モメンタム指標クロスオーバー反転トレンドフォロー戦略
作成日:
2023-12-29 16:21:12
最終変更日:
2023-12-29 16:21:12
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0
クリック数:
559
ChaoZhang
1
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1621
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概要
この戦略は,MACD,RSI,ADXなどの複数の動力の技術指標を総合的に使用し,価格の逆転信号を識別し,反転戦略を採用し,強力なトレンドが逆転するときに反転入場を行います. 戦略は,利益をロックし,リスクを制御するために,同時にストップとストップを設定します.
戦略原則
この戦略は,まず,MACD指数と対照的な快速・遅い平均線が金叉死叉が発生しているかどうかを判断して価格トレンドを判断します.次に,偽の突破をフィルタリングするためにRSI指数と組み合わせて,真の価格逆転が起こった後に取引シグナルを生成します.最後に,ADX指数を使用して,価格がトレンド状態に入っているかどうかを再び検証します.上記の条件が同時に満たされている場合にのみ,購入または販売シグナルを生成します.
具体的には,MACD快線で慢線を貫通すると,RSIが50を超えて上昇し,ADXが20を超えると買取信号となる.MACD快線で慢線を貫通すると,RSIが50を超えて下落し,ADXが20を超えると売出信号となる.
優位分析
この戦略の最大の利点は,複数の指標を組み合わせて利用することで,震動市場と誤差信号を効果的にフィルターし,トレンドの逆転点を実際にロックして,高い勝利率を得ることです.また,利益をロックし,リスクを制御するためにストップダストを設定することで,意外な出来事の影響を効果的に防御できます.
リスク分析
この策略の最大のリスクは,トレンド反転判断誤りである.例えば,価格が深度回転して誤判を起こす.また,逆転後の新しいトレンドは,十分な利益を得るために持続性がないかもしれない.
解決策は,パラメータをさらに最適化したり,ストップ損失幅を調整したり,またはより多くの補助指標と組み合わせて信号フィルタリングを行うことです.
最適化の方向
この戦略は,次の方向でさらに最適化できます.
MACDとRSIの組み合わせを最適化し,価格逆転判断の正確性を向上させる
KD,BOLLなどの指標フィルターを追加し,指標の周回効果を生成します.
市場状況に応じて,ストップ・ローンの動的調整
逆転後の実際の動きに応じて,ストップ位置をリアルタイムで修正する
要約する
この戦略は,潜在的な価格逆転の機会を識別するために,複数の動向指標を総合的に使用します.パラメータの最適化,より多くの補助指標の組み合わせ,戦略の安定性と信頼性をさらに高め,市場が提供する様々な取引機会をロックすることができます.
ストラテジーソースコード
/*backtest
start: 2023-11-28 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-28 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © AHMEDABDELAZIZZIZO
//@version=5
strategy("Ta Strategy", overlay=true )
// inputs
inversestrategy = input.bool(false, title = "Inverse Strategy",tooltip = "This option makes you reverse the strategy so that long signals become where to short ")
direction = input.string(defval = "Both" , options = ["Both" , "Short" , "Long"] )
leftbars= input(6,title = " Left Bars" , group = "Support and resistance")
rightbars = input(6, title = " Right Bars", group = "Support and resistance")
macdfast = input(12, title = "MACD Fast", group = "MACD")
macdslow = input(26, title = "MACD Slow",group = "MACD")
macdsignal = input(7, "MACD Signal",group = "MACD")
sellqty = input(50, title = "QTY to sell at TP 1")
len = input(14, title="ADX Length" , group = "ADX")
// sup and res
res = fixnan(ta.pivothigh(high,leftbars,rightbars))
sup = fixnan(ta.pivotlow(low , leftbars,rightbars))
// macd
macd =ta.ema(close,macdfast) - ta.ema(close,macdslow)
signal=ta.ema(macd,macdsignal)
//adx
up = ta.change(high)
down = -ta.change(low)
plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
truerange = ta.rma(ta.tr,len)
plusDI = 100 * ta.rma(plusDM, len) / truerange
minusDI = 100 * ta.rma(minusDM, len) / truerange
dx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(plusDI - minusDI) / (plusDI + minusDI), len)
adx = ta.sma(dx, len)
// start deal condition
longcondition = ta.crossover(macd,signal) and close > res and ta.rsi(close,14) > 50 and plusDI > minusDI and adx > 20
shortcondition = ta.crossunder(macd,signal) and close < sup and ta.rsi(close,14) < 50 and plusDI < minusDI and adx > 20
//tp
longtp1 = input.float(6, "Long TP 1", minval = 0.0, step = 0.25, group = "Exit LONG Orders") /100
longtp2 = input.float(12, "Long TP 2", minval = 0.0, step = 0.25, group = "Exit LONG Orders") /100
longsl1 = input.float(3.0, "Long SL", minval = 0.0, step = 0.25, group = "Exit LONG Orders") /100
longtakeprofit1 = (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + longtp1))
longstoploss1 = (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - longsl1))
longtakeprofit2 = (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + longtp2))
//sl
shorttp1 = input.float(6.0, "Short TP 1 ", minval = 0.0, step = 0.25, group = "Exit SHORT Orders")/100
shorttp2 = input.float(12.0, "Short TP 2", minval = 0.0, step = 0.25, group = "Exit SHORT Orders")/100
shortsl1 = input.float(3.0, "Short SL", minval = 0.0, step = 0.25, group = "Exit SHORT Orders")/100
shorttakeprofit1 = (strategy.position_avg_price * (1- shorttp1))
shortstoploss1 = (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + shortsl1))
shorttakeprofit2 = (strategy.position_avg_price * (1- shorttp2))
//placeorders
if inversestrategy == false
if direction == "Both"
if longcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("long" , strategy.long )
strategy.exit("exit long 1","long",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = longtakeprofit1,stop = longstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit long 2","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = longstoploss1)
if high >= longtakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit long 2")
strategy.exit("exit long 3","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
if shortcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("short",strategy.short)
strategy.exit("exit short 1","short",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = shorttakeprofit1,stop = shortstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit short 2","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = shortstoploss1)
if low <= shorttakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit short 2")
strategy.exit("exit short 3","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
else if direction == "Long"
if longcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("long" , strategy.long )
strategy.exit("exit long 1","long",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = longtakeprofit1,stop = longstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit long 2","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = longstoploss1)
if high >= longtakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit long 2")
strategy.exit("exit long 3","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
else if direction == "Short"
if shortcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("short",strategy.short)
strategy.exit("exit short 1","short",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = shorttakeprofit1,stop = shortstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit short 2","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = shortstoploss1)
if low <= shorttakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit short 2")
strategy.exit("exit short 3","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
else
if direction == "Both"
if shortcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("long" , strategy.long )
strategy.exit("exit long 1","long",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = longtakeprofit1,stop = longstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit long 2","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = longstoploss1)
if high >= longtakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit long 2")
strategy.exit("exit long 3","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
if longcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("short",strategy.short)
strategy.exit("exit short 1","short",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = shorttakeprofit1,stop = shortstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit short 2","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = shortstoploss1)
if low <= shorttakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit short 2")
strategy.exit("exit short 3","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
else if direction == "Long"
if shortcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("long" , strategy.long )
strategy.exit("exit long 1","long",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = longtakeprofit1,stop = longstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit long 2","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = longstoploss1)
if high >= longtakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit long 2")
strategy.exit("exit long 3","long",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = longtakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
else if direction == "Short"
if longcondition and strategy.opentrades == 0
strategy.entry("short",strategy.short)
strategy.exit("exit short 1","short",qty_percent = sellqty ,limit = shorttakeprofit1,stop = shortstoploss1)
strategy.exit("exit short 2","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = shortstoploss1)
if low <= shorttakeprofit1
strategy.cancel("exit short 2")
strategy.exit("exit short 3","short",qty_percent = 100 ,limit = shorttakeprofit2,stop = strategy.position_avg_price)
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
lsl1 = plot(strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : longstoploss1, color=color.rgb(124, 11, 11), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
ltp1 = plot(strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : longtakeprofit1, color=color.rgb(15, 116, 18), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
ltp2 = plot(strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : longtakeprofit2, color=color.rgb(15, 116, 18), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
avg = plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.rgb(255, 153, 0, 47), style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
fill(ltp1,avg , color =strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : color.rgb(82, 255, 97, 90))
fill(ltp2,ltp1 , color =strategy.position_size <= 0 ? na : color.rgb(82, 255, 97, 90))
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
ssl1 = plot(strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : shortstoploss1, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
stp1 = plot(strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : shorttakeprofit2, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
stp2 = plot(strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : shorttakeprofit1, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1)
fill(stp1,avg , color =strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : color.rgb(30, 92, 35, 90))
fill(stp2,stp1 , color =strategy.position_size >= 0 ? na : color.rgb(30, 92, 35, 90))
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
resplot = plot(res, color=ta.change(res) ? na : #bf141446, linewidth=3, offset=-(rightbars+1), title="res")
supplot = plot(sup, color=ta.change(sup) ? na : #118f113a, linewidth=3, offset=-(rightbars+1), title="sup")