Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2024-01-26 16:19:47
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Gambaran umum

Strategi ini menggunakan beberapa indikator teknis untuk perdagangan kuantitatif. Ini terutama menggunakan indikator termasuk EMA crossover, SuperTrend, RSI, MACD dll untuk menghasilkan sinyal perdagangan.

Logika Strategi

Logika inti didasarkan pada aspek berikut:

  1. EMA Crossover: Menghitung EMA1 cepat dan EMA2 lambat. Ketika EMA1 crossover di atas EMA2, menghasilkan sinyal beli. Ketika EMA1 crossover di bawah EMA2, menghasilkan sinyal jual.

  2. VWMA: Menghitung VWMA. Ketika penyambungan harga dekat di atas VWMA, itu adalah sinyal beli. Ketika penyambungan harga dekat di bawah VWMA, itu adalah sinyal jual.

  3. SuperTrend: Menghitung band atas dan band bawah berdasarkan ATR dan parameter multiplier. Menentukan arah tren. Membuat sinyal beli dalam tren naik dan sinyal jual dalam tren turun.

  4. RSI: Menghitung indikator RSI. Ketika RSI berada di atas tingkat overbought, itu adalah sinyal jual. Ketika RSI berada di bawah tingkat oversold, itu adalah sinyal beli.

  5. MACD: Menghitung MACD, garis sinyal dan histogram. Ketika garis MACD menyeberang di atas garis sinyal, menghasilkan beli. Ketika garis MACD menyeberang di bawah garis sinyal, menghasilkan jual.

Strategi ini mengadopsi logika AND untuk menggabungkan sinyal di atas. Hanya ketika beberapa indikator mengeluarkan sinyal beli / jual secara bersamaan, sinyal perdagangan akhir akan dihasilkan.

Keuntungan

Strategi ini menggabungkan beberapa indikator untuk menyaring pasar dan menghindari sinyal palsu.

  1. Kombinasi beberapa indikator menghindari kesalahan indikator tunggal.

  2. Kombinasi indikator tren dan osilator menangkap keuntungan ekstra selama tren.

  3. Penggunaan logika stop loss membatasi kerugian maksimum per perdagangan.

  4. Logika Martingale memberikan kesempatan untuk memecahkan bahkan setelah kerugian.

Risiko

Risiko utama:

  1. Kombinasi indikator yang terlalu konservatif dapat kehilangan beberapa kesempatan perdagangan.

  2. Logika Martingale dapat menyebabkan kerugian yang signifikan.

  3. Penggunaan stop loss yang tidak tepat dapat menyebabkan stop out yang tidak perlu.

  4. Pengaturan parameter yang tidak benar dapat menyebabkan terlalu banyak sinyal palsu.

Optimalisasi

Strategi ini dapat dioptimalkan lebih lanjut dalam aspek berikut:

  1. Mengevaluasi kombinasi indikator yang berbeda, menentukan bobot.

  2. Uji parameter yang berbeda untuk setiap indikator.

  3. Tambahkan logika stop loss adaptif.

  4. Tambahkan mekanisme ukuran posisi dinamis.

  5. Manfaatkan pembelajaran mesin untuk mengoptimalkan parameter dan model.

Ringkasan

Secara singkat, ini adalah strategi perdagangan kuantitatif yang sangat praktis. Ini menggabungkan kekuatan beberapa indikator teknis klasik untuk analisis pasar. Penyesuaian parameter lebih lanjut dan optimasi model dapat menghasilkan hasil yang lebih baik.


/*backtest
start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/


//@version=5
strategy(title='Pinku Buy', overlay=true)

fromMonth = input.int(defval=1, title='From Month', minval=1, maxval=12)
fromDay = input.int(defval=1, title='From Day', minval=1, maxval=31)
fromYear = input.int(defval=2021, title='From Year', minval=1970)
thruMonth = input.int(defval=1, title='Thru Month', minval=1, maxval=12)
thruDay = input.int(defval=1, title='Thru Day', minval=1, maxval=31)
thruYear = input.int(defval=2112, title='Thru Year', minval=1970)

showDate = input(defval=true, title='Show Date Range')

start = timestamp(fromYear, fromMonth, fromDay, 00, 00)
finish = timestamp(thruYear, thruMonth, thruDay, 23, 59)
window() => true
// ema crossover
length1 = input.int(10)
length2 = input.int(20)
ema1 = ta.ema(close , length1)
ema2 = ta.ema(close , length2)
//vwap 
VWAP = ta.vwap(hlc3)
plot(VWAP, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=3)
buy_1 = close > VWAP
sell_1 = close < VWAP
//vwma 
len = input.int(20, 'VWMA_len', minval=1)
ma = ta.vwma(close, len)
plot(ma, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), linewidth=2)
buy_2 = close > ma
sell_2 = close < ma
//super trend 
//inputs 
Periods = input(title='STR Period', defval=22)
Source = input(hl2, title='Source')
Multiplier = input.float(title='STR Multiplier', step=0.1, defval=5.0)



//Compute ATR Levels 
atr = ta.atr(Periods)


//Creating Upper Channel 

up = Source - Multiplier * atr
up1 = nz(up[1], up)
up := close[1] > up1 ? math.max(up, up1) : up

//Creating Down Channel 
dn = Source + Multiplier * atr
dn1 = nz(dn[1], dn)
dn := close[1] < dn1 ? math.min(dn, dn1) : dn


//Compute the Trend Stream +1/-1 
trend = 1
trend := nz(trend[1], trend)
trend := trend == -1 and close > dn1 ? 1 : trend == 1 and close < up1 ? -1 : trend

//Create Stoploss for Longs 
upPlot = plot(trend == 1 ? up : na, title='Up Trend', style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.new(color.green, 0))
//buy_a = close > upPlot 
//Buy Signal 
buy_3 = trend == 1 and trend[1] == -1

plotshape(buy_3 ? up : na, title='Go Long', location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=color.new(color.green, 0))

dnPlot = plot(trend == 1 ? na : dn, title='Down Trend', style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.new(color.red, 0))
//sell_a = close < dnPlot 
//Sell Signal 
sell_3 = trend == -1 and trend[1] == 1

plotshape(sell_3 ? dn : na, title='Go Short', location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=color.new(color.red, 0))
// //paraboloic sar 
// start = input(0.02)
// increment = input(0.02)
// maximum = input(0.2, 'Max Value')
// out = ta.sar(start, increment, maximum)


buy_4 = ema1 > ema2
//buy_4 = buy1 and not buy1[1] 
//plotshape(buy_4 , color = color.green , text = "Buy" , location = location.belowbar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labelup , size = size.small) 
sell_4 = close < ema2
//sell_4 = sell1 and not sell1[1] 
//plotshape(sell_4, color = color.red , text = "Sell" , location = location.abovebar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labeldown , size = size.small) 
plot(ema1, 'ema1', color=color.new(color.green, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ema2, 'ema2', color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=2)

// rsi
lenr = input(14, title='Rsi Period')
rs = ta.rsi(close, lenr)

over_sold = input(44)
over_bought = input(56)

buy_5 = rs > over_bought 
sell_5 = rs < over_sold 
// macd
slow_len_macd = input.int(12)
fast_len_macd = input.int(26)
signal_len_macd = input.int(9)

ema3 = ta.ema(close , slow_len_macd)
ema4 = ta.ema(close , fast_len_macd)
ema5 = ta.ema(close , signal_len_macd)

buy_6 = ema5 > ema4
sell_6 = ema5 < ema4

// adx
adxlen = input(14, title="ADX Smoothing")
dilen = input(14, title="DI Length")
dirmov(len) =>
	up = ta.change(high)
	down = -ta.change(low)
	plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
	minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
	truerange = ta.rma(ta.tr, len)
	plus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(plusDM, len) / truerange)
	minus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(minusDM, len) / truerange)
	[plus, minus]
adx(dilen, adxlen) =>
	[plus, minus] = dirmov(dilen)
	sum = plus + minus
	adx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adxlen)
sig = adx(dilen, adxlen)
//plot(sig, color=color.red, title="ADX")
adx_Greater_than = input.int(25)

signal = sig > adx_Greater_than 
// volume ema 
volume_ema = input.int(10)

vema = ta.ema(volume,volume_ema)

signal_2 = volume > vema



//define buy sell 
g = buy_1 and buy_2 and buy_4 and trend == 1 and buy_5 and buy_6 and signal and signal_2 and window()
r = sell_1 and sell_2 and sell_4 and trend == -1 and sell_5 and sell_6 and signal and signal_2 and window()

rg = 0
rg := r ? 1 : g ? 2 : nz(rg[1])

buy11 = 0
buy11 := r ? 0 : g ? 1 : nz(buy11[1])
sell11 = 0
sell11 := r ? 1 : g ? 0 : nz(sell11[1])

buy = buy11 and not buy11[1]
sell = sell11 and not sell11[1]
multiple_signals = input(true)

if multiple_signals
    buy := g and not g[1] and  window()
    sell := r and not r[1] and  window()
    sell
else
    buy := buy and window()
    sell := sell and window()
    sell



//plotshape(long  , color = color.green , text = "Buy" , location = location.belowbar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labelup , size = size.small) 
//plotshape(short   , color = color.red , text = "Sell" , location = location.abovebar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labeldown , size = size.small) 
Stop = input(0.5, title='StopLoss') / 100

ProfitPerc = input(defval=1.5, title='Profit') / 100

rev = input(1024,title = "Reverse Limit")

Averaging_position_ = input(true , title = "Averaging position ? ")

qn = 1
qn := nz(qn[1])


long_short = 0
long_last = buy and (nz(long_short[1]) == 0 or nz(long_short[1]) == -1)
short_last = sell and (nz(long_short[1]) == 0 or nz(long_short[1]) == 1)
long_short := long_last ? 1 : short_last ? -1 : long_short[1]

long_entered = false
long_entered := long_entered[1]

short_entered = false
short_entered := short_entered[1]


longPrice = ta.valuewhen(long_last, close, 0)
shortPrice = ta.valuewhen(short_last, close, 0)


longStop = longPrice * (1 - Stop)
shortStop = shortPrice * (1 + Stop)
longTake = longPrice * (1 + ProfitPerc)
shortTake = shortPrice * (1 - ProfitPerc)
plot(long_short == 1 ? longStop : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=1, title='Long Fixed SL')
plot(long_short == -1 ? shortStop : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=1, title='Short Fixed SL')
plot(long_short == 1 ? longTake : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), linewidth=1, title='Long Fixed TP')


plot(long_short == -1 ? shortTake : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), linewidth=1, title='Short Fixed TP')


longBar1 = ta.barssince(long_last)
longBar2 = longBar1 >= 1 ? true : false
shortBar1 = ta.barssince(short_last)
shortBar2 = shortBar1 >= 1 ? true : false

longSLhit = long_short == 1 and longBar2 and low < longStop

if long_entered and sell
    longSLhit := true
    longSLhit

plotshape(longSLhit and not(sell and not short_entered and long_entered), style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Stop Loss', text='Long SL', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))
shortSLhit = long_short == -1 and shortBar2 and high > shortStop


if short_entered and buy
    shortSLhit := true
    shortSLhit

plotshape(shortSLhit and not(buy and not long_entered and short_entered), style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Stop Loss', text='Short SL', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))


longTPhit = long_short == 1 and longBar2 and high > longTake
plotshape(longTPhit, style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Target', text='Long TP', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))
shortTPhit = long_short == -1 and shortBar2 and low < shortTake
plotshape(shortTPhit, style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Target', text='Short TP', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))

long_short := (long_short == 1 or long_short == 0) and longBar2 and (longSLhit or longTPhit) ? 0 : (long_short == -1 or long_short == 0) and shortBar2 and (shortSLhit or shortTPhit) ? 0 : long_short

if(shortSLhit or longSLhit or (long_entered[1] and sell) or (short_entered[1] and buy ))
    qn := qn*2
 
if(longTPhit or shortTPhit or qn > rev)
    qn := 1
    
if Averaging_position_
    qn := 1
 
plotshape(buy and not long_entered, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=shape.labelup, text='Buy', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.belowbar)
plotshape(sell and not short_entered, color=color.new(color.red, 0), style=shape.labeldown, text='Sell', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.abovebar)


// plotshape(buy and not(long_entered) and (short_entered), color = color.green , style = shape.labelup , text = "FA Buy" , textcolor = color.white , location = location.belowbar) 
// plotshape(sell and not(short_entered)  and (long_entered), color = color.red , style = shape.labeldown , text = "FA Sell" , textcolor = color.white , location = location.abovebar) 


// alertcondition(condition=buy and  not(long_entered)  and (short_entered), title="Fully Algo Buy") 
// alertcondition(condition=sell and  not(short_entered)  and (long_entered), title="Fully Algo sell") 

alertcondition(condition=buy and not long_entered, title='Buy')
alertcondition(condition=sell and not short_entered, title='Sell')

if long_last
    long_entered := true
    short_entered := false
    short_entered
if short_last
    short_entered := true
    long_entered := false
    long_entered

alertcondition(condition=longSLhit and not(sell and not short_entered and long_entered), title='Long SL')
alertcondition(condition=shortSLhit and not(buy and not long_entered and short_entered), title='Short SL')

alertcondition(condition=longTPhit, title='Long TP')
alertcondition(condition=shortTPhit, title='Short TP')

if longSLhit or longTPhit
    long_entered := false
    long_entered

if shortSLhit or shortTPhit
    short_entered := false
    short_entered

// if buy
//     strategy.entry('buy', strategy.long)
//     strategy.exit('exit', 'buy', limit=longTake, stop=longStop)


// if sell
//     strategy.entry('sell', strategy.short)
//     strategy.exit('exit', 'sell', limit=shortTake, stop=shortStop)
if(buy)
    strategy.entry("buy",strategy.long,qty = qn)
    strategy.exit("Stop","buy",limit = longTake,stop = longStop)
 
if(sell)
    strategy.entry("sell",strategy.short,qty = qn)
    strategy.exit("Stop","sell",limit = shortTake,stop = shortStop)
 
strategy.close("buy",when =  longTPhit or sell or longSLhit, comment = "Target")
strategy.close("sell",when =  shortSLhit or shortTPhit or buy , comment = "Stop Loss")
 
strategy.cancel("buy",when =  longTPhit or sell or longSLhit)
strategy.cancel("sell",when =  shortSLhit or shortTPhit or buy )

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