Strategi Rata-rata Pergerakan Crossover Bollinger Band dengan Osilator Momentum


Tanggal Pembuatan: 2023-12-19 11:34:46 Akhirnya memodifikasi: 2023-12-19 11:34:46
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Strategi Rata-rata Pergerakan Crossover Bollinger Band dengan Osilator Momentum

Ringkasan

Strategi ini adalah strategi perdagangan kuantitatif berdasarkan Bollinger Bands dan MACD. Ini menggabungkan dua indikator teknis utama untuk mengidentifikasi peluang perdagangan yang bertujuan untuk mendapatkan tingkat kemenangan yang lebih tinggi dalam situasi yang sedang tren.

Strategi ini akan membangun multi-head mencari Trend Following saat harga menembus Bollinger Banding, posisi kosong saat harga menembus tren; dan menggunakan indikator MACD untuk menilai arah momentum untuk memfilter terobosan palsu. Indikator RSI dapat dikonfigurasi untuk membantu menilai overbought dan oversold untuk menghindari kerugian lebih lanjut.

Prinsip Strategi

Strategi ini terutama terdiri dari indikator Bollinger Bands dan MACD.

Bollinger Bands adalah perhitungan standar deviasi dari harga saham di atas dan di bawah rel, harga saham di atas rel adalah sinyal overbought, turun di bawah rel adalah sinyal oversold. Strategi ini melakukan lebih banyak ketika harga turun di bawah rel, turun di atas rel adalah stop loss.

Indeks MACD menilai pergerakan dan arah harga saham. Rata-rata jangka pendek menembus rata-rata jangka panjang sebagai sinyal beli, sebaliknya sebagai sinyal jual. Strategi ini menggabungkan indikator MACD untuk menyaring terobosan palsu Bollinger Bands.

Selain itu, indikator RSI dapat membantu menentukan apakah overbought atau oversold. RSI rendah menunjukkan oversold, dapat meningkatkan sinyal beli, dan RSI tinggi menunjukkan overbought, dapat meningkatkan sinyal jual.

Keunggulan Strategis

Strategi ini menggabungkan tiga indikator Bollinger Bands, MACD, dan RSI, yang dapat secara efektif menilai tren dan fluktuasi harga. Strategi ini memiliki keuntungan sebagai berikut:

  1. Bollinger Bands dapat mengevaluasi kisaran pergerakan harga dan menangkap Trend Following.
  2. MACD menilai arah momentum, memfilter laporan palsu Bollinger
  3. RSI membantu menilai overbought dan oversold, menghindari posisi tinggi
  4. Dapatkan tingkat kemenangan yang lebih tinggi melalui optimasi parameter

Risiko Strategis

Strategi ini juga memiliki beberapa risiko yang perlu diperhatikan:

  1. Risiko Stop Loss Lebih Besar Saat Harga Saham Bergolak
  2. Parameter yang tidak disetel pada waktu yang tepat akan menurunkan profitabilitas.
  3. Indeks MACD salah menilai saat tren berbalik

Tanggapan:

  1. Amplitudo Stop Loss yang Sesuai
  2. Perhitungan berulang untuk menemukan kombinasi parameter yang optimal
  3. Ada lebih banyak indikator yang dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi perubahan harga.

Arah optimasi strategi

Strategi ini memiliki beberapa optimasi utama:

  1. Optimalkan parameter Bollinger Bands untuk menyesuaikan diri dengan lebih banyak kondisi pasar
  2. Menambahkan penilaian indikator dan meningkatkan stabilitas strategi
  3. Parameter yang dioptimalkan secara otomatis menggunakan algoritma pembelajaran mesin
  4. Tes efektifitas strategi pada data frekuensi tinggi
  5. Menambahkan Modul Manajemen Uang untuk Mengontrol Kerugian Tunggal

Meringkaskan

Strategi ini secara keseluruhan adalah strategi pelacakan tren yang khas. Ini menggabungkan berbagai indikator teknis untuk meningkatkan stabilitas, dan dapat menghasilkan tingkat kemenangan yang baik ketika penilaian akurat. Namun, ada juga risiko tertentu yang perlu diperhatikan.

Kode Sumber Strategi
/*backtest
start: 2022-12-12 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-18 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © tedwardd

// This strategy is intended to help users of the 3commas.io platform backtest bot performance based on a Bollinger Strategy.
// It can also be used to signal a bot to open a deal by providing the Bot ID, email token and trading pair in the strategy settings screen.
// As currently written, this strategy uses a basic Bollinger Band strategy, recommening a deal start when the closing price crosses under the lower band.
// The thick red line plotted on the chart shows the average entry price of the current deal.

strategy("[v1.3laoowai]BNB_USDT_3m_3Commas_Bollinger_Strategy_by_tedwardd", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=1000, initial_capital=900, currency="USD", commission_value=0.1)

// 3Commas Bot settinsg
bot_type                = input(title="Simple bot", defval="simple", options=["simple", "composite"])
bot_id                  = input(title="3Commas Bot ID", defval="")
email_token             = input(title="Bot Email Token", defval="")
base_order_size         = input(title="Base order size",minval=10, step=1, defval=10)
safety_order_size       = input(title="Safety order size", minval=15, step=1, defval=400)
volume_scale            = input(title="Safety Order Vol Scale (%)", minval=0.00, step=0.01, defval=1.83)
safety_step             = input(title="Safety Order Step Scale (%)", minval=0.00, step=0.1, defval=1.55)
safety_max              = input(title="Max Number of Safety Orders", minval=0, step=1, defval=2)
initial_deviation_input = input(title="Initial SO Deviation (%)", minval=0, step=0.01, defval=1.54) * 0.01
stoploss_input          = input(title="Long Stop Loss (%)", minval=0, step=1, defval=15) * 0.01
takeprofit_input        = input(title="Long Take Profit (%)", minval=0, step=1, defval=1.4) * 0.01

// USER INPUTS
sma_short_val           = input(title="Short MA Window", defval=21)
sma_long_val            = input(title="Long MA Window", defval=100)
ubOffset                = input(title="Upper Band Offset", defval=2.2, step=0.5)
lbOffset                = input(title="Lower Band Offset", defval=2.40, step=0.5)
cross                   = input(title="Entrry at Cross Over/Under Lower", defval="under", options=["over", "under"])

// Backtesting Date Ranges
startDate  = input(title="Start Date", defval=1, minval=1, maxval=31)
startMonth = input(title="Start Month", defval=1, minval=1, maxval=12)
startYear  = input(title="Start Year", defval=2016, minval=1800, maxval=2100)
endDate    = input(title="End Date", defval=31, minval=1, maxval=31)
endMonth   = input(title="End Month", defval=12, minval=1, maxval=12)
endYear    = input(title="End Year", defval=2022, minval=1800, maxval=2100)

// VARS
short_sma        = sma(close, sma_short_val)
long_sma         = sma(close, sma_long_val)
stdDev           = stdev(close, sma_short_val)
upperBand        = short_sma + (stdDev * ubOffset)
lowerBand        = short_sma - (stdDev * lbOffset)
stoploss_value   = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stoploss_input)
takeprofit_value = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + takeprofit_input)
initial_dev_val  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - initial_deviation_input)
inDateRange      = true

initial_deviation = close < initial_dev_val

// Market Conditions
goodBuy    = cross=="over"?crossover(close, lowerBand):crossunder(close, lowerBand) // Buy when close crossing lower band
safety     = initial_deviation and (1-(close/strategy.position_avg_price))/.01 > strategy.opentrades-1 * safety_step and strategy.opentrades <= safety_max // SO when price deviates below SO threshold %
stoploss   = close <= stoploss_value // Stoploss condition - true if closing price for current bar drops below stoploss %
takeprofit = close >= takeprofit_value // Take profit condition - true if closing price for current bar is >= take profit percentage
goodSell = crossover(high, upperBand)

// goodSell is currently unused for any practical purpose. If you wish to try it, switch these two values. 
// Doing so will make sell suggestions at high crossover upper bollinger but it does not trigger the bot to sell as written but may affect backtest results

// Plot some lines
plot(short_sma, color=color.green)
plot(upperBand)
plot(lowerBand, color=color.yellow)
plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.red, linewidth=3)


// Webhook message. Defaults to string. To signal 3c bot, fill in bot_id and email_token in user settings
var enter_msg = "Enter Position"
var exit_msg  = "Exit Position"
var close_all = "Exit Position"
if bot_id != "" and email_token != ""
    if bot_type == "composite"
        enter_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "pair": "' + syminfo.currency + "_" + syminfo.basecurrency + '"}'
    else
        enter_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ',  "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0}'
    if bot_type == "composite"
        exit_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "pair": "' + syminfo.currency + "_" + syminfo.basecurrency + '", "action": "close_at_market_price"}'
    else
        exit_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "action": "close_at_market_price"}'
    close_all := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "action": "close_at_market_price_all"}'

actual_safety_size = float(safety_order_size) // Set safety order size to starting safety
if strategy.opentrades > 1 // If we have more than two open trades we need to start scaling the safety size by the volume_scale
    actual_safety_size := (strategy.position_size - base_order_size) * volume_scale // Remove base order from total position size and scale it for next safety order

// Momentum Strategy (BTC/USDT; 1h) - MACD (with source code) by Drun30

//@version=4
// Getting inputs
fast_length = input(title="Fast Length", type=input.integer, defval=23,group="MACD")
slow_length = input(title="Slow Length", type=input.integer, defval=16,group="MACD")
src = input(title="Source", type=input.source, defval=open,group="MACD")

signal_length = input(title="Signal Smoothing", type=input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 50, defval = 9,group="MACD")
sma_source1 = input(title="Simple MA FAST (Oscillator)", defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")
sma_source2 = input(title="Simple MA SLOW (Oscillator)", defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")

sma_signal = input(title="Simple MA(Signal Line)",defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")
// Calculating
ma(source,length,type)=>
    type=="FEMA"?4*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(ema(ema(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FSMA"?4*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(sma(sma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FWMA"?4*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(wma(wma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FRMA"?4*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(rma(rma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="TEMA"?3*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(ema(source,length),length),length):type=="TSMA"?3*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(sma(source,length),length),length):type=="TWMA"?3*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(wma(source,length),length),length):type=="TRMA"?3*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(rma(source,length),length),length):type=="EMA"?ema(source,length):type=="SMA"?sma(source,length):type=="WMA"?wma(source,length):type=="RMA"?rma(source,length):type=="DEMA"?2*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(source,length),length):type=="DSMA"?2*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(source,length),length):type=="DWMA"?2*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(source,length),length):type=="DRMA"?2*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(source,length),length):type=="HMA"?hma(source,length):type=="DHMA"?2*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(source,length),length):type=="THMA"?3*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(hma(source,length),length),length):type=="FHMA"?4*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(hma(hma(source,length),length),length),length):ema(source,length)
fast_ma = ma(src,fast_length,sma_source1)  
slow_ma = ma(src,slow_length,sma_source2)
macd = fast_ma - slow_ma //Differenza tra la media mobile veloce e quella lenta 
signal = ma(macd,signal_length,sma_signal) //usa o la SMA oppure la EMA sulla differenza tra la media mobile veloce e lenta
hist = macd - signal //Differenza tra la differenza precedente e la media mobile della differenza

use_stress=input(true,title="Use stress on recent bars",group="Stress")
recent_stress=input(0.41,title="Stress on recent bars",group="Stress",step=0.01,minval=0.01,maxval=0.99)
level=input(6,title="Level of stress",group="Stress")
if use_stress 
    macd:=macd*(1/(1-recent_stress))
    if not na(macd[1])
        macd:=pow((macd*(recent_stress)),level)+(1-recent_stress*macd[1])

use_ma= input(true,title="Use moving average (MACD)?",group="Moving Average")
if use_ma
    macd:=ma(macd,input(36,title="Length",group="Moving Average"),input(title="Type MA",defval="THMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="Moving Average"))

use_linreg= input(true,title="Use linear regression (MACD)?",group="Linear Regression")
if use_linreg
    macd:=linreg(macd,input(10,title="Length",group="Linear Regression"),input(1,title="Offset",group="Linear Regression"))

//macd == linea blu (differenza tra media mobile veloce e media mobile lenta)
//signal == linea arancione (media mobile dell'macd)
//hist == istogramma (differenza tra macd e media mobile)

on_cross = input(false,title="Use cross macd and signal",group="Condition entry/exit")
on_minmax = input(true,title="Use min/max macd",group="Condition entry/exit")


aperturaLong = change(macd)>0//crossover(macd,signal)
aperturashort=not (change(macd)>0)//crossunder(macd,signal)

if on_cross
    on_minmax:=false
    aperturaLong := crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort := crossunder(macd,signal)
if on_minmax
    on_cross:=false
    aperturaLong := change(macd)>0//crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort:=change(macd)<0//crossunder(macd,signal)

rsiFilter = input(false,title="Use RSI filter?",group="RSI")
rsiTP = input(true,title="Use RSI Take Profit?",group="RSI")

len=input(22,title="RSI period",group="RSI")
srcr=input(close,title="RSI source",group="RSI")
rsi=rsi(srcr,len)
ovb=input(90,title="Overbought height",group="RSI") 
ovs=input(45,title="Oversold height",group="RSI")
okLong=rsi<ovb and change(macd)>0 and change(macd)[1]<=0
okShort=rsi>ovs and change(macd)<0 and change(macd)[1]>=0
if not rsiFilter
    okLong:=true
    okShort:=true
    
usiLong=input(true,title="Use long?")
usiShort=input(true,title="Use short?")

chiusuraShort=rsi<ovs or (aperturaLong)
chiusuraLong=rsi>ovb or (aperturashort)
if rsiTP
    aperturaLong := change(macd)>0 and change(macd)[1]<=0 and rsi<ovb//crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort:=change(macd)<0 and change(macd)[1]>=0 and rsi>ovs//crossunder(macd,signal)

if not rsiTP
    chiusuraShort:=okLong and aperturaLong
    chiusuraLong:=okShort and aperturashort
    
//if chiusuraShort 
//    strategy.close("SHORTISSIMO")
//if usiLong and strategy.position_size<=0 and okLong and aperturaLong
//    strategy.entry("LONGHISSIMO",true)
//if chiusuraLong 
//    strategy.close("LONGHISSIMO")
//if usiShort and strategy.position_size>=0 and okShort and aperturashort
//    strategy.entry("SHORTISSIMO",false)

// Strategy Actions
//Buy
if inDateRange and goodBuy
    strategy.entry("Good Buy", strategy.long, base_order_size, when = strategy.opentrades <= 0, alert_message=enter_msg)
if inDateRange and safety
    strategy.order("Good Buy", strategy.long, actual_safety_size, when = strategy.opentrades > 0, comment = "safety order", alert_message=enter_msg)

// Sell
if inDateRange and goodSell
    strategy.close_all(comment="Good sell point", alert_message=exit_msg)
if inDateRange and stoploss
    strategy.close_all(comment="Stoploss", alert_message=exit_msg)
//if inDateRange and takeprofit
//    strategy.close_all(comment="TP Target", alert_message=exit_msg)
if usiShort and strategy.position_size>=0 and okShort and aperturashort
    strategy.close_all(comment="SHORTISSIMO", alert_message=exit_msg)
//if chiusuraShort
//    strategy.close_all(comment="SHORTISSIMO1")