Strategie zur Maximierung des Gewinns

Schriftsteller:ChaoZhang, Datum: 2023-12-11 09:21:54
Tags:

Übersicht

Die Kernidee dieser Strategie besteht darin, die Gewinne zu maximieren, indem man bewegliche Stop-Loss-Tracking verwendet und den Einstieg durch Filter und Gewinnnahme-Methoden optimiert.

Strategie Logik

Diese Strategie basiert hauptsächlich auf der PMax Explorer-Strategie von KivancOzbilgic mit einigen Änderungen.

Berechnen Sie PMax basierend auf ATR und gleitendem Durchschnitt. Erzeugen Sie ein Kaufsignal, wenn der Preis über PMax geht.
Hinzufügen von T3-Indikator und Preis als Filter, um einen Aufwärtstrend zu gewährleisten.
Setzen Sie Profit-Take-Methoden: Verwenden Sie zunächst die doppelte BAND-Strategie, um zuerst Profit zu erzielen; Verwenden Sie dann die Dice-Strategie, um nachfolgende Profit-Take-Methoden und Stop-Losses zu ermitteln.
Verwenden Sie den MOST-Indikator, um den Trend zu bestimmen und unnötige Umkehroperationen zu reduzieren.

Analyse der Vorteile

Die PMax-Strategie selbst hat den Vorteil, dass man hohen Stopps nicht nachjagt, und der bewegliche Stoppmechanismus trägt weiter dazu bei, DD zu reduzieren.
Der doppelte Filter sorgt dafür, dass wir nur auftriebsfähige Positionen einnehmen und falsche Ausbrüche vermeiden.
Mehrfache Gewinnpunkte machen die Gewinne flexibler.
Der MOST-Indikator gewährleistet nur langfristige Transaktionen und vermeidet den Umkehrhandel.

Risikoanalyse

PMax selbst hat eine gewisse Verzögerung und verpasst leicht den ersten Ausbruch.
Zu viele Filter-Einstellungen könnten auch den goldenen Einstiegspunkt verpassen.
Eine zu optimistische Gewinnspanne verhindert, dass die Aufträge vollständig ausgefüllt werden.
Der Handel nur mit Long-Trading kann es schwierig machen, in Produkten mit hoher Volatilität zu profitieren.

Optimierungsrichtung

Kann durch Hinzufügen von MACD-ähnlichen Indikatoren kurzfristige Divergenzen für bessere Eintrittszeiten ermitteln.
Kann die Vereinfachung von Filtern testen, wobei nur ein Filterindikator beibehalten wird.
Kann automatisch anpassungsfähigen Gewinnsatzmechanismus hinzufügen, der nachfolgende Gewinnsatzpunkte dynamisch anhand von Volatilität und Rendite anpasst.
Kann mit kurzen Positionen getestet werden, wobei die Positionsproportionen anhand von Filtern angepasst werden.

Zusammenfassung

Die Gesamtstrategie konzentriert sich auf die Verwendung von PMax für das Einstiegsbeurteilen und entwarf mehrere Filter und Gewinnspielmethoden für die Optimierung, die bei Trending-Produkten gute Renditen erzielen können.

/*backtest
start: 2022-12-04 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-10 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © KivancOzbilgic
//developer: @KivancOzbilgic
//author: @enesyetkin

strategy("Y-Profit Maximizer Strategy with Exit Points", shorttitle="Y-PMax Strategy with Exit Points", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=10000, initial_capital=10000, currency=currency.USD, commission_value=0.1, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent)
baslik1 = input(title="-------------------- PMax Ayarları -------------------", defval=false)
src = input(hl2, title="Kaynak")
Periods = input(title="ATR uzunluğu", type=input.integer, defval=10)
Multiplier = input(title="ATR Multiplier", type=input.float, step=0.1, defval=3.0)
mav = input(title="Moving Average Tipi", defval="VAR", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "TMA", "VAR", "WWMA", "ZLEMA", "TSF"])
length =input(13, "Moving Average uzunluğu", minval=1)
filtrelemeacik = input(title="Filtreleme Açık/Kapalı", type=input.bool, defval=false)
filtreleme = input(title="Filtreleme T3/Src (T3 Açık/Src Kapalı)", type=input.bool, defval=false)
changeATR= input(title="ATR Hesaplama Yöntemi Değişsin mi?", type=input.bool, defval=true)
showsupport = input(title="Moving Average i göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
showsignalsk = input(title="Al Sat Sinyallerini göster?", type=input.bool, defval=true)
showsignalsc = input(title="Fiyat/Pmax kesişim sinyallerini göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
highlighting = input(title="Bulut Açık/Kapalı?", type=input.bool, defval=false)


baslik4 = input(title="-------------------- T3 Ayarları --------------------", defval=false)
length1 = input(89, "T3 Uzunluğu")
length2 = input(5, "T3 Filter Uzunluğu")
a1 = input(0.84, "T3 Volume Faktörü")
a13 = 0.84
length12 = input(5, "Fibo T3 Uzunluğu")
a12 = input(0.618, "T3 Fİbo Volume Faktörü")
T31Show = input(title="T3 ü göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
T32Show = input(title= "T3 filtreyi göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
T3FiboLine = input(false, title="T3 Fibonacci Oranlı Çizgiler?")

shownum = true

baslik7 = input(title="---------------- Take Profit Ayarları --------------", defval=false)

len = input(25, "Yılan Genişliği")
domcycle = input(20, minval=10, title="Dominant Döngü Genişliği")
rapida = input(8, "Hızlı Ort")
lenta = input(26, "Yavaş Ort")
stdv = input(0.8, "Genişlik")
tpfiltre = input(false, title="TP Filtresi avg2/avg4?")
tplevelshow = input(false, title="TP Level ve Exit Level Sayım Açık Kapalı?")
tp1show =  input(false, title="Erken TP Açık Kapalı")

baslik8 = input(title="------------------- MOST Ayarları ------------------", defval=false)

src_most=input(close,"Source")
AP2 = input(defval=8,title="Length",minval=1)
AF2 = input(defval=2,title="Percent",minval=0.1)/100
mav1 = input(title="Moving Average Tipi", defval="ZLEMovA", options=["EMovA","ZLEMovA"])
plotbuysell = input(true, "Al Sat Etiketleri", input.bool)


  
///T3 1&2
e1 = ema((high + low + 2 * close) / 4, length1)
e2 = ema(e1, length1)
e3 = ema(e2, length1)
e4 = ema(e3, length1)
e5 = ema(e4, length1)
e6 = ema(e5, length1)
c1 = -a1 * a1 * a1
c2 = 3 * a1 * a1 + 3 * a1 * a1 * a1
c3 = -6 * a1 * a1 - 3 * a1 - 3 * a1 * a1 * a1
c4 = 1 + 3 * a1 + a1 * a1 * a1 + 3 * a1 * a1
T3 = c1 * e6 + c2 * e5 + c3 * e4 + c4 * e3

e13 = ema((high + low + 2 * close) / 4, length2)
e23 = ema(e13, length2)
e33 = ema(e23, length2)
e43 = ema(e33, length2)
e53 = ema(e43, length2)
e63 = ema(e53, length2)
c13 = -a13 * a13 * a13
c23 = 3 * a13 * a13 + 3 * a13 * a13 * a13
c33 = -6 * a13 * a13 - 3 * a13 - 3 * a13 * a13 * a13
c43 = 1 + 3 * a13 + a13 * a13 * a13 + 3 * a13 * a13
T33 = c13 * e63 + c23 * e53 + c33 * e43 + c43 * e33


///PMax

atr2 = sma(tr, Periods)
atr= changeATR ? atr(Periods) : atr2
valpha=2/(length+1)
vud1=src>src[1] ? src-src[1] : 0
vdd1=src<src[1] ? src[1]-src : 0
vUD=sum(vud1,9)
vDD=sum(vdd1,9)
vCMO=nz((vUD-vDD)/(vUD+vDD))
VAR=0.0
VAR:=nz(valpha*abs(vCMO)*src)+(1-valpha*abs(vCMO))*nz(VAR[1])
wwalpha = 1/ length
WWMA = 0.0
WWMA := wwalpha*src + (1-wwalpha)*nz(WWMA[1])
zxLag = length/2==round(length/2) ? length/2 : (length - 1) / 2
zxEMAData = (src + (src - src[zxLag]))
ZLEMA = ema(zxEMAData, length)
lrc = linreg(src, length, 0)
lrc1 = linreg(src,length,1)
lrs = (lrc-lrc1)
TSF = linreg(src, length, 0)+lrs
getMA(src, length) =>
    ma = 0.0
    if mav == "SMA"
        ma := sma(src, length)
        ma

    if mav == "EMA"
        ma := ema(src, length)
        ma

    if mav == "WMA"
        ma := wma(src, length)
        ma

    if mav == "TMA"
        ma := sma(sma(src, ceil(length / 2)), floor(length / 2) + 1)
        ma

    if mav == "VAR"
        ma := VAR
        ma

    if mav == "WWMA"
        ma := WWMA
        ma

    if mav == "ZLEMA"
        ma := ZLEMA
        ma

    if mav == "TSF"
        ma := TSF
        ma
    
    if mav == "T3"
        ma := T3
        ma
    ma
    
MAvg=getMA(src, length)
longStop = MAvg - Multiplier*atr
longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop)
longStop := MAvg > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop
shortStop = MAvg + Multiplier*atr
shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop)
shortStop := MAvg < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop
dir = 1
dir := nz(dir[1], dir)
dir := dir == -1 and MAvg > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and MAvg < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir
PMax = dir==1 ? longStop: shortStop


///MOST
zxLag1 = AP2/2==round(AP2/2) ? AP2/2 : (AP2 - 1) / 2
zxEMAData1 = (src_most + (src_most - src_most[zxLag1]))
ZLEMA1 = ema(zxEMAData1, AP2)

getMA1(src, length) =>
    ma1 = 0.0
    if mav1 == "EMovA"
        ma1 := ema(close, 8)
        ma1

    if mav1 == "ZLEMovA"
        ma1 := ZLEMA1
        ma1

Trail1 = getMA1(src, length)
SL2 = Trail1*AF2 // Stop Loss

Trail2 = 0.0
Trail2 := iff(Trail1>nz(Trail2[1],0) and Trail1[1]>nz(Trail2[1],0),max(nz(Trail2[1],0),Trail1-SL2),iff(Trail1<nz(Trail2[1],0) and Trail1[1]<nz(Trail2[1],0),min(nz(Trail2[1],0),Trail1+SL2),iff(Trail1>nz(Trail2[1],0),Trail1-SL2,Trail1+SL2)))

Buy = crossover(Trail1, Trail2)
Sell = crossunder(Trail1, Trail2)
SR=(iff(Trail1 > Trail2 ,1, iff(Trail2 > Trail1,-1,0)))



////T3 TILLSON 1


col1 = T3 > T3[1]
col3 = T3 < T3[1]
col4 = T33 > T33[1]
col5 = T33 < T33[1]
color_1 = col1 ? color.green : col3 ? color.red : color.yellow
color_4 = col4 ? color.green : col5 ? color.red : color.yellow


e12 = ema((high + low + 2 * close) / 4, length12)
e22 = ema(e12, length12)
e32 = ema(e22, length12)
e42 = ema(e32, length12)
e52 = ema(e42, length12)
e62 = ema(e52, length12)
c12 = -a12 * a12 * a12
c22 = 3 * a12 * a12 + 3 * a12 * a12 * a12
c32 = -6 * a12 * a12 - 3 * a12 - 3 * a12 * a12 * a12
c42 = 1 + 3 * a12 + a12 * a12 * a12 + 3 * a12 * a12
T32 = c12 * e62 + c22 * e52 + c32 * e42 + c42 * e32

col12 = T32 > T32[1]
col32 = T32 < T32[1]



///TP BB ve SNAKE

h = ema(high, len)
l = ema(low, len)

hp = h / h[len]
lp = l / l[len]

avg = avg(hp, lp)

havg = ema(highest(avg, len), len)
lavg = ema(lowest(avg, len), len)

avg2 = avg(havg, lavg)
avg3 = avg(havg, avg2)
avg4 = avg(havg, avg3)

dif = havg - avg2

ust = havg + dif
alt = lavg - dif

///BB on MACD

SDev = 0.0
banda_supe = 0.0
banda_inf = 0.0
m_rapida = ema(close,rapida)
m_lenta = ema(close,lenta)
BBMacd = m_rapida - m_lenta
Avg = ema(BBMacd,9)
SDev := stdev(BBMacd,9)
banda_supe := Avg + stdv * SDev
banda_inf := Avg - stdv * SDev

color2 = col12 ? color.blue : col32 ? color.purple : color.yellow

TS1 = plot(Trail1, "ExMov", style=plot.style_line,color=Trail1 > Trail2 ? color.blue : color.yellow, linewidth=2)
TS2 = plot(Trail2, "Most", style=plot.style_line,color=Trail1 > Trail2 ? color.green : color.red, linewidth=2)




tp1 = tpfiltre ? crossunder(BBMacd,banda_supe)  and (avg>avg2) and (MAvg>PMax) and nz(MAvg[10]) > nz(PMax[10]) : crossunder(BBMacd,banda_supe)  and (avg>avg4) and (MAvg>PMax) and nz(MAvg[15]) > nz(PMax[15])
plotshape(tp1 and tp1show, title="TP1", text="TP1", location=location.abovebar, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.aqua, textcolor=color.white,transp=0) 

plot(T31Show ? T3 : na, color=color_1, linewidth=3, title="T3")
plot(T32Show ? T33 : na, color=color_4, linewidth=3, title="T3 Filter")
plot(T3FiboLine and T32 ? T32 : na, color=color2, linewidth=2, title="T3fibo")
plot(showsupport ? MAvg : na, color=#0585E1, linewidth=2, title="Moving Avg Line")
pALL=plot(PMax, color=color.red, linewidth=2, title="PMax", transp=100)
alertcondition(crossover(MAvg, PMax), title="1- Alım Sinyali", message="{{ticker}}, kapanış fiyatı = {{close}} için Alım Sinyali!")
alertcondition(crossunder(MAvg, PMax), title="2- Satım Sinyali", message="{{ticker}}, kapanış fiyatı = {{close}} için Satım Sinyali!")


buySignalk = filtrelemeacik ? filtreleme ? (crossover(MAvg, PMax) and T33>T3) : (crossover(MAvg, PMax) and src>T3): crossover(MAvg, PMax)
  


plotshape(buySignalk and showsignalsk ? PMax*0.995 : na, title="AL", text="AL", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
sellSignallk = crossunder(MAvg, PMax)
plotshape(sellSignallk and showsignalsk ? PMax*1.005 : na, title="Sat", text="SAT", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
buySignalc = crossover(src, PMax) 
plotshape(buySignalc and showsignalsc ? PMax*0.995 : na, title="AL-Fiyat", text="AL", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=#0F18BF, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
sellSignallc = crossunder(src, PMax)
plotshape(sellSignallc and showsignalsc ? PMax*1.005 : na, title="Sat-Fiyat", text="SAT", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=#0F18BF, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
mPlot = plot(ohlc4, title="", style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=0,display=display.none)
longFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg>PMax ? color.green : na) : na
shortFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg<PMax ? color.red : na) : na
fill(mPlot, pALL, title="Yükseliş Trend Bulutu", color=longFillColor)
fill(mPlot, pALL, title="Düşüş Trend Bulutu", color=shortFillColor)


tplevel = 0
//tplevel := tp1 ? nz(tplevel[1])==0 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 2 : 0 : nz(tplevel[1])==0 ? 0 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 2 : sellSignallk ? 0 : 0
//tplevel := sellSignallk or MAvg < PMax ? 0 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==8 ? 9 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==7 ? 8 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==6 ? 7 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==5 ? 6 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==4 ? 5 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==3 ? 4 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 3 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 2 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 2 : nz(tplevel[1])==3 ? 3 : nz(tplevel[1])==4 ? 4 : nz(tplevel[1])==5 ? 5 : nz(tplevel[1])==6 ? 6 : nz(tplevel[1])==7 ? 7 : nz(tplevel[1])==8 ? 8 : nz(tplevel[1])==9 ? 9 : 1 
tplevel := sellSignallk or MAvg < PMax ? 0 : Trail1 < Trail2 ? 0 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 2 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 2 : 1

exitlevel = 0

exitlevel := sellSignallk or MAvg < PMax ? 0 : Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==1 ? 2 : Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==2 ? 3 : Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==3 ? 4 :  Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==4 ? 5: nz(exitlevel[1])==1 ? 1  : nz(exitlevel[1])==2 ? 2 : nz(exitlevel[1])==3 ? 3 : nz(exitlevel[1])==4 ? 4 : nz(exitlevel[1])==5 ? 5:  1

plotchar(tplevel==0 and tplevelshow, char='0', color=color.green)
plotchar(tplevel==1 and tplevelshow , char='1', color=color.green)
plotchar(tplevel==2 and tplevelshow, char='2', color=color.green) 


plotshape(exitlevel==0 and tplevelshow , text='0', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red) 
plotshape(exitlevel==1 and tplevelshow , text='1', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red) 
plotshape(exitlevel==2 and tplevelshow , text='2', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red) 
plotshape(exitlevel==3 and tplevelshow , text='3', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red)
plotshape(exitlevel==4 and tplevelshow , text='4', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red)
plotshape(exitlevel==5 and tplevelshow , text='5', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red)

plotshape(nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel>=2, title="TP", text="TP", location=location.abovebar, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.white,transp=0)

if (buySignalk)
    strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)

if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==2
    strategy.exit ("Exit1", from_entry="Buy", limit=close, qty_percent = 33.3)

//if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==3
  //  strategy.exit ("Exit2", from_entry="Buy", limit=close, qty_percent = 33.3)
    
if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==3
    strategy.exit ("Exit2", from_entry="Buy", limit=close, qty_percent = 50)
    
if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==4
    strategy.exit ("Exit3", from_entry="Buy", limit=close)  


if (sellSignallk)
    strategy.close_all()

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