Estrategia de la Nube Nueve de Ichimoku orientada al comercio

El autor:¿ Qué pasa?, fecha: 2024-02-19 11:35:05
Las etiquetas:

Resumen general

La estrategia Ichimoku Cloud Nine se basa en el indicador Ichimoku Cloud combinado con el uso de fractales de Williams.

Estrategia lógica

La estrategia utiliza principalmente las siguientes señales de Ichimoku para entrar en operaciones:

Kumo Breakout: genera señal cuando el precio cierra por encima o por debajo de la nube
TK Cross: genera señal cuando Tenkan cruza Kijun
Kumo Twist: genera señal cuando el Senkou Span A cruza el Senkou Span B
Edge to Edge: genera una señal cuando el precio entra en ambos lados de la nube

La estrategia se utilizará para salir de las operaciones en las siguientes situaciones:

Cierre del precio dentro de la nube
TK Cruzar en dirección opuesta
Violación del fractal de Williams en dirección opuesta

La estrategia combina múltiples señales Ichimoku para aumentar la confiabilidad mientras utiliza fractales como stop loss para controlar el riesgo.

Ventajas

En comparación con las estrategias de señal única, esta estrategia filtra las señales a través de múltiples señales Ichimoku, mejorando la precisión.

El uso de fractales como stop loss controla activamente el riesgo y bloquea los beneficios.

Los riesgos

Principales riesgos a los que se enfrenta:

La naturaleza de la nube de Ichimoku
Las múltiples señales pueden ser demasiado conservadoras y perder oportunidades.
La pérdida de parada fractal podría ser eliminada

Mitigaciones: ajustar parámetros o eliminar algunas señales.

Oportunidades de mejora

Áreas principales de optimización:

Ajustar los parámetros de Ichimoku para diferentes productos
Eliminar algunas señales, retener las reglas básicas
Ajuste los parámetros fractales para usar marcos de tiempo más largos o solo para parcialmente
Añadir otros indicadores como el volumen

Conclusión

La estrategia Ichimoku Cloud Nine mejora el comercio Ichimoku combinando señales para aumentar la precisión y la tasa de ganancia. El uso de fractales gestiona el riesgo. Los parámetros y señales se pueden optimizar para el comercio automatizado en diferentes productos.

/*backtest
start: 2024-01-19 00:00:00
end: 2024-02-18 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy("Ichimoku Cloud Nine", shorttitle="Ichimoku Cloud Nine", overlay=true, calc_on_every_tick = true, calc_on_order_fills = false, initial_capital = 5000, currency = "USD", default_qty_type = "percent_of_equity", default_qty_value = 10, pyramiding = 3, process_orders_on_close = true)

color green = #459915
color red = #991515

// --------
// Fractals
// --------

// Define "n" as the number of periods and keep a minimum value of 2 for error handling.
close_on_fractal = input.bool(false, title="Use William Fractals for SL?", group = "Fractals")
n = input.int(title="Periods", defval=2, minval=2, group = "Fractals")
fractal_close_percentage = input.int(100, minval=1, maxval=100, title="Position % to close on fractal breach", group = "Fractals")
selected_fractals_timeframe = input.timeframe('Current', "Timeframe", options=["Current", "1D", "12H", "8H", "4H", "1H"], group = "Fractals", tooltip = "Timeframe to use to look for fractals. Example: if 12H is selected, it will close positions when the last 12H fractal is breached.")

string fractals_timeframe = switch selected_fractals_timeframe
    "1D" => "1D"
    "12H" => "720"
    "8H" => "480"
    "4H" => "240"
    "1H" => "60"
    // Default used when the three first cases do not match.
    => ""

prev_high = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, fractals_timeframe, high)
prev_low = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, fractals_timeframe, low)

period_high=prev_high
period_low=prev_low

// UpFractal
bool upflagDownFrontier = true
bool upflagUpFrontier0 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier1 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier2 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier3 = true
bool upflagUpFrontier4 = true

for i = 1 to n
    upflagDownFrontier := upflagDownFrontier and (period_high[n-i] < period_high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier0 := upflagUpFrontier0 and (period_high[n+i] < period_high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier1 := upflagUpFrontier1 and (period_high[n+1] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+i + 1] < period_high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier2 := upflagUpFrontier2 and (period_high[n+1] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+2] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+i + 2] < period_high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier3 := upflagUpFrontier3 and (period_high[n+1] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+2] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+3] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+i + 3] < period_high[n])
    upflagUpFrontier4 := upflagUpFrontier4 and (period_high[n+1] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+2] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+3] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+4] <= period_high[n] and period_high[n+i + 4] < period_high[n])
flagUpFrontier = upflagUpFrontier0 or upflagUpFrontier1 or upflagUpFrontier2 or upflagUpFrontier3 or upflagUpFrontier4

upFractal = (upflagDownFrontier and flagUpFrontier)

var float upFractalPrice = 0

if (upFractal)
    upFractalPrice := period_high[n]

// downFractal
bool downflagDownFrontier = true
bool downflagUpFrontier0 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier1 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier2 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier3 = true
bool downflagUpFrontier4 = true

for i = 1 to n
    downflagDownFrontier := downflagDownFrontier and (period_low[n-i] > period_low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier0 := downflagUpFrontier0 and (period_low[n+i] > period_low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier1 := downflagUpFrontier1 and (period_low[n+1] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+i + 1] > period_low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier2 := downflagUpFrontier2 and (period_low[n+1] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+2] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+i + 2] > period_low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier3 := downflagUpFrontier3 and (period_low[n+1] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+2] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+3] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+i + 3] > period_low[n])
    downflagUpFrontier4 := downflagUpFrontier4 and (period_low[n+1] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+2] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+3] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+4] >= period_low[n] and period_low[n+i + 4] > period_low[n])
flagDownFrontier = downflagUpFrontier0 or downflagUpFrontier1 or downflagUpFrontier2 or downflagUpFrontier3 or downflagUpFrontier4

downFractal = (downflagDownFrontier and flagDownFrontier)

var float downFractalPrice = 0

if (downFractal)
    downFractalPrice := period_low[n]

plotshape(downFractal, style=shape.triangledown, location=location.belowbar, offset=-n, color=#F44336, size = size.auto)
plotshape(upFractal, style=shape.triangleup,   location=location.abovebar, offset=-n, color=#009688, size = size.auto)

// --------
// Ichimoku
// --------

previous_close = close[1]

conversionPeriods = input.int(20, minval=1, title="Conversion Line Periods", group = "Cloud Settings"),
basePeriods = input.int(60, minval=1, title="Base Line Periods", group = "Cloud Settings")
laggingSpan2Periods = input.int(120, minval=1, title="Lagging Span 2 Periods", group = "Cloud Settings"),
displacement = input.int(30, minval=1, title="Displacement", group = "Cloud Settings")


long_entry = input.bool(true, title="Longs", group = "Entries", tooltip = "Will look for longs")
short_entry = input.bool(true, title="Shorts", group = "Entries", tooltip = "Will look for shorts")
wait_for_twist = input.bool(true, title="Wait for kumo twist?", group = "Entries", tooltip = "Will wait for the Kumo to turn green (longs) or red (shorts)")
ignore_lagging_span = input.bool(true, title="Ignore Lagging Span Signal?", group = "Entries", tooltip = "Will not wait for lagging span to be above/below price and cloud")
bounce_entry = input.bool(true, title="Kijun Bounce", group = "Entries", tooltip = "Will enter position on a Kijun bounce")

e2e_entry = input.bool(true, title="Enable", group = "Edge 2 Edge", tooltip = "Will look for edge-to-edge trades")
e2e_entry_tk_confluence = input.bool(true, title="Require TK Confluence?", group = "Edge 2 Edge", tooltip = "Require confluent TK cross in order to enter an e2e trade")
min_cloud_thickness = input.float(10, minval=1, title="Minimun Cloud Thickness (%)", group = "Edge 2 Edge", tooltip = "Minimum cloud thickness for entering e2e trades")

donchian(len) => math.avg(ta.lowest(len), ta.highest(len))

tenkan = donchian(conversionPeriods)
kijun = donchian(basePeriods)
spanA = math.avg(tenkan, kijun)
spanB = donchian(laggingSpan2Periods)

plot(tenkan, color=#0496ff, title="Tenkan-Sen", linewidth = 2)
plot(kijun, color=red, title="Kijun-Sen", linewidth = 2)
plot(close, offset = -displacement, color=color.gray, title="Chikou Span")

p1 = plot(spanA, offset = displacement, color=green, title="Senkou Span A")
p2 = plot(spanB, offset = displacement, color=red, title="Senkou Span B")
fill(p1, p2, color = spanA > spanB ? color.new(green, 50) : color.new(red, 50))

cloud_high = math.max(spanA[displacement], spanB[displacement])
cloud_low = math.min(spanA[displacement], spanB[displacement])

lagging_span_above_price_and_cloud = (close > close[displacement] and close > cloud_high[displacement]) or ignore_lagging_span
lagging_span_below_price_and_cloud = (close < close[displacement] and close < cloud_low[displacement]) or ignore_lagging_span

step1=cloud_high-cloud_low
step2=(cloud_high+cloud_low)/2
cloud_thickness = (step1/step2)*100

// --------
// Trades
// --------

// LONGS
// kumo breakout
if (long_entry and ta.crossover(close, cloud_high) and tenkan > kijun and close > kijun and lagging_span_above_price_and_cloud and (not wait_for_twist or spanA > spanB))
    comment = "Long - Kumo Breakout"
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// tk cross above cloud
if (long_entry and close > cloud_high and ta.crossover(tenkan, kijun) and lagging_span_above_price_and_cloud and (not wait_for_twist or spanA > spanB))
    comment = "Long - TK Cross"
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// kumo twist
if (long_entry and close > cloud_high and tenkan > kijun and ta.crossover(spanA, spanB) and lagging_span_above_price_and_cloud)
    comment = "Long - Kumo Twist"
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// close inside cloud
if (ta.crossunder(close, cloud_high))
    comment = "Close Long - Close inside cloud"
    strategy.close("Long", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// bearish tk cross
if (ta.crossunder(tenkan, kijun))
    comment = "Close Long - TK Cross"
    strategy.close("Long", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)


if (close_on_fractal and ta.crossunder(low, downFractalPrice))
    comment = "Close Long - Fractal"
    strategy.close("Long", comment = comment, qty_percent = fractal_close_percentage)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)


// SHORTS
// kumo breakout
if (short_entry and ta.crossunder(close, cloud_low) and tenkan < kijun and close < kijun and lagging_span_below_price_and_cloud and (not wait_for_twist or spanA < spanB))
    comment = "Short - Kumo Breakout"
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// tk cross below cloud
if (short_entry and close < cloud_low and ta.crossunder(tenkan, kijun) and lagging_span_below_price_and_cloud and (not wait_for_twist or spanA < spanB))
    comment = "Short - TK Cross"
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// kumo twist
if (short_entry and close < cloud_low and tenkan < kijun and lagging_span_below_price_and_cloud and ta.crossunder(spanA, spanB))
    comment = "Short - Kumo Twist"
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// close inside cloud
if (ta.crossover(close, cloud_low))
    comment = "Close Short - Close inside cloud"
    strategy.close("Short", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// bullish tk cross
if (ta.crossover(tenkan, kijun))
    comment = "Close Short - TK Cross"
    strategy.close("Short", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (close_on_fractal and ta.crossover(high, upFractalPrice))
    comment = "Close Short - Fractal"
    strategy.close("Short", comment = comment, qty_percent = fractal_close_percentage)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)


// BULL EDGE TO EDGE
if (e2e_entry and e2e_entry_tk_confluence and ta.crossover(close, cloud_low) and tenkan > kijun and open > kijun and cloud_thickness > min_cloud_thickness)
    comment = "Long e2e"
    strategy.entry("Long e2e", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (e2e_entry and not e2e_entry_tk_confluence and ta.crossover(close, cloud_low) and open > kijun and cloud_thickness > min_cloud_thickness)
    comment = "Long e2e"
    strategy.entry("Long e2e", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (ta.cross(high, cloud_high))
    comment = "Close Long e2e - Target Hit"
    strategy.close("Long e2e", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (ta.crossunder(close, cloud_low))
    comment = "Close Long e2e - Close below cloud"
    strategy.close("Long e2e", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)
 
if (close_on_fractal and ta.crossunder(low, downFractalPrice))
    comment = "Close Long e2e - Fractal"
    strategy.close("Long e2e", comment = comment, qty_percent = fractal_close_percentage)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// BEAR EDGE TO EDGE
if (e2e_entry and e2e_entry_tk_confluence and ta.crossunder(close, cloud_high) and tenkan < kijun and open < kijun and cloud_thickness > min_cloud_thickness)
    comment = "Short e2e"
    strategy.entry("Short e2e", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (e2e_entry and not e2e_entry_tk_confluence and ta.crossunder(close, cloud_high) and open < kijun and cloud_thickness > min_cloud_thickness)
    comment = "Short e2e"
    strategy.entry("Short e2e", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (ta.cross(low, cloud_low))
    comment = "Close Short e2e - Target Hit"
    strategy.close("Short e2e", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (ta.crossover(close, cloud_high))
    comment = "Close Short e2e - Close below cloud"
    strategy.close("Short e2e", comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)
 
if (close_on_fractal and ta.crossover(high, upFractalPrice))
    comment = "Close Short e2e - Fractal"
    strategy.close("Short e2e", comment = comment, qty_percent = fractal_close_percentage)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

// Kijun Bounce
if (bounce_entry and long_entry and open > cloud_high and open > kijun and ta.crossunder(low, kijun) and close > kijun and tenkan > kijun and kijun > cloud_high and lagging_span_above_price_and_cloud)
    comment = "Long - Kijun Bounce"
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

if (bounce_entry and short_entry and open < cloud_low and open < kijun and ta.crossover(high, kijun) and close < kijun and tenkan < kijun and kijun < cloud_low and lagging_span_below_price_and_cloud)
    comment = "Short - Kijun Bounce"
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment = comment)
    alert(comment, alert.freq_once_per_bar)

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