isNewPeriod ? volume : volume + sum_vol[1]
    sum_src_src_vol := isNewPeriod ? volume * math.pow(src, 2) : volume * math.pow(src, 2) + sum_src_src_vol[1]

    _vwap = sum_src_vol / sum_vol
    variance = sum_src_src_vol / sum_vol - math.pow(_vwap, 2)
    variance := variance < 0 ? 0 : variance
    standard_deviation = math.sqrt(variance)

    lower_band_value = _vwap - standard_deviation * stDevMultiplier
    upper_band_value = _vwap + standard_deviation * stDevMultiplier

    [_vwap, lower_band_value, upper_band_value]

var anchor = input.string(defval="Session", title="Anchor Period", options=["Session", "Week", "Month", "Quarter", "Year"], group=group_one_title)
src = input(defval = close, title = "Inner VWAP Source", group=group_one_title)
multiplier_inner = input(defval=1.0, title="Inner Bands Multiplier", group=group_one_title)
multiplier_outer = input(defval=2.0, title="Outer Bands Multiplier", group=group_one_title)
show_bands = true

timeChange(period) =>
   ta.change(time(period))

isNewPeriod = switch anchor
    "Session" => timeChange("D")
    "Week" => timeChange("W")
    "Month" => timeChange("M")
    "Quarter" => timeChange("3M")
    "Year" => timeChange("12M")
    => false

float vwap_val = na
float upper_inner_band_value = na
float lower_inner_band_value = na
float upper_outer_band_value = na
float lower_outer_band_value = na

[inner_vwap, inner_bottom, inner_top] = computeVWAP(src, isNewPeriod, multiplier_inner)
[outer_vwap, outer_bottom, outer_top] = computeVWAP(src, isNewPeriod, multiplier_outer)
vwap_val := inner_vwap
upper_inner_band_value := show_bands ? inner_top : na
lower_inner_band_value := show_bands ? inner_bottom : na
upper_outer_band_value := show_bands ? outer_top : na
lower_outer_band_value := show_bands ? outer_bottom : na

plot(vwap_val, title="VWAP", color=green)

upper_inner_band = plot(upper_inner_band_value, title="Upper Inner Band", color=sky_blue)
lower_inner_band = plot(lower_inner_band_value, title="Lower Inner Band", color=sky_blue)
upper_outer_band = plot(upper_outer_band_value, title="Upper Outer Band", linewidth=2, color=ocean_blue)
lower_outer_band = plot(lower_outer_band_value, title="Lower Outer Band", linewidth=2, color=ocean_blue)

fill(upper_outer_band, lower_outer_band, title="VWAP Bands Fill", color= show_bands ? light_blue : na)

// ADX Settings
adx_len = input.int(defval=14, title="ADX Smoothing", group=group_two_title)
di_len = input.int(defval=14, title="DI Length", group=group_two_title)
adx_threshold = input.int(defval=40, title="ADX Threshold", group=group_two_title, tooltip=adx_thresholdToolTip)
dirmov(len) =>
    up = ta.change(high)
    down = -ta.change(low)
    plus_dm = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
    minus_dm = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
    true_range = ta.rma(ta.tr, len)
    plus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(plus_dm, len) / true_range)
    minus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(minus_dm, len) / true_range)
    [plus, minus]

adx(di_len, adx_len) =>
    [plus, minus] = dirmov(di_len)
    sum = plus + minus
    adx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adx_len)

adx_val = adx(di_len, adx_len)
plot(adx_val, title="ADX")

// Entry Settings
stop_loss_val = input.float(defval=2.0, title="Stop Loss (%)", step=0.1, group=group_three_title)/100
take_profit_val = input.float(defval=6.0, title="Take Profit (%)", step=0.1, group=group_three_title)/100
long_entry_limit_lookback = input.int(defval=1, title="Long Entry Limit Lookback", minval=1, step=1, group=group_three_title)
short_entry_limit_lookback = input.int(defval=1, title="Short Entry Limit Lookback", minval=1, step=1, group=group_three_title)
limit_order_long_price = ta.lowest(close, long_entry_limit_lookback)
limit_order_short_price = ta.highest(close, short_entry_limit_lookback)
start_trailing_after = input.float(defval=3, title="Start Trailing After (%)", step=0.1, group=group_three_title)/100
trail_behind = input.float(defval=2, title="Trail Behind (%)", step=0.1, group=group_three_title)/100
close_early_if_crosses_outter_band = input.bool(defval=false, title="Close early if price crosses outer VWAP band")

// Limit Entries
enableEmaFilter = input.bool(defval=true, title="Use EMA Filter", group=group_four_title)
emaFilterTimeframe = input.timeframe(defval="", title=indent_4+"Timeframe", group=group_four_title)
emaFilterLength = input.int(defval=300, minval=1, step=10, title=indent_4+"Length", group=group_four_title)
emaFilterSource = input.source(defval=hl2, title=indent_4+"Source", group=group_four_title)
ema_filter = ta.ema(emaFilterSource, emaFilterLength)
ema_filter_smoothed = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, emaFilterTimeframe, ema_filter[barstate.isrealtime ? 1 : 0], gaps=barmerge.gaps_on)
plot(enableEmaFilter ? ema_filter_smoothed: na, title="EMA Macro Filter", linewidth=2, color=sky_blue, editable=true)

useTimeFilter = input.bool(defval=false, title="Use Time Session Filter", group=group_four_title)

withinTime = true


long_start_trailing_val = strategy.position_avg_price + (strategy.position_avg_price * start_trailing_after)
short_start_trailing_val = strategy.position_avg_price - (strategy.position_avg_price * start_trailing_after)
long_trail_behind_val = close - (strategy.position_avg_price * (trail_behind/100))
short_trail_behind_val = close + (strategy.position_avg_price * (trail_behind/100))
currently_in_a_long_postion = strategy.position_size > 0
currently_in_a_short_postion = strategy.position_size < 0
long_profit_target = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take_profit_val)
long_stop_loss = strategy.position_avg_price * (1.0 - stop_loss_val)
short_profit_target = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - take_profit_val)
short_stop_loss = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stop_loss_val)
bars_since_entry = currently_in_a_long_postion or currently_in_a_short_postion ? bar_index - strategy.opentrades.entry_bar_index(strategy.opentrades - 1) + 1 : 5
plot(bars_since_entry, editable=false, title="Bars Since Entry", color=green)
long_run_up = ta.highest(high, bars_since_entry)
long_trailing_stop = currently_in_a_long_postion and bars_since_entry > 0 and long_run_up > long_start_trailing_val ? long_run_up - (long_run_up * trail_behind) : long_stop_loss
//long_run_up_line = plot(long_run_up, style=plot.style_stepline, editable=false, color=currently_in_a_long_postion ? green : transparent)
long_trailing_stop_line = plot(long_trailing_stop, style=plot.style_stepline, editable=false, color=currently_in_a_long_postion ? long_trailing_stop > strategy.position_avg_price ? green : red : transparent)
short_run_up = ta.lowest(low, bars_since_entry)
short_trailing_stop = currently_in_a_short_postion and bars_since_entry > 0 and short_run_up < short_start_trailing_val ? short_run_up + (short_run_up * trail_behind) : short_stop_loss
//short_run_up_line = plot(short_run_up, style=plot.style_stepline, editable=false, color=currently_in_a_short_postion ? green : transparent)
short_trailing_stop_line = plot(short_trailing_stop, style=plot.style_stepline, editable=false, color=currently_in_a_short_postion ? short_trailing_stop < strategy.position_avg_price ? green : red : transparent)


// Conditions
adx_is_below_threshold = adx_val < adx_threshold
price_crossed_down_VWAP_lower_outer_band = ta.crossunder(low, lower_outer_band_value)
price_closed_above_VWAP_lower_outer_band = close > lower_outer_band_value
price_crossed_up_VWAP_upper_outer_band =  ta.crossover(high,upper_outer_band_value)
price_closed_below_VWAP_upper_outer_band = close < upper_outer_band_value
price_above_ema_filter = close > ema_filter_smoothed
price_below_ema_filter = close < ema_filter_smoothed

//Trade Restirctions
no_trades_allowed = not withinTime or not adx_is_below_threshold

// Enter trades when...
long_conditions_met = enableEmaFilter ? price_above_ema_filter and not currently_in_a_long_postion and withinTime and adx_is_below_threshold and price_crossed_down_VWAP_lower_outer_band and price_closed_above_VWAP_lower_outer_band : not currently_in_a_long_postion and withinTime and adx_is_below_threshold and price_crossed_down_VWAP_lower_outer_band and price_closed_above_VWAP_lower_outer_band
short_conditions_met = enableEmaFilter ? price_below_ema_filter and not currently_in_a_short_postion and withinTime and adx_is_below_threshold and price_crossed_up_VWAP_upper_outer_band and price_closed_below_VWAP_upper_outer_band : not currently_in_a_short_postion and withinTime and adx_is_below_threshold and price_crossed_up_VWAP_upper_outer_band and price_closed_below_VWAP_upper_outer_band
plotshape(long_conditions_met ? close  : na, title="Long Entry Symbol", color=green, style=shape.triangleup, location=location.abovebar)
plotshape(short_conditions_met ? close  : na, title="Short Entry Symbol", color=red, style=shape.triangledown, location=location.belowbar)

// Take Profit When...
price_closed_below_short_trailing_stop = ta.cross(close, short_trailing_stop)
price_hit_short_entry_profit_target = low > short_profit_target
price_closed_above_long_entry_trailing_stop = ta.cross(close, long_trailing_stop)
price_hit_long_entry_profit_target = high > long_profit_target

long_position_take_profit = close_early_if_crosses_outter_band ? price_crossed_up_VWAP_upper_outer_band or price_closed_above_long_entry_trailing_stop or price_hit_long_entry_profit_target : price_closed_above_long_entry_trailing_stop or price_hit_long_entry_profit_target
short_position_take_profit = close_early_if_crosses_outter_band ? price_crossed_down_VWAP_lower_outer_band or price_closed_below_short_trailing_stop or price_hit_short_entry_profit_target : price_closed_below_short_trailing_stop or price_hit_short_entry_profit_target

// Cancel limir order if...
cancel_long_condition = false
cancel_short_condition = false


// Long Entry
strategy.entry(id="Long", direction=strategy.long, limit=limit_order_long_price, when=long_conditions_met)
strategy.cancel(id="Cancel Long", when=cancel_long_condition)
strategy.exit(id="Close Long", from_entry="Long", stop=long_trailing_stop, limit=long_profit_target, when=long_position_take_profit)

// Short Entry 
strategy.entry(id="Short", direction=strategy.short, limit=limit_order_short_price, when=short_conditions_met)
strategy.cancel(id="Cancel Short", when=cancel_short_condition)
strategy.exit(id="Close Short", from_entry="Short", stop=short_trailing_stop, limit=short_profit_target, when=short_position_take_profit)

entry = plot(strategy.position_avg_price, editable=false, title="Entry", style=plot.style_stepline, color=currently_in_a_long_postion or currently_in_a_short_postion ? color.blue : transparent, linewidth=1)
fill(entry,long_trailing_stop_line, editable=false, color=currently_in_a_long_postion ? long_trailing_stop > strategy.position_avg_price ? light_green : light_red : transparent)
fill(entry,short_trailing_stop_line, editable=false, color=currently_in_a_short_postion ? short_trailing_stop < strategy.position_avg_price ? light_green : light_red : transparent)
bgcolor(title="No Trades Allowed", color=no_trades_allowed ? light_red : light_green)
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