Estrategia de trading a corto plazo basada en ZigZag con múltiples patrones


Fecha de creación: 2024-01-23 15:09:13 Última modificación: 2024-01-23 15:09:13
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Estrategia de trading a corto plazo basada en ZigZag con múltiples patrones

Descripción general

La estrategia se basa en el indicador ZigZag para identificar las formas de la línea K, y en combinación con la línea de retroceso de Fibonacci para establecer la ventana de entrada, el precio de parada y el precio de pérdida, para realizar operaciones en línea corta. La estrategia admite varias formas, incluidas 13 formas de tendencias de dos trayectorias, como Bat, Butterfly y Gartley.

Principio de estrategia

  1. Identificación de posibles puntos de inflexión con el indicador ZigZag
  2. Calcule los 4 puntos de inflexión más recientes para determinar si coinciden con cualquiera de las 13 formas predefinidas
  3. La entrada se produce si el par se corresponde y el precio entra en la zona de retracción de Fibonacci de 0.382
  4. El parón está configurado en la línea de retiro de 0.618, el parón en la línea de retiro de -0.618
  5. Las formas efectivas incluyen las comunes Bat, Butterfly y Gartley, así como algunas formas invertidas, como Anti-Bat, Anti-Butterfly, etc.

Análisis de las ventajas

  1. La estrategia aprovecha las ventajas de los indicadores ZigZag para filtrar eficazmente el ruido del mercado e identificar puntos de cambio de tendencia más claros
  2. La combinación de múltiples formas de aumentar las oportunidades de entrada y controlar los riesgos
  3. Utiliza el retorno de Fibonacci para establecer puntos de referencia para estandarizar la entrada y el cierre de la pérdida de Take profit

Análisis de riesgos

  1. Los indicadores ZigZag son sensibles a los parámetros y necesitan ser ajustados para encontrar la mejor combinación de parámetros
  2. El ajuste de formas masivas aumenta el riesgo de ajuste de curvas, y el efecto en disco puede ser más débil que el retroceso
  3. Si se consideran sólo los cuatro últimos puntos de inflexión, no se puede identificar una forma más compleja.
  4. No tener en cuenta las pruebas de reanudación después de la ruptura de la línea de retirada, lo que puede causar un cese prematuro de los daños

Dirección de optimización

  1. Optimización de los parámetros ZigZag para encontrar la combinación óptima
  2. Pruebas de efectividad de las formas adicionales, como la confirmación de que el precio de cierre se considera un punto clave
  3. Añadir más formas de línea K y ampliar las oportunidades de entrada
  4. Aumentar el mecanismo de retiro y re-prueba para reducir el riesgo de deterioro

Resumir

La estrategia utiliza el indicador ZigZag y la forma de la línea K para juzgar los puntos de conversión de la tendencia, la configuración de la lógica de salida de entrada estandarizada de la zona de retiro de Fibonacci, y es una estrategia de negociación de línea corta con potencial. La clave es encontrar la combinación de parámetros óptima, mientras que el mecanismo de suspensión de pérdidas se ajusta adecuadamente, con la esperanza de obtener un mejor efecto en el campo de juego.

Código Fuente de la Estrategia
/*backtest
start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59
period: 2h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4

strategy(title='[STRATEGY][RS]ZigZag PA Strategy V4', shorttitle='S', overlay=true)
useHA = input(false, title='Use Heikken Ashi Candles')
useAltTF = input(true, title='Use Alt Timeframe')
tf = input('60', title='Alt Timeframe')
showPatterns = input(true, title='Show Patterns')
showFib0000 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.000:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0236 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.236:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0382 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.382:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0500 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.500:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0618 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.618:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib0764 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 0.764:', type=bool, defval=true)
showFib1000 = input(title='Display Fibonacci 1.000:', type=bool, defval=true)
zigzag() =>
    _isUp = close >= open
    _isDown = close <= open
    _direction = _isUp[1] and _isDown ? -1 : _isDown[1] and _isUp ? 1 : nz(_direction[1])
    _zigzag = _isUp[1] and _isDown and _direction[1] != -1 ? highest(2) : _isDown[1] and _isUp and _direction[1] != 1 ? lowest(2) : na

_ticker = useHA ? heikenashi(syminfo.tickerid) : syminfo.tickerid
sz = useAltTF ? (ta.change(time(tf)) != 0 ? request.security(_ticker, tf, zigzag()) : na) : zigzag()

plot(sz, title='zigzag', color=color.black, linewidth=2)

//  ||---   Pattern Recognition:

x = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 4) 
a = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 3) 
b = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 2) 
c = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 1) 
d = ta.valuewhen(sz, sz, 0)

xab = (abs(b-a)/abs(x-a))
xad = (abs(a-d)/abs(x-a))
abc = (abs(b-c)/abs(a-b))
bcd = (abs(c-d)/abs(b-c))

//  ||-->   Functions:
isBat(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.382 and xab <= 0.5
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618
    _xad = xad <= 0.618 and xad <= 1.000    // 0.886
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiBat(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.886    // 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.000 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.13 --> 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618    // 2.0  --> 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.886 and xad <= 1.000    // 1.13
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAltBat(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab <= 0.382
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 2.0 and bcd <= 3.618
    _xad = xad <= 1.13
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isButterfly(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab <= 0.786
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 1.27 and xad <= 1.618
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiButterfly(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.236 and xab <= 0.886    // 0.382 - 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.130 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.130 - 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.000 and bcd <= 1.382    // 1.27
    _xad = xad >= 0.500 and xad <= 0.886    // 0.618 - 0.786
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isABCD(_mode)=>
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.13 and bcd <= 2.618
    _abc and _bcd and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isGartley(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.5 and xab <= 0.618 // 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.13 and bcd <= 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.75 and xad <= 0.875 // 0.786
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiGartley(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.886    // 0.618 -> 0.786
    _abc = abc >= 1.000 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.130 -> 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.500 and bcd <= 5.000    // 1.618
    _xad = xad >= 1.000 and xad <= 5.000    // 1.272
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isCrab(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.875    // 0.886
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.886    
    _bcd = bcd >= 2.000 and bcd <= 5.000    // 3.618
    _xad = xad >= 1.382 and xad <= 5.000    // 1.618
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiCrab(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.250 and xab <= 0.500    // 0.276 -> 0.446
    _abc = abc >= 1.130 and abc <= 2.618    // 1.130 -> 2.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.618 and bcd <= 2.618    // 1.618 -> 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.500 and xad <= 0.750    // 0.618
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isShark(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.500 and xab <= 0.875    // 0.5 --> 0.886
    _abc = abc >= 1.130 and abc <= 1.618    //
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.270 and bcd <= 2.240    //
    _xad = xad >= 0.886 and xad <= 1.130    // 0.886 --> 1.13
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isAntiShark(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.382 and xab <= 0.875    // 0.446 --> 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 0.500 and abc <= 1.000    // 0.618 --> 0.886
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.250 and bcd <= 2.618    // 1.618 --> 2.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.500 and xad <= 1.250    // 1.130 --> 1.130
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

is5o(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 1.13 and xab <= 1.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.618 and abc <= 2.24
    _bcd = bcd >= 0.5 and bcd <= 0.625 // 0.5
    _xad = xad >= 0.0 and xad <= 0.236 // negative?
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isWolf(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 1.27 and xab <= 1.618
    _abc = abc >= 0 and abc <= 5
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.27 and bcd <= 1.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.0 and xad <= 5
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isHnS(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 2.0 and xab <= 10
    _abc = abc >= 0.90 and abc <= 1.1
    _bcd = bcd >= 0.236 and bcd <= 0.88
    _xad = xad >= 0.90 and xad <= 1.1
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isConTria(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 0.382 and xab <= 0.618
    _abc = abc >= 0.382 and abc <= 0.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 0.382 and bcd <= 0.618
    _xad = xad >= 0.236 and xad <= 0.764
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

isExpTria(_mode)=>
    _xab = xab >= 1.236 and xab <= 1.618
    _abc = abc >= 1.000 and abc <= 1.618
    _bcd = bcd >= 1.236 and bcd <= 2.000
    _xad = xad >= 2.000 and xad <= 2.236
    _xab and _abc and _bcd and _xad and (_mode == 1 ? d < c : d > c)

plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isABCD(-1) and not isABCD(-1)[1], text="\nAB=CD", title='Bear ABCD', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0, offset=-2)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isBat(-1) and not isBat(-1)[1], text="Bat", title='Bear Bat', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0, offset=-2)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiBat(-1) and not isAntiBat(-1)[1], text="Anti Bat", title='Bear Anti Bat', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0, offset=-2)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAltBat(-1) and not isAltBat(-1)[1], text="Alt Bat", title='Bear Alt Bat', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isButterfly(-1) and not isButterfly(-1)[1], text="Butterfly", title='Bear Butterfly', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiButterfly(-1) and not isAntiButterfly(-1)[1], text="Anti Butterfly", title='Bear Anti Butterfly', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isGartley(-1) and not isGartley(-1)[1], text="Gartley", title='Bear Gartley', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiGartley(-1) and not isAntiGartley(-1)[1], text="Anti Gartley", title='Bear Anti Gartley', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isCrab(-1) and not isCrab(-1)[1], text="Crab", title='Bear Crab', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiCrab(-1) and not isAntiCrab(-1)[1], text="Anti Crab", title='Bear Anti Crab', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isShark(-1) and not isShark(-1)[1], text="Shark", title='Bear Shark', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiShark(-1) and not isAntiShark(-1)[1], text="Anti Shark", title='Bear Anti Shark', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : is5o(-1) and not is5o(-1)[1], text="5-O", title='Bear 5-O', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isWolf(-1) and not isWolf(-1)[1], text="Wolf Wave", title='Bear Wolf Wave', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isHnS(-1) and not isHnS(-1)[1], text="Head and Shoulders", title='Bear Head and Shoulders', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isConTria(-1) and not isConTria(-1)[1], text="Contracting Triangle", title='Bear Contracting triangle', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isExpTria(-1) and not isExpTria(-1)[1], text="Expanding Triangle", title='Bear Expanding Triangle', style=shape.labeldown, color=maroon, textcolor=white, location=location.top, transp=0)

plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isABCD(1) and not isABCD(1)[1], text="AB=CD\n", title='Bull ABCD', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isBat(1) and not isBat(1)[1], text="Bat", title='Bull Bat', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiBat(1) and not isAntiBat(1)[1], text="Anti Bat", title='Bull Anti Bat', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAltBat(1) and not isAltBat(1)[1], text="Alt Bat", title='Bull Alt Bat', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isButterfly(1) and not isButterfly(1)[1], text="Butterfly", title='Bull Butterfly', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiButterfly(1) and not isAntiButterfly(1)[1], text="Anti Butterfly", title='Bull Anti Butterfly', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isGartley(1) and not isGartley(1)[1], text="Gartley", title='Bull Gartley', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiGartley(1) and not isAntiGartley(1)[1], text="Anti Gartley", title='Bull Anti Gartley', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isCrab(1) and not isCrab(1)[1], text="Crab", title='Bull Crab', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiCrab(1) and not isAntiCrab(1)[1], text="Anti Crab", title='Bull Anti Crab', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isShark(1) and not isShark(1)[1], text="Shark", title='Bull Shark', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isAntiShark(1) and not isAntiShark(1)[1], text="Anti Shark", title='Bull Anti Shark', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : is5o(1) and not is5o(1)[1], text="5-O", title='Bull 5-O', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isWolf(1) and not isWolf(1)[1], text="Wolf Wave", title='Bull Wolf Wave', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isHnS(1) and not isHnS(1)[1], text="Head and Shoulders", title='Bull Head and Shoulders', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isConTria(1) and not isConTria(1)[1], text="Contracting Triangle", title='Bull Contracting Triangle', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)
plotshape(not showPatterns ? na : isExpTria(1) and not isExpTria(1)[1], text="Expanding Triangle", title='Bull Expanding Triangle', style=shape.labelup, color=green, textcolor=white, location=location.bottom, transp=0)

//-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
fib_range = abs(d-c)
fib_0000 = not showFib0000 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.000):d+(fib_range*0.000)
fib_0236 = not showFib0236 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.236):d+(fib_range*0.236)
fib_0382 = not showFib0382 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.382):d+(fib_range*0.382)
fib_0500 = not showFib0500 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.500):d+(fib_range*0.500)
fib_0618 = not showFib0618 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.618):d+(fib_range*0.618)
fib_0764 = not showFib0764 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*0.764):d+(fib_range*0.764)
fib_1000 = not showFib1000 ? na : d > c ? d-(fib_range*1.000):d+(fib_range*1.000)
plot(title='Fib 0.000', series=fib_0000, color=fib_0000 != fib_0000[1] ? na : black)
plot(title='Fib 0.236', series=fib_0236, color=fib_0236 != fib_0236[1] ? na : red)
plot(title='Fib 0.382', series=fib_0382, color=fib_0382 != fib_0382[1] ? na : olive)
plot(title='Fib 0.500', series=fib_0500, color=fib_0500 != fib_0500[1] ? na : lime)
plot(title='Fib 0.618', series=fib_0618, color=fib_0618 != fib_0618[1] ? na : teal)
plot(title='Fib 0.764', series=fib_0764, color=fib_0764 != fib_0764[1] ? na : blue)
plot(title='Fib 1.000', series=fib_1000, color=fib_1000 != fib_1000[1] ? na : black)

bgcolor(not useAltTF ? na : change(time(tf))!=0?black:na)
f_last_fib(_rate)=>d > c ? d-(fib_range*_rate):d+(fib_range*_rate)

trade_size = input(title='Trade size:', type=float, defval=1.00)
ew_rate = input(title='Fib. Rate to use for Entry Window:', type=float, defval=0.382)
tp_rate = input(title='Fib. Rate to use for TP:', type=float, defval=0.618)
sl_rate = input(title='Fib. Rate to use for SL:', type=float, defval=-0.618)
buy_patterns_00 = isABCD(1) or isBat(1) or isAltBat(1) or isButterfly(1) or isGartley(1) or isCrab(1) or isShark(1) or is5o(1) or isWolf(1) or isHnS(1) or isConTria(1) or isExpTria(1)
buy_patterns_01 = isAntiBat(1) or isAntiButterfly(1) or isAntiGartley(1) or isAntiCrab(1) or isAntiShark(1)
sel_patterns_00 = isABCD(-1) or isBat(-1) or isAltBat(-1) or isButterfly(-1) or isGartley(-1) or isCrab(-1) or isShark(-1) or is5o(-1) or isWolf(-1) or isHnS(-1) or isConTria(-1) or isExpTria(-1)
sel_patterns_01 = isAntiBat(-1) or isAntiButterfly(-1) or isAntiGartley(-1) or isAntiCrab(-1) or isAntiShark(-1)
buy_entry = (buy_patterns_00 or buy_patterns_01) and close <= f_last_fib(ew_rate)
buy_close = high >= f_last_fib(tp_rate) or low <= f_last_fib(sl_rate)
sel_entry = (sel_patterns_00 or sel_patterns_01) and close >= f_last_fib(ew_rate)
sel_close = low <= f_last_fib(tp_rate) or high >= f_last_fib(sl_rate)
strategy.entry('buy', long=strategy.long, qty=trade_size, comment='buy', when=buy_entry)
strategy.close('buy', when=buy_close)
strategy.entry('sell', long=strategy.short, qty=trade_size, comment='sell', when=sel_entry)
strategy.close('sell', when=sel_close)