Estratégia de maximização dos lucros

Autora:ChaoZhang, Data: 2023-12-11 09:21:54
Tags:

Resumo

A ideia central desta estratégia é maximizar os lucros usando o rastreamento de stop loss em movimento, e otimizar a entrada usando filtros e métodos de lucro.

Estratégia lógica

Esta estratégia baseia-se principalmente na estratégia PMax Explorer da KivancOzbilgic, com algumas modificações.

Calcule o PMax com base no ATR e na média móvel.
Adicione o indicador T3 e o preço como filtros para garantir a entrada em uma tendência ascendente.
Configure métodos de take profit: primeiro use a estratégia double BAND para determinar primeiro o take profit; Em seguida, use a estratégia Dice para determinar os lucros de take profit e stop losses subsequentes.
Usar o indicador MOST para ajudar a determinar a tendência, para reduzir operações reversas desnecessárias.

Análise das vantagens

A estratégia PMax em si tem a vantagem de evitar perseguir paradas altas, e o mecanismo de parada móvel ajuda ainda a reduzir o DD.
O duplo filtro garante que só entramos em posições em tendências ascendentes, evitando falhas.
Pontos de lucro múltiplos tornam os lucros mais flexíveis.
O indicador MOST assegura apenas operações longas, evitando a negociação reversa.

Análise de riscos

O próprio PMax tem algum atraso, facilmente perdendo a primeira fuga.
Muitas configurações de filtro também podem perder o ponto de entrada dourado.
Configurações de lucro exageradamente otimistas impedirão que as ordens sejam preenchidas.
A realização de negociações apenas a longo prazo pode dificultar o lucro em produtos com elevada volatilidade.

Direcção de otimização

Pode testar a adição de indicadores semelhantes ao MACD para determinar divergências de curto prazo para um melhor momento de entrada.
Pode testar filtros simplificadores, mantendo apenas um indicador de filtro.
Pode adicionar mecanismo de ajuste automático de lucro, ajustando dinamicamente os pontos de lucro subsequentes com base na volatilidade e na taxa de retorno.
Pode testar permitindo posições curtas, ajustando as proporções de posição com base em filtros.

Resumo

A estratégia geral é centrada em usar o PMax para julgamento de entrada, e projetou vários filtros e métodos de lucro para otimização, que podem produzir bons retornos em produtos de tendência.

/*backtest
start: 2022-12-04 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-10 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © KivancOzbilgic
//developer: @KivancOzbilgic
//author: @enesyetkin

strategy("Y-Profit Maximizer Strategy with Exit Points", shorttitle="Y-PMax Strategy with Exit Points", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=10000, initial_capital=10000, currency=currency.USD, commission_value=0.1, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent)
baslik1 = input(title="-------------------- PMax Ayarları -------------------", defval=false)
src = input(hl2, title="Kaynak")
Periods = input(title="ATR uzunluğu", type=input.integer, defval=10)
Multiplier = input(title="ATR Multiplier", type=input.float, step=0.1, defval=3.0)
mav = input(title="Moving Average Tipi", defval="VAR", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "TMA", "VAR", "WWMA", "ZLEMA", "TSF"])
length =input(13, "Moving Average uzunluğu", minval=1)
filtrelemeacik = input(title="Filtreleme Açık/Kapalı", type=input.bool, defval=false)
filtreleme = input(title="Filtreleme T3/Src (T3 Açık/Src Kapalı)", type=input.bool, defval=false)
changeATR= input(title="ATR Hesaplama Yöntemi Değişsin mi?", type=input.bool, defval=true)
showsupport = input(title="Moving Average i göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
showsignalsk = input(title="Al Sat Sinyallerini göster?", type=input.bool, defval=true)
showsignalsc = input(title="Fiyat/Pmax kesişim sinyallerini göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
highlighting = input(title="Bulut Açık/Kapalı?", type=input.bool, defval=false)


baslik4 = input(title="-------------------- T3 Ayarları --------------------", defval=false)
length1 = input(89, "T3 Uzunluğu")
length2 = input(5, "T3 Filter Uzunluğu")
a1 = input(0.84, "T3 Volume Faktörü")
a13 = 0.84
length12 = input(5, "Fibo T3 Uzunluğu")
a12 = input(0.618, "T3 Fİbo Volume Faktörü")
T31Show = input(title="T3 ü göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
T32Show = input(title= "T3 filtreyi göster?", type=input.bool, defval=false)
T3FiboLine = input(false, title="T3 Fibonacci Oranlı Çizgiler?")

shownum = true

baslik7 = input(title="---------------- Take Profit Ayarları --------------", defval=false)

len = input(25, "Yılan Genişliği")
domcycle = input(20, minval=10, title="Dominant Döngü Genişliği")
rapida = input(8, "Hızlı Ort")
lenta = input(26, "Yavaş Ort")
stdv = input(0.8, "Genişlik")
tpfiltre = input(false, title="TP Filtresi avg2/avg4?")
tplevelshow = input(false, title="TP Level ve Exit Level Sayım Açık Kapalı?")
tp1show =  input(false, title="Erken TP Açık Kapalı")

baslik8 = input(title="------------------- MOST Ayarları ------------------", defval=false)

src_most=input(close,"Source")
AP2 = input(defval=8,title="Length",minval=1)
AF2 = input(defval=2,title="Percent",minval=0.1)/100
mav1 = input(title="Moving Average Tipi", defval="ZLEMovA", options=["EMovA","ZLEMovA"])
plotbuysell = input(true, "Al Sat Etiketleri", input.bool)


  
///T3 1&2
e1 = ema((high + low + 2 * close) / 4, length1)
e2 = ema(e1, length1)
e3 = ema(e2, length1)
e4 = ema(e3, length1)
e5 = ema(e4, length1)
e6 = ema(e5, length1)
c1 = -a1 * a1 * a1
c2 = 3 * a1 * a1 + 3 * a1 * a1 * a1
c3 = -6 * a1 * a1 - 3 * a1 - 3 * a1 * a1 * a1
c4 = 1 + 3 * a1 + a1 * a1 * a1 + 3 * a1 * a1
T3 = c1 * e6 + c2 * e5 + c3 * e4 + c4 * e3

e13 = ema((high + low + 2 * close) / 4, length2)
e23 = ema(e13, length2)
e33 = ema(e23, length2)
e43 = ema(e33, length2)
e53 = ema(e43, length2)
e63 = ema(e53, length2)
c13 = -a13 * a13 * a13
c23 = 3 * a13 * a13 + 3 * a13 * a13 * a13
c33 = -6 * a13 * a13 - 3 * a13 - 3 * a13 * a13 * a13
c43 = 1 + 3 * a13 + a13 * a13 * a13 + 3 * a13 * a13
T33 = c13 * e63 + c23 * e53 + c33 * e43 + c43 * e33


///PMax

atr2 = sma(tr, Periods)
atr= changeATR ? atr(Periods) : atr2
valpha=2/(length+1)
vud1=src>src[1] ? src-src[1] : 0
vdd1=src<src[1] ? src[1]-src : 0
vUD=sum(vud1,9)
vDD=sum(vdd1,9)
vCMO=nz((vUD-vDD)/(vUD+vDD))
VAR=0.0
VAR:=nz(valpha*abs(vCMO)*src)+(1-valpha*abs(vCMO))*nz(VAR[1])
wwalpha = 1/ length
WWMA = 0.0
WWMA := wwalpha*src + (1-wwalpha)*nz(WWMA[1])
zxLag = length/2==round(length/2) ? length/2 : (length - 1) / 2
zxEMAData = (src + (src - src[zxLag]))
ZLEMA = ema(zxEMAData, length)
lrc = linreg(src, length, 0)
lrc1 = linreg(src,length,1)
lrs = (lrc-lrc1)
TSF = linreg(src, length, 0)+lrs
getMA(src, length) =>
    ma = 0.0
    if mav == "SMA"
        ma := sma(src, length)
        ma

    if mav == "EMA"
        ma := ema(src, length)
        ma

    if mav == "WMA"
        ma := wma(src, length)
        ma

    if mav == "TMA"
        ma := sma(sma(src, ceil(length / 2)), floor(length / 2) + 1)
        ma

    if mav == "VAR"
        ma := VAR
        ma

    if mav == "WWMA"
        ma := WWMA
        ma

    if mav == "ZLEMA"
        ma := ZLEMA
        ma

    if mav == "TSF"
        ma := TSF
        ma
    
    if mav == "T3"
        ma := T3
        ma
    ma
    
MAvg=getMA(src, length)
longStop = MAvg - Multiplier*atr
longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop)
longStop := MAvg > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop
shortStop = MAvg + Multiplier*atr
shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop)
shortStop := MAvg < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop
dir = 1
dir := nz(dir[1], dir)
dir := dir == -1 and MAvg > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and MAvg < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir
PMax = dir==1 ? longStop: shortStop


///MOST
zxLag1 = AP2/2==round(AP2/2) ? AP2/2 : (AP2 - 1) / 2
zxEMAData1 = (src_most + (src_most - src_most[zxLag1]))
ZLEMA1 = ema(zxEMAData1, AP2)

getMA1(src, length) =>
    ma1 = 0.0
    if mav1 == "EMovA"
        ma1 := ema(close, 8)
        ma1

    if mav1 == "ZLEMovA"
        ma1 := ZLEMA1
        ma1

Trail1 = getMA1(src, length)
SL2 = Trail1*AF2 // Stop Loss

Trail2 = 0.0
Trail2 := iff(Trail1>nz(Trail2[1],0) and Trail1[1]>nz(Trail2[1],0),max(nz(Trail2[1],0),Trail1-SL2),iff(Trail1<nz(Trail2[1],0) and Trail1[1]<nz(Trail2[1],0),min(nz(Trail2[1],0),Trail1+SL2),iff(Trail1>nz(Trail2[1],0),Trail1-SL2,Trail1+SL2)))

Buy = crossover(Trail1, Trail2)
Sell = crossunder(Trail1, Trail2)
SR=(iff(Trail1 > Trail2 ,1, iff(Trail2 > Trail1,-1,0)))



////T3 TILLSON 1


col1 = T3 > T3[1]
col3 = T3 < T3[1]
col4 = T33 > T33[1]
col5 = T33 < T33[1]
color_1 = col1 ? color.green : col3 ? color.red : color.yellow
color_4 = col4 ? color.green : col5 ? color.red : color.yellow


e12 = ema((high + low + 2 * close) / 4, length12)
e22 = ema(e12, length12)
e32 = ema(e22, length12)
e42 = ema(e32, length12)
e52 = ema(e42, length12)
e62 = ema(e52, length12)
c12 = -a12 * a12 * a12
c22 = 3 * a12 * a12 + 3 * a12 * a12 * a12
c32 = -6 * a12 * a12 - 3 * a12 - 3 * a12 * a12 * a12
c42 = 1 + 3 * a12 + a12 * a12 * a12 + 3 * a12 * a12
T32 = c12 * e62 + c22 * e52 + c32 * e42 + c42 * e32

col12 = T32 > T32[1]
col32 = T32 < T32[1]



///TP BB ve SNAKE

h = ema(high, len)
l = ema(low, len)

hp = h / h[len]
lp = l / l[len]

avg = avg(hp, lp)

havg = ema(highest(avg, len), len)
lavg = ema(lowest(avg, len), len)

avg2 = avg(havg, lavg)
avg3 = avg(havg, avg2)
avg4 = avg(havg, avg3)

dif = havg - avg2

ust = havg + dif
alt = lavg - dif

///BB on MACD

SDev = 0.0
banda_supe = 0.0
banda_inf = 0.0
m_rapida = ema(close,rapida)
m_lenta = ema(close,lenta)
BBMacd = m_rapida - m_lenta
Avg = ema(BBMacd,9)
SDev := stdev(BBMacd,9)
banda_supe := Avg + stdv * SDev
banda_inf := Avg - stdv * SDev

color2 = col12 ? color.blue : col32 ? color.purple : color.yellow

TS1 = plot(Trail1, "ExMov", style=plot.style_line,color=Trail1 > Trail2 ? color.blue : color.yellow, linewidth=2)
TS2 = plot(Trail2, "Most", style=plot.style_line,color=Trail1 > Trail2 ? color.green : color.red, linewidth=2)




tp1 = tpfiltre ? crossunder(BBMacd,banda_supe)  and (avg>avg2) and (MAvg>PMax) and nz(MAvg[10]) > nz(PMax[10]) : crossunder(BBMacd,banda_supe)  and (avg>avg4) and (MAvg>PMax) and nz(MAvg[15]) > nz(PMax[15])
plotshape(tp1 and tp1show, title="TP1", text="TP1", location=location.abovebar, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.aqua, textcolor=color.white,transp=0) 

plot(T31Show ? T3 : na, color=color_1, linewidth=3, title="T3")
plot(T32Show ? T33 : na, color=color_4, linewidth=3, title="T3 Filter")
plot(T3FiboLine and T32 ? T32 : na, color=color2, linewidth=2, title="T3fibo")
plot(showsupport ? MAvg : na, color=#0585E1, linewidth=2, title="Moving Avg Line")
pALL=plot(PMax, color=color.red, linewidth=2, title="PMax", transp=100)
alertcondition(crossover(MAvg, PMax), title="1- Alım Sinyali", message="{{ticker}}, kapanış fiyatı = {{close}} için Alım Sinyali!")
alertcondition(crossunder(MAvg, PMax), title="2- Satım Sinyali", message="{{ticker}}, kapanış fiyatı = {{close}} için Satım Sinyali!")


buySignalk = filtrelemeacik ? filtreleme ? (crossover(MAvg, PMax) and T33>T3) : (crossover(MAvg, PMax) and src>T3): crossover(MAvg, PMax)
  


plotshape(buySignalk and showsignalsk ? PMax*0.995 : na, title="AL", text="AL", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
sellSignallk = crossunder(MAvg, PMax)
plotshape(sellSignallk and showsignalsk ? PMax*1.005 : na, title="Sat", text="SAT", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
buySignalc = crossover(src, PMax) 
plotshape(buySignalc and showsignalsc ? PMax*0.995 : na, title="AL-Fiyat", text="AL", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=#0F18BF, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
sellSignallc = crossunder(src, PMax)
plotshape(sellSignallc and showsignalsc ? PMax*1.005 : na, title="Sat-Fiyat", text="SAT", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=#0F18BF, textcolor=color.white, transp=0)
mPlot = plot(ohlc4, title="", style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=0,display=display.none)
longFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg>PMax ? color.green : na) : na
shortFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg<PMax ? color.red : na) : na
fill(mPlot, pALL, title="Yükseliş Trend Bulutu", color=longFillColor)
fill(mPlot, pALL, title="Düşüş Trend Bulutu", color=shortFillColor)


tplevel = 0
//tplevel := tp1 ? nz(tplevel[1])==0 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 2 : 0 : nz(tplevel[1])==0 ? 0 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 2 : sellSignallk ? 0 : 0
//tplevel := sellSignallk or MAvg < PMax ? 0 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==8 ? 9 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==7 ? 8 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==6 ? 7 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==5 ? 6 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==4 ? 5 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==3 ? 4 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 3 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 2 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 2 : nz(tplevel[1])==3 ? 3 : nz(tplevel[1])==4 ? 4 : nz(tplevel[1])==5 ? 5 : nz(tplevel[1])==6 ? 6 : nz(tplevel[1])==7 ? 7 : nz(tplevel[1])==8 ? 8 : nz(tplevel[1])==9 ? 9 : 1 
tplevel := sellSignallk or MAvg < PMax ? 0 : Trail1 < Trail2 ? 0 : tp1 and nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 2 : nz(tplevel[1])==1 ? 1 : nz(tplevel[1])==2 ? 2 : 1

exitlevel = 0

exitlevel := sellSignallk or MAvg < PMax ? 0 : Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==1 ? 2 : Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==2 ? 3 : Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==3 ? 4 :  Sell and  nz(tplevel[1])==2 and nz(exitlevel[1])==4 ? 5: nz(exitlevel[1])==1 ? 1  : nz(exitlevel[1])==2 ? 2 : nz(exitlevel[1])==3 ? 3 : nz(exitlevel[1])==4 ? 4 : nz(exitlevel[1])==5 ? 5:  1

plotchar(tplevel==0 and tplevelshow, char='0', color=color.green)
plotchar(tplevel==1 and tplevelshow , char='1', color=color.green)
plotchar(tplevel==2 and tplevelshow, char='2', color=color.green) 


plotshape(exitlevel==0 and tplevelshow , text='0', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red) 
plotshape(exitlevel==1 and tplevelshow , text='1', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red) 
plotshape(exitlevel==2 and tplevelshow , text='2', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red) 
plotshape(exitlevel==3 and tplevelshow , text='3', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red)
plotshape(exitlevel==4 and tplevelshow , text='4', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red)
plotshape(exitlevel==5 and tplevelshow , text='5', location=location.belowbar, style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red)

plotshape(nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel>=2, title="TP", text="TP", location=location.abovebar, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.white,transp=0)

if (buySignalk)
    strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)

if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==2
    strategy.exit ("Exit1", from_entry="Buy", limit=close, qty_percent = 33.3)

//if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==3
  //  strategy.exit ("Exit2", from_entry="Buy", limit=close, qty_percent = 33.3)
    
if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==3
    strategy.exit ("Exit2", from_entry="Buy", limit=close, qty_percent = 50)
    
if nz(tplevel[1])==2 and Sell and exitlevel==4
    strategy.exit ("Exit3", from_entry="Buy", limit=close)  


if (sellSignallk)
    strategy.close_all()

Mais.