Triple Supertrend Breakout Strategi

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2023-12-21 12:05:07
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Ringkasan

Triple supertrend breakout strategy adalah strategi yang biasa digunakan yang menggunakan beberapa garis supertrend dengan tetapan parameter yang berbeza dan EMA yang menentukan trend untuk mengenal pasti arah trend dan perdagangan.

Prinsip Strategi

Strategi ini menggunakan tiga garis supertrend dengan parameter yang berbeza dan garis EMA yang menentukan trend utama untuk menentukan kemasukan dan keluar:

  1. Tetapkan tiga garis supertrend - supertrend1, supertrend2, supertrend3, dengan warna hijau yang menunjukkan trend menaik dan warna merah yang menunjukkan trend menurun.

  2. Tetapkan garis EMA ematrend untuk menentukan trend utama. Apabila ketiga-tiga garis supertrend berada di atas EMA ini, pasaran ditakrifkan sebagai berada dalam trend menaik, dan sebaliknya untuk trend menurun.

  3. Apabila sekurang-kurangnya dua garis supertrend menunjukkan trend menaik (hijau) secara serentak di bawah keadaan pasaran trend menaik utama, iaitu, nilai arah kurang daripada 0, ia dinilai sebagai isyarat panjang; apabila sekurang-kurangnya dua garis supertrend menunjukkan trend menurun (merah) secara serentak di bawah keadaan pasaran trend menaik utama, iaitu, nilai arah lebih besar daripada 0, ia dinilai sebagai isyarat pendek.

  4. Kemudian, buka kedudukan panjang/pendek apabila isyarat dicetuskan.

  5. Tetapkan syarat stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan. Pendapatan mengambil keuntungan tetap ditetapkan pada nisbah risiko / ganjaran 3; Stop loss yang berturut-turut ditetapkan pada penurunan satu ATR.

  6. Penutupan kedudukan apabila keadaan stop loss atau mengambil keuntungan diaktifkan.

Analisis Kelebihan

Kelebihan strategi ini termasuk:

  1. Menggunakan tiga garis supertrend digabungkan dengan EMA yang menilai trend dapat mengenal pasti isyarat trend dengan berkesan.

  2. Syarat panjang dan pendek jelas dan mudah difahami dan dilaksanakan.

  3. Menetapkan penangguhan kerugian dan mengambil keuntungan tetap secara berkesan menguruskan risiko.

  4. Hyperparameter boleh diselaraskan seperti yang diperlukan untuk mengoptimumkan strategi.

Analisis Risiko

Terdapat juga beberapa risiko untuk strategi ini:

  1. Tetapan parameter yang tidak betul boleh menyebabkan peluang perdagangan yang baik hilang. Tempoh yang berbeza, kelipatan untuk ATR, dan tempoh untuk EMA boleh diuji.

  2. Terdapat beberapa kemungkinan kegagalan, ini boleh dikurangkan dengan menyesuaikan parameter.

  3. Stop loss atau mengambil keuntungan yang ditetapkan terlalu luas boleh meningkatkan kebarangkalian kerugian.

  4. Data backtest boleh dengan mudah membawa kepada masalah overfit.

Arahan pengoptimuman

Beberapa cara strategi ini boleh dioptimumkan:

  1. Uji kombinasi parameter yang optimum. Gabungan yang berbeza dari tempoh ATR, kelipatan, dan tempoh EMA boleh diuji untuk mencari yang terbaik.

  2. Meningkatkan jenis dagangan. Boleh menambah saham, cryptocurrency dan lain-lain untuk menguji keberkesanan di seluruh pasaran.

  3. Gabungkan dengan penunjuk lain untuk penapisan isyarat. Sebagai contoh, RSI, MACD dan lain-lain boleh ditambah untuk mengelakkan salah membaca isyarat trend.

  4. Mengoptimumkan mekanisme stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan.

Kesimpulan

Ringkasnya, strategi terobosan supertrend tiga kali adalah strategi trend yang agak mudah dan praktikal. Ia menggabungkan beberapa garis supertrend dan EMA menilai trend untuk menemui peluang dan menguruskan risiko dengan berkesan. Melalui parameter dan pengoptimuman logik, hasil yang lebih baik dapat dicapai. Strategi ini mudah difahami dan patut dipelajari.


/*backtest
start: 2022-12-14 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-20 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// @version=5
// author=theasgard and moonshot-indicator (ms)
// year 2021
//
// This is a well knowen strategy by using 3 different Supertrends and a trend-defining EMA,
// feel free to play around with the settings, a backtest on 8h ETHUSDT pair brought some good results using 
// the 233EMA and investing 75% of a 10k start capital
//
// the idea is to have at least 2 supertrnds going green above the trend-EMA to go long and exit by turning 
// 2 supertrends red (idea: 1 supertrend in red could initialize a take profit)
// shorts work vice versa
// The EMA shows in green for uptrends and in red for downtrends, if it is blue no Signal will be taken because 
// the 3 supertrends are not all above or below the trendline(EMA)
//
// Update 1:
// Fixed a minor input error
// Added ATR stoploss, and commented out the percentage stop loss
// Added time window to backtest
// Added exit on risk/revard is met
// This version is only buy...wait for next update adding shorts

strategy("ms hypertrender", overlay=true)

// set up 3 supertrendlines and colour the direction up/down
atrPeriod1 = input(10, "ATR Length 1")
factor1 = input.float(1.0, "ATR Factor 1", step = 0.01)
[supertrend1, direction1] = ta.supertrend(factor1, atrPeriod1)
upTrend1 = plot(direction1 < 0 ? supertrend1 : na, "Up Trend 1", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)
downTrend1 = plot(direction1 < 0? na : supertrend1, "Down Trend 1", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr)

atrPeriod2 = input(11, "ATR Length 2")
factor2 = input.float(2.0, "ATR Factor 2", step = 0.01)
[supertrend2, direction2] = ta.supertrend(factor2, atrPeriod2)
upTrend2 = plot(direction2 < 0 ? supertrend2 : na, "Up Trend 2", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)
downTrend2 = plot(direction2 < 0? na : supertrend2, "Down Trend 2", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr)

atrPeriod3 = input(12, "ATR Length 3")
factor3 = input.float(3.0, "ATR Factor 3", step = 0.01)
[supertrend3, direction3] = ta.supertrend(factor3, atrPeriod3)
upTrend3 = plot(direction3 < 0 ? supertrend3 : na, "Up Trend 3", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)
downTrend3 = plot(direction3 < 0? na : supertrend3, "Down Trend 3", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr)

//set up the trend dividing EMA and color uptrend nutreal downtrend
len = input.int(233, minval=1, title="Trend-EMA Length")
src = input(close, title="Source")
offset = input.int(title="Offset", defval=0, minval=-500, maxval=500)

//general Bull or Bear Trend? Visualized by ema
ematrend = ta.ema(src, len)
generaluptrend = supertrend1 > ematrend and supertrend2 > ematrend and supertrend3 > ematrend
generaldowntrend = supertrend1 < ematrend and supertrend2 < ematrend and supertrend3 < ematrend
emacolor = if generaluptrend
    color.green
else if generaldowntrend
    color.red
else
    color.blue
plot(ematrend, title="EMA", color=emacolor, linewidth=3, offset=offset)

// Bullish? min 2 supertrends green
bullish = (direction1 < 0 and direction2 < 0) or (direction1 < 0 and direction3 < 0) or (direction2 < 0 and direction3 < 0) and generaluptrend
extremebullish = direction1 < 0 and direction2 < 0 and direction3 < 0 and generaluptrend //all 3 green

// Bearish? min 2 supertrends red
bearish = (direction1 > 0 and direction2 > 0) or (direction1 > 0 and direction3 > 0) or (direction2 > 0 and direction3 > 0) and generaldowntrend
extremebearish = direction1 > 0 and direction2 > 0 and direction3 > 0 and generaldowntrend //all 3 red

// Open Long
//plotchar(((bullish and not bullish[1]) or (extremebullish and not extremebullish[1])) and (emacolor==color.green)? close : na, title = 'Start Long', char='▲', color = #80eb34, location = location.belowbar, size = size.small)

// TP 10% Long
TP10long = ((generaluptrend and bullish[1]) or (generaluptrend and extremebullish[1])) and (direction1 > 0 or direction2 > 0 or direction3 > 0)
//plotchar(TP10long and not TP10long[1]? close : na, title = 'TP on Long', char='┼', color = #ffd000, location = location.abovebar, size = size.tiny)

// Exit Long
//plotchar(extremebearish and not extremebearish[1] or bearish and not bearish[1]? close : na, title = 'Close all Longs', char='Ꭓ', color = #ff0037, location = location.abovebar, size = size.tiny)
stopsupertrendup = if supertrend1 < supertrend2 and supertrend1 < supertrend3
    (supertrend1)
else if supertrend2 < supertrend1 and supertrend2 < supertrend3
    (supertrend2)
else if supertrend3 < supertrend1 and supertrend3 < supertrend2
    (supertrend3)
lowestLows = ta.lowest(low, 1)
// Open Short
//plotchar(((bearish and not bearish[1]) or (extremebearish and not extremebearish[1])) and (emacolor==color.red)? close : na, title = 'Start Short', char='▼', color = #0547e3, location = location.abovebar, size = size.small)

// TP 10% Short
TP10short = ((generaldowntrend and bearish[1]) or (generaldowntrend and extremebearish[1])) and (direction1 < 0 or direction2 < 0 or direction3 < 0)
//plotchar(TP10short and not TP10short[1]? close : na, title = 'TP on Short', char='┼', color = #ffd000, location = location.belowbar, size = size.tiny)

// Exit Short
//plotchar(extremebullish and not extremebullish[1] or bullish and not bullish[1]? close : na, title = 'Close all Shorts', char='Ꭓ', color = #ff0037, location = location.belowbar, size = size.tiny)
stopsupertrenddown = if supertrend1 > supertrend2 and supertrend1 > supertrend3
    (supertrend1)
else if supertrend2 > supertrend1 and supertrend2 > supertrend3
    (supertrend2)
else if supertrend3 > supertrend1 and supertrend3 > supertrend2
    (supertrend3)
highestHighs = ta.highest(high,1)
// Set stop loss level with input options (optional)
//longLossPerc = input.float(title="Long Stop Loss (%)",
//     minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1) * 0.01

//shortLossPerc = input.float(title="Short Stop Loss (%)",
//     minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1) * 0.01
     
// Determine stop loss price
//longStopPrice  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - longLossPerc)
//shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + shortLossPerc)

openlong = (extremebullish and not extremebullish[1]) and (emacolor==color.green)//(((bullish and not bullish[1]) or 
openshort = (extremebearish and not extremebearish[1]) and (emacolor==color.red)//(((bearish and not bearish[1]) or 
exitlong = lowestLows<(stopsupertrendup - ((stopsupertrendup / 100) * 0.1)) //(extremebearish and not extremebearish[1] or bearish and not bearish[1]) or TP10long or 
exitshort = highestHighs>(stopsupertrenddown - ((stopsupertrenddown / 100) * 0.1)) //(extremebullish and not extremebullish[1] or bullish and not bullish[1]) or TP10short
//strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long, when=openlong)
//strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short, when=openshort)

//strategy.close("buy", when=exitlong)
//strategy.close("sell", when=exitshort)

// Submit exit orders based on calculated stop loss price
//if (strategy.position_size > 0)
//    strategy.exit(id="Long Stop", stop=longStopPrice)

//if (strategy.position_size < 0)
//    strategy.exit(id="Short Stop", stop=shortStopPrice)

backtest_timeframe_start = input(defval = timestamp("01 Apr 2016 13:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest Start Time")
USE_ENDTIME = input(false,title="Define the ending period for backtests (If false, will test up to most recent candle)")
backtest_timeframe_end = input(defval = timestamp("19 Mar 2021 19:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest End Time")
TARGET_PROFIT_MODE = input(false,title="Exit when Risk:Reward met")
REWARD_RATIO = input(3,title="Risk:[Reward] (i.e. 3) for exit")
// Trailing stop loss {
TSL_ON = input(true,title="Use trailing stop loss")
var entry_price = float(0)
ATR_multi_len = 26
ATR_multi = input(2, "ATR multiplier for stop loss")
ATR_buffer = ta.atr(ATR_multi_len) * ATR_multi
plotchar(ATR_buffer, "ATR Buffer", "A", location = location.top)
risk_reward_buffer = (ta.atr(ATR_multi_len) * ATR_multi) * REWARD_RATIO
take_profit_long = low > entry_price + risk_reward_buffer
take_profit_short = low < entry_price - risk_reward_buffer
var trailing_SL_buffer = float(0)
var stop_loss_price = float(0)
stop_loss_price := math.max(stop_loss_price, close - trailing_SL_buffer)
// plot TSL line
trail_profit_line_color = color.green
if strategy.position_size == 0  or not TSL_ON
    trail_profit_line_color := color.black
    stop_loss_price := close - trailing_SL_buffer
plot(stop_loss_price,color=trail_profit_line_color)
// }

if true
    buy_condition = openlong
    exit_condition = exitlong
    //ENTRY:
    if buy_condition
        if strategy.position_size == 0
            entry_price := close
            trailing_SL_buffer := ATR_buffer
            stop_loss_price := close - ATR_buffer
        
        msg = "entry"
        if strategy.position_size > 0
            msg := "pyramiding"
        strategy.entry("Long",strategy.long, comment=msg)

    //EXIT:
    // Case (A) hits trailing stop
    if TSL_ON and strategy.position_size > 0 and close <= stop_loss_price
        if close > entry_price
            strategy.close("Long", comment="take profit [trailing]")
        else if close <= entry_price 
            strategy.close("Long", comment="stop loss")
    // Case (B) take targeted profit relative to risk 
    if strategy.position_size > 0 and TARGET_PROFIT_MODE
        if take_profit_long
            strategy.close("Long", comment="take profits [risk:reward]")
    // Case (C)
    if strategy.position_size > 0 and exit_condition
        if take_profit_long
            strategy.close("Long", comment="exit[rsi]")

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