
これは,双反転信号を組み合わせたトレンド追跡戦略である. 123の反転戦略とパフォーマンス指数戦略を統合し,価格の反転点を追跡し,より信頼できるトレンド判断を実現する.
この戦略は以下の2つの子戦略で構成されています.
14日K線で反転信号を判断する.具体的ルールは:
この指数として,過去14日間の上昇と低下を計算します.
最終信号は2種類の信号の合成である.すなわち,同方向の多空信号が必要で,実際の買取り操作が生じることである.
信号の信頼性を高めるため,部分的なノイズをフィルターします.
この二重反転システムには以下の利点があります.
この戦略にはいくつかのリスクがあります.
ビジネスモデルを考えるには,以下のポイントを考慮する必要があります.
この戦略は,二重反転判断を統合し,価格転換点を効果的に発見できる.信号発生の確率が低下しているものの,信頼性が高く,中長線トレンドを捕捉するのに適しています.パラメータ調整と多因子最適化によって戦略の効果をさらに高めることができます.
/*backtest
start: 2023-11-12 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-12 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=4
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// Copyright by HPotter v1.0 15/04/2021
// This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
//
// First strategy
// This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
// Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
// The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
// during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
// The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
// during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
//
// Second strategy
// The Performance indicator or a more familiar term, KPI (key performance indicator),
// is an industry term that measures the performance. Generally used by organizations,
// they determine whether the company is successful or not, and the degree of success.
// It is used on a business’ different levels, to quantify the progress or regress of a
// department, of an employee or even of a certain program or activity. For a manager
// it’s extremely important to determine which KPIs are relevant for his activity, and
// what is important almost always depends on which department he wants to measure the
// performance for. So the indicators set for the financial team will be different than
// the ones for the marketing department and so on.
//
// Similar to the KPIs companies use to measure their performance on a monthly, quarterly
// and yearly basis, the stock market makes use of a performance indicator as well, although
// on the market, the performance index is calculated on a daily basis. The stock market
// performance indicates the direction of the stock market as a whole, or of a specific stock
// and gives traders an overall impression over the future security prices, helping them decide
// the best move. A change in the indicator gives information about future trends a stock could
// adopt, information about a sector or even on the whole economy. The financial sector is the
// most relevant department of the economy and the indicators provide information on its overall
// health, so when a stock price moves upwards, the indicators are a signal of good news. On the
// other hand, if the price of a particular stock decreases, that is because bad news about its
// performance are out and they generate negative signals to the market, causing the price to go
// downwards. One could state that the movement of the security prices and consequently, the movement
// of the indicators are an overall evaluation of a country’s economic trend.
//
// WARNING:
// - For purpose educate only
// - This script to change bars colors.
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level) =>
vFast = sma(stoch(close, high, low, Length), KSmoothing)
vSlow = sma(vFast, DLength)
pos = 0.0
pos := iff(close[2] < close[1] and close > close[1] and vFast < vSlow and vFast > Level, 1,
iff(close[2] > close[1] and close < close[1] and vFast > vSlow and vFast < Level, -1, nz(pos[1], 0)))
pos
PI(Period) =>
pos = 0.0
xKPI = (close - close[Period]) * 100 / close[Period]
pos := iff(xKPI > 0, 1,
iff(xKPI < 0, -1, nz(pos[1], 0)))
pos
strategy(title="Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Perfomance index", shorttitle="Combo", overlay = true)
line1 = input(true, "---- 123 Reversal ----")
Length = input(14, minval=1)
KSmoothing = input(1, minval=1)
DLength = input(3, minval=1)
Level = input(50, minval=1)
//-------------------------
line2 = input(true, "---- Perfomance index ----")
Period = input(14, minval=1)
reverse = input(false, title="Trade reverse")
posReversal123 = Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level)
posPI = PI(Period)
pos = iff(posReversal123 == 1 and posPI == 1 , 1,
iff(posReversal123 == -1 and posPI == -1, -1, 0))
possig = iff(reverse and pos == 1, -1,
iff(reverse and pos == -1 , 1, pos))
if (possig == 1 )
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if (possig == -1 )
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)
if (possig == 0)
strategy.close_all()
barcolor(possig == -1 ? #b50404: possig == 1 ? #079605 : #0536b3 )