Strategi penekanan kadar turun naik adalah sistem perdagangan yang menggabungkan Bollinger Bands (BB) dan Keltner Channel (KC). Ia bertujuan untuk menangkap pergerakan utama pasaran dengan memantau penembusan harga dan isyarat trend. Strategi ini menumpukan perhatian pada tempoh penekanan pasaran (low volatility) dan penembusan berikutnya (high volatility), cuba memasuki pasaran sebelum pergerakan harga besar-besaran bermula.
Strategi penekanan kadar turun naik penembusan adalah identifikasi penurunan dan peningkatan kadar turun naik di pasaran. Bollinger Bands dibentuk dengan pengiraan standard deviasi harga, manakala Keltner Channel adalah berdasarkan purata jangkauan sebenar (ATR). Apabila Bollinger Bands dikompresi di dalam Keltner Channel, ia menunjukkan penurunan kadar turun naik di pasaran, mungkin akan ada penembusan harga yang besar-besaran.
Kelebihan utama strategi ini ialah ia menggabungkan penunjuk kadar turun naik dan penunjuk trend untuk memberikan perspektif pasaran yang menyeluruh. Dengan gabungan Brin Belt dan Keltner Channel, strategi ini dapat mengenal pasti pergerakan pasaran yang berpotensi secara besar-besaran. Selain itu, penggunaan susunan trend EMA dapat membantu menentukan arah pasaran dan mengurangkan isyarat yang salah.
Risiko utama strategi penembusan penekanan kadar turun naik adalah isyarat penembusan palsu dan ketidakpastian pasaran. Dalam keadaan pasaran dengan kadar turun naik yang tinggi, Bollinger Bands mungkin sering ditembusi, menghasilkan isyarat yang menyesatkan. Selain itu, jika trend pasaran tidak ditentukan dengan betul, strategi mungkin menghasilkan perdagangan yang tidak menguntungkan.
Strategi ini boleh dioptimumkan dengan pelbagai cara. Pertama, ia boleh disesuaikan dengan keadaan pasaran yang berbeza dengan menyesuaikan parameter Brin Belt dan Keltner Channel. Kedua, indikator teknikal lain boleh diperkenalkan, seperti indeks relatif lemah (RSI) atau purata bergerak berpusing-pusing (MACD) untuk memberikan isyarat pengesahan perdagangan tambahan.
Strategi penekanan kemerosotan turun naik adalah sistem perdagangan yang kuat dan fleksibel yang menggabungkan kelebihan Brin Belt dan Keltner Channel. Dengan memantau turun naik pasaran dan isyarat trend, ia dapat mengenal pasti pergerakan pasaran besar-besaran dengan berkesan. Walaupun strategi mempunyai risiko tertentu, dengan pengoptimuman dan penyesuaian parameter yang sesuai, kecekapan dan ketepatannya dapat ditingkatkan dengan ketara.
/*backtest
start: 2023-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-09 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © Bishnu103
//@version=4
strategy(title="Squeeze Breakout using BB and KC [v1.0][Bishnu103]",shorttitle="BB BREAKOUT",overlay=true,calc_on_every_tick=true)
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// input variables
bbLength = input(title="BB Length", minval=1, defval=20)
bbStdDev = input(title="BB StdDev", minval=1, defval=2)
kcLength = input(title="KC Length", minval=1, defval=20)
kcMult = input(title="KC Mult", defval=1.5)
atrLength = input(title="ATR Length", minval=1, defval=20)
entry_distance = input(title="Entry distance from alert", minval=1, maxval=10, defval=10)
bb_squeeze_switch = input(title="BB Squeeze Check", type=input.bool, defval=true)
bb_squeeze_width = input(title="BB Squeeze Width", minval=1.0, defval=3.0)
bb_in_kc_switch = input(title="BB within KC Check", type=input.bool, defval=false)
ema_trend_switch = input(title="EMA Trend Check", type=input.bool, defval=false)
show_bb_switch = input(title="Show BB", type=input.bool, defval=true)
show_kc_switch = input(title="Show KC", type=input.bool, defval=true)
show_8ema_switch = input(title="Show 8EMA", type=input.bool, defval=true)
show_emas_switch = input(title="Show EMAs", type=input.bool, defval=false)
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// global variables
closed_above_bb = false
closed_below_bb = false
// variable values available across candles
var entry_price = 0.0
var sl_price = 0.0
var exit_price_8ema = 0.0
var candle_count = 0
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// function to return bollinger band values based on candle poition passed
getBB(pos) =>
float basis = sma(close[pos], bbLength)
float dev = bbStdDev * stdev(close[pos], bbLength)
[basis, basis + dev, basis - dev]
// function to return Keltner Channel values based on candle poition passed
getKC(pos) =>
mKC = ema(close[pos],kcLength)
range = kcMult * atr(atrLength)[pos]
uKC = mKC + range
lKC = mKC - range
[mKC,uKC,lKC]
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// strategy
//
// get current bb value
[mBB_0,uBB_0,lBB_0] = getBB(0)
[mBB_1,uBB_1,lBB_1] = getBB(1)
// if a candle closes above bb and previous candle closed inside bb then it's a bullish signal
if close[0] > uBB_0
closed_above_bb := true
entry_price := high[0]
// if a candle closes above bb and previous candle closed inside bb then it's a bullish signal
if close[0] < lBB_0
closed_below_bb := true
entry_price := low[0]
// check if BB is in squeeze
bb_in_squeeze = bb_squeeze_switch ? ((uBB_1 - lBB_1) < (atr(20)[1] * bb_squeeze_width)) : true
// 6 candle's bb prior to the alert candle, are within keltner channel on either upper side of the bands or on lower side of the bands
// bb
[mBB_2,uBB_2,lBB_2] = getBB(2)
[mBB_3,uBB_3,lBB_3] = getBB(3)
[mBB_4,uBB_4,lBB_4] = getBB(4)
[mBB_5,uBB_5,lBB_5] = getBB(5)
[mBB_6,uBB_6,lBB_6] = getBB(6)
// kc
[mKC_1,uKC_1,lKC_1] = getKC(1)
[mKC_2,uKC_2,lKC_2] = getKC(2)
[mKC_3,uKC_3,lKC_3] = getKC(3)
[mKC_4,uKC_4,lKC_4] = getKC(4)
[mKC_5,uKC_5,lKC_5] = getKC(5)
[mKC_6,uKC_6,lKC_6] = getKC(6)
// check if either side 6 candle's bb are inside kc
lower_squeeze_is_good = uBB_1 < uKC_1 and uBB_2 < uKC_2 and uBB_3 < uKC_3 and uBB_4 < uKC_4 and uBB_5 < uKC_5 and uBB_6 < uKC_6
upper_squeeze_is_good = lBB_1 > lKC_1 and lBB_2 > lKC_2 and lBB_3 > lKC_3 and lBB_4 > lKC_4 and lBB_5 > lKC_5 and lBB_6 > lKC_6
squeeze_is_good = bb_in_kc_switch ? (upper_squeeze_is_good or lower_squeeze_is_good) : true
// EMAs (8, 21, 34, 55, 89) should be aligned in sequence
ema_8 = ema(close,8)
ema_21 = ema(close,21)
ema_34 = ema(close,34)
ema_55 = ema(close,55)
ema_89 = ema(close,89)
ema_trend_check1 = ema_trend_switch and closed_above_bb and ema_8 > ema_21 and ema_21 > ema_34 and ema_34 > ema_55 and ema_55 > ema_89
ema_trend_check2 = ema_trend_switch and closed_below_bb and ema_8 < ema_21 and ema_21 < ema_34 and ema_34 < ema_55 and ema_55 < ema_89
ema_trend_check = ema_trend_switch ? (ema_trend_check1 or ema_trend_check2) : true
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// entry conditions
long_entry = closed_above_bb and bb_in_squeeze and squeeze_is_good and ema_trend_check
short_entry = closed_below_bb and bb_in_squeeze and squeeze_is_good and ema_trend_check
candle_count := candle_count + 1
if long_entry or short_entry
candle_count := 0
if long_entry or short_entry
exit_price_8ema := na
if long_entry or short_entry
sl_price := mBB_0
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// exit conditions
// long trade - a candle closes below 8ema and in next candle price crosses low of previous candle
// short trade - a candle closes above 8ema and in next candle price crosses high of previous candle
long_exit_8ema = strategy.position_size > 0 and crossunder(close,ema(close,8))
short_exit_8ema = strategy.position_size < 0 and crossover(close,ema(close,8))
if long_exit_8ema
exit_price_8ema := low
if short_exit_8ema
exit_price_8ema := high
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// position sizing
price = if close[0] > 25000
25000
else
price = close[0]
qty = 25000/price
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// entry
if long_entry
strategy.entry("BUY", strategy.long, qty, stop=entry_price, comment="BUY @ "+ tostring(entry_price))
if short_entry and candle_count < 11
strategy.entry("SELL", strategy.short, qty, stop=entry_price, comment="SELL @ "+ tostring(entry_price))
if candle_count > entry_distance
strategy.cancel("BUY",true)
strategy.cancel("SELL",true)
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// exit
if strategy.position_size > 0 and long_exit_8ema
strategy.exit("EXIT using 8EMA", "BUY", stop=exit_price_8ema, comment="EXIT @ "+ tostring(exit_price_8ema))
if strategy.position_size < 0 and short_exit_8ema
strategy.exit("EXIT using 8EMA", "SELL", stop=exit_price_8ema, comment="EXIT @ "+ tostring(exit_price_8ema))
// ***********************************************************************************************************************
// plots
//
// plot BB
[mBBp,uBBp,lBBp] = getBB(0)
p_mBB = plot(show_bb_switch ? mBBp : na, color=color.teal)
p_uBB = plot(show_bb_switch ? uBBp : na, color=color.teal)
p_lBB = plot(show_bb_switch ? lBBp : na, color=color.teal)
fill(p_uBB,p_lBB,color=color.teal,transp=95)
// plot KC
[mKCp,uKCp,lKCp] = getKC(0)
p_uKC = plot(show_kc_switch ? uKCp : na, color=color.red)
p_lKC = plot(show_kc_switch ? lKCp : na, color=color.red)
// plot 8 ema
plot(show_8ema_switch?ema_8:na,color=color.blue)
// plot EMAs
plot(show_emas_switch ? ema_8 : na, color=color.green)
plot(show_emas_switch ? ema_21 : na, color=color.lime)
plot(show_emas_switch ? ema_34 : na, color=color.maroon)
plot(show_emas_switch ? ema_55 : na, color=color.orange)
plot(show_emas_switch ? ema_89 : na, color=color.purple)